Jayden Lobliner — OGILVIE

Jayden LoblinerC Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 23 R/R A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .240 / .304

PA72

HR2

K%40

BB%6

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	54	50	11	0	0	4	3	24	1	1	0	220	278	460	738	240	318	44	6	324	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	54	51	7	0	0	2	2	33	1	1	0	137	185	255	440	118	282	61	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	54	51	7	0	0	2	2	33	1	1	0	137	185	255	440	118	312	61	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	54	50	11	0	0	4	3	24	1	1	0	220	278	460	738	240	318	44	6	324	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	54	51	7	0	0	2	2	33	1	1	0	137	185	255	440	118	282	61	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	54	51	7	0	0	2	2	33	1	1	0	137	185	255	440	118	282	61	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	0%	164	152	28	3	1	4	9	66	2	2	1	187	242	307	549	120	291	40	5	247	53	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	STL	30%	164	151	29	4	1	4	10	65	2	2	1	190	247	313	560	123	292	40	6	252	56	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	STL	44%	264	243	46	6	1	7	16	102	3	4	1	193	251	319	569	125	292	39	6	255	59	-13	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	STL	51%	334	307	60	8	2	9	20	126	4	5	1	196	254	323	577	127	291	38	6	259	61	-15	+1	+0	+6	+7	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	STL	52%	371	341	67	9	2	10	23	138	4	5	1	197	256	324	581	127	291	37	6	260	62	-17	+1	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	STL	53%	393	361	72	10	2	11	25	144	4	4	1	198	257	324	581	126	290	37	6	261	63	-17	+0	-1	+7	+9	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	STL	30%	49	45	8	1	0	1	3	19	1	1	0	190	246	307	553	118	293	39	6	249	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	STL	44%	117	108	21	3	1	3	7	45	1	2	0	192	250	313	562	120	293	38	6	253	59	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	STL	51%	169	155	30	4	1	4	10	64	2	2	1	195	253	317	570	122	292	38	6	256	61	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	STL	52%	194	178	35	5	1	5	12	72	2	2	1	196	256	318	574	122	292	37	6	258	62	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	STL	53%	209	192	38	6	1	5	13	76	2	2	1	197	257	318	575	121	291	36	6	258	63	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	738	678	132	19	4	18	45	276	8	9	3	195	253	314	567	119	294	37	6	256	59	-34	+1	-0	+13	+16	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	117	17	4	16	40	243	7	8	3	196	255	318	573	122	295	37	6	256	59	-30	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1652	1521	294	39	8	45	100	637	19	22	5	193	252	318	570	125	294	39	6	256	59	-75	+2	-1	+29	+35	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	115	15	3	18	39	251	7	9	2	192	250	318	567	125	292	39	6	256	59	-30	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	811	22	10	196	251	322	+14	+12	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	18	8	+11.9	+9.8	-0.0	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jayden Lobliner (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	185/240/304	119	291	2	1	40%	6%	53	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Jerez 2021 · A	23	34	47→60	48→40	37	177/247/307	129	278	16	5	40%	7%	56	-1.9	186/256/310	124	307	13	5	41%	7%	60	-1.6	121/202/249	128	189	16	0	44%	7%	26	-1.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2021 · A	23	37→30	47→50	49→50	36	192/243/327	135	288	16	10	38%	6%	59	-1.7	172/230/269	97	354	10	9	50%	6%	40	-3.0	117/179/189	72	264	8	7	56%	6%	3	-3.2
✕Adam Zebrowski 2024 · A	23	35→33	46→50	49→40	41	182/255/306	124	272	14	3	37%	8%	59	-1.6	191/245/316	125	282	16	4	37%	6%	57	-1.8	186/237/319	133	265	18	2	36%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Sammy Infante 2023 · A	22	33→26	45	48→55	36	171/240/293	122	282	14	10	42%	7%	51	-2.3	190/256/283	93	303	8	16	37%	7%	54	-2.0	180/250/254	74	287	5	20	36%	6%	43	-1.3
✕James Parker 2023 · A	23	38→28	43→50	50→45	37	187/247/298	110	305	10	7	40%	7%	53	-2.1	188/259/319	131	341	15	7	45%	8%	63	-1.4	151/235/301	150	278	21	4	50%	10%	48	-1.2
✕Jair Camargo 2022 · A	23	40	46→50	46→45	28	192/234/311	119	339	15	6	46%	4%	51	-2.2	205/251/354	149	322	21	6	41%	5%	68	-1.0	195/245/345	150	289	21	4	39%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→33	43→50	47→50	32	184/226/296	112	275	11	13	37%	4%	45	-2.7	192/238/311	119	300	12	12	38%	5%	53	-2.1	186/235/335	149	266	18	12	36%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Jan Hernandez 2018 · A	23	39	48→50	44→45	33	195/247/333	138	315	17	5	42%	5%	61	-1.5	214/271/354	140	348	17	7	41%	6%	76	-0.4	214/273/355	140	344	19	6	41%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Felix Stevens 2022 · A	23	40→36	45→50	47→45	33	195/252/323	128	320	13	6	41%	6%	61	-1.5	189/253/335	146	321	18	4	44%	7%	65	-1.2	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Michael Pericht 2011 · A	23	38	44→50	46→40	33	186/254/301	115	300	13	4	40%	5%	57	-1.8	197/258/325	128	320	15	3	41%	5%	65	-1.2	183/247/319	136	298	17	2	42%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Matt Arburr 2009 · A	23	34→27	48→50	50→45	33	173/232/307	134	311	18	5	48%	7%	51	-2.3	182/240/318	136	359	18	6	51%	7%	55	-1.9	113/171/252	139	222	23	2	59%	6%	13	-1.5
✕Sean Roby 2021 · A	23	42→32	43→55	48→30	36	205/253/319	114	313	11	5	37%	6%	60	-1.6	190/249/349	159	303	21	3	42%	7%	67	-1.1	167/218/321	154	256	24	1	44%	6%	46	-1.1
✕Dylan Busby 2019 · A	23	40→22	46→50	49→40	35	197/256/325	128	315	13	8	40%	6%	63	-1.3	179/253/320	141	336	16	5	48%	7%	61	-1.5	135/222/283	147	254	19	2	51%	8%	40	-2.2
✕Chris Hudgins 2019 · A	23	39	44→50	49→40	35	195/242/316	121	288	11	3	35%	5%	55	-1.9	197/249/319	122	293	13	4	36%	5%	59	-1.6	171/227/293	123	259	15	2	39%	6%	43	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps