Austin Strickland

P Eugene Emeralds

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 230 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	30	0	49	4.56	3.38	22.1%	11.1%	—	K 16.7% · BB 12.8% · FIP 4.21
2025	23	A+SF	36	1	61	4.45	3.73	25.4%	11.7%	—	K 19.6% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.80
2026	24	A+SF	24	0	34	8.65	5.78	20.0%	18.3%	—	K 15.4% · BB 21.1% · FIP 6.38
2027PROJ	25	MLBSF	57	0	60	5.95	5.95	17.0%	17.7%	-0.9
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBSF	25	0	26	5.76	5.75	18.1%	16.8%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBSF	35	0	37	5.67	5.68	18.4%	16.3%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control35Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHaden Erbe (age 25) · Jeff Ames (age 25) · Andrew McInvale (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.95

FIP5.95

K%17.0%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%-0.7%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	49	226	50	25	3	0%	1.6	16.7%	12.8%	3.9%	1.6%	4.56	4.21	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	49	226	50	25	3	0%	1.6	16.7%	12.8%	3.9%	1.6%	4.56	4.21	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	49	226	50	25	3	0%	1.6	22.1%	11.1%	11.1%	1.3%	4.56	3.38	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	36	1	61	256	65	30	6	3%	1.7	19.6%	13.5%	6.1%	3.0%	4.45	4.80	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	36	1	61	256	65	30	6	3%	1.7	19.6%	13.5%	6.1%	3.0%	4.45	4.80	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	36	1	61	256	65	30	6	3%	1.7	25.4%	11.7%	13.7%	2.3%	4.45	3.73	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	24	0	34	180	36	33	5	0%	1.4	15.4%	21.1%	-5.7%	3.5%	8.65	6.38	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	24	0	34	180	36	33	5	0%	1.4	15.4%	21.1%	-5.7%	3.5%	8.65	6.38	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	24	0	34	180	36	33	5	0%	1.4	20.0%	18.3%	1.7%	2.8%	8.65	5.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SF	57	0	60	253	43	45	8	0%	1.1	17.0%	17.7%	-0.7%	3.0%	5.95	5.95	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	57	0	60	251	45	42	8	0%	1.0	18.1%	16.8%	1.3%	3.0%	5.76	5.75	-0.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	56	0	59	247	46	40	8	0%	1.0	18.4%	16.3%	2.1%	3.1%	5.67	5.68	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	25	0	26	110	20	18	3	0%	1.0	18.1%	16.8%	1.3%	3.0%	5.76	5.75	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	35	0	37	156	29	25	5	0%	1.1	18.4%	16.3%	2.1%	3.1%	5.67	5.68	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	48	44	8	0%	1.1	18.3%	16.5%	1.8%	3.1%	5.71	5.32	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	141	26	0%	1.1	18.3%	16.5%	1.8%	3.1%	5.71	5.32	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		90	1	144	662	116	101	18	1%	1.6	17.5%	15.3%	2.1%	2.7%	5.49	5.03	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	1	200	917	160	141	24	1%	1.6	17.5%	15.3%	2.1%	2.7%	5.49	5.03	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Strickland (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.95	17.0%	17.7%	3.0%	—	5.72	18.3%	1.7%	118	-0.23	—	—	—
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	86
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	86
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	85
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	85
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	84
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	84
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	84
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	84
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	83
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	83
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	83
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	82
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	82
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	82
Livan Reinoso R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.1%	17.7%	1.5%	.229	5.67	16.1%	-2.1%	99	+0.77	4.36	219	81
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	81
Miguel Rosario R 2017 · 4.83 FIP	24	SU	4.83	16.4%	18.6%	1.4%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	197	81
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	81
Hunter Breault R 2024 · 5.98 FIP	25	SU	5.98	17.1%	17.6%	3.8%	.336	5.59	7.6%	-3.2%	45	-0.39	2.90	186	81
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	17.8%	16.9%	1.18	5.79
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*