Austin Green

2B Tampa Tarpons
Age 25 S/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422ANYY28.115/.148/.11501-54—.077/.111/.077
202523ANYY185.184/.295/.2914825—.140/.230/.238
202624ANYY89.203/.330/.2841139—.179/.273/.256
2027PROJMLE25MLBNYY200.178/.250/.2673447-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBNYY30.183/.255/.2800151-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%86
Z-Con%83
Speed73
Whiff%72
BB%53
Chase%46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJerome Pena (age 25) · Bubba Alleyne (age 25) · Sahid Valenzuela (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .248 / .265
PA60
HR1
K%28
BB%8
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 ATampa Tarpons — 2826 3000 0111 10 115148115264 188 390 123 -54 — — — — — —
202523 ATampa Tarpons — 185158 29314 20395 80 184295291586 108214 2111 273 25 — — — — — —
202624 ATampa Tarpons — 8974 15111 13141 10 203330284613 81233 1615 288 39 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 2826 2000 0161 10 7711177188 164 570 88 -54 — — — — — —
202523 A MLETampa Tarpons — 185164 23214 14535 80 140230238467 98165 298 205 25 — — — — — —
202624 A MLETampa Tarpons — 8978 14111 9191 10 179273256529 77202 2110 226 39 — — — — — —
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 2826 2000 0161 10 7711177188 182 570 88 -54 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 2826 3000 0111 10 115148115264 188 390 123 -54 — — — — — —
202523 A MLETampa Tarpons — 185164 23214 14535 80 140230238467 98174 298 205 25 — — — — — —
202523 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 185158 29314 20395 80 184295291586 108214 2111 273 25 — — — — — —
202624 A MLETampa Tarpons — 8978 14111 9191 10 179273256529 77220 2110 226 39 — — — — — —
202624 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 8974 15111 13141 10 203330284613 81233 1615 288 39 — — — — — —
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 2827 2000 0161 10 7411174185 164 570 88 -54 — — — — — —
202523 A MLETampa Tarpons — 185164 23214 14535 80 140230238467 98165 298 205 25 — — — — — —
202624 A MLETampa Tarpons — 8979 14111 9191 10 177273253526 76202 2110 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 2827 2000 0161 10 7411174185 164 570 88 -54 — — — — — —
202523 A MLETampa Tarpons — 185164 23214 14535 80 140230238467 98165 298 205 25 — — — — — —
202624 A MLETampa Tarpons — 8979 14111 9191 10 177273253526 76202 2110 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLENYY 0% 200181 32513 15562 41 178250267518 89238 288 238 47 -13 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLENYY 30% 10091 18312 8281 20 182254276530 94240 288 243 51 -6 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.3
202826 MLB CTXNYY 30% 3028 4100 280 10 183255280535 97240 277 245 51 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3028 4100 280 10 143200179379 36200 277 245 31 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 872200 431730 220 143200180380 36200 277 245 31 -38 +4 +0 +2 +14 -1.8
Career— MLE — 462413 67838 361339 130 162245254499 92214 298 214 31 -10 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 9411411 5118713 180 162245251497 90213 298 214 31 -39 +2 +0 +2 +14 -2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ATampa Tarpons · 89 PAwOBA .285 → .226 (−59)K% 15.7% → 21.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.73%÷1.000×1.360——21.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.61%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9809.88%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.780—×0.9800.86%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.920×0.973×0.98017.55%
Doubles /BIP1.67%÷1.000×0.830×0.973×0.9801.32%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷1.000×0.910×0.973×0.9801.45%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9801.31%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .285 → .226; ISO .081 → .066; BABIP .233 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ATampa Tarpons · 185 PAwOBA .269 → .205 (−64)K% 21.1% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.08%÷1.000×1.360——28.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.81%÷0.971×0.690—×0.9907.61%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.780—×0.9902.09%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.119×0.920×0.950×0.99013.65%
Doubles /BIP2.52%÷1.046×0.830×0.950×0.9901.88%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷0.913×0.910×0.950×0.9900.79%
Home runs /BIP3.36%÷0.842×0.800—×0.9903.16%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 124, 2B 109, 3B 83, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .269 → .205; ISO .108 → .093; BABIP .214 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ATampa Tarpons · 28 PAwOBA .125 → .088 (−36)K% 39.3% → 55.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA39.29%÷0.959×1.360——55.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.061×0.690——0.00%
HBP% /PA3.57%—×0.780——2.79%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.035×0.920——17.78%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.028×0.830——0.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.979×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .125 → .088; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .188 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).