Jack Winnay

3B Greenville Drive
Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#434ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522ASalem Red Sox61.321/.400/.4341091—.255/.317/.345
202623AA/A+BOS432.261/.407/.44917092—.218/.326/.372
2027PROJMLE24MLBBOS1.240/.329/.402001040.0
2028PROJ42% MLB25MLBBOS108.241/.329/.404311040.4
2029PROJ62% MLB26MLBBOS187.242/.329/.404621040.6
Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.4M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
K%75
Whiff%74
wRC+72
wOBA71
Chase%68
ISO64
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 5.4, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%
CompsLogan O'Hoppe (age 24) · Devin Mesoraco (age 24) · James Darnell (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†104
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .329 / .402
PA1
HR0
K%24
BB%10
BABIP293
ISO168
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +0.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.00.40.60.70.60.50.30.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT46
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE56
scouting grade only
SPEED42
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Arb-1$0.4M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 ASalem Red Sox — 6153 17301 661 00 321400434834 113340 1010 371 91 — — — — — —
202623 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 181157 42906 19365 00 268365439804 172313 2010 361 88 — — — — — —
202623 A+Greenville Drive — 251188 485011 53518 01 255438457895 202289 2021 403 95 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A MLESalem Red Sox — 6155 14201 481 00 255317345662 91286 137 303 91 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 181162 39805 14445 00 241320383703 142290 248 298 88 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 251209 424010 32678 01 201329364693 163234 2713 309 95 — — — — — —
202522 A MLESalem Red Sox — 6155 14201 481 00 255317345662 91277 137 303 91 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWSalem Red Sox — 6153 17301 661 00 321400434834 113340 1010 371 91 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 432372 8112015 4511113 01 218323371694 153266 2610 304 92 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW2 teams — 432345 9014017 728713 01 261407449856 188300 2017 385 92 — — — — — —
202522 A MLESalem Red Sox — 6156 14201 481 00 250317339656 89286 137 303 91 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 432371 8112015 4511113 01 218323372695 154257 2610 304 92 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A MLESalem Red Sox — 6156 14201 481 00 250317339656 89286 137 303 91 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 432371 8112015 4511113 01 218323372695 154257 2610 304 92 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEBOS 0% 380333 7814112 37927 51 234323394717 160283 2410 321 104 +2 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXBOS 0% 11 0000 000 00 240329402730 161293 00 327 104 +0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEBOS 42% 255223 52918 25625 31 235324396720 161284 2410 322 104 +1 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.8
202926 MLB MLEBOS 62% 301264 6211110 29725 41 235324397720 161284 2410 322 104 +2 +0 +0 +1 +7 1.0
203027 MLB MLEBOS 69% 319279 6612110 31776 41 235322394717 160284 2410 321 103 +1 +0 +0 +1 +7 1.0
203128 MLB MLEBOS 72% 326286 6712110 31796 42 233320390710 157283 2410 318 101 +1 +0 -1 +1 +7 0.8
203229 MLB MLEBOS 72% 320282 6612110 30785 32 231317384702 153282 249 315 99 -0 -0 -1 +1 +7 0.6
203330 MLB MLEBOS 72% 314277 631119 29785 32 228313376689 148279 259 310 96 -2 -0 -2 +1 +7 0.4
203431 MLB MLEBOS 72% 297262 581018 28755 24 223308365674 142276 259 303 91 -3 -1 -3 +1 +6 0.0
202825 MLB CTXBOS 42% 10895 22403 10262 10 241329404733 163294 249 328 104 +1 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.4
202926 MLB CTXBOS 62% 187164 40816 18453 21 242329404733 163294 2410 328 104 +1 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.6
203027 MLB CTXBOS 69% 219192 47917 21534 31 241328402730 161294 2410 326 103 +1 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.7
203128 MLB CTXBOS 72% 235207 501017 22574 31 240326398724 159293 249 324 101 +0 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.6
203229 MLB CTXBOS 72% 230202 48917 22564 21 238323392715 155292 2410 320 99 -0 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.5
203330 MLB CTXBOS 72% 226199 48917 21564 21 234319384703 150289 259 315 96 -1 +0 -2 +1 +5 0.3
203431 MLB CTXBOS 72% 214189 43806 20543 23 230314373687 144286 259 309 91 -2 -1 -2 +1 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14191248 29857543 13434724 158 239324396720 157295 249 321 99 -1 -0 -5 +5 +31 3.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 13626220 6115911 74 238323395718 157293 249 321 99 -0 -0 -2 +2 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 28352484 57399888 27269155 2615 231320383703 153282 2410 314 99 +0 -0 -7 +8 +51 5.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 13223220 6215813 63 232321384706 153283 2410 314 99 +0 -0 -2 +2 +14 1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greenville Drive · 251 PAwOBA .397 → .309 (−88)K% 20.3% → 26.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.32%÷1.000×1.310——26.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.12%÷1.000×0.600—×0.99812.64%
HBP% /PA3.19%—×0.770—×0.9982.45%
Singles /BIP23.36%÷1.000×0.870×0.953×0.99819.32%
Doubles /BIP3.65%÷1.000×0.780×0.953×0.9982.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.953×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP8.03%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9987.05%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .397 → .309; ISO .202 → .186; BABIP .289 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 181 PAwOBA .352 → .298 (−54)K% 19.9% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.89%÷1.000×1.220——24.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.50%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0277.55%
HBP% /PA2.76%—×0.850—×1.0272.41%
Singles /BIP22.31%÷1.000×0.970×0.966×1.02721.46%
Doubles /BIP7.44%÷1.000×0.860×0.966×1.0276.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×0.966×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP4.96%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0273.97%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .352 → .298; ISO .172 → .138; BABIP .313 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASalem Red Sox · 61 PAwOBA .367 → .303 (−64)K% 9.8% → 13.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.84%÷0.974×1.360——13.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.84%÷1.011×0.690——6.71%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.780——1.28%
Singles /BIP27.66%÷1.030×0.920×0.950—23.47%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷0.963×0.830×0.950—5.23%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.950—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.13%÷0.891×0.800——1.91%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .367 → .303; ISO .113 → .099; BABIP .340 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).