Carson Rucker

3B Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ADET	429	.235/.307/.295	1	11	31	—	.182/.244/.228
2026	21	A+DET	71	.217/.338/.433	4	1	65	—	.175/.268/.333
2026	21	ADET	324	.260/.388/.430	11	16	64	—	.189/.288/.310
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBDET	505	.196/.273/.289	8	10	61	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBDET	151	.197/.276/.297	3	3	66	-0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBDET	225	.201/.280/.306	4	4	70	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO79

BB%71

wRC+58

wOBA51

Speed39

Z-Con%38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBraulio Vasquez (age 22) · D' Vontrey Richardson (age 23) · Glenn Santiago (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .271 / .286

PA320

HR5

SB6

K%36

BB%8

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	41	33	8	1	0	1	6	9	2	4	1	242	390	364	754	121	304	22	15	352	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	16	13	5	4	0	0	0	5	2	1	1	385	438	692	1.130	308	625	31	0	469	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	387	91	14	3	1	30	104	10	11	3	235	307	295	601	59	317	24	7	278	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	71	60	13	1	0	4	10	20	1	1	0	217	338	433	771	217	250	28	14	346	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	324	265	69	8	2	11	50	113	5	16	2	260	388	430	818	170	400	35	15	365	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	41	35	7	1	0	1	4	13	2	4	1	200	317	314	631	114	248	32	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	16	14	4	3	0	0	0	7	2	1	1	286	375	500	875	214	468	44	0	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	395	72	11	2	1	22	142	10	11	3	182	244	228	471	46	277	33	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	71	63	11	1	0	3	7	25	1	1	0	175	268	333	601	159	225	35	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	324	281	53	6	2	8	34	154	5	16	2	189	287	310	597	121	347	48	10	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	41	35	7	1	0	1	4	13	2	4	1	200	317	314	631	114	286	32	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	41	33	8	1	0	1	6	9	2	4	1	242	390	364	754	121	304	22	15	352	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	16	14	4	3	0	0	0	7	2	1	1	286	375	500	875	214	571	44	0	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	16	13	5	4	0	0	0	5	2	1	1	385	438	692	1.130	308	625	31	0	469	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	395	72	11	2	1	22	142	10	11	3	182	244	228	471	46	280	33	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	387	91	14	3	1	30	104	10	11	3	235	307	295	601	59	317	24	7	278	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	395	343	63	6	2	11	42	179	6	17	2	184	284	309	593	125	331	45	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	395	325	82	9	2	15	60	133	6	17	2	252	379	431	809	178	370	34	15	362	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	41	35	7	1	0	1	4	13	2	4	1	200	317	314	631	114	248	32	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	16	14	4	3	0	0	0	7	2	1	1	286	375	500	875	214	468	44	0	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	394	72	11	2	1	22	142	10	11	3	183	244	228	472	46	277	33	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	395	344	63	6	2	11	42	179	6	17	2	183	284	308	592	125	325	45	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	16	14	4	3	0	0	0	7	2	1	1	286	375	500	875	214	468	44	0	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	394	72	11	2	1	22	142	10	11	3	183	244	228	472	46	277	33	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	395	344	63	6	2	11	42	179	6	17	2	183	284	308	592	125	325	45	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	DET	0%	505	452	88	13	2	8	41	182	7	10	2	196	273	289	562	93	302	36	8	258	61	-24	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	DET	34%	439	394	79	12	2	8	36	154	6	9	2	201	279	304	582	103	302	35	8	266	66	-18	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	DET	46%	488	437	90	14	2	10	41	167	7	10	2	205	283	314	596	109	302	34	8	272	70	-17	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	DET	52%	515	460	96	15	2	11	43	173	7	10	2	207	285	320	606	113	302	34	8	275	73	-17	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	DET	54%	530	473	99	16	2	11	45	175	7	10	2	209	287	324	611	115	301	33	8	278	74	-16	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	DET	54%	535	478	100	16	2	12	45	174	7	10	2	210	288	326	613	116	299	33	8	278	75	-16	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	DET	54%	534	477	99	16	2	11	45	175	7	8	2	208	286	321	606	113	298	33	8	276	73	-17	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	DET	58%	526	470	97	15	2	11	44	174	7	6	1	205	283	314	597	109	296	33	8	272	70	-19	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	DET	34%	151	136	27	4	1	3	12	53	2	3	1	197	276	297	572	99	297	35	8	262	66	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	DET	46%	225	201	40	6	1	4	19	77	3	4	1	201	280	306	586	105	297	34	8	268	70	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	DET	52%	266	238	47	7	1	5	22	89	4	5	1	204	282	313	595	109	297	33	8	271	73	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	DET	54%	287	257	52	8	1	6	24	95	4	5	1	205	284	317	600	111	296	33	8	273	74	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	DET	54%	290	259	53	8	1	6	25	95	4	5	1	206	284	318	602	112	295	33	9	274	75	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	DET	54%	290	259	53	8	1	6	25	95	4	4	1	204	282	313	595	109	293	33	9	271	73	-9	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	DET	58%	303	271	55	9	1	6	25	100	4	3	1	202	279	307	586	105	291	33	8	267	70	-11	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1812	1621	327	50	7	36	152	604	25	29	7	202	280	308	588	106	294	33	8	270	67	-61	+3	-1	+6	+39	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	118	18	3	13	55	217	9	10	3	203	282	312	594	108	297	33	8	270	67	-22	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4768	4262	861	133	19	92	393	1648	73	102	21	202	281	307	588	105	302	35	8	267	67	-136	+8	-2	+14	+84	-3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	118	18	3	13	54	225	10	14	3	203	283	312	594	108	303	35	8	267	67	-23	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Ray Mack'38-'47 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,016 PA	4.5	3,016	34	35	223*	288*	357*	+11	-7	1.7	2.7
/162	664	7	8	+2.4	-1.5	0.4	pk7: 4
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,133	43	37	206	281	315	+8	+2	-0.4	-0.1
/162	664	13	12	+2.4	+0.8	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Rucker (OGILVIE)	22	35	20	45	25	194/271/286	92	302	5	6	36%	8%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	42	39→40	44→65	38	197/260/278	81	313	6	7	37%	6%	53	-2.1	207/282/301	94	302	7	30	31%	8%	68	-1.0	200/280/292	92	287	6	42	30%	8%	62	-0.6
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2011 · A	23	41→39	40	45→50	36	194/252/290	96	313	6	10	38%	6%	53	-2.1	230/275/320	90	330	5	11	30%	5%	68	-1.0	247/286/334	87	321	4	16	24%	4%	71	-0.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Victor Duarte 2023 · A	22	42	41→30	48→45	37	198/265/297	99	310	9	5	37%	6%	60	-1.6	198/267/273	75	277	5	8	28%	7%	55	-1.9	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	200/262/271	71	316	5	10	36%	7%	52	-2.2	221/289/285	64	313	3	15	28%	8%	66	-1.1	229/310/271	42	311	2	22	24%	10%	67	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40	50	39	212/268/307	95	312	8	8	33%	6%	63	-1.4	203/292/311	108	294	11	12	32%	9%	74	-0.5	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Raymundo Torres 2016 · A	22	44	39→40	52→45	37	202/261/291	89	329	5	8	38%	7%	57	-1.8	214/280/296	82	334	6	4	34%	8%	65	-1.2	212/282/287	76	320	6	1	33%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→45	44→50	40	196/266/309	113	300	11	8	37%	7%	63	-1.3	198/282/315	117	299	12	10	35%	9%	72	-0.7	182/278/312	130	266	15	9	35%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2024 · A	22	43	39→40	46→50	42	204/276/282	78	311	7	12	34%	8%	61	-1.5	181/255/258	77	284	8	14	36%	8%	48	-2.5	149/229/215	66	236	7	16	37%	8%	27	-2.4
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	299	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	213/274/306	93	302	8	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Will Verdung 2024 · A	21	45→40	38→30	45→50	40	211/271/287	76	321	6	9	34%	7%	59	-1.6	202/278/262	60	280	3	10	26%	9%	57	-1.8	198/276/253	55	267	3	11	25%	9%	53	-1.3
✕Nick Sinay 2016 · A	22	44	38→30	47→60	44	205/291/283	78	296	5	10	30%	8%	68	-1.0	200/316/255	55	279	3	22	27%	8%	73	-0.6	184/317/219	35	263	2	30	26%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	39→36	40	49→55	34	191/235/284	93	286	8	9	35%	4%	45	-2.7	178/229/269	91	272	8	12	36%	5%	40	-3.1	151/206/232	81	230	8	13	37%	5%	21	-2.3
✕Cadyn Grenier 2019 · A	22	41→38	39→40	48→50	36	192/247/284	92	313	5	8	38%	6%	49	-2.4	192/263/290	98	321	8	8	39%	8%	58	-1.7	178/263/269	91	284	7	11	36%	9%	52	-1.6
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	38	39→30	50	33	174/249/260	86	319	6	12	44%	6%	46	-2.6	189/260/282	93	359	7	9	46%	6%	55	-1.9	135/216/233	98	294	10	9	53%	6%	31	-0.8
✕Randy César 2017 · A	22	38→48	40	45→40	35	188/229/270	82	284	8	3	36%	5%	39	-3.1	230/272/320	90	342	8	4	33%	5%	67	-1.1	237/283/328	91	347	8	2	32%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Jack Payton 2024 · A	22	45	40→45	51→45	38	216/272/307	91	306	8	9	31%	5%	65	-1.2	213/291/319	106	300	9	6	30%	8%	75	-0.5	211/289/318	107	294	9	6	29%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Ryan Dent 2011 · A	22	40→44	40	45→50	38	196/251/288	92	289	7	10	33%	6%	52	-2.2	204/258/278	74	286	6	11	29%	6%	52	-2.2	206/260/261	55	282	5	13	27%	6%	46	-1.1

Carson Rucker

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps