Josh Kross — OGILVIE

Josh KrossC Peoria Chiefs

Age 23 S/R 6'2" / 226 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION306 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .277 / .359

PA204

HR6

K%33

BB%7

BABIP288

ISO152

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-3	$1M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.2M
Totals		$9M		$30M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	94	78	14	4	1	0	11	15	5	0	0	179	319	256	576	77	222	16	12	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	94	74	16	5	1	0	15	10	5	0	0	216	383	311	694	95	250	11	16	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	426	388	68	15	4	15	21	166	10	1	1	175	236	351	587	175	248	39	5	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	426	377	85	19	5	16	32	113	10	1	1	225	303	430	733	204	271	27	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	STL	—	306	276	58	12	0	8	26	105	3	0	0	210	285	341	626	130	305	34	8	275	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.3
YTD	23	A+	STL	—	306	266	70	15	0	11	36	78	3	0	0	263	357	444	801	180	331	25	12	357	131	+11	+0	+0	+5	+9	2.6
ROS	23	A+	STL	0%	204	184	38	8	1	6	15	68	3	1	0	207	277	359	636	152	284	33	7	280	72	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	STL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						284	0	0	268	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	A+	STL	—	307	277	58	12	0	8	26	105	3	0	0	209	284	339	624	130	303	34	8	275	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.3
TOT	23	A+	STL	—	510	460	96	20	1	14	41	173	6	1	0	209	282	348	630	139	298	34	8	277	70	-17	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	STL	38%	520	469	97	20	2	15	39	167	7	1	1	207	278	354	632	147	286	32	8	287	78	-13	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2028	25	MLB	STL	55%	520	468	100	21	2	16	40	163	7	1	1	214	285	370	655	156	286	31	8	292	81	-11	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2029	26	MLB	STL	64%	520	468	101	21	2	16	40	160	7	1	1	216	287	372	659	156	287	31	8	294	83	-10	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2030	27	MLB	STL	66%	520	467	101	21	2	16	41	160	7	1	1	216	289	373	662	156	287	31	8	295	84	-9	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2031	28	MLB	STL	67%	520	466	100	20	2	16	42	160	7	1	1	215	289	369	658	155	286	31	8	294	83	-10	-0	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2032	29	MLB	STL	66%	520	466	99	20	2	16	42	161	7	1	0	212	287	367	654	155	285	31	8	292	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2033	30	MLB	STL	65%	520	466	98	20	2	15	42	163	7	1	0	210	285	358	644	148	284	31	8	289	80	-12	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.0
2034	31	MLB	STL	65%	504	451	94	19	2	14	41	159	7	1	0	208	285	353	637	144	281	32	8	285	77	-13	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.7
2035	32	MLB	STL	65%	486	438	89	18	2	13	39	155	6	1	0	203	277	342	620	139	278	32	8	280	72	-15	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.4
2036	33	MLB	STL	64%	406	366	72	14	1	11	32	132	5	0	0	197	270	331	601	134	273	33	8	273	67	-15	+0	-4	+7	+12	-0.1
2037	34	MLB	STL	60%	334	301	57	11	1	8	26	111	4	0	0	189	263	312	575	123	266	33	8	264	60	-15	+0	-5	+6	+9	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	STL	38%	197	177	38	8	1	6	15	63	3	1	0	215	287	373	660	158	285	32	8	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2028	25	MLB	STL	55%	288	260	55	11	1	9	22	90	4	1	0	212	283	365	649	154	286	31	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2029	26	MLB	STL	64%	331	297	63	13	1	10	26	102	5	1	0	212	287	364	650	152	287	31	8	284	75	-9	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2030	27	MLB	STL	66%	342	307	66	14	1	10	27	105	5	1	0	215	289	365	654	150	286	31	8	285	76	-9	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.7
2031	28	MLB	STL	67%	347	311	67	14	1	11	28	107	5	1	0	215	291	373	664	158	286	31	8	284	75	-10	+0	-0	+6	+10	0.6
2032	29	MLB	STL	66%	342	306	64	13	1	10	28	106	5	1	0	209	286	356	642	147	285	31	8	282	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2033	30	MLB	STL	65%	339	304	64	13	1	10	27	106	5	1	0	211	286	359	644	148	284	31	8	279	72	-11	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.4
2034	31	MLB	STL	65%	326	293	60	12	1	9	26	103	4	1	0	205	279	345	623	140	281	32	8	275	69	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2035	32	MLB	STL	65%	314	282	57	11	1	9	25	100	4	0	0	202	277	344	620	142	277	32	8	270	65	-13	+0	-2	+6	+9	-0.0
2036	33	MLB	STL	64%	262	236	47	9	1	7	21	85	3	0	0	199	273	335	608	136	273	32	8	263	60	-12	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.3
2037	34	MLB	STL	60%	200	179	34	6	1	5	16	66	3	0	0	190	268	318	586	128	266	33	8	255	53	-11	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3289	2953	615	124	11	96	261	1033	46	8	0	208	283	355	638	147	282	31	8	277	70	-111	+2	-12	+59	+93	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	122	25	2	19	52	204	9	2	0	209	284	356	640	147	282	31	8	277	70	-22	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	6094	5476	1128	232	26	177	471	1940	89	11	6	206	280	355	634	149	280	32	8	284	76	-168	-0	-20	+109	+173	9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	121	25	3	19	50	207	9	1	1	207	280	358	637	151	282	32	8	284	76	-18	-0	-2	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	94	74	16	5	1	0	15	10	5	0	0	216	383	311	694	95	250	11	16	332	112	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	243	213	45	9	2	8	22	65	3	0	1	211	294	385	679	174	255	27	9	298	87	-4	-0	—	—	+7	0.3
2025	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	183	164	40	10	3	8	10	48	7	1	0	244	315	488	803	244	291	26	5	348	124	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,290	96	7	210	281	359	+59	+28	6.4	6.0
	/162	664	19	1	210	281	359	+11.9	+5.7	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Kross (OGILVIE)	23	30	45	40	40	209/282/348	139	298	14	1	34%	8%	70	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Colton Shaver 2019 · A	23	37→32	50	43→30	42	197/269/344	147	261	19	4	32%	7%	69	-0.4	188/268/343	155	285	19	3	39%	8%	69	-0.4	160/253/321	161	248	22	0	43%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	38→39	48→50	38→30	39	191/285/329	138	300	17	2	39%	8%	74	-0.1	197/298/323	126	295	14	3	35%	8%	78	+0.2	178/293/290	111	269	13	1	35%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2018 · A	23	39	47→50	42→40	41	202/261/332	130	266	15	4	30%	6%	63	-0.9	213/265/319	106	304	11	5	32%	6%	60	-1.0	194/242/263	69	292	8	0	35%	6%	31	-0.9
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	39→34	46→60	42→45	38	197/261/329	133	293	14	5	36%	6%	62	-0.9	199/253/355	156	287	18	5	36%	6%	66	-0.6	250/322/470	220	318	31	2	30%	9%	122	+1.4
✕Matt Wallach 2009 · A	23	40	48→50	46→40	39	206/262/350	144	278	15	3	31%	6%	68	-0.5	213/271/331	118	263	12	3	23%	6%	66	-0.6	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Yasel Antuna 2022 · A	22	39→36	46→45	42→50	43	201/262/335	134	275	14	5	32%	7%	63	-0.8	184/270/284	100	268	9	14	32%	10%	54	-1.4	161/261/245	84	234	8	18	32%	11%	40	-1.6
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	46	206/268/342	136	253	15	4	25%	7%	68	-0.5	206/284/361	155	265	18	3	28%	9%	80	+0.4	187/284/370	183	237	21	4	30%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→39	47→50	43→30	48	212/291/346	133	289	14	4	30%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/349	145	281	18	3	32%	10%	79	+0.3	185/276/320	135	253	18	0	33%	10%	64	-0.4
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	42→39	50	42→30	47	216/285/369	154	277	17	4	28%	9%	82	+0.5	201/276/334	133	299	14	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	168/256/295	127	261	14	0	39%	10%	50	-1.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	36→37	49→55	43→30	42	191/274/336	146	272	18	3	35%	8%	70	-0.3	203/272/335	132	292	15	3	34%	7%	68	-0.5	180/245/285	105	260	12	0	34%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Jose Lobatón 2008 · A	23	43	45→50	43→30	46	215/286/340	125	294	13	3	30%	8%	75	-0.0	218/277/338	120	292	12	3	28%	7%	70	-0.3	237/323/373	135	298	13	0	23%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	39	47→55	47→40	36	204/241/332	128	275	16	4	32%	4%	53	-1.5	201/241/337	136	264	15	4	29%	5%	54	-1.4	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Cody Morissette 2023 · A	23	38→30	47→45	45→50	42	198/262/332	134	266	16	5	31%	7%	63	-0.8	181/233/300	119	243	14	11	31%	6%	43	-2.2	177/232/287	110	241	13	21	31%	6%	37	-1.4
✕Fernando Perez 2017 · A	23	36→40	49→50	44→30	37	196/243/337	141	265	18	3	33%	5%	56	-1.3	218/260/365	147	286	19	3	30%	4%	70	-0.3	229/267/377	148	288	20	1	28%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Rylan Bannon 2019 · AA	23	41→42	50	45→50	45	210/286/364	154	289	19	5	33%	9%	82	+0.5	202/269/339	137	259	15	8	27%	8%	68	-0.5	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Sean Coughlin 2009 · A	24	39→37	47→50	44→30	47	200/271/332	132	250	14	2	26%	8%	67	-0.5	219/286/344	125	268	14	3	23%	8%	76	+0.0	220/289/339	119	262	14	1	21%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	46→45	42→45	52	198/293/324	126	277	14	6	32%	12%	75	-0.0	179/260/273	94	259	9	6	32%	9%	47	-1.9	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2022 · A	23	41→38	46→45	43→45	37	205/269/332	127	299	13	5	34%	6%	66	-0.6	196/266/316	120	276	13	5	32%	6%	61	-1.0	180/258/290	109	245	12	5	30%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Jon Talley 2012 · A	23	38→39	47→45	39→30	38	195/253/330	135	287	15	2	37%	6%	59	-1.1	194/252/313	119	288	12	3	35%	6%	53	-1.5	178/237/286	107	264	10	1	35%	6%	39	-1.3