Jack Winnay — OGILVIE

Jack Winnay3B Greenville Drive

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION432 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP284

ISO158

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$42M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$18M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	61	53	17	3	0	1	6	6	1	0	0	321	400	434	834	113	340	10	10	371	137	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	55	14	2	0	1	4	9	1	0	0	255	317	345	662	91	292	15	7	307	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	55	14	2	0	1	4	9	1	0	0	255	317	345	662	91	283	15	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	61	53	17	3	0	1	6	6	1	0	0	321	400	434	834	113	340	10	10	371	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	56	14	2	0	1	4	9	1	0	0	250	317	339	656	89	292	15	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	56	14	2	0	1	4	9	1	0	0	250	317	339	656	89	292	15	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	BOS	—	432	369	79	12	0	14	48	112	13	0	1	214	326	360	686	146	265	26	11	302	90	-5	-0	+0	+2	+9	0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	BOS	—	251	188	48	5	0	11	53	51	8	0	1	255	438	457	895	202	289	20	21	403	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	BOS	—	181	157	42	9	0	6	19	36	5	0	0	268	365	439	804	172	313	20	10	361	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	BOS	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		278	22	11	319	102	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	BOS	—	441	377	80	12	0	14	49	114	13	0	1	212	323	355	679	143	263	26	11	302	91	-5	-0	+0	+2	+10	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	38%	467	406	94	16	1	15	49	114	9	5	2	232	328	387	714	155	280	24	10	320	103	+2	+0	+0	+2	+10	1.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	497	434	100	17	1	16	51	120	9	7	3	230	324	385	709	154	281	24	10	323	105	+3	+0	+0	+2	+11	1.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	64%	502	436	102	17	1	17	52	121	9	7	3	234	328	394	722	161	282	24	10	324	105	+3	+0	+0	+2	+11	1.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	66%	501	435	101	17	1	17	52	121	9	8	3	232	327	393	720	161	282	24	10	324	105	+3	+0	+0	+2	+11	1.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	67%	497	433	100	17	1	16	52	120	9	8	3	231	326	386	712	155	281	24	10	323	105	+3	+0	-1	+2	+11	1.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	BOS	66%	491	427	99	17	1	16	52	120	9	8	3	232	328	389	717	157	280	24	11	321	103	+2	+0	-1	+2	+11	1.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	483	420	95	16	1	15	51	119	9	7	3	226	323	376	699	150	278	25	11	318	101	+1	+0	-2	+2	+10	1.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	475	414	93	15	1	15	50	119	8	7	3	225	320	374	694	150	276	25	11	314	98	-1	+0	-3	+2	+10	0.9
2035	32	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	467	407	90	15	1	14	49	118	8	7	3	221	317	366	683	145	272	25	10	308	94	-3	+0	-4	+2	+10	0.6
2036	33	MLB MLE	BOS	64%	403	351	76	12	1	12	42	104	7	5	2	217	312	359	671	142	268	26	10	301	90	-5	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.1
2037	34	MLB MLE	BOS	60%	310	270	55	8	0	8	32	82	5	4	2	204	300	322	622	119	262	26	10	292	84	-6	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	38%	177	154	36	6	0	6	18	43	3	2	1	234	326	390	715	156	286	24	10	308	103	+1	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	276	240	57	10	1	9	29	67	5	4	1	237	332	400	732	163	287	24	11	311	105	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.9
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	64%	320	278	66	12	1	10	33	77	6	5	2	237	331	396	727	158	287	24	10	312	105	+2	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	66%	329	286	68	12	1	11	34	79	6	5	2	238	331	402	733	164	287	24	10	313	105	+2	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	67%	332	288	69	12	1	11	35	80	6	5	2	240	334	403	737	163	287	24	11	312	105	+2	+0	-0	+1	+7	1.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	BOS	66%	323	280	66	12	1	10	34	79	6	5	2	236	331	393	724	157	286	24	11	310	103	+1	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.9
2033	30	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	315	273	64	11	1	10	33	78	6	5	2	234	330	392	722	158	284	25	10	307	101	+0	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2034	31	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	308	268	62	11	1	9	32	77	5	5	2	231	325	381	705	149	281	25	10	303	98	-1	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.6
2035	32	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	302	262	58	10	0	9	32	77	5	4	2	221	318	363	680	141	278	25	11	297	94	-2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2036	33	MLB CTX	BOS	64%	260	227	49	8	0	7	27	67	4	3	1	216	310	344	654	128	273	26	10	290	90	-3	+0	-3	+1	+6	0.1
2037	34	MLB CTX	BOS	60%	186	162	34	5	0	5	19	49	3	2	1	210	304	333	638	123	267	26	10	282	84	-4	+0	-3	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3128	2718	629	109	7	97	326	773	55	45	18	231	326	384	710	152	285	25	10	305	100	+0	+2	-12	+11	+68	7.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	130	23	1	20	68	161	11	9	4	230	325	381	705	150	284	25	10	305	100	+0	+0	-3	+2	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5163	4496	1020	169	10	162	537	1269	92	73	30	227	322	377	699	150	278	25	10	316	100	+1	+3	-20	+18	+111	11.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	127	21	1	20	68	160	12	9	4	224	321	371	692	147	275	25	10	316	100	+0	+0	-2	+2	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Mark Bellhornlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,181 PA	3.3	2,181	63	21	233	345	404	+2	+5	10.3	10.3
/162	664	19	6	+0.6	+1.5	3.1	pk7: 10
#4Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,127	99	45	228	320	381	+11	+4	9.6	8.7
/162	664	21	10	+2.4	+0.7	2.0	pk7: 8
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
/162	664	24	7	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Winnay (OGILVIE)	23	45→50	48→53	42→47	63	225/325/376	151	278	5	1	25%	10%	102	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕James Darnell 2010 · A	23	51→52	51→55	45→40	54	254/334/424	170	304	18	6	22%	10%	115	+2.4	246/315/406	160	287	18	4	20%	8%	103	+1.6	242/311/404	161	276	19	2	20%	8%	100	+0.8
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→55	45	50	232/308/392	160	264	21	7	21%	8%	98	+1.2	235/298/411	176	286	24	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	229/284/404	175	286	26	2	29%	6%	91	+0.4
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→48	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	105	+1.7	223/291/376	153	278	17	4	25%	8%	88	+0.4	251/325/430	179	297	23	2	23%	9%	110	+0.8
●Yainer Diaz 2022 · A	23	52→60	48→60	48→40	41	263/296/405	142	309	16	5	21%	4%	96	+1.0	270/304/451	181	308	23	3	20%	4%	110	+2.1	280/313/466	185	314	24	1	19%	4%	114	+1.9
✕Jairo Perez 2012 · A	24	51	49→50	48→50	47	254/312/401	147	297	16	11	20%	7%	101	+1.4	247/305/386	139	285	15	8	18%	6%	95	+1.0	261/297/387	126	291	15	5	16%	2%	91	+0.3
✕Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→56	53→40	48→50	50	250/323/425	175	285	20	12	20%	8%	112	+2.2	247/339/344	97	305	9	12	20%	11%	99	+1.2	256/344/352	96	304	9	11	17%	10%	100	+1.3
✕Kevin Cornelius 2016 · A	23	45	49→65	49→40	47	228/295/372	144	299	17	6	29%	9%	88	+0.5	220/279/379	159	327	19	3	36%	7%	84	+0.1	204/261/378	174	300	22	0	38%	7%	75	-0.2
●Todd Frazier 2009 · A	23	46→52	48→60	46→50	44	231/291/377	146	296	16	8	27%	7%	88	+0.4	227/279/369	142	283	14	11	24%	6%	82	-0.0	244/311/454	210	270	30	14	22%	8%	110	+2.3
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→52	49→55	51→50	45	253/303/401	148	297	17	9	21%	6%	98	+1.2	227/306/381	154	270	16	12	22%	9%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Vinnie Catricala 2012 · AA	23	53→57	51→55	49→45	44	263/319/429	167	315	17	9	22%	6%	111	+2.1	218/267/330	112	273	11	7	24%	5%	68	-1.0	193/239/278	85	243	9	4	24%	5%	43	-2.3
✕Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	41→51	50→55	44→50	52	209/313/362	153	287	18	6	32%	12%	94	+0.9	209/299/374	165	271	20	11	29%	10%	91	+0.7	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
✕Grant Psomas 2006 · A	23	49→50	50	44→45	48	246/311/407	161	315	17	6	27%	8%	102	+1.5	221/280/361	140	291	14	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1	201/262/336	135	267	13	6	29%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Josh Jung 2022 · AAA	24	52→59	52→60	45	43	261/315/432	172	323	20	6	25%	6%	110	+2.1	247/294/431	184	322	24	6	30%	5%	102	+1.5	259/309/396	137	316	16	5	23%	6%	96	+0.7
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	45→49	49→60	47→50	44	227/296/379	152	293	17	12	28%	7%	91	+0.7	233/304/413	180	294	21	11	27%	7%	101	+1.4	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Kenny Holmberg 2006 · A	23	51→47	50	43→40	46	258/311/415	157	301	19	4	21%	7%	104	+1.6	224/301/345	121	277	13	4	23%	9%	84	+0.2	208/298/306	98	259	10	3	22%	10%	74	-0.4
✕Eddy Martinez-Esteve 2006 · A	23	53→60	50→45	46→40	55	263/345/429	165	309	15	5	20%	10%	120	+2.8	248/314/358	110	298	9	4	19%	8%	92	+0.7	273/330/372	100	311	8	2	14%	7%	97	+0.7
●Luis Urías 2020 · MLB	23	49→59	46→55	47→45	49	240/318/375	135	298	13	6	23%	8%	98	+1.2	239/324/394	155	290	17	6	23%	10%	105	+1.7	237/332/395	158	281	19	4	21%	10%	105	+1.1
●David Freitas 2012 · A	23	47→57	45	45→40	51	233/309/354	122	288	13	3	23%	9%	90	+0.6	224/288/342	118	273	12	2	22%	7%	79	-0.2	273/334/387	114	329	10	0	19%	7%	103	+0.8
●Tyler Flowers 2009 · A	23	49→55	49→50	41→40	50	242/318/395	153	311	15	5	26%	10%	102	+1.5	228/316/382	154	319	16	4	31%	10%	99	+1.3	260/361/411	151	335	17	0	25%	10%	120	+1.5
●Max Ramirez 2008 · A	23	51→52	48→50	47→40	51	248/330/391	143	327	15	3	27%	10%	106	+1.8	236/315/374	138	321	15	3	29%	9%	97	+1.1	247/320/382	135	288	14	2	19%	9%	98	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps