Aidan Longwell
1B Hartford Yard Goats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | ACOL | 283 | .312/.409/.425 | 4 | 3 | 90 | — | .259/.333/.343 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+COL | 516 | .274/.350/.465 | 15 | 5 | 67 | — | .209/.267/.356 |
| 2026 | 24 | AACOL | 385 | .249/.302/.407 | 10 | 1 | 60 | — | .217/.260/.344 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBCOL | 4 | .229/.277/.373 | 0 | 0 | 71 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBCOL | 75 | .231/.281/.383 | 2 | 1 | 75 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 47 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 295 | 340 | 341 | 681 | 45 | 382 | 21 | 6 | 311 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 83 | 71 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 366 | 451 | 479 | 930 | 113 | 413 | 11 | 11 | 413 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 283 | 240 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 312 | 409 | 425 | 834 | 112 | 351 | 13 | 11 | 373 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 516 | 452 | 124 | 35 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 99 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 350 | 465 | 814 | 190 | 315 | 19 | 9 | 354 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 385 | 354 | 88 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 89 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 302 | 407 | 709 | 158 | 301 | 23 | 5 | 312 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 47 | 45 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 277 | 289 | 565 | 44 | 353 | 30 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 83 | 75 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 280 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 80 | 325 | 16 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 283 | 251 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 259 | 333 | 343 | 676 | 84 | 303 | 18 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 516 | 469 | 98 | 27 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 133 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 209 | 267 | 356 | 623 | 147 | 248 | 26 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 385 | 360 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 109 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 260 | 344 | 604 | 128 | 274 | 28 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 119 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 261 | 318 | 319 | 637 | 59 | 333 | 21 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 130 | 115 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 339 | 411 | 426 | 837 | 87 | 402 | 15 | 9 | 376 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 283 | 251 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 259 | 333 | 343 | 676 | 84 | 308 | 18 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 283 | 240 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 312 | 409 | 425 | 834 | 112 | 351 | 13 | 11 | 373 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 516 | 469 | 98 | 27 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 133 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 209 | 267 | 356 | 623 | 147 | 259 | 26 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 516 | 452 | 124 | 35 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 99 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 350 | 465 | 814 | 190 | 315 | 19 | 9 | 354 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 385 | 360 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 109 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 260 | 344 | 604 | 128 | 283 | 28 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 385 | 354 | 88 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 89 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 302 | 407 | 709 | 158 | 301 | 23 | 5 | 312 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 119 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 261 | 318 | 319 | 637 | 59 | 335 | 21 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 283 | 253 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 257 | 333 | 340 | 673 | 83 | 303 | 18 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 516 | 474 | 98 | 27 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 133 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 267 | 352 | 619 | 146 | 248 | 26 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 385 | 361 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 109 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 260 | 343 | 603 | 127 | 274 | 28 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 283 | 253 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 257 | 333 | 340 | 673 | 83 | 303 | 18 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 516 | 474 | 98 | 27 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 133 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 267 | 352 | 619 | 146 | 248 | 26 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 385 | 361 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 109 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 260 | 343 | 603 | 127 | 274 | 28 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 2% | 380 | 353 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 267 | 348 | 614 | 130 | 281 | 27 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 277 | 373 | 651 | 145 | 294 | 25 | 0 | 288 | 71 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 31% | 241 | 223 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 270 | 356 | 627 | 136 | 281 | 27 | 5 | 279 | 75 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 31% | 75 | 70 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 281 | 383 | 664 | 151 | 295 | 27 | 5 | 294 | 75 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 75 | 70 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 280 | 371 | 651 | 143 | 292 | 27 | 5 | 294 | 72 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 139 | 35 | 0 | 17 | 35 | 173 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 229 | 282 | 371 | 652 | 142 | 293 | 27 | 5 | 294 | 72 | -20 | +2 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1765 | 1616 | 364 | 84 | 8 | 33 | 99 | 442 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 225 | 281 | 348 | 630 | 123 | 285 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 72 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +10 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 134 | 31 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 163 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 225 | 280 | 348 | 628 | 123 | 286 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 72 | -21 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAHartford Yard Goats · 385 PAwOBA .307 → .257 (−50)K% 23.1% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 19.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 7.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .307 → .257; ISO .158 → .124; BABIP .301 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Spokane Indians · 516 PAwOBA .349 → .267 (−81)K% 19.2% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.19% | ÷1.005 | ×1.350 | — | — | 25.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷1.030 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.11% | ÷1.068 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 16.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.92% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 7.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.25% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 3.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 114, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .349 → .267; ISO .190 → .151; BABIP .315 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFresno Grizzlies · 283 PAwOBA .369 → .301 (−68)K% 13.4% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.011 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.31% | ÷1.064 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.71% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.990 | 25.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.081 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.990 | 4.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×0.990 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.002 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 103, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .369 → .301; ISO .113 → .092; BABIP .351 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rockies · 83 PAwOBA .408 → .308 (−100)K% 10.8% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.84% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.84% | ÷0.999 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.975 | 23.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.975 | 9.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 127, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .408 → .308; ISO .113 → .081; BABIP .413 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFresno Grizzlies · 47 PAwOBA .303 → .249 (−53)K% 21.3% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.38% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.35% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | — | 30.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.946 | ×0.830 | — | — | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.186 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 97, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .303 → .249; ISO .045 → .036; BABIP .382 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).