Charlie Condon — OGILVIE

Charlie CondonOF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 23 R/R 6'5" / 216 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION365 act + 243 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .311 / .383

PA243

HR8

K%31

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO170

MLB%14%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 65

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER65

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED39

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$13M	+$12M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+2.3	$15M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$7M	+2.2	$13M	+$8M
2031	Arb-3	$10M	+2.1	$12M	+$5M
Totals		$24M		$63M	+$47M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	109	102	13	2	1	1	2	48	5	4	0	127	183	196	380	69	226	44	2	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	109	100	18	4	1	1	4	34	5	4	0	180	248	270	518	90	262	31	4	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	4 teams	—	531	468	90	16	2	11	44	178	16	2	2	192	284	306	590	113	280	34	8	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	4 teams	—	531	448	126	17	5	15	64	129	16	2	2	281	390	442	832	161	362	24	12	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	COL	—	365	313	72	13	5	15	38	112	12	5	2	230	336	447	783	217	303	31	10	336	115	+6	+0	+0	-2	+10	1.5
YTD	23	AAA	COL	—	365	298	86	16	6	20	53	87	12	5	2	289	416	584	1.000	295	342	24	15	431	188	+36	+0	+0	-2	+10	4.6
ROS	23	AAA	COL	14%	243	211	45	8	2	8	23	75	7	3	1	213	311	383	694	170	294	31	9	317	101	+0	+0	-0	-1	+7	0.6
ROS	23	MLB	COL	14%	34	30	6	1	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	318	32	9	318	102	+0	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.1
FULL	23	AAA	COL	—	399	343	78	14	5	16	41	123	13	5	2	227	332	437	770	210	301	31	10	334	114	+6	+0	-0	-2	+11	1.6
TOT	23	AAA	COL	—	608	524	117	21	7	23	61	187	19	8	3	223	326	421	747	198	296	31	10	328	109	+6	+0	-0	-4	+17	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	COL	37%	567	494	108	19	5	19	53	173	15	6	2	219	313	393	706	174	294	31	9	319	102	+1	+0	-0	-3	+16	1.4
2028	25	MLB	COL	47%	582	508	115	20	5	22	54	173	15	6	2	226	319	415	734	189	295	30	9	328	109	+6	+0	-0	-3	+16	1.9
2029	26	MLB	COL	52%	587	512	119	21	5	24	55	172	15	6	2	232	325	434	758	201	295	29	9	334	114	+9	+0	-0	-4	+17	2.3
2030	27	MLB	COL	53%	586	511	119	21	5	24	55	172	15	6	2	233	325	434	760	202	295	29	9	334	113	+9	+0	-0	-4	+17	2.2
2031	28	MLB	COL	54%	581	506	116	20	5	23	55	171	15	6	2	229	323	425	748	196	294	29	9	333	113	+8	+0	-1	-3	+16	2.1
2032	29	MLB	COL	53%	574	500	115	20	5	23	55	170	14	5	2	230	323	428	751	198	293	30	10	331	111	+7	+0	-2	-3	+16	1.9
2033	30	MLB	COL	52%	565	492	111	19	4	22	54	169	14	5	2	226	320	415	734	189	292	30	10	328	109	+6	+0	-2	-3	+16	1.6
2034	31	MLB	COL	52%	556	484	108	19	4	21	53	168	14	4	2	223	318	409	727	186	289	30	10	324	106	+4	+0	-3	-3	+16	1.3
2035	32	MLB	COL	52%	546	476	104	18	4	20	52	167	13	3	1	218	312	399	712	181	285	31	10	318	102	+1	+0	-4	-3	+15	1.0
2036	33	MLB	COL	52%	471	412	87	14	3	17	45	146	11	2	1	211	306	383	689	172	281	31	10	311	96	-2	+0	-5	-3	+13	0.4
2037	34	MLB	COL	47%	399	349	72	11	3	14	38	127	9	1	1	206	301	375	676	169	275	32	10	303	90	-5	-0	-5	-2	+11	-0.1
2038	35	MLB	COL	43%	337	294	58	9	2	11	32	109	8	1	0	197	293	354	647	156	268	32	9	293	82	-7	+0	-6	-2	+10	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	COL	37%	208	181	43	8	2	8	19	63	6	2	1	238	330	436	767	199	318	30	9	322	105	+1	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.6
2028	25	MLB	COL	47%	275	240	60	11	3	12	26	82	7	3	1	250	341	471	811	221	319	30	9	333	113	+4	+0	-0	-2	+8	1.1
2029	26	MLB	COL	52%	306	266	67	12	3	14	29	90	8	3	1	252	343	477	821	226	320	29	9	341	119	+6	+0	-0	-2	+9	1.4
2030	27	MLB	COL	53%	311	271	68	12	3	14	29	91	8	3	1	251	341	472	813	221	320	29	9	341	119	+7	+0	-0	-2	+9	1.4
2031	28	MLB	COL	54%	312	271	68	12	3	14	30	92	8	3	1	251	343	472	815	221	319	29	10	339	118	+6	+0	-1	-2	+9	1.3
2032	29	MLB	COL	53%	303	263	66	12	3	14	29	90	8	3	1	251	343	479	822	228	318	30	10	337	116	+6	+0	-1	-2	+9	1.2
2033	30	MLB	COL	52%	295	258	62	11	2	13	28	88	7	2	1	240	331	450	781	209	316	30	9	334	114	+5	+0	-1	-2	+8	1.0
2034	31	MLB	COL	52%	289	252	61	11	2	13	28	87	7	2	1	242	334	456	791	214	313	30	10	330	111	+3	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.8
2035	32	MLB	COL	52%	282	246	58	10	2	12	27	86	7	2	1	236	329	439	768	203	309	30	10	324	106	+2	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.6
2036	33	MLB	COL	52%	243	212	49	8	2	10	23	76	6	1	0	231	324	429	753	198	304	31	9	316	100	+0	+0	-2	-1	+7	0.3
2037	34	MLB	COL	47%	188	164	36	6	1	7	18	60	4	1	0	220	312	396	708	177	297	32	10	307	93	-1	+0	-2	-1	+5	0.1
2038	35	MLB	COL	43%	144	127	26	4	1	5	13	47	3	0	0	205	294	370	664	165	289	33	9	296	85	-2	+0	-2	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3190	2781	670	118	27	137	302	963	80	25	9	241	333	451	783	210	314	30	9	329	110	+37	+1	-14	-19	+90	9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	137	24	6	28	62	196	16	5	2	242	333	453	787	212	315	30	10	329	110	+7	+0	-3	-4	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	7234	6319	1380	237	55	260	670	2218	186	60	22	218	312	397	708	178	289	31	9	316	100	-2	+3	-30	-43	+205	13.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	123	21	5	23	60	199	17	5	2	217	310	393	703	176	287	31	9	316	100	-0	+0	-3	-4	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	109	100	18	4	1	1	4	34	5	4	0	180	248	270	518	90	262	31	4	240	42	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	237	200	47	7	3	11	25	67	9	1	0	235	346	465	811	230	288	28	11	356	130	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
2025	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	167	138	43	6	0	3	26	35	3	0	2	312	431	420	851	109	400	21	16	390	156	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	29	27	8	3	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	296	345	407	752	111	471	34	3	338	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	98	83	28	1	2	1	12	17	3	0	0	337	439	434	873	96	415	17	12	397	162	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1José Cruz Jr.last yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA	9	4,179	153	81	247	336	445	-35	-7	17.4	17.2
	/162	664	24	13	247	336	445	-5.6	-1.1	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	9	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
#3Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	/162	664	41	6	195	320	459	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#4Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#5Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#6José Hernándezlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,901 PA	7	2,901	95	17	254	316	413	-11	+5	8.5	8.5
	/162	664	22	4	254	316	413	-2.4	+1.0	1.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,200	121	27	224	314	411	-19	-6	8.6	7.9
	/162	664	25	6	224	314	411	-4.0	-1.3	1.8	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Charlie Condon (OGILVIE)	23	47→49	63→65	39	49	223/326/421	198	296	23	8	31%	10%	109	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Franmil Reyes 2018 · AA	23	44→51	52→65	41→45	41	229/274/392	163	288	20	4	28%	6%	83	+0.6	252/313/464	212	315	30	2	29%	8%	119	+3.1	258/326/483	225	316	34	0	29%	9%	127	+2.6
●Andrés Chaparro 2022 · A	23	43→49	48→60	43→40	47	217/299/360	143	289	15	5	29%	9%	85	+0.7	229/293/410	181	279	23	5	26%	7%	96	+1.5	231/292/422	191	271	25	4	25%	7%	96	+1.2
●Spencer Torkelson 2023 · MLB	23	41→46	52→60	41→40	50	216/300/381	165	267	20	4	27%	10%	92	+1.2	232/313/435	203	284	26	3	27%	10%	111	+2.5	236/320/456	220	284	29	2	27%	10%	116	+3.1
●Paul DeJong 2017 · AA	23	46→50	48→60	47→45	39	230/280/372	142	310	15	7	30%	5%	80	+0.4	247/303/445	198	306	25	4	27%	6%	110	+2.4	247/312/461	214	291	28	4	26%	7%	115	+2.8
●Mike Wilson 2007 · AA	24	43→53	51→60	43→50	41	221/286/379	159	304	18	6	33%	7%	85	+0.7	208/281/381	173	299	22	8	36%	7%	85	+0.7	233/307/410	177	297	22	9	28%	9%	98	+1.0
●Nolan Reimold 2008 · AA	24	44→54	53→60	43→50	44	228/295/399	172	295	20	9	30%	8%	95	+1.4	248/318/420	172	286	21	9	21%	8%	109	+2.4	243/319/405	161	275	20	9	19%	9%	103	+1.8
●Josh Fields 2006 · AA	23	43→53	47→55	42→50	40	215/280/346	131	300	15	7	32%	7%	74	-0.1	235/298/403	168	322	20	14	32%	8%	97	+1.5	234/301/411	178	318	22	15	32%	8%	97	+1.3
●Casey Schmitt 2023 · AAA	24	44→48	47→60	44→45	40	222/273/353	131	290	15	4	28%	6%	72	-0.2	235/286/375	140	292	16	7	25%	6%	84	+0.6	251/302/434	183	287	25	8	22%	5%	105	+1.3
●Todd Frazier 2009 · A	23	46→51	48→60	46→50	44	231/291/377	146	296	16	8	27%	7%	86	+0.8	229/281/381	152	287	16	11	25%	6%	83	+0.6	243/310/454	211	268	30	14	22%	8%	112	+2.9
●Rhys Hoskins 2017 · AA	24	44→54	51→65	45	44	226/293/385	160	294	19	6	29%	7%	90	+1.0	229/328/450	221	262	28	5	24%	12%	121	+3.2	227/344/466	239	251	30	4	23%	14%	127	+4.1
●Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	39→49	51→60	46→45	47	205/296/366	161	279	19	5	32%	10%	87	+0.8	218/291/386	168	283	20	3	29%	8%	89	+1.0	231/305/421	189	283	24	1	27%	8%	101	+1.5
●Mark Trumbo 2009 · AA	23	42→52	52→65	42→45	40	224/262/389	165	263	21	6	24%	4%	78	+0.2	241/278/418	177	288	22	6	24%	5%	92	+1.2	253/304/481	227	290	32	6	25%	6%	114	+2.7
●Ike Davis 2010 · AA	23	48→54	52→60	41→40	44	242/302/414	172	326	19	3	31%	8%	101	+1.8	255/334/446	191	313	22	3	24%	11%	122	+3.3	252/339/460	208	294	26	1	23%	11%	122	+2.5
★Jesús Aguilar 2014 · AA	24	45→50	50→65	41→40	42	228/285/378	150	296	18	2	29%	6%	85	+0.7	225/278/363	138	278	17	2	25%	6%	77	+0.1	259/341/490	231	306	32	0	26%	10%	133	+2.8
✕Koby Clemens 2010 · AA	23	48→53	50→60	45	44	236/300/399	163	317	16	4	30%	8%	96	+1.5	211/281/383	172	298	20	7	34%	8%	85	+0.7	190/266/361	171	268	21	7	36%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Kevin Cornelius 2016 · A	23	45	49→65	49→40	47	228/295/372	144	299	17	6	29%	9%	87	+0.8	221/279/391	170	332	21	3	38%	7%	85	+0.7	204/261/393	189	303	25	0	40%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brock Peterson 2007 · A	23	47→50	49→55	41→40	42	236/294/383	148	303	17	4	28%	6%	89	+1.0	240/298/390	150	312	16	3	27%	6%	93	+1.3	240/299/391	150	313	16	1	27%	6%	90	+0.8
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2013 · A	23	40→50	51→55	40→50	42	209/279/368	159	285	19	5	33%	7%	80	+0.4	225/288/356	131	306	14	10	29%	8%	80	+0.4	229/307/382	153	312	19	3	31%	9%	93	+1.0
●Hunter Renfroe 2015 · AA	23	44→47	54→70	48→45	39	227/280/405	177	307	22	8	33%	6%	89	+1.0	231/270/412	181	301	23	6	31%	5%	87	+0.8	243/302/508	265	278	38	4	28%	7%	124	+2.8
✕Andrew Brown 2009 · AA	24	46→47	51→55	44→40	41	227/291/387	160	325	19	3	35%	8%	89	+1.0	239/300/409	170	312	22	4	29%	7%	99	+1.7	240/304/417	176	307	24	3	29%	7%	100	+1.1