Austin Green — OGILVIE

Austin Green2B Tampa Tarpons

Age 24 S/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.083 / .154 / .083

PA13

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP219

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	3	0	0	0	0	11	1	1	0	115	148	115	264		188	39	0	123	-30	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	158	29	3	1	4	20	39	5	8	0	184	295	291	586	108	214	21	11	273	71	-6	+2	—	—	+4	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	77	111	77	188		163	57	0	87	-55	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	162	22	2	1	4	16	55	5	8	0	136	235	235	470	99	170	30	9	214	31	-15	+2	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	77	111	77	188		182	57	0	87	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	3	0	0	0	0	11	1	1	0	115	148	115	264		188	39	0	123	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	162	22	2	1	4	16	55	5	8	0	136	235	235	470	99	171	30	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	158	29	3	1	4	20	39	5	8	0	184	295	291	586	108	214	21	11	273	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	27	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	74	111	74	185		163	57	0	87	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	162	22	2	1	4	16	55	5	8	0	136	235	235	470	99	170	30	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	27	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	74	111	74	185		163	57	0	87	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	162	22	2	1	4	16	55	5	8	0	136	235	235	470	99	170	30	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A MLE	NYY	—	89	77	13	1	1	1	10	20	1	1	0	169	273	247	519	78	211	22	11	235	45	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A RAW	NYY	—	89	74	15	1	1	1	13	14	1	1	0	203	330	284	613	81	233	16	15	288	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A MLE	NYY	0%	13	12	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	83	154	83	237		218	31	8	231	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	24	A MLE	NYY	—	102	89	14	1	1	1	11	24	1	1	0	157	257	225	482	67	200	24	11	235	45	-7	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	30%	207	186	32	5	1	3	16	55	3	3	1	172	249	258	507	86	227	27	8	242	50	-12	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.7
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	30%	62	56	10	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	179	258	268	526	89	228	26	8	235	50	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	62	56	10	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	179	258	268	526	89	231	26	8	235	35	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	104	21	0	10	52	168	10	10	0	177	255	264	519	87	230	26	8	235	35	-39	+2	+0	+2	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	433	386	57	7	2	7	33	130	9	12	1	148	231	231	462	83	198	30	8	220	35	-13	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	87	11	3	11	50	195	14	18	2	150	235	237	472	86	201	30	8	220	35	-39	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	200	3	3	171	241	263	+1	+1	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	10	12	+2.4	+3.3	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Green (OGILVIE)	24	25	30	50	40	166/242/254	88	218	2	2	27%	8%	43	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Adam White 2009 · A	24	40→38	37→30	52→55	44	194/257/263	70	271	5	17	29%	7%	49	-2.4	211/276/294	83	314	5	19	32%	7%	63	-1.3	216/292/293	77	344	3	33	34%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	39→34	39→40	46→45	41	191/251/276	85	280	7	8	33%	7%	49	-2.4	204/261/305	101	324	8	8	37%	7%	59	-1.6	189/252/304	115	318	10	7	41%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	35	-3.4	211/251/282	71	287	4	6	26%	5%	50	-2.3	220/249/272	52	290	2	3	24%	3%	42	-1.1
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A	24	41	40	50→45	45	198/270/295	97	282	7	10	30%	8%	61	-1.5	202/259/302	100	295	8	7	32%	7%	59	-1.7	165/211/251	86	235	9	0	33%	5%	27	-1.0
✕Ricky Aracena 2021 · A	23	40→37	37→30	48→55	38	195/241/263	68	271	6	14	30%	5%	42	-2.9	193/252/278	85	301	5	19	35%	7%	50	-2.3	173/235/255	82	275	3	25	35%	7%	36	-2.4
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	51	-2.3	209/267/290	81	272	5	4	24%	6%	59	-1.7	204/266/276	72	272	4	3	25%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Channy Ortiz 2023 · A	24	39	37→40	45	41	187/258/260	73	283	4	9	33%	7%	49	-2.4	200/256/281	81	284	5	9	30%	6%	52	-2.2	191/237/259	68	265	4	9	28%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Sahid Valenzuela 2023 · AA	25	39	39→30	43→45	40	194/247/278	84	264	7	5	28%	6%	49	-2.4	205/248/263	58	270	4	6	24%	5%	45	-2.7	202/245/241	39	260	2	6	22%	5%	35	-1.7
✕Olivier Basabe 2021 · A	24	41→38	41→40	52→45	44	203/263/297	94	259	8	7	25%	6%	59	-1.7	200/259/289	89	270	9	8	28%	7%	56	-1.9	184/246/262	78	247	9	8	28%	7%	41	-1.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Wendell Soto 2015 · A	23	40→44	41→40	49→50	42	200/253/296	96	268	8	8	28%	7%	55	-2.0	195/264/277	82	290	6	11	32%	8%	55	-2.0	152/237/197	45	241	2	18	34%	10%	26	-1.4
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	37→35	43→45	48→50	48	187/270/293	106	259	11	14	30%	10%	61	-1.5	189/270/286	97	275	9	13	32%	9%	59	-1.6	143/232/224	81	211	7	12	33%	10%	31	-1.5
✕Nicholas Romero 2011 · A	24	42	40	49→45	44	201/267/294	94	274	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	188/253/266	78	262	4	7	28%	7%	48	-2.5	156/225/217	61	217	2	5	27%	7%	25	-3.2
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	40	-3.0	198/251/261	63	306	3	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	192/247/244	53	300	3	10	35%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	37	37→40	49→40	42	180/245/252	72	276	5	4	35%	8%	42	-2.9	199/259/286	87	302	7	5	34%	7%	55	-2.0	195/254/288	94	300	7	3	35%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Eliezer Zambrano 2011 · AA	24	41	37→30	49→40	36	200/234/268	68	271	4	7	27%	4%	40	-3.1	211/256/293	82	265	6	6	22%	5%	55	-2.0	214/245/261	47	247	4	2	15%	3%	40	-1.0
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	197/260/265	67	265	5	15	26%	7%	50	-2.3	210/272/283	73	296	5	10	28%	8%	59	-1.7	198/269/240	42	290	1	4	30%	8%	45	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps