Jack Winnay — OGILVIE

Jack Winnay3B Greenville Drive

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs A+ H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION321 act + 214 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†107

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .335 / .391

PA214

HR7

K%25

BB%11

BABIP288

ISO158

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.6	$15M	+$15M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$14M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$9M	+$7M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.7	$7M	+$5M
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$63M	+$54M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	61	55	15	3	0	1	4	9	1	0	0	273	333	382	715	109	304	15	7	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	61	53	17	3	0	1	6	6	1	0	0	321	400	434	834	113	340	10	10	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	BOS	—	321	272	60	6	0	11	38	82	9	0	1	221	335	364	699	143	271	26	12	312	97	-1	-0	+0	+1	+9	0.9
YTD	23	A+	BOS	—	321	252	69	8	0	13	58	62	9	0	1	274	426	460	887	187	313	19	18	398	163	+23	-0	+0	+1	+9	3.3
ROS	23	A+	BOS	0%	214	184	43	6	1	7	24	53	4	2	1	234	335	391	726	158	283	25	11	325	107	+2	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.9
ROS	23	MLB	BOS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						289	0	0	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	A+	BOS	—	322	273	60	6	0	11	38	82	9	0	1	220	334	363	697	143	269	25	12	312	97	-1	-0	+0	+1	+9	0.9
TOT	23	A+	BOS	—	535	456	103	12	1	18	62	135	13	2	2	226	335	375	710	149	278	25	12	317	101	+1	-0	+0	+2	+15	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	BOS	38%	557	481	114	17	2	19	62	138	9	7	3	237	335	399	734	162	287	25	11	328	109	+6	+0	+0	+2	+16	2.4
2028	25	MLB	BOS	55%	572	496	118	18	2	20	62	141	9	8	3	238	333	403	737	165	288	25	11	329	110	+6	+0	+0	+2	+16	2.6
2029	26	MLB	BOS	64%	577	500	120	19	2	20	63	141	9	9	3	240	336	406	742	166	288	24	11	329	110	+7	+1	+0	+2	+16	2.6
2030	27	MLB	BOS	66%	576	499	119	19	2	20	63	141	9	9	4	238	335	405	739	166	288	24	11	329	110	+7	+0	+0	+2	+16	2.6
2031	28	MLB	BOS	67%	571	494	116	18	2	19	63	141	9	9	3	235	332	395	727	160	287	25	11	328	109	+6	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.5
2032	29	MLB	BOS	66%	564	488	115	18	2	19	62	140	9	9	3	236	333	398	730	162	286	25	11	326	108	+5	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.3
2033	30	MLB	BOS	65%	555	480	112	17	2	18	61	139	9	9	3	233	331	390	720	156	285	25	11	323	106	+4	+1	-2	+2	+16	2.0
2034	31	MLB	BOS	65%	546	473	109	17	1	18	60	139	8	8	3	230	327	385	712	154	282	25	11	319	102	+1	+0	-3	+2	+15	1.7
2035	32	MLB	BOS	65%	536	464	105	16	1	17	59	138	8	8	3	226	324	375	699	149	279	26	11	314	98	-1	+0	-4	+2	+15	1.3
2036	33	MLB	BOS	64%	463	402	88	13	1	14	51	122	7	6	2	219	317	361	678	142	274	26	11	307	93	-4	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.7
2027	24	MLB	BOS	38%	211	182	44	7	1	7	23	52	4	3	1	242	340	407	746	165	294	25	11	320	103	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2028	25	MLB	BOS	55%	317	274	67	11	1	11	35	78	5	5	2	245	341	412	753	168	294	25	11	321	104	+1	+0	+0	+1	+9	1.2
2029	26	MLB	BOS	64%	367	318	78	13	1	13	40	90	6	6	2	245	341	415	756	170	294	25	11	322	105	+2	+0	+0	+1	+10	1.4
2030	27	MLB	BOS	66%	378	328	79	13	1	13	41	93	6	6	2	241	336	405	741	165	294	25	11	322	105	+2	+0	+0	+1	+11	1.5
2031	28	MLB	BOS	67%	381	330	79	13	1	13	42	94	6	6	2	239	336	403	739	164	294	25	11	321	104	+2	+0	-0	+1	+11	1.4
2032	29	MLB	BOS	66%	371	321	77	12	1	13	41	92	6	6	2	240	337	405	742	165	293	25	11	319	102	+1	+0	-1	+1	+11	1.2
2033	30	MLB	BOS	65%	361	312	74	12	1	12	40	90	6	6	2	237	335	397	733	160	291	25	11	316	100	+0	+0	-1	+1	+10	1.1
2034	31	MLB	BOS	65%	354	307	71	11	1	11	39	90	5	5	2	231	328	381	709	150	288	25	11	312	97	-1	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.9
2035	32	MLB	BOS	65%	346	300	69	11	1	11	38	89	5	5	2	230	327	383	710	153	285	26	11	306	93	-3	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.6
2036	33	MLB	BOS	64%	298	259	58	9	1	9	33	78	4	4	2	224	321	371	692	147	280	26	11	300	87	-4	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3385	2932	696	112	10	113	372	846	53	52	19	237	334	398	732	161	293	25	11	316	100	+0	+3	-10	+12	+96	10.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	135	22	2	22	71	162	10	10	4	240	335	403	738	163	296	25	11	316	100	+0	+0	-2	+2	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	5792	5016	1174	181	18	192	634	1442	91	84	31	234	331	392	723	158	288	25	11	324	106	+38	+4	-15	+21	+164	21.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	132	20	2	22	71	162	10	9	3	234	330	394	725	160	288	25	11	324	106	+4	+1	-2	+2	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	61	53	17	3	0	1	6	6	1	0	0	321	400	434	834	113	340	10	10	371	142	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#2Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#4Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#5Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	7	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
	/162	664	28	5	239	322	441	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,387	112	51	234	327	392	+12	+3	12.8	11.6
	/162	664	22	10	234	327	392	+2.4	+0.6	2.5	pk7: 10
#6Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Winnay (OGILVIE)	23	47→52	49→54	42→47	64	226/335/375	149	278	18	2	25%	12%	101	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●James Darnell 2010 · A	23	51→53	51→55	45→40	54	254/334/424	170	304	18	6	22%	10%	117	+2.9	251/318/428	177	293	21	4	21%	8%	111	+2.5	247/313/432	185	281	24	2	21%	8%	108	+1.5
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→47	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	106	+2.2	222/289/377	155	277	18	4	26%	8%	86	+0.8	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
●Alec Bohm 2020 · AA	23	47→56	50	46→45	49	239/297/393	153	271	17	6	19%	7%	93	+1.3	258/314/383	125	316	13	6	22%	7%	97	+1.5	270/324/418	148	300	16	4	15%	6%	108	+2.2
●Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	41→51	50→55	44→50	53	208/315/362	154	287	18	6	32%	12%	94	+1.3	214/303/389	175	277	22	11	29%	11%	95	+1.4	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
●Todd Frazier 2009 · A	23	46→51	48→60	46→50	44	231/291/377	146	296	16	8	27%	7%	86	+0.8	229/281/381	152	287	16	11	25%	6%	83	+0.6	243/310/454	211	268	30	14	22%	8%	112	+2.9
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→60	45	49	231/306/395	163	263	22	7	22%	8%	98	+1.6	237/300/420	183	287	26	5	27%	7%	102	+1.9	232/287/415	183	287	28	2	29%	6%	94	+0.9
●Tyler Flowers 2009 · A	23	49→55	49→55	41→40	50	242/318/395	153	311	15	5	26%	10%	102	+1.9	231/320/393	162	321	17	4	31%	10%	103	+1.9	259/360/408	148	335	17	0	25%	10%	121	+1.8
●Elijah Dukes 2008 · MLB	24	47→52	53→55	47→50	54	241/323/415	174	271	20	12	20%	10%	110	+2.4	244/342/414	170	292	17	14	21%	12%	118	+3.0	247/350/417	170	297	16	14	21%	12%	117	+2.2
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	45→49	50→60	47→50	43	227/296/385	158	295	18	12	29%	7%	91	+1.1	235/306/425	190	295	23	11	28%	7%	106	+2.2	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Vinnie Catricala 2012 · AA	23	51→55	51→55	49→45	44	257/312/423	165	308	18	9	23%	6%	108	+2.3	216/264/333	117	272	13	7	25%	5%	63	-0.8	191/237/285	94	243	11	4	25%	5%	37	-2.1
✕Kevin Cornelius 2016 · A	23	45	49→65	49→40	47	228/295/372	144	299	17	6	29%	9%	87	+0.8	221/279/391	170	332	21	3	38%	7%	85	+0.7	204/261/393	189	303	25	0	40%	7%	76	+0.0
●Max Ramirez 2008 · A	23	51→52	48→55	47→40	51	248/330/391	143	327	15	3	27%	10%	107	+2.2	236/314/379	143	321	16	3	30%	9%	97	+1.5	247/320/393	145	287	16	2	19%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Brian Joynt 2009 · A	24	46	49→60	49→45	46	232/297/390	157	301	16	7	28%	8%	92	+1.2	215/261/348	133	304	15	8	33%	5%	66	-0.6	192/227/315	123	274	16	6	36%	4%	41	-1.5
●Thomas Neal 2011 · AA	23	52→58	51→55	45→50	44	263/320/430	167	319	18	6	23%	6%	112	+2.6	262/317/388	126	328	12	10	23%	6%	100	+1.7	271/329/374	103	344	9	9	22%	5%	97	+0.9
✕Jairo Perez 2012 · A	24	51	47→55	48→50	48	252/312/389	137	297	15	11	20%	7%	98	+1.6	243/302/380	137	282	14	8	19%	6%	92	+1.2	259/299/401	142	275	20	11	14%	3%	93	+0.6
●Alejandro Kirk 2022 · MLB	23	49→57	50	47→40	55	247/322/409	161	267	18	4	15%	9%	108	+2.3	261/341/389	128	280	14	2	12%	10%	111	+2.5	260/343/374	114	279	12	0	11%	10%	104	+1.5
✕Grant Psomas 2006 · A	23	49→50	50	44→45	48	246/311/407	161	315	17	6	27%	8%	102	+1.9	221/280/365	144	293	15	7	28%	7%	79	+0.3	200/262/341	140	268	14	6	30%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→55	55→40	48→50	49	253/327/440	188	289	23	12	21%	8%	118	+3.0	245/335/346	101	303	9	12	21%	10%	98	+1.6	255/341/344	89	303	8	12	17%	10%	97	+1.2
✕Andy LaRoche 2007 · AAA	23	51→55	54→55	45	49	265/326/442	177	297	22	8	20%	8%	118	+3.0	245/325/394	149	274	17	7	17%	10%	105	+2.1	238/324/376	138	263	15	5	15%	10%	96	+1.2
●Gaby Sanchez 2007 · A	23	47→56	55	49→45	56	244/331/430	186	257	22	9	16%	10%	118	+3.0	250/320/402	152	286	15	8	18%	8%	105	+2.1	267/343/435	168	290	19	4	15%	9%	119	+2.9