Logan Martin

P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 226 lbs AA peak 0.6 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AKC	25	17	102	3.62	3.03	22.9%	7.5%	—	K 16.9% · BB 8.9% · FIP 3.95
2025	24	A+KC	22	22	91	3.45	3.29	20.6%	9.5%	—	K 15.9% · BB 11.0% · FIP 4.07
2026	25	MIX3 levels	29	8	67	4.46	4.55	25.2%	14.4%	—	K 20.8% · BB 15.7% · FIP 5.53
2027PROJ	26	MLBSF	10	10	60	5.15	5.15	19.1%	12.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBSF	5	5	30	5.08	5.09	19.4%	12.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBSF	8	8	47	4.92	4.85	21.5%	11.4%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff47Control45Command48FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Bryce Conley (age 26) · Colby Morris (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%19.1%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%6.3%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD4050

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	2	8	31	12	3	1	50%	2.0	38.7%	9.7%	29.0%	3.2%	2.25	2.83	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	2	8	31	12	3	1	50%	2.0	38.7%	9.7%	29.0%	3.2%	2.25	2.85	—
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	25	17	102	424	97	32	7	68%	4.1	16.9%	8.9%	8.0%	2.1%	3.62	3.95	—
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	25	17	102	424	97	32	7	68%	4.1	16.9%	8.9%	8.0%	2.1%	3.62	3.95	—
2024	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	25	17	102	424	97	32	7	68%	4.1	22.9%	7.5%	15.3%	1.7%	3.62	3.03	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	91	378	78	36	5	100%	4.2	15.9%	11.0%	4.9%	1.7%	3.45	4.07	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	91	378	78	36	5	100%	4.2	15.9%	11.0%	4.9%	1.7%	3.45	4.07	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	91	378	78	36	5	100%	4.2	20.6%	9.5%	11.1%	1.3%	3.45	3.29	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	8	67	278	70	40	9	28%	2.3	20.8%	15.7%	5.1%	4.0%	4.46	5.53	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	8	67	278	70	40	9	28%	2.3	20.8%	15.7%	5.1%	4.0%	4.46	5.53	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	8	67	278	70	40	9	28%	2.3	25.2%	14.4%	10.8%	3.2%	4.46	4.55	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SF	10	10	60	253	48	33	8	100%	6.0	19.1%	12.9%	6.3%	3.0%	5.15	5.15	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	14	14	81	342	66	42	10	100%	5.8	19.4%	12.4%	7.0%	3.1%	5.08	5.09	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	13	13	79	332	71	38	10	100%	6.0	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	3.2%	4.92	4.85	+0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	SF	13	13	75	317	68	37	10	100%	5.8	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.3%	4.93	4.95	-0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	SF	12	12	71	298	63	35	10	100%	5.9	21.0%	11.8%	9.3%	3.5%	5.03	5.11	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	30	127	25	16	4	100%	6.0	19.4%	12.4%	7.0%	3.1%	5.08	5.09	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	8	8	47	198	43	23	6	100%	5.9	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	3.2%	4.92	4.85	+0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	SF	9	9	53	224	48	26	7	100%	5.9	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.3%	4.93	4.95	-0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	SF	9	9	55	232	49	27	8	100%	6.1	21.0%	11.8%	9.3%	3.5%	5.03	5.11	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	31	186	784	164	92	26	100%	6.0	21.0%	11.7%	9.2%	3.3%	4.98	4.62	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	177	99	28	100%	6.0	21.0%	11.7%	9.2%	3.3%	4.98	4.62	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		80	49	268	1111	202	126	27	61%	3.4	18.2%	11.3%	6.8%	2.5%	3.73	4.36	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	37	200	829	151	94	20	61%	3.4	18.2%	11.3%	6.8%	2.5%	3.73	4.36	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Martin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	19.1%	12.9%	3.0%	—	4.96	20.7%	8.9%	235	-0.19	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	83
Bryce Conley R 2021 · 4.31 FIP	26	SW	4.31	17.9%	12.2%	2.2%	.285	4.22	16.4%	5.3%	48	-0.09	4.22	560	81
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	81
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.83	14.2%	5.0%	81	+1.12	4.43	239	79
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	79
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	79
Jackson Finley R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	18.0%	12.8%	1.7%	.361	3.97	20.9%	9.8%	67	-0.19	3.97	150	78
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	78
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	77
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	77
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	77
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	77
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	76
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	76
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	76
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	76
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.55	20.8%	9.1%	172	-1.27	2.64	280	76
Carlos Tavera R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	25	SW	5.12	18.3%	13.3%	3.4%	.299	5.43	21.9%	8.8%	29	+0.31	3.85	263	75
Drake Fellows R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	26	SP-	4.97	16.1%	12.7%	2.9%	.293	4.85	14.2%	6.3%	207	-0.12	4.28	282	75
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	73	20.5%	12.0%	1.24	5.02
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*