Aidan Longwell — OGILVIE

Aidan Longwell1B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 205 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION332 act + 221 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .264 / .351

PA221

HR5

K%28

BB%5

BABIP278

ISO136

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	130	119	32	7	0	0	8	27	2	4	1	269	326	328	653	59	344	21	6	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	130	115	39	10	0	0	12	19	2	4	1	339	411	426	837	87	402	15	9	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	252	66	8	2	4	20	50	7	3	3	262	333	357	690	95	307	18	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	240	75	11	2	4	32	38	7	3	3	312	409	425	834	112	351	13	11	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	516	473	91	25	3	12	28	137	5	5	2	192	245	334	579	142	238	27	5	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	516	452	124	35	3	15	48	99	5	5	2	274	350	465	814	190	315	19	9	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	COL	—	332	310	64	18	1	9	14	96	6	1	1	206	255	358	613	152	266	29	4	261	58	-16	-0	+0	-6	+9	-1.3
YTD	24	AA	COL	—	332	304	74	22	1	10	20	74	6	1	1	243	303	421	724	178	288	22	6	320	103	+1	-0	+0	-6	+9	0.4
ROS	24	AA	COL	2%	221	205	44	11	1	5	11	61	3	1	1	214	264	351	615	136	273	28	5	274	68	-8	-0	+0	-4	+6	-0.6
ROS	24	MLB	COL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		295	25	0	286	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	COL	—	336	314	65	18	1	9	14	97	6	1	1	207	254	357	611	150	267	29	4	261	58	-16	-0	+0	-6	+10	-1.3
TOT	24	AA	COL	—	553	515	108	29	2	14	25	157	9	2	2	210	258	355	614	146	271	28	5	266	62	-24	-0	+0	-10	+16	-1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	31%	554	512	111	27	2	14	30	148	7	4	2	217	270	359	629	143	274	27	5	281	73	-17	+0	+0	-10	+16	-1.1
2028	26	MLB	COL	45%	568	524	115	27	2	16	32	150	7	5	3	219	274	370	644	151	275	26	6	287	78	-14	-0	+0	-10	+16	-0.9
2027	25	MLB	COL	31%	172	159	37	9	1	5	9	46	2	1	1	233	282	396	679	164	296	27	5	294	83	-3	-0	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	COL	45%	253	234	56	14	1	8	14	67	3	2	1	239	291	410	701	171	298	26	6	300	88	-3	+0	+0	-5	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	429	397	94	23	2	13	23	114	5	3	2	237	287	403	690	166	298	27	5	298	86	-7	-0	+0	-8	+12	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	143	35	3	20	35	173	8	5	3	238	289	405	694	168	299	27	5	298	86	-10	-0	+0	-12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	2272	2085	459	105	10	51	129	573	31	22	12	220	276	353	629	133	275	25	6	278	71	-75	-0	+0	-41	+64	-5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	132	30	3	15	37	164	9	6	3	221	277	357	634	136	276	25	6	278	71	-22	+0	+0	-12	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	47	44	13	2	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	295	340	341	681	45	382	21	6	311	96	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	83	71	26	8	0	0	9	9	2	4	0	366	451	479	930	113	413	11	11	413	174	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	283	240	75	11	2	4	32	38	7	3	3	312	409	425	834	112	351	13	11	373	144	+14	-1	—	—	+8	2.2
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	516	452	124	35	3	15	48	99	5	5	2	274	350	465	814	190	315	19	9	354	129	+17	+0	—	—	+15	3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#1Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#2Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#3Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	431	12	4	220	271	369	-8	-2	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	18	6	220	271	369	-11.9	-2.3	-1.2	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aidan Longwell (OGILVIE)	24	50	50	45	40	210/258/355	146	271	14	2	28%	5%	62	-1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jim Fasano 2007 · AA	24	46→51	44→50	48→30	41	226/271/344	118	286	11	3	25%	5%	69	-0.4	233/273/376	143	280	16	4	23%	5%	78	+0.2	244/274/409	165	271	21	0	19%	4%	89	+0.5
✕Ryan Grotjohn 2019 · A	24	45	44→50	45	42	222/271/345	124	277	11	7	24%	5%	69	-0.4	208/276/311	103	298	8	7	31%	7%	63	-0.9	183/266/273	90	277	6	5	33%	8%	46	-1.2
✕Tyler Collins 2014 · AA	24	43→50	47→50	46→50	45	216/278/356	140	267	14	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	225/277/361	136	280	16	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	221/280/345	124	285	14	11	27%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Ron Davenport 2006 · AA	24	47→46	46→50	44→40	40	238/271/368	130	288	14	5	23%	4%	75	-0.0	236/272/372	136	275	13	4	19%	4%	76	+0.1	236/272/376	139	269	13	2	17%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Jim Gallagher 2010 · AA	24	47→53	45	45	44	233/279/356	123	282	12	5	22%	6%	76	+0.0	232/291/340	108	282	9	6	20%	7%	76	+0.1	227/291/327	100	273	8	6	19%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	42→45	46→50	44→50	37	213/256/341	128	292	14	7	32%	5%	62	-0.9	221/268/342	121	290	11	8	27%	6%	67	-0.5	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jaycob Brugman 2016 · AA	24	44→49	43→50	47→45	43	215/267/325	110	281	10	8	27%	6%	62	-0.9	232/285/344	112	306	10	8	26%	7%	75	-0.0	236/290/349	113	311	11	7	27%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Ben Paulsen 2012 · AA	24	47→53	47→50	42→40	37	236/270/372	136	311	14	4	29%	4%	76	+0.0	219/261/361	142	314	15	3	34%	5%	69	-0.4	216/268/368	152	308	15	3	34%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Hunter Morris 2013 · AA	24	44→48	50→55	48→40	37	227/263/391	163	287	16	4	27%	4%	78	+0.2	205/243/345	140	270	17	4	30%	4%	58	-1.2	185/222/314	128	242	17	2	31%	4%	39	-1.5
✕Beau Mills 2011 · AA	24	45→47	47→50	41→30	42	228/269/361	133	271	14	3	22%	5%	73	-0.1	231/276/376	145	274	16	4	22%	5%	80	+0.4	233/278/387	155	272	18	1	22%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Ryan Keedy 2010 · A	24	46	45	50→40	42	228/275/345	117	288	13	6	26%	6%	71	-0.3	209/275/302	93	288	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	174/258/237	63	251	2	2	29%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Frazier Hall 2012 · A	24	47→40	46→50	47→40	37	234/270/364	130	304	13	4	27%	4%	73	-0.1	207/256/294	87	284	8	2	29%	5%	50	-1.8	199/251/279	79	264	9	0	27%	5%	43	-1.9
✕Conrad Gregor 2016 · AA	24	46→54	45	47→40	48	225/294/354	129	289	11	4	25%	8%	82	+0.5	209/278/327	118	260	11	5	23%	8%	68	-0.5	202/273/317	115	236	11	3	19%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Carlos Guzman 2010 · AA	24	46→48	45→50	46→50	39	230/276/354	124	308	13	8	29%	5%	74	-0.1	226/280/313	87	304	8	5	26%	6%	64	-0.8	218/279/261	43	296	3	1	25%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Aaron Baker 2012 · AA	24	46→51	47→50	39→40	41	228/280/366	138	302	14	3	29%	6%	79	+0.3	213/264/346	133	289	13	5	30%	6%	66	-0.6	194/246/333	139	259	13	5	30%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Andrew Pullin 2018 · AAA	24	47→49	47→50	46→40	40	234/272/377	143	281	14	4	22%	4%	78	+0.2	212/258/341	129	292	12	8	30%	5%	63	-0.8	134/178/229	95	225	8	4	43%	5%	-4	-1.1
✕Jared James 2018 · AA	24	49	42→45	47→45	44	236/292/349	113	289	9	6	21%	6%	79	+0.3	226/282/337	111	300	9	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	218/273/322	104	297	8	8	28%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Steven Murphy 2008 · AA	24	45→47	47→55	43→45	38	228/265/369	140	287	14	7	26%	4%	73	-0.1	209/252/359	150	270	16	9	28%	5%	66	-0.6	193/238/355	161	246	18	9	29%	4%	57	-1.0
✕Carson Taylor 2023 · AA	24	49→47	42→45	47→40	45	236/298/340	104	317	11	3	28%	8%	79	+0.3	222/294/339	117	298	13	5	28%	9%	78	+0.2	207/288/318	111	272	13	3	27%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Ryan Jones 2012 · A	24	43→47	47→50	48→45	42	217/275/357	140	282	13	6	28%	6%	74	-0.1	211/265/333	122	283	10	8	28%	6%	63	-0.8	204/258/326	122	272	10	8	28%	6%	56	-0.9