Jacob Humphrey — OGILVIE

Jacob HumphreyOF Spokane Indians

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION251 act + 167 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .296 / .368

PA167

HR4

SB9

K%25

BB%6

BABIP295

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED73

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	39	33	6	2	0	0	5	12	0	2	1	182	289	242	532	61	286	31	13	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	39	30	7	2	0	0	8	8	0	2	1	233	395	300	695	67	318	21	21	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	COL	—	251	227	58	9	2	6	13	59	6	25	4	256	313	392	705	137	315	24	5	297	85	-4	+3	+0	-2	+7	0.5
YTD	23	A+	COL	—	251	218	67	12	2	7	22	42	6	25	4	307	386	477	863	170	349	17	9	377	147	+13	+3	+0	-2	+7	2.3
ROS	23	A+	COL	0%	167	152	36	6	1	4	10	41	3	9	2	236	296	368	664	131	300	25	6	302	89	-2	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						323	0	0	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	A+	COL	—	252	228	58	9	2	6	13	59	6	25	4	254	312	390	702	136	313	23	5	297	86	-4	+3	+0	-2	+7	0.5
TOT	23	A+	COL	—	418	379	94	15	3	10	23	100	9	34	6	248	306	382	689	134	307	24	5	299	87	-6	+4	+0	-3	+12	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	COL	30%	313	286	69	12	2	8	20	75	4	12	2	241	300	381	681	140	298	24	6	303	90	-3	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.5
2028	25	MLB	COL	44%	372	339	83	15	2	10	25	89	5	13	2	245	306	389	696	145	298	24	7	306	92	-3	+2	+0	-2	+11	0.7
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	408	371	90	16	2	11	28	97	6	14	3	243	306	385	692	143	297	24	7	308	94	-3	+2	+0	-2	+12	0.8
2030	27	MLB	COL	52%	419	381	91	16	2	11	29	100	6	14	3	239	303	378	681	139	297	24	7	308	94	-3	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.8
2027	24	MLB	COL	30%	95	88	23	4	1	3	6	23	1	4	1	261	316	432	748	170	321	24	6	316	100	-0	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.3
2028	25	MLB	COL	44%	165	151	39	7	1	5	11	39	2	6	1	258	317	417	734	159	320	24	7	319	102	+0	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.5
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	207	188	49	9	1	6	14	49	3	7	1	261	322	415	737	154	320	24	7	321	104	+1	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.7
2030	27	MLB	COL	52%	220	200	53	10	1	7	15	52	3	7	1	265	326	430	756	165	320	24	7	321	104	+1	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	688	628	164	30	4	21	46	163	9	24	4	261	321	422	743	161	320	24	7	320	103	+2	+3	+0	-4	+19	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	155	28	4	20	43	154	9	23	4	261	321	423	744	162	320	24	7	320	103	+2	+3	+0	-4	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	1718	1562	375	67	9	44	117	414	24	64	13	240	303	379	682	139	297	24	7	304	91	-17	+8	+0	-10	+49	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	141	25	3	17	44	157	9	24	5	239	301	377	678	139	295	24	7	304	91	-7	+3	+0	-4	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	39	30	7	2	0	0	8	8	0	2	1	233	395	300	695	67	318	21	21	325	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Danny Santanalast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,834 PA	7	1,834	47	74	256	296	415	-6	-6	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	17	27	256	296	415	-2.3	-2.2	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	687	18	24	243	302	387	-4	+0	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	17	23	243	302	387	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Humphrey (OGILVIE)	23	48→53	43→48	68→73	44	248/306/382	134	307	10	34	24%	5%	87	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Peter Bourjos 2010 · AA	23	51→56	42→50	62→60	42	245/287/363	119	304	8	28	22%	5%	79	+0.3	243/292/385	142	299	12	24	22%	5%	88	+0.9	250/310/389	140	318	12	18	24%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	49→53	42→45	60→55	48	238/296/355	118	285	8	21	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/310/347	98	316	7	20	22%	7%	85	+0.7	253/316/343	90	328	6	21	23%	8%	84	+0.3
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	47→42	47→50	62→55	52	231/311/376	145	274	13	24	21%	9%	95	+1.4	218/293/352	134	280	12	14	25%	8%	81	+0.4	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
●Fernando Perez 2006 · A	23	51→61	39→45	60	48	244/296/340	96	295	6	27	19%	7%	77	+0.1	258/322/357	99	358	6	26	27%	8%	93	+1.3	264/332/366	102	379	6	30	29%	9%	95	+1.3
✕John Raynor 2008 · A	24	54→57	46→45	61→60	47	260/329/398	138	338	12	28	25%	8%	108	+2.3	239/302/355	116	330	10	27	29%	7%	85	+0.7	231/295/337	105	322	9	28	29%	7%	75	+0.0
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→48	51→55	58→55	37	235/272/402	167	295	18	19	27%	4%	85	+0.7	240/277/395	155	301	17	23	26%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	47→48	49→55	57→55	45	236/289/395	160	287	15	16	24%	7%	90	+1.0	235/296/383	148	288	14	17	23%	8%	90	+1.0	234/299/385	150	285	15	17	23%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	44→50	43→50	57→55	44	214/268/338	124	268	9	16	23%	6%	66	-0.6	212/284/333	121	266	12	24	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	44	47→50	58→50	45	221/288/362	141	302	14	18	31%	8%	81	+0.4	208/272/332	124	270	14	11	27%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Leo German 2017 · AAA	24	49→58	43→45	61→55	39	238/281/356	118	304	10	28	25%	4%	76	+0.1	265/300/351	86	350	7	22	25%	4%	82	+0.5	285/319/366	81	368	7	19	24%	4%	90	+0.7
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	51→54	46→55	56→55	42	250/295/384	134	308	13	18	23%	5%	89	+1.0	212/250/308	96	284	9	15	28%	4%	50	-1.7	247/291/402	155	310	17	21	25%	5%	90	+0.6
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	47→54	44→50	61→55	44	226/282/354	129	300	9	28	27%	7%	76	+0.1	240/293/376	136	286	14	16	21%	7%	86	+0.8	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Ryan Cordell 2015 · A	23	53→42	48→50	57→50	44	260/313/409	149	326	14	16	24%	6%	103	+1.9	224/270/373	149	289	17	14	28%	5%	76	+0.1	209/256/360	150	267	18	14	29%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→49	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	68	-0.5	217/268/352	135	313	11	15	33%	4%	70	-0.3	226/288/398	173	303	17	15	30%	6%	89	+0.8
✕Mason Auer 2023 · A	22	46	46→45	63→60	42	228/288/361	133	305	13	29	29%	7%	81	+0.4	187/243/297	110	292	10	31	37%	6%	46	-2.0	158/215/259	101	256	10	37	40%	5%	21	-2.6
✕Shawn Payne 2013 · A	24	56→60	41→45	64→55	53	264/342/371	107	317	6	30	18%	9%	105	+2.1	219/289/324	105	289	8	20	25%	8%	72	-0.2	199/271/302	103	268	7	19	27%	8%	57	-0.9
✕Eugenio Velez 2007 · A	25	52→58	47→50	66→65	40	256/292/416	160	311	12	29	22%	4%	96	+1.5	259/297/382	123	317	7	36	20%	5%	89	+0.9	265/316/392	127	329	10	34	22%	6%	96	+1.1
✕Dru Baker 2023 · A	23	50→56	44→40	57→60	44	238/302/356	119	333	12	24	31%	8%	85	+0.7	237/290/323	86	341	7	32	31%	6%	71	-0.3	231/281/299	68	334	5	31	31%	5%	57	-0.7
✕John Shelby 2009 · A	23	48→52	48→55	56→55	38	239/271/394	155	299	14	18	25%	4%	82	+0.5	220/259/367	147	281	15	18	27%	5%	70	-0.3	209/250/361	152	263	16	17	27%	4%	61	-0.7