Austin Green — OGILVIE

Austin Green2B Tampa Tarpons

Age 24 S/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 59 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .236 / .225

PA59

HR1

K%27

BB%8

BABIP193

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	2	0	0	0	0	17	1	1	0	77	111	77	188		200	61	0	81	-80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	3	0	0	0	0	11	1	1	0	115	148	115	264		188	39	0	123	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	162	22	2	1	5	16	56	5	8	0	136	235	253	488	117	165	30	9	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	158	29	3	1	4	20	39	5	8	0	184	295	291	586	108	214	21	11	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	NYY	—	89	77	13	1	1	1	10	20	1	1	0	169	273	247	519	78	211	22	11	235	38	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
YTD	24	A	NYY	—	89	74	15	1	1	1	13	14	1	1	0	203	330	284	613	81	233	16	15	288	79	-2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
ROS	24	A	NYY	0%	59	53	8	1	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	150	236	225	461	75	218	27	8	234	37	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		219	—	—	226	31	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	24	A	NYY	—	89	78	13	1	1	1	10	20	1	1	0	167	273	244	516	77	207	22	11	235	38	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
TOT	24	A	NYY	—	148	130	21	2	1	2	15	36	2	2	0	161	258	238	496	77	204	24	10	235	38	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	207	185	33	5	1	4	17	55	3	3	1	178	259	281	540	103	227	27	8	244	45	-13	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2028	26	MLB	NYY	44%	292	262	49	8	2	6	24	77	4	5	1	187	266	302	567	115	232	26	8	250	50	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	62	56	10	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	179	258	268	526	89	228	27	8	236	39	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	NYY	44%	129	116	22	4	1	3	10	34	2	2	0	190	266	319	585	129	233	26	8	243	44	-8	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	191	173	32	6	1	4	15	51	3	3	0	185	263	301	564	116	235	27	8	241	43	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	108	20	3	14	51	174	10	10	0	183	261	299	560	115	233	27	8	241	43	-42	+2	+0	+2	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	771	688	114	16	4	16	62	221	14	18	2	166	249	270	519	105	215	29	8	233	37	-55	+3	+0	+3	+22	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	95	13	3	13	52	186	12	15	2	164	247	264	511	100	213	29	8	233	37	-46	+2	+0	+2	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	3	0	0	0	0	11	1	1	0	115	148	115	264		188	39	0	123	-47	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	158	29	3	1	4	20	39	5	8	0	184	295	291	586	108	214	21	11	273	67	-7	+2	—	—	+5	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	329	6	6	176	248	277	+1	+2	-1.1	-0.5
	/162	664	12	11	176	248	277	+2.4	+4.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Green (OGILVIE)	24	25	30	50	40	161/258/238	77	204	2	2	24%	10%	38	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A	24	40	40	50→45	45	194/265/290	97	275	7	10	31%	8%	53	-1.5	200/256/298	98	292	8	7	32%	7%	50	-1.7	161/205/243	82	230	8	0	33%	5%	13	-1.0
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Adam White 2009 · A	24	40→38	37→30	52→55	44	194/257/263	70	271	5	17	29%	7%	42	-2.3	211/276/294	83	314	5	19	32%	7%	59	-1.1	216/292/293	77	344	3	33	34%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Channy Ortiz 2023 · A	24	40	38→40	45	41	190/261/267	76	284	5	9	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/258/287	84	288	5	9	30%	6%	48	-1.9	197/241/270	73	274	4	9	28%	5%	33	-1.3
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	27	-3.3	211/252/282	71	285	4	6	26%	5%	43	-2.2	222/252/273	52	290	2	3	23%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Ricky Aracena 2021 · A	23	40→36	37→30	48→55	38	194/238/262	68	267	6	14	29%	5%	33	-2.9	192/248/278	86	295	4	19	34%	7%	42	-2.3	172/231/256	84	268	3	25	34%	6%	27	-2.4
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	40→30	44→45	43	189/258/273	84	244	8	6	25%	6%	46	-2.0	208/266/289	81	270	5	4	23%	6%	53	-1.5	200/262/272	72	270	4	3	26%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Olivier Basabe 2021 · A	24	42→39	42→40	52→45	44	206/266/306	100	263	9	7	25%	6%	57	-1.2	202/261/300	98	276	10	8	29%	7%	53	-1.5	187/247/275	88	254	11	8	30%	6%	38	-1.1
✕Nicholas Romero 2011 · A	24	41→42	40	49→45	44	201/266/296	95	277	7	5	29%	7%	55	-1.4	187/250/267	80	265	4	7	29%	7%	40	-2.4	153/221/219	66	218	2	5	29%	7%	14	-3.2
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	38	37→40	49→40	43	181/247/254	73	273	5	4	34%	8%	36	-2.7	197/257/282	85	305	6	5	35%	7%	46	-2.0	190/250/277	88	302	6	3	37%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Blake Tiberi 2019 · A	24	40→38	39→40	50	46	195/262/276	82	264	6	6	27%	8%	48	-1.9	192/260/272	80	283	5	10	31%	8%	46	-2.0	178/249/243	64	257	2	12	29%	8%	31	-2.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	39→34	38→40	46→45	40	190/248/268	78	283	6	8	34%	7%	40	-2.4	204/260/305	101	326	8	8	37%	7%	54	-1.4	193/255/321	127	323	12	7	41%	7%	53	-0.5
✕Wendell Soto 2015 · A	23	41→44	41→40	49→50	43	202/255/297	95	270	8	8	28%	6%	50	-1.8	195/265/275	80	291	6	11	32%	9%	49	-1.8	150/239/191	41	242	2	18	35%	10%	16	-1.4
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕D.K. Carey 2016 · A	24	39→36	41→40	42→45	46	194/261/287	93	252	9	7	26%	8%	51	-1.7	187/262/276	89	273	8	6	32%	9%	48	-1.9	166/250/246	80	250	7	4	34%	9%	34	-1.5
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A	24	41→37	42→45	51→45	45	199/269/307	108	284	9	6	32%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/306	116	279	10	6	34%	7%	53	-1.5	164/230/284	120	238	10	3	34%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	30→31	40	51→50	36	158/209/247	88	227	7	14	33%	5%	18	-3.9	165/218/263	98	256	10	15	38%	5%	26	-3.4	147/202/242	95	231	12	16	41%	6%	12	-2.9
✕Jake Palomaki 2019 · A	24	44	39→30	52→50	49	213/282/298	85	259	7	11	20%	8%	62	-0.9	205/275/262	57	263	2	14	21%	8%	50	-1.8	217/288/262	45	280	1	17	21%	8%	52	-0.9