Ben Simon — OGILVIE

Ben Simon P Syracuse Mets

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 197 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%21.9%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4555

CMD4045

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	6	32	9	2	2	0%	1.1	28.1%	6.2%	21.9%	6.2%	7.11	4.95	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	6	32	9	2	2	0%	1.1	28.1%	6.2%	21.9%	6.2%	7.11	4.95	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	6	32	9	2	2	0%	1.1	28.1%	6.2%	21.9%	6.2%	7.11	5.31	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	22	1	36	152	35	11	2	5%	1.6	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	1.2%	4.04	3.33	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	22	1	36	152	35	11	2	5%	1.6	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	1.2%	4.04	3.33	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	22	1	36	152	35	11	2	5%	1.6	23.0%	7.2%	15.8%	1.3%	4.04	2.79	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	226	60	18	4	0%	1.4	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	2.1%	2.98	3.62	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	226	60	18	4	0%	1.4	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	2.1%	2.98	3.62	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	54	226	60	18	4	0%	1.4	26.5%	8.0%	18.6%	1.8%	2.98	2.84	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	45	1	52	225	37	20	6	2%	1.1	13.5%	8.4%	5.0%	3.0%	3.83	4.67	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	45	1	52	225	37	20	6	2%	1.1	13.5%	8.4%	5.0%	3.0%	3.83	4.67	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	NYM	14	0	15	67	18	5	1	0%	1.1	26.9%	7.5%	19.4%	1.5%	2.35	2.60	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	NYM	31	1	36	158	19	15	5	3%	1.2	12.0%	9.5%	2.5%	3.2%	4.46	5.02	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	NYM	6	0	6	27	6	2	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.3%	12.6%	2.7%	4.29	4.29	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	NYM	—	—	58	252	43	22	7	—	—	17.0%	8.9%	8.1%	2.7%	3.88	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYM	87	0	91	385	87	35	10	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.1%	13.5%	2.7%	4.24	4.21	+0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYM	87	0	91	385	88	34	11	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.9%	13.9%	2.7%	4.21	4.18	+0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYM	85	0	90	379	86	34	11	0%	1.1	22.8%	8.9%	13.9%	2.8%	4.22	4.22	+0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYM	83	0	87	367	83	33	11	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.0%	13.6%	2.9%	4.27	4.31	+0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	NYM	79	0	83	351	79	33	11	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.2%	3.1%	4.37	4.44	+0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	NYM	74	0	78	330	79	29	11	0%	1.1	24.1%	8.8%	15.3%	3.3%	4.35	4.34	+0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYM	42	0	44	186	42	17	5	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.1%	13.5%	2.7%	4.24	4.21	+0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYM	60	0	63	266	61	24	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.9%	13.9%	2.7%	4.21	4.18	+0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYM	68	0	71	300	68	27	8	0%	1.0	22.8%	8.9%	13.9%	2.8%	4.22	4.22	+0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYM	70	0	74	312	71	28	9	0%	1.1	22.7%	9.0%	13.6%	2.9%	4.27	4.31	+0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	NYM	70	0	73	308	69	29	9	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.3%	13.2%	3.1%	4.37	4.44	+0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	NYM	68	0	71	300	72	26	10	0%	1.0	24.1%	8.8%	15.3%	3.3%	4.35	4.34	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		378	0	397	1675	384	151	49	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.0%	13.9%	2.9%	4.28	3.91	+3.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	76	25	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.0%	13.9%	2.9%	4.28	3.91	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		111	2	148	635	113	54	15	2%	1.3	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	2.4%	3.71	3.99	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	3	200	858	153	73	21	2%	1.3	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	2.4%	3.71	3.99	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Simon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	21.9%	9.3%	2.7%	—	4.20	22.7%	13.8%	272	-0.09	—	—	—
Randall Delgado R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	25	SU	3.61	23.7%	10.1%	2.2%	.284	3.78	20.3%	12.4%	167	+0.17	3.09	290	90
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	89
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	88
Alex Phillips R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	24	SU	3.26	22.0%	8.0%	1.8%	.263	4.62	23.2%	14.6%	72	+1.36	3.26	139	88
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	87
Nelson Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	25	SU	3.42	19.6%	7.7%	1.8%	.293	4.98	17.7%	7.8%	115	+1.56	3.42	258	86
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	86
Johnny Barbato R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.4%	11.2%	2.0%	.282	4.66	21.1%	11.6%	105	+0.93	2.59	304	86
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	86
Kaleb Fontenot R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	20.7%	8.6%	3.7%	.264	3.71	14.7%	5.2%	69	-0.77	3.71	155	86
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	85
Dakota Donovan R 2021 · 3.15 FIP	24	SU	3.15	22.2%	8.4%	1.6%	.310	3.55	20.3%	8.9%	95	+0.40	3.15	153	85
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	85
Héctor Neris R 2015 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.9%	10.0%	2.5%	.298	3.03	31.5%	23.7%	221	-0.97	2.03	682	85
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	84
Colton Murray R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	25	SU	3.34	20.5%	10.4%	1.2%	.251	4.08	21.4%	12.3%	109	+0.74	3.34	187	84
Tyler Schoff R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	25.2%	8.7%	3.0%	.315	4.26	16.1%	6.4%	75	+0.57	3.69	190	84
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	84
Josh Martin R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	25	SU	3.16	24.1%	7.4%	2.1%	.257	2.96	20.7%	13.6%	124	-0.20	2.41	225	84
Mayckol Guaipe R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	24	SU	3.97	17.0%	7.1%	2.6%	.330	2.49	21.2%	16.0%	33	-1.48	1.88	136	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	22.7%	9.1%	1.11	4.28
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Spencer Turnbull ('24)	1.7	68	22.0%	9.2%	0.77	4.18