Ben Simon P Syracuse Mets
Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 197 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
K%21.9%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 125 IP
K: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -1.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +16.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+17STAMTotal WAR: +1.49 (125 IP)+1.5WAR
0.10.20.20.10.1262830
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF4555
CMD4045
K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202321MIX2 levels606329220%1.128.1%6.2%21.9%6.2%7.114.95
202321MIX2 levels606329220%1.128.1%6.2%21.9%6.2%7.115.31
202422A+Brooklyn Cyclones22136152351125%1.617.7%8.3%9.4%1.0%4.043.19
202422A+Brooklyn Cyclones22136152351125%1.623.0%7.2%15.8%1.3%4.042.79
202523MIX2 levels38054226601840%1.420.8%9.0%11.7%1.9%2.983.55
202523MIX2 levels38054226601840%1.426.5%8.0%18.6%1.8%2.982.84
▸ 2026 Season
202624AAASyracuse Mets30135151291443%1.216.1%9.9%6.2%3.0%2.554.63-0.0
ROS24MLBNYM860903808335100%1.021.9%9.3%12.6%2.7%4.284.28+1.0
ROS24MLBNYM909388410%1.021.9%9.3%12.6%2.7%4.284.28+0.0
2026 TOT24MLBNYM125531112491421.2%9.3%11.8%2.7%3.794.38+1.5
2026 FULL24MLBNYM93884121.9%9.3%12.6%2.7%4.283.90+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBNYM870913858735100%1.022.6%9.0%13.5%2.7%4.234.19+1.1
202826MLBNYM870913858834100%1.022.9%8.9%14.0%2.7%4.194.16+1.1
202927MLBNYM850903798634110%1.122.8%8.9%13.9%2.8%4.204.21+1.0
203028MLBNYM830873678333110%1.022.7%9.0%13.6%2.9%4.254.29+0.8
202725MLBNYM42044186421750%1.022.6%9.0%13.5%2.7%4.234.19+0.2
202826MLBNYM60063266612470%1.122.9%8.9%14.0%2.7%4.194.16+0.3
202927MLBNYM68071300682780%1.022.8%8.9%13.9%2.8%4.204.21+0.5
203028MLBNYM70074312712890%1.122.7%9.0%13.6%2.9%4.254.29+0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2490261110325099310%1.022.7%9.0%13.7%2.8%4.223.84+4.8
/ 200 IP190020084419176240%1.122.7%9.0%13.7%2.8%4.223.84+3.6
Career96213256110750122%1.419.1%8.9%10.2%2.2%3.353.82+2.4
/ 200 IP146320085216376192%1.419.1%8.9%10.2%2.2%3.353.82+3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ben Simon (OGILVIE) 4.28 21.9%9.3%2.7% 4.19 22.7%13.8%272 -0.09
Randall Delgado R 2027 · 3.57 FIP 25 SU 3.57 23.7%10.1%2.2%.284 3.71 20.3%12.4%167 +0.14 3.05 290 90
Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 20.7%9.6%3.5%.281 4.91 21.2%5.7%55 +0.40 4.51 121 88
Alex Phillips R 2026 · 3.26 FIP 24 SU 3.26 22.0%8.0%1.8%.263 4.49 23.2%14.6%72 +1.23 3.26 139 88
Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP 24 SU 3.84 20.6%10.4%2.1%.288 3.90 15.3%4.4%77 +0.06 3.40 134 87
Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP 24 SU 3.69 22.5%11.6%1.9%.294 3.33 19.3%6.5%157 -0.36 2.87 223 87
Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.44 FIP 24 SU 4.44 20.7%8.6%3.6%.264 3.56 14.7%5.2%69 -0.88 3.56 155 86
Nelson Gonzalez R 2027 · 3.33 FIP 25 SU 3.33 19.6%7.7%1.7%.293 4.70 17.7%7.8%115 +1.37 3.33 258 86
Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.73 FIP 24 SU 3.73 22.4%11.2%2.0%.282 4.95 21.1%11.6%105 +1.22 2.65 304 86
Mark McLaughlin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 24 SU 4.28 20.6%8.3%3.4%.280 4.38 15.5%5.5%20 +0.10 4.28 195 86
Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP 24 SU 3.63 21.2%9.5%2.1%.282 3.31 22.5%16.6%72 -0.32 2.25 121 86
Breckin Williams R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 24 SU 3.74 22.6%7.3%3.0%.282 2.79 23.4%15.8%48 -0.95 2.72 107 86
Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.17 FIP 24 SU 3.17 22.2%8.4%1.6%.310 3.68 20.3%8.9%95 +0.51 3.17 153 86
Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 24 SU 3.87 19.4%9.5%2.2%.332 5.00 12.7%-0.3%22 +1.13 3.87 148 86
Colton Murray R 2027 · 3.43 FIP 25 SU 3.43 20.5%10.4%1.4%.251 4.10 21.4%12.3%109 +0.67 3.43 187 85
Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP 23 SU 4.00 22.7%10.0%2.8%.274 5.05 16.3%0.7%52 +1.05 4.00 134 85
Héctor Neris R 2028 · 4.09 FIP 26 SU 4.09 20.9%10.0%2.7%.298 3.09 31.5%23.7%221 -1.00 1.97 682 85
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2026 · 3.31 FIP 24 SU 3.31 23.4%8.2%2.1%.262 6.15 20.6%11.1%128 +2.84 3.31 207 85
Cole Ayers R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 24 SU 3.86 22.1%9.9%2.5%.298 5.00 15.2%-0.4%32 +1.14 3.52 171 85
Josh Martin R 2027 · 3.43 FIP 25 SU 3.43 24.1%7.4%2.6%.257 2.89 20.7%13.6%124 -0.54 2.31 225 84
Tyler Schoff R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 24 SU 3.77 25.2%8.7%3.1%.315 3.43 17.7%11.3%50 -0.34 2.79 164 84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION59022.6%9.1%1.064.23
Tyler Skaggs ('19)48522.9%8.2%1.094.24
Kyle Wright ('23)38322.4%8.9%1.123.97
Patrick Sandoval ('24)68922.7%10.1%0.924.01
Jimmy Nelson ('21)511722.2%9.1%0.974.08
Nate Karns ('17)39624.2%9.3%1.224.24
Ian Anderson ('22)39122.5%10.4%0.963.97