Aidan Longwell1B
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 24
L/L
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
H +10%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2029
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .288 / .364
PA320
HR7
K%24
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
50→50
SPD
45→45
EYE
43↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $3M | $-0.9M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | 2 teams | 130 | 119 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .269 | .326 | .328 | .653 | .059 | .344 | 21 | 6 | .292 | 81 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 283 | 251 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 3 | .263 | .337 | .359 | .695 | .096 | .308 | 18 | 7 | .305 | 92 | -3 | -1 | +0 | -5 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 516 | 473 | 93 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 138 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .197 | .249 | .338 | .587 | .142 | .245 | 27 | 5 | .253 | 52 | -28 | +0 | +0 | -9 | +15 | -2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 77 | 70 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .243 | .293 | .371 | .665 | .129 | .296 | 22 | 4 | .284 | 76 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | 243 | 223 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .229 | .286 | .359 | .645 | .130 | .285 | 23 | 6 | .292 | 82 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | COL | 320 | 293 | 68 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 74 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .232 | .288 | .362 | .650 | .130 | .287 | 23 | 6 | .290 | 80 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | COL | 370 | 336 | 80 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 74 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .238 | .302 | .384 | .686 | .146 | .280 | 20 | 7 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | COL | 407 | 369 | 90 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 82 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .244 | .309 | .398 | .708 | .154 | .282 | 20 | 7 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | COL | 420 | 381 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .239 | .305 | .388 | .693 | .150 | .282 | 20 | 7 | .313 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | COL | 425 | 385 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 88 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .242 | .308 | .392 | .700 | .151 | .282 | 21 | 8 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -8 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | COL | 420 | 380 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 88 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .239 | .307 | .389 | .696 | .150 | .281 | 21 | 8 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -8 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | COL | 414 | 374 | 90 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 88 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .241 | .309 | .393 | .702 | .152 | .280 | 21 | 8 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | COL | 401 | 362 | 85 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 87 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .235 | .304 | .381 | .685 | .146 | .279 | 22 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | COL | 384 | 347 | 80 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .231 | .299 | .366 | .665 | .135 | .277 | 22 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -7 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | COL | 355 | 321 | 72 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .224 | .293 | .355 | .648 | .131 | .276 | 23 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | COL | 311 | 281 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 74 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .224 | .292 | .356 | .648 | .132 | .274 | 24 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +9 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5079 | 4602 | 1077 | 238 | 23 | 119 | 365 | 1107 | 65 | 59 | 18 | .234 | .299 | .373 | .673 | .139 | .281 | 22 | 7 | .299 | 87 | -77 | +5 | -20 | -91 | +144 | -3.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 137 | 30 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 142 | 8 | 8 | 2 | .233 | .298 | .370 | .668 | .138 | .280 | 22 | 7 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +1 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 47 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .295 | .340 | .341 | .681 | .045 | .382 | 21 | 6 | .311 | 96 | -0 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 83 | 71 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .366 | .451 | .479 | .930 | .113 | .413 | 11 | 11 | .413 | 174 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 283 | 240 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 3 | .312 | .409 | .425 | .834 | .112 | .351 | 13 | 11 | .373 | 144 | +14 | -1 | — | — | +8 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 516 | 452 | 124 | 35 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 99 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .274 | .350 | .465 | .814 | .190 | .315 | 19 | 9 | .354 | 129 | +17 | +0 | — | — | +15 | 3.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Aidan Longwell (OGILVIE) | 24 | 50 | 50 | 45 | 40 | .228/.288/.364 | .135 | .284 | 7 | 3 | 24% | 7% | 82 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Christian Marrero 2010 · AA |
24 | 47→54 | 48→50 | 44→50 | 42 | .235/.280/.382 | .147 | .287 | 15 | 5 | 24% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .242/.297/.375 | .133 | .294 | 13 | 8 | 21% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .246/.327/.385 | .139 | .293 | 15 | 3 | 20% | 10% | 102 | +1.0 |
|
✕Wade Hinkle 2014 · A |
24 | 48→51 | 46→50 | 43→40 | 47 | .238/.303/.369 | .131 | .288 | 13 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .233/.301/.361 | .128 | .303 | 13 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .231/.300/.352 | .122 | .311 | 12 | 1 | 28% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
●José Marmolejos 2017 · AA |
24 | 50→53 | 45→50 | 44→30 | 41 | .242/.288/.378 | .136 | .312 | 11 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.291/.374 | .130 | .308 | 12 | 2 | 24% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.304/.443 | .199 | .299 | 27 | 1 | 27% | 8% | 107 | +1.3 |
|
●Jon Kemmer 2015 · A |
24 | 46→54 | 50→55 | 46→50 | 40 | .235/.279/.391 | .156 | .296 | 17 | 5 | 27% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.298/.404 | .167 | .324 | 18 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 96 | +1.5 | .231/.300/.398 | .168 | .326 | 19 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Dean Green 2013 · A |
24 | 51→58 | 46→50 | 43→40 | 43 | .250/.306/.387 | .136 | .302 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 5% | 95 | +1.4 | .257/.308/.391 | .134 | .312 | 14 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 97 | +1.5 | .266/.314/.404 | .138 | .311 | 17 | 1 | 20% | 5% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
●Johan Limonta 2008 · A |
24 | 49→56 | 44→50 | 42→40 | 43 | .240/.287/.361 | .121 | .302 | 12 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .251/.303/.392 | .141 | .325 | 11 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .257/.312/.411 | .154 | .329 | 12 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 101 | +1.6 |
|
●Josh Kreuzer 2007 · A |
24 | 43→52 | 46→50 | 45→40 | 44 | .215/.293/.349 | .134 | .282 | 13 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .226/.315/.365 | .139 | .294 | 14 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .222/.319/.357 | .136 | .288 | 14 | 3 | 26% | 9% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
●David Cooper 2011 · AA |
24 | 46→56 | 47→50 | 46→30 | 47 | .231/.283/.368 | .137 | .267 | 14 | 2 | 20% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .259/.313/.397 | .138 | .289 | 12 | 2 | 15% | 7% | 100 | +1.7 | .268/.325/.396 | .128 | .295 | 9 | 0 | 12% | 7% | 105 | +1.4 |
|
✕Chris Swauger 2011 · AA |
24 | 49→50 | 46→50 | 46→45 | 40 | .241/.282/.379 | .138 | .301 | 12 | 7 | 24% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .243/.280/.365 | .122 | .306 | 13 | 5 | 24% | 4% | 78 | +0.2 | .238/.273/.349 | .111 | .300 | 14 | 5 | 25% | 4% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jim Gallagher 2010 · AA |
24 | 46→53 | 45→50 | 45 | 44 | .231/.276/.356 | .126 | .276 | 12 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .233/.292/.344 | .111 | .284 | 9 | 5 | 20% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .228/.293/.330 | .102 | .276 | 7 | 6 | 19% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Preston Tucker 2014 · AA |
24 | 45 | 50→55 | 46→40 | 45 | .232/.283/.380 | .148 | .268 | 18 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .231/.280/.393 | .162 | .278 | 20 | 4 | 24% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .232/.307/.388 | .157 | .271 | 17 | 1 | 21% | 8% | 95 | +0.6 |
|
✕Dustin Majewski 2006 · A |
24 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 46→40 | 43 | .226/.283/.380 | .155 | .295 | 16 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .223/.301/.374 | .151 | .279 | 16 | 5 | 25% | 10% | 90 | +1.0 | .221/.308/.367 | .146 | .270 | 15 | 3 | 23% | 11% | 89 | +0.9 |
|
✕Kevin Smith 2008 · A |
24 | 47→55 | 46→45 | 47→40 | 44 | .235/.288/.368 | .133 | .290 | 12 | 4 | 23% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .240/.284/.341 | .101 | .334 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .239/.283/.324 | .085 | .346 | 4 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Tyler Henley 2009 · A |
24 | 47→54 | 44→50 | 45 | 43 | .231/.279/.364 | .133 | .279 | 10 | 8 | 21% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .244/.289/.382 | .138 | .289 | 12 | 8 | 20% | 5% | 86 | +0.8 | .257/.298/.402 | .145 | .299 | 14 | 6 | 19% | 5% | 93 | +0.7 |
|
●Chris Parmelee 2011 · AA |
23 | 45→51 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 48 | .225/.294/.355 | .130 | .287 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .243/.309/.387 | .144 | .292 | 15 | 2 | 21% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .240/.311/.393 | .153 | .284 | 17 | 1 | 21% | 9% | 98 | +1.5 |
|
✕Erik Lis 2008 · A |
24 | 48→56 | 50→55 | 45→40 | 41 | .242/.287/.401 | .159 | .307 | 16 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .234/.277/.380 | .146 | .302 | 15 | 3 | 27% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .224/.268/.366 | .142 | .285 | 16 | 1 | 27% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2016 · AA |
24 | 42→47 | 46→55 | 45 | 42 | .211/.269/.345 | .134 | .290 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .233/.293/.391 | .158 | .293 | 17 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Cody Ehlers 2006 · A |
24 | 46→50 | 45→50 | 43→40 | 49 | .226/.286/.348 | .122 | .270 | 12 | 5 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .229/.289/.363 | .134 | .281 | 13 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.280/.351 | .133 | .270 | 12 | 1 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
●Marshall Hubbard 2006 · A |
24 | 49→50 | 49→50 | 46→30 | 46 | .244/.309/.391 | .147 | .313 | 17 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .240/.305/.381 | .141 | .315 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | .238/.314/.395 | .157 | .311 | 16 | 2 | 27% | 8% | 100 | +1.4 |
|
✕Mark Hamilton 2008 · AA |
24 | 44→43 | 47→50 | 45→30 | 42 | .224/.271/.359 | .135 | .283 | 16 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .229/.290/.375 | .146 | .305 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .256/.330/.408 | .152 | .341 | 15 | 0 | 27% | 8% | 109 | +1.4 |