Aidan Longwell — OGILVIE

Aidan Longwell1B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 205 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION385 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .100 / .100

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%5

BABIP294

ISO125

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	47	44	13	2	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	295	340	341	681	45	382	21	6	311	97	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	83	71	26	8	0	0	9	9	2	4	0	366	451	479	930	113	413	11	11	413	166	+7	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	240	75	11	2	4	32	38	7	3	3	312	409	425	834	112	351	13	11	373	139	+13	-1	—	—	+6	1.9
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	516	452	124	35	3	15	48	99	5	5	2	274	350	465	814	190	315	19	9	354	125	+16	+0	—	—	+11	2.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	47	45	11	2	0	0	2	14	0	0	1	244	277	289	565	44	349	30	4	249	55	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	83	74	21	6	0	0	6	13	2	4	0	284	354	365	719	81	334	16	7	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	251	66	8	2	4	21	50	7	3	3	263	337	359	695	96	302	18	7	305	93	-3	-1	—	—	+6	0.3
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	516	472	94	25	3	12	29	138	5	5	2	199	253	341	594	142	237	27	6	254	58	-26	+0	—	—	+11	-1.5
2023	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	130	119	32	7	0	0	8	27	2	4	1	269	326	328	653	59	344	21	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	130	115	39	10	0	0	12	19	2	4	1	339	411	426	837	87	402	15	9	376	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	251	66	8	2	4	21	50	7	3	3	263	337	359	695	96	308	18	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	240	75	11	2	4	32	38	7	3	3	312	409	425	834	112	351	13	11	373	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	516	472	94	25	3	12	29	138	5	5	2	199	253	341	594	142	248	27	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	516	452	124	35	3	15	48	99	5	5	2	274	350	465	814	190	315	19	9	354	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	130	119	32	7	0	0	8	27	2	4	1	269	326	328	653	59	339	21	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	253	66	8	2	4	21	50	7	3	3	261	337	356	693	95	302	18	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	516	477	94	25	3	12	29	138	5	5	2	197	253	338	590	140	237	27	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	130	119	32	7	0	0	8	27	2	4	1	269	326	328	653	59	339	21	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	253	66	8	2	4	21	50	7	3	3	261	337	356	693	95	302	18	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	516	477	94	25	3	12	29	138	5	5	2	197	253	338	590	140	237	27	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	COL	—	385	360	76	20	1	8	14	109	7	1	1	211	255	339	593	128	275	28	4	254	58	-19	-0	+0	-7	+8	-1.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	COL	—	385	354	88	24	1	10	20	89	7	1	1	249	302	407	709	158	301	23	5	312	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	COL	2%	10	10	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	100	100	100	200		278	30	0	269	68	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	COL	—	395	370	77	20	1	8	14	112	7	1	1	208	251	332	583	124	272	28	4	254	58	-20	-0	+0	-7	+9	-1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	31%	370	343	76	18	1	9	19	98	5	3	2	222	272	359	631	137	279	26	5	278	74	-11	-0	+0	-7	+8	-1.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	45%	407	377	84	19	2	10	22	106	5	4	2	223	275	363	638	141	280	26	5	284	79	-10	+0	+0	-7	+9	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	31%	115	106	25	6	1	3	6	30	2	1	0	236	289	396	686	160	295	26	5	286	74	-4	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	45%	181	167	39	9	1	5	10	47	2	2	1	234	285	389	674	156	296	26	6	293	79	-5	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	296	273	64	15	2	8	16	77	4	3	1	234	287	392	679	158	295	26	5	290	74	-8	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	141	33	4	18	35	169	9	7	2	235	287	394	681	159	296	26	5	290	74	-18	+0	+0	-12	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1716	1572	353	77	8	35	99	422	24	19	10	225	281	351	631	126	281	25	6	278	74	-22	-0	+0	-14	+17	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	133	29	3	13	38	160	9	7	4	224	280	348	628	124	280	25	6	278	74	-18	-0	+0	-12	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	303	7	2	223	271	362	-5	-2	-0.5	-0.3
/162	664	16	5	-11.9	-3.3	-1.2	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aidan Longwell (OGILVIE)	24	50	50	45	40	213/261/338	125	278	7	2	27%	5%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Grotjohn 2019 · A	24	46	44→50	45	42	225/274/349	125	281	10	7	24%	5%	75	-0.5	209/277/312	103	297	8	7	30%	7%	68	-1.0	185/267/272	87	277	5	5	32%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Jaycob Brugman 2016 · AA	24	45→49	43→50	47→45	45	222/276/339	117	282	10	8	25%	7%	73	-0.6	233/287/341	108	305	9	8	25%	7%	77	-0.3	222/283/354	132	293	16	5	29%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jim Fasano 2007 · AA	24	46→51	43→45	48→30	42	227/271/342	115	284	11	3	24%	5%	72	-0.7	233/272/369	136	279	15	4	22%	5%	78	-0.3	243/272/397	154	269	19	0	18%	4%	86	+0.2
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	42→49	46→45	45→50	38	213/256/342	128	288	14	7	31%	5%	66	-1.1	220/268/336	116	287	11	8	26%	6%	69	-0.9	231/294/322	92	284	6	11	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Joe Jackson 2016 · A	24	49	43→45	47→40	44	235/289/348	112	304	9	5	25%	6%	80	-0.2	229/276/323	94	298	7	5	24%	5%	70	-0.9	230/273/309	79	296	5	2	23%	4%	62	-1.1
✕Ron Davenport 2006 · AA	24	48→46	45→50	44→40	41	238/270/360	122	285	12	5	22%	4%	76	-0.4	236/272/369	133	274	12	4	19%	4%	78	-0.3	237/272/374	138	269	12	2	17%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Luke Tendler 2016 · A	24	42→45	44→50	44→40	40	211/256/335	124	269	11	3	26%	5%	65	-1.2	218/272/350	132	283	14	3	27%	6%	75	-0.5	214/271/344	130	277	15	2	27%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Carson Taylor 2023 · AA	24	48	42→45	47→40	46	232/295/331	99	307	10	3	26%	8%	78	-0.3	223/294/337	114	293	13	5	27%	9%	80	-0.1	208/289/322	113	271	13	3	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Ryan Keedy 2010 · A	24	46	45	50→40	42	228/275/345	117	288	13	6	26%	6%	74	-0.5	211/275/305	94	290	7	6	28%	7%	65	-1.2	179/260/247	68	256	3	2	29%	7%	47	-1.0
✕Jim Gallagher 2010 · AA	24	47→54	44→45	45	44	233/279/356	123	282	12	5	22%	6%	78	-0.3	233/293/336	103	285	8	6	20%	7%	78	-0.3	228/293/322	94	276	6	6	19%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Dominic Fletcher 2022 · AA	24	44→53	44→45	45	36	217/261/337	120	301	12	5	31%	5%	67	-1.1	234/290/356	122	305	10	6	25%	6%	82	+0.0	236/295/352	116	302	9	5	24%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Tyler Collins 2014 · AA	24	43→50	46→45	46→50	46	217/279/350	133	266	13	8	24%	7%	77	-0.3	220/274/340	120	278	13	10	25%	6%	73	-0.6	218/277/332	114	284	12	11	27%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Beau Mills 2011 · AA	24	45→47	45→50	42→30	43	227/269/351	125	268	13	3	21%	5%	74	-0.6	227/273/365	138	267	15	4	21%	5%	78	-0.3	226/272/374	148	262	17	1	21%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Frazier Hall 2012 · A	24	47→41	46→50	47→40	37	234/270/364	130	304	13	4	27%	4%	76	-0.4	210/259/302	92	280	9	2	27%	5%	58	-1.7	204/256/293	88	261	10	0	25%	5%	54	-1.7
✕Danny Ortiz 2014 · AA	24	44→48	44→55	40→45	40	220/255/340	120	267	11	4	22%	4%	65	-1.2	220/249/351	131	268	13	5	23%	3%	65	-1.2	217/256/379	162	258	21	2	25%	4%	75	-0.4
✕Steven Murphy 2008 · AA	24	46→47	46→55	43→45	39	229/266/366	137	286	13	7	25%	4%	76	-0.4	208/251/351	143	266	14	9	27%	5%	67	-1.1	193/238/344	151	244	15	9	28%	4%	59	-1.3
✕Chantz Mack 2015 · AA	24	46→47	43→45	47→45	45	224/274/334	110	273	10	8	22%	6%	71	-0.8	217/286/325	108	297	10	5	28%	8%	74	-0.6	209/287/314	105	291	10	3	29%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Danny Hayes 2015 · A	24	45→47	43→45	44→30	46	221/286/340	119	296	10	2	28%	8%	78	-0.3	211/290/327	116	288	11	2	28%	10%	76	-0.4	194/279/309	116	265	11	0	29%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Ronnie Mitchell 2015 · A	24	42→45	47→50	40	42	217/273/350	132	285	16	6	29%	7%	75	-0.5	226/279/356	130	295	12	5	26%	7%	78	-0.3	228/281/360	132	293	12	3	25%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Conrad Gregor 2016 · AA	24	47→54	45	47→40	49	228/297/356	128	286	11	4	23%	8%	85	+0.2	209/277/327	118	256	11	5	22%	8%	71	-0.8	201/269/315	115	234	11	3	19%	8%	64	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps