Diover De Aza

SS FCL Mets
Age 19 S/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL Mets Blue187.221/.341/.279159—.123/.220/.148
202517ROKDSL Mets Oran…137.258/.308/.3953716—.167/.211/.254
202618ROKNYM99.177/.337/.3292423—.106/.224/.176
2027PROJMLE19MLBNYM209.181/.249/.2592444-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBNYM37.181/.252/.2680151-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO66
Speed63
BB%55
wRC+26
wOBA20
K%11
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsJonathan Mejía (age 19) · Franyerber Montilla (age 19) · Nerwilian Cedeño (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .247 / .257
PA53
HR1
K%32
BB%7
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE51
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 187154 34411 25653 55 221341279620 58355 3513 288 9 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Mets Orange — 137124 32233 9360 72 258308395703 137326 267 304 16 — — — — — —
202618 ROKFCL Mets — 9979 14222 16323 41 177337329666 152261 3216 309 23 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Mets Blue — 187162 20210 17823 55 123220148368 25223 449 182 9 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 137126 21122 7450 72 167211254464 87211 335 192 16 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 9985 9111 10463 41 106224176401 71205 4610 202 23 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Mets Blue — 187162 20210 17823 55 123220148368 25235 449 182 9 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL Mets Blue — 187154 34411 25653 55 221341279620 58355 3513 288 9 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 137126 21122 7450 72 167211254464 87229 335 192 16 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Mets Orange — 137124 32233 9360 72 258308395703 137326 267 304 16 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 9985 9111 10463 41 106224176401 71205 4610 202 23 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWFCL Mets — 9979 14222 16323 41 177337329666 152261 3216 309 23 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Mets Blue — 187165 20210 17823 55 121220145365 24223 449 182 9 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 137129 21122 7450 72 163211248459 85211 335 192 16 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 9986 9111 10463 41 105224174399 70205 4610 202 23 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Mets Blue — 187165 20210 17823 55 121220145365 24223 449 182 9 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 137129 21122 7450 72 163211248459 85211 335 192 16 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 9986 9111 10463 41 105224174399 70205 4610 202 23 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLENYM 0% 209190 34522 15672 41 181249259508 79262 327 234 44 -14 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLENYM 34% 10999 18311 8341 21 187257276532 89266 317 244 51 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
202820 MLB CTXNYM 34% 3734 5100 3120 10 181252268520 87257 328 239 51 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3734 5100 3120 10 147216176393 29227 328 239 24 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 881800 532110 180 147217178394 30228 328 239 24 -38 +4 +0 +7 +14 -1.4
Career— MLE — 585520 76855 462248 199 146226210436 63235 388 204 24 -10 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 85966 512499 2110 147227215442 67236 388 204 24 -40 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Mets · 99 PAwOBA .305 → .202 (−103)K% 32.3% → 46.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.32%÷1.000×1.440——46.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.16%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00810.10%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.720—×1.0082.20%
Singles /BIP17.02%÷1.000×0.820×1.003×1.00814.11%
Doubles /BIP4.26%÷1.000×0.720×1.003×1.0083.10%
Triples /BIP4.26%÷1.000×0.720×1.003×1.0083.10%
Home runs /BIP4.26%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0083.34%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .305 → .202; ISO .152 → .100; BABIP .261 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 137 PAwOBA .305 → .192 (−113)K% 26.3% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.28%÷0.974×1.220——32.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.57%÷0.971×0.700—×1.0084.77%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.012×0.680×0.990×1.00818.28%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷0.944×0.600×0.990×1.0081.44%
Triples /BIP3.41%÷1.057×0.600×0.990×1.0081.93%
Home runs /BIP3.41%÷0.873×0.470—×1.0081.85%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 111, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .305 → .192; ISO .137 → .075; BABIP .326 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Mets Blue · 187 PAwOBA .289 → .182 (−107)K% 34.8% → 44.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.76%÷0.964×1.220——43.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.37%÷1.067×0.700—×1.0228.97%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.700—×1.0221.15%
Singles /BIP31.46%÷1.035×0.680×0.954×1.02220.15%
Doubles /BIP4.49%÷1.001×0.600×0.954×1.0222.63%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷0.900×0.600×0.954×1.0220.73%
Home runs /BIP1.12%÷0.967×0.470—×1.0220.56%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .289 → .182; ISO .058 → .032; BABIP .355 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).