Bryson Van Sickle

Bryson Van Sickle P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 150 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%20.5%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	15	70	17	4	2	0%	1.4	24.3%	5.7%	18.6%	2.9%	4.11	3.34	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	15	70	17	4	2	0%	1.4	24.3%	5.7%	18.6%	2.9%	4.11	3.34	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	0	15	70	17	4	2	0%	1.4	24.3%	5.7%	18.6%	2.9%	4.11	3.36	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	28	7	92	417	91	35	10	25%	3.3	16.6%	9.3%	7.4%	3.2%	5.75	4.61	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	28	7	92	417	91	35	10	25%	3.3	16.6%	9.3%	7.4%	3.2%	5.75	4.61	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	COL	19	6	72	322	84	27	7	32%	3.8	26.1%	8.4%	17.7%	2.2%	4.60	3.15	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	COL	8	1	19	84	7	5	3	12%	2.4	8.3%	6.0%	2.4%	3.6%	8.53	5.11	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	COL	1	0	1	11	0	3	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	27.3%	-27.3%	0.0%	36.00	6.55	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	86	0	90	382	80	35	11	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.0%	11.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.51	+0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	85	0	89	376	79	34	11	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.52	4.53	+0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	82	0	86	364	76	33	12	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.1%	11.8%	3.2%	4.56	4.60	-0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	78	0	82	348	72	32	11	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.3%	11.4%	3.3%	4.65	4.72	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	74	0	78	327	73	29	11	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.8%	13.6%	3.5%	4.64	4.63	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	37	0	39	165	34	15	5	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.0%	11.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.51	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	53	0	56	236	50	21	7	0%	1.1	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.52	4.53	+0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	62	0	65	274	57	25	9	0%	1.0	20.9%	9.1%	11.8%	3.2%	4.56	4.60	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	64	0	67	283	59	26	9	0%	1.0	20.7%	9.3%	11.4%	3.3%	4.65	4.72	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	63	0	66	279	62	24	10	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.8%	13.6%	3.5%	4.64	4.63	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		279	0	293	1236	262	112	40	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.1%	12.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.23	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	77	27	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.1%	12.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		39	7	108	487	86	43	15	18%	2.8	17.7%	8.8%	9.0%	3.1%	5.52	4.42	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	13	200	905	160	79	28	18%	2.8	17.7%	8.8%	9.0%	3.1%	5.52	4.42	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryson Van Sickle (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	20.5%	9.2%	3.0%	—	4.55	20.9%	11.9%	266	-0.02	—	—	—
Jake Kalish L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	17.8%	6.9%	2.6%	.231	3.90	17.0%	11.9%	352	+0.01	2.68	740	75
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	75
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	75
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	74
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	73
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	72
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	72
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	72
Mac Lardner L 2023 · 3.66 FIP	25	SU	3.66	17.5%	9.4%	1.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	186	71
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.32	21.8%	12.5%	292	-0.49	3.32	327	71
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	71
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	71
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	70
Ryan Williamson L 2019 · 4.30 FIP	24	SU	4.30	17.3%	9.9%	2.5%	.301	7.47	20.0%	3.3%	41	+3.17	4.10	123	70
Williams Jerez L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	17.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.294	3.81	24.0%	15.1%	127	-0.24	3.58	364	70
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	69
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	69
Russell Smith L 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.3%	12.8%	4.5%	.343	4.00	19.0%	5.1%	53	-1.26	4.00	175	69
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	21.0%	9.8%	1.9%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	201	69
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	74	21.1%	9.1%	1.23	4.57
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Félix Peña ('20)	1.2	62	23.6%	8.3%	1.37	4.46
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78