Connor Wilford

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 26 RHP A peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	25	MIX2 levels	12	11	53	6.24	4.83	21.7%	5.7%	—	K 15.7% · BB 6.9% · FIP 6.18
2027PROJ	26	MLBSEA	6	6	37	4.70	4.70	18.9%	7.3%	0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBSEA	3	3	17	4.69	4.70	19.4%	7.6%	0.0
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBSEA	4	4	27	4.72	4.76	19.5%	7.8%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMarkus Solbach (age 27) · Dylan DeLucia (age 23) · Ryan Watson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%18.9%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%11.6%

Proj IP37

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	11	53	244	53	14	12	92%	4.4	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	6.4%	6.24	6.18	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	11	53	244	53	14	12	92%	4.4	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	6.4%	6.24	6.18	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	11	53	244	53	14	12	92%	4.4	21.7%	5.7%	16.0%	4.9%	6.24	4.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SEA	6	6	37	156	30	11	5	100%	6.2	18.9%	7.3%	11.6%	3.4%	4.70	4.70	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	8	8	47	200	39	15	7	100%	5.9	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	3.5%	4.69	4.70	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	SEA	8	8	46	194	38	15	7	100%	5.7	19.5%	7.8%	11.7%	3.5%	4.72	4.76	+0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	SEA	7	7	44	185	36	15	7	100%	6.3	19.5%	8.1%	11.4%	3.6%	4.80	4.86	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	3	3	17	72	14	5	2	100%	5.7	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	3.5%	4.69	4.70	+0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	SEA	4	4	27	114	22	9	4	100%	6.8	19.5%	7.8%	11.7%	3.5%	4.72	4.76	+0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	SEA	5	5	31	131	26	11	5	100%	6.2	19.5%	8.1%	11.4%	3.6%	4.80	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	12	75	316	62	25	11	100%	6.2	19.5%	7.9%	11.6%	3.6%	4.75	4.41	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	166	67	29	100%	6.0	19.5%	7.9%	11.6%	3.6%	4.75	4.41	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		12	11	53	244	38	17	16	92%	4.4	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	6.4%	6.24	6.18	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	41	200	915	144	64	59	92%	4.4	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	6.4%	6.24	6.18	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Connor Wilford (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	18.9%	7.3%	3.4%	—	4.77	19.5%	11.6%	137	+0.07	—	—	—
Markus Solbach R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	27	SP	3.58	16.9%	6.1%	2.1%	.311	4.62	17.1%	9.1%	111	+1.04	3.34	391	81
Dylan DeLucia R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	23	SP	3.88	21.6%	7.4%	3.0%	.241	5.29	18.0%	7.2%	197	+1.41	3.88	232	80
Ryan Watson R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	25	SP-	4.15	18.6%	4.9%	3.7%	.342	5.48	13.1%	5.4%	98	+1.33	4.15	165	79
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.85	15.2%	1.3%	72	+1.82	3.51	261	78
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	78
Hiram Burgos R 2013 · 4.89 FIP	25	SP	4.89	12.9%	7.9%	3.4%	.314	3.73	18.0%	8.7%	293	-1.16	3.40	384	77
Jake Lee R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	26	SP	3.76	20.5%	9.7%	2.1%	.362	5.42	16.1%	9.6%	113	+1.66	2.78	181	77
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	77
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	77
Cole De Vries R 2012 · 4.73 FIP	27	SP	4.73	15.5%	4.8%	4.2%	.254	7.58	15.8%	4.0%	15	+2.85	4.73	103	76
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	76
Matt Wise R 2001 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	23.7%	8.1%	5.2%	.271	3.50	13.5%	7.2%	53	-1.48	3.33	302	75
Wilmer Font R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	26	SP	3.82	17.0%	4.9%	2.8%	.277	3.84	26.2%	19.1%	263	+0.02	2.76	345	75
Ryan Jennings R 2024 · 3.60 FIP	25	SP	3.60	20.4%	10.4%	1.7%	.286	4.93	25.0%	10.3%	58	+1.33	3.43	142	75
Brian Stokes R 2006 · 3.98 FIP	26	SP-	3.98	13.6%	8.2%	1.8%	.345	4.51	14.3%	6.3%	166	+0.53	3.96	207	75
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	74
Zack Lee R 2024 · 3.51 FIP	23	SP-	3.51	19.2%	7.0%	2.1%	.293	4.54	15.0%	6.5%	153	+1.03	3.22	236	74
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	74
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	74
Stephen Fife R 2013 · 3.94 FIP	26	SP	3.94	17.4%	7.0%	2.6%	.330	3.11	18.8%	10.7%	27	-0.83	3.11	264	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	44	19.3%	7.7%	1.36	4.73
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*