Saul Siri — OGILVIE

Saul Siri P DSL Cubs Red

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.68

FIP5.68

K%20.9%

BB%18.5%

K-BB%2.4%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	15	4	17	111	9	36	2	27%	1.1	5.5%	40.5%	-35.0%	2.5%	14.04	9.15	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	15	4	17	111	9	36	2	27%	1.1	8.1%	32.4%	-24.3%	1.8%	14.04	10.06	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	1	30	132	29	17	1	8%	2.5	14.9%	16.1%	-1.2%	1.2%	5.34	4.52	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	1	30	132	29	17	1	8%	2.5	14.9%	16.1%	-1.2%	1.2%	5.34	4.52	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	12	1	30	132	29	17	1	8%	2.5	22.0%	12.9%	9.1%	0.8%	5.34	3.30	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	11	2	26	143	29	29	1	18%	2.4	13.8%	25.3%	-11.6%	1.1%	9.91	5.76	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	11	2	26	143	29	29	1	18%	2.4	13.8%	25.3%	-11.6%	1.1%	9.91	5.76	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	11	2	26	143	29	29	1	18%	2.4	20.3%	20.3%	0.0%	0.7%	9.91	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CHC	15	0	16	68	14	12	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	18.5%	2.4%	3.0%	5.68	5.68	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	23	0	25	104	23	16	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	15.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	5.21	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	11	0	12	51	11	8	1	0%	1.1	21.8%	15.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	11	8	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	15.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	4.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	132	17	0%	1.1	21.8%	15.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		38	7	73	386	46	102	6	18%	1.9	11.8%	26.6%	-14.8%	1.5%	8.96	6.31	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	19	200	1053	124	280	16	18%	1.9	11.8%	26.6%	-14.8%	1.5%	8.96	6.31	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Saul Siri (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.68	20.9%	18.5%	3.0%	—	5.21	21.8%	6.2%	25	-0.47	—	—	—
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	84
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	83
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	83
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	83
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	83
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	82
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	82
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	82
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	82
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	81
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	81
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	81
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	80
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	80
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	80
Connor Walsh R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	22	SU	4.76	23.3%	20.7%	1.8%	.288	3.98	21.3%	6.8%	151	-0.78	3.36	266	80
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	80
Junior Montero R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	18.5%	15.8%	1.8%	.319	5.31	20.2%	-3.7%	32	+0.77	4.54	100	79