Jacob HumphreyOF
Spokane Indians
Age 23
R/R
5'10" / 180 lbs
A+
HR +30%H +12%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION251 act + 167 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†89
AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .296 / .368
PA167
HR4
SB9
K%25
BB%6
BABIP295
ISO131
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 48
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 39 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 289 | 242 | 532 | 61 | 286 | 31 | 13 | 232 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 395 | 300 | 695 | 67 | 318 | 21 | 21 | 325 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| YTD | 23 | A+ | COL | — | 251 | 227 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 256 | 313 | 392 | 705 | 137 | 315 | 24 | 5 | 297 | 85 | -4 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.5 |
| YTD | 23 | A+ | COL | — | 251 | 218 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 42 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 307 | 386 | 477 | 863 | 170 | 349 | 17 | 9 | 377 | 147 | +13 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 2.3 |
| ROS | 23 | A+ | COL | 0% | 167 | 152 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 296 | 368 | 664 | 131 | 300 | 25 | 6 | 302 | 89 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | COL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 323 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 | |||||
| FULL | 23 | A+ | COL | — | 252 | 228 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 254 | 312 | 390 | 702 | 136 | 313 | 23 | 5 | 297 | 86 | -4 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.5 |
| TOT | 23 | A+ | COL | — | 418 | 379 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 100 | 9 | 34 | 6 | 248 | 306 | 382 | 689 | 134 | 307 | 24 | 5 | 299 | 87 | -6 | +4 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 30% | 313 | 286 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 75 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 241 | 300 | 381 | 681 | 140 | 298 | 24 | 6 | 303 | 90 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | COL | 44% | 372 | 339 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 89 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 245 | 306 | 389 | 696 | 145 | 298 | 24 | 7 | 306 | 92 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | COL | 51% | 408 | 371 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 97 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 243 | 306 | 385 | 692 | 143 | 297 | 24 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | COL | 52% | 419 | 381 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 100 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 239 | 303 | 378 | 681 | 139 | 297 | 24 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 30% | 95 | 88 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 261 | 316 | 432 | 748 | 170 | 321 | 24 | 6 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | COL | 44% | 165 | 151 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 258 | 317 | 417 | 734 | 159 | 320 | 24 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +0 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | COL | 51% | 207 | 188 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 261 | 322 | 415 | 737 | 154 | 320 | 24 | 7 | 321 | 104 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | COL | 52% | 220 | 200 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 265 | 326 | 430 | 756 | 165 | 320 | 24 | 7 | 321 | 104 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | — | 688 | 628 | 164 | 30 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 163 | 9 | 24 | 4 | 261 | 321 | 422 | 743 | 161 | 320 | 24 | 7 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +19 | 2.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 593 | 155 | 28 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 154 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 261 | 321 | 423 | 744 | 162 | 320 | 24 | 7 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 2.0 | ||
| Career | — | — | 1718 | 1562 | 375 | 67 | 9 | 44 | 117 | 414 | 24 | 64 | 13 | 240 | 303 | 379 | 682 | 139 | 297 | 24 | 7 | 304 | 91 | -17 | +8 | +0 | -10 | +49 | 2.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 591 | 141 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 157 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 239 | 301 | 377 | 678 | 139 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 304 | 91 | -7 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 395 | 300 | 695 | 67 | 318 | 21 | 21 | 325 | 107 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
| PLAYER · career totals + /162 games | YRS | PA | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | POS | FLD | WAR | JAWS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA | 5 | 1,744 | 41 | 11 | 247 | 305 | 396 | -6 | +8 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| /162 | 664 | 16 | 4 | -2.1 | +3.0 | 1.5 | pk7: 4 | ||||
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA | 6 | 2,347 | 46 | 31 | 241 | 304 | 367 | -5 | +7 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| /162 | 664 | 13 | 9 | -1.3 | +1.9 | 1.1 | pk7: 4 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,834 PA | 7 | 1,834 | 47 | 74 | 256 | 296 | 415 | -6 | -6 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| /162 | 664 | 17 | 27 | -2.3 | -2.2 | 1.3 | pk7: 4 | ||||
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA | 5 | 1,909 | 28 | 61 | 265 | 308 | 392 | -9 | -3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| /162 | 664 | 10 | 21 | -3.0 | -1.2 | 1.2 | pk7: 3 | ||||
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA | 5 | 1,914 | 29 | 78 | 242 | 303 | 347 | -6 | +6 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 10 | 27 | -2.0 | +2.2 | 1.0 | pk7: 3 | ||||
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA | 6 | 1,785 | 25 | 43 | 256 | 298 | 370 | -8 | +2 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| /162 | 664 | 9 | 16 | -3.1 | +0.6 | 0.5 | pk7: 1 | ||||
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons | 2 | 687 | 18 | 24 | 243 | 302 | 387 | -4 | +0 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| /162 | 664 | 17 | 23 | -4.0 | +0.0 | 1.2 | pk7: 1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jacob Humphrey (OGILVIE) | 23 | 48→53 | 43→48 | 68→73 | 44 | 248/306/382 | 134 | 307 | 10 | 34 | 24% | 5% | 87 | +0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Peter Bourjos 2010 · AA |
23 | 51→56 | 42→50 | 62→60 | 42 | 245/287/363 | 119 | 304 | 8 | 28 | 22% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | 243/292/385 | 142 | 299 | 12 | 24 | 22% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | 250/310/389 | 140 | 318 | 12 | 18 | 24% | 6% | 95 | +0.8 |
|
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A |
24 | 49→53 | 42→45 | 60→55 | 48 | 238/296/355 | 118 | 285 | 8 | 21 | 19% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | 249/310/347 | 98 | 316 | 7 | 20 | 22% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | 253/316/343 | 90 | 328 | 6 | 21 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A |
24 | 47→42 | 47→50 | 62→55 | 52 | 231/311/376 | 145 | 274 | 13 | 24 | 21% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | 218/293/352 | 134 | 280 | 12 | 14 | 25% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | 210/282/335 | 125 | 290 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
●Fernando Perez 2006 · A |
23 | 51→61 | 39→45 | 60 | 48 | 244/296/340 | 96 | 295 | 6 | 27 | 19% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | 258/322/357 | 99 | 358 | 6 | 26 | 27% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | 264/332/366 | 102 | 379 | 6 | 30 | 29% | 9% | 95 | +1.3 |
|
✕John Raynor 2008 · A |
24 | 54→57 | 46→45 | 61→60 | 47 | 260/329/398 | 138 | 338 | 12 | 28 | 25% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 | 239/302/355 | 116 | 330 | 10 | 27 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | 231/295/337 | 105 | 322 | 9 | 28 | 29% | 7% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA |
23 | 40→50 | 51→55 | 59→55 | 46 | 204/291/370 | 166 | 288 | 19 | 24 | 34% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | 246/324/427 | 181 | 328 | 21 | 21 | 29% | 9% | 113 | +2.6 | 236/320/399 | 164 | 307 | 19 | 21 | 28% | 10% | 103 | +1.6 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA |
22 | 46→48 | 51→55 | 58→55 | 37 | 235/272/402 | 167 | 295 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | 240/277/395 | 155 | 301 | 17 | 23 | 26% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | 247/287/396 | 150 | 298 | 15 | 20 | 22% | 4% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA |
23 | 47→48 | 49→55 | 57→55 | 45 | 236/289/395 | 160 | 287 | 15 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | 235/296/383 | 148 | 288 | 14 | 17 | 23% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | 234/299/385 | 150 | 285 | 15 | 17 | 23% | 8% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A |
23 | 44→50 | 43→50 | 57→55 | 44 | 214/268/338 | 124 | 268 | 9 | 16 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | 212/284/333 | 121 | 266 | 12 | 24 | 24% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | 232/296/372 | 140 | 294 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A |
23 | 44 | 47→50 | 58→50 | 45 | 221/288/362 | 141 | 302 | 14 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | 208/272/332 | 124 | 270 | 14 | 11 | 27% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | 216/281/385 | 169 | 263 | 20 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Leo German 2017 · AAA |
24 | 49→58 | 43→45 | 61→55 | 39 | 238/281/356 | 118 | 304 | 10 | 28 | 25% | 4% | 76 | +0.1 | 265/300/351 | 86 | 350 | 7 | 22 | 25% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | 285/319/366 | 81 | 368 | 7 | 19 | 24% | 4% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A |
24 | 51→54 | 46→55 | 56→55 | 42 | 250/295/384 | 134 | 308 | 13 | 18 | 23% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | 212/250/308 | 96 | 284 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | 247/291/402 | 155 | 310 | 17 | 21 | 25% | 5% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA |
21 | 47→54 | 44→50 | 61→55 | 44 | 226/282/354 | 129 | 300 | 9 | 28 | 27% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | 240/293/376 | 136 | 286 | 14 | 16 | 21% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | 254/312/374 | 120 | 299 | 11 | 11 | 18% | 7% | 92 | +1.0 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2015 · A |
23 | 53→42 | 48→50 | 57→50 | 44 | 260/313/409 | 149 | 326 | 14 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 103 | +1.9 | 224/270/373 | 149 | 289 | 17 | 14 | 28% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | 209/256/360 | 150 | 267 | 18 | 14 | 29% | 5% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A |
22 | 43→49 | 46→55 | 58→50 | 35 | 215/264/350 | 135 | 301 | 13 | 18 | 32% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | 217/268/352 | 135 | 313 | 11 | 15 | 33% | 4% | 70 | -0.3 | 226/288/398 | 173 | 303 | 17 | 15 | 30% | 6% | 89 | +0.8 |
|
✕Mason Auer 2023 · A |
22 | 46 | 46→45 | 63→60 | 42 | 228/288/361 | 133 | 305 | 13 | 29 | 29% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | 187/243/297 | 110 | 292 | 10 | 31 | 37% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | 158/215/259 | 101 | 256 | 10 | 37 | 40% | 5% | 21 | -2.6 |
|
✕Shawn Payne 2013 · A |
24 | 56→60 | 41→45 | 64→55 | 53 | 264/342/371 | 107 | 317 | 6 | 30 | 18% | 9% | 105 | +2.1 | 219/289/324 | 105 | 289 | 8 | 20 | 25% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | 199/271/302 | 103 | 268 | 7 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 57 | -0.9 |
|
✕Eugenio Velez 2007 · A |
25 | 52→58 | 47→50 | 66→65 | 40 | 256/292/416 | 160 | 311 | 12 | 29 | 22% | 4% | 96 | +1.5 | 259/297/382 | 123 | 317 | 7 | 36 | 20% | 5% | 89 | +0.9 | 265/316/392 | 127 | 329 | 10 | 34 | 22% | 6% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕Dru Baker 2023 · A |
23 | 50→56 | 44→40 | 57→60 | 44 | 238/302/356 | 119 | 333 | 12 | 24 | 31% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | 237/290/323 | 86 | 341 | 7 | 32 | 31% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | 231/281/299 | 68 | 334 | 5 | 31 | 31% | 5% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕John Shelby 2009 · A |
23 | 48→52 | 48→55 | 56→55 | 38 | 239/271/394 | 155 | 299 | 14 | 18 | 25% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | 220/259/367 | 147 | 281 | 15 | 18 | 27% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | 209/250/361 | 152 | 263 | 16 | 17 | 27% | 4% | 61 | -0.7 |