Maika Niu — OGILVIE

Maika NiuCF Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 23 R/R A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .275 / .328

PA87

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	100	85	18	4	0	4	12	28	1	6	0	212	316	400	716	188	255	28	12	316	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	100	90	15	3	0	3	7	37	1	6	0	167	235	300	535	133	216	37	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	100	90	15	3	0	3	7	37	1	6	0	167	235	300	535	133	231	37	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	100	85	18	4	0	4	12	28	1	6	0	212	316	400	716	188	255	28	12	316	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	100	92	15	3	0	3	7	37	1	6	0	163	235	293	528	130	216	37	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	100	92	15	3	0	3	7	37	1	6	0	163	235	293	528	130	216	37	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	210	191	40	8	1	4	15	63	2	5	1	212	277	331	608	119	289	30	7	274	71	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	30%	157	143	31	6	1	3	12	46	1	4	1	215	280	338	618	123	290	29	8	278	74	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYY	44%	259	236	51	10	1	6	19	76	2	6	1	217	283	343	626	126	290	29	7	281	76	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	331	300	66	12	2	8	25	96	3	8	2	218	285	347	631	128	290	29	8	283	78	-9	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	370	336	74	14	2	9	28	106	3	9	2	219	286	347	633	129	289	29	8	284	78	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	393	356	78	15	2	9	30	112	4	9	2	218	285	346	631	128	289	28	8	283	78	-10	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	400	363	79	15	2	9	30	115	4	9	2	216	283	340	623	124	288	29	8	280	76	-12	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	401	365	78	15	2	8	30	117	3	8	2	213	279	333	612	119	286	29	7	276	73	-13	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	30%	48	44	9	2	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	216	281	343	625	127	290	29	8	280	74	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYY	44%	115	104	23	4	1	3	9	34	1	3	1	218	284	349	632	131	290	30	8	284	76	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	168	151	33	6	1	4	13	48	2	4	1	220	286	353	638	133	290	29	8	286	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	194	175	39	7	1	5	15	56	2	4	1	220	287	353	640	133	290	29	8	287	78	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	210	190	42	8	1	5	16	60	2	5	1	220	287	352	638	132	289	29	8	286	78	-6	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	210	190	42	8	1	5	16	61	2	5	1	217	284	346	630	128	288	29	8	283	76	-6	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	209	189	42	8	1	5	16	61	2	4	1	214	280	338	618	124	286	29	8	278	73	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1154	1043	230	43	6	28	89	334	11	26	6	221	289	354	643	133	294	29	8	284	75	-33	+3	-2	+4	+25	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	129	24	3	16	50	188	6	15	3	220	287	353	640	133	293	29	8	284	75	-18	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2498	2269	488	93	12	57	187	731	22	61	12	215	281	342	623	127	288	29	7	279	75	-68	+6	-4	+9	+52	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	127	24	3	15	49	190	6	16	3	215	283	342	625	127	288	29	8	279	75	-19	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,153	26	26	218	281	344	+4	+8	0.6	0.6
/162	664	15	15	+2.4	+4.3	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maika Niu (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	210/275/328	118	289	2	2	30%	7%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Eudy Pina 2014 · A	23	38→47	44→45	52→55	40	192/259/316	124	275	10	12	33%	7%	62	-1.4	224/270/327	103	312	8	9	29%	5%	68	-1.0	233/272/321	88	320	6	8	28%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	40→45	42→50	51→50	37	200/246/305	105	276	10	12	31%	4%	54	-2.0	220/261/355	135	283	15	9	27%	4%	72	-0.7	224/264/367	142	289	15	7	28%	4%	73	-0.5
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Narciso Crook 2018 · A	23	39→43	43→50	48→50	34	195/240/306	111	295	11	9	37%	5%	53	-2.1	220/271/346	126	319	11	11	33%	5%	73	-0.6	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Devin Shines 2013 · A	24	41	44→50	50	37	207/259/322	115	290	12	11	32%	5%	63	-1.3	195/247/290	95	283	8	9	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/202/217	68	215	5	7	32%	6%	15	-1.6
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	39→44	46→55	51→50	36	195/262/318	123	289	14	12	36%	5%	65	-1.2	203/263/356	153	280	18	9	33%	6%	74	-0.6	207/271/356	148	277	17	8	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Lane Adams 2013 · A	23	44→45	42→50	52→60	39	215/259/317	102	292	9	12	29%	5%	61	-1.5	221/274/336	115	290	11	24	26%	6%	72	-0.7	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕John Norwood 2016 · A	23	38→48	42→45	50	39	194/246/296	102	269	10	19	32%	6%	52	-2.2	220/277/328	108	315	10	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	223/281/330	107	319	10	9	31%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Logan Hill 2017 · A	24	40	44→50	49→45	36	200/254/320	120	295	12	10	35%	5%	61	-1.5	207/270/354	147	294	17	5	34%	7%	75	-0.5	201/266/351	150	279	19	2	34%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Niko Decolati 2021 · A	23	43→46	42→45	51→55	36	211/267/313	103	297	9	13	31%	4%	64	-1.3	212/282/300	88	310	8	19	32%	7%	67	-1.1	205/288/284	80	300	7	22	31%	9%	64	-0.7
✕P.J. Hilson 2024 · A	23	37	46→50	56→50	35	195/241/325	130	266	14	13	32%	4%	57	-1.8	196/242/318	122	267	15	15	32%	4%	56	-1.9	183/233/293	110	250	15	19	33%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43	42→55	46→50	41	212/261/320	108	276	9	8	26%	6%	63	-1.4	217/266/376	159	292	21	8	32%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/366	162	259	21	10	29%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Barrett Barnes 2014 · A	23	43→53	43→45	50	38	212/261/318	106	297	11	13	32%	5%	63	-1.4	222/287/342	120	289	11	14	26%	7%	78	-0.3	232/299/352	120	307	10	12	26%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Willy Vasquez 2024 · A	22	40→43	44→45	52→50	38	201/249/316	115	280	12	15	32%	6%	58	-1.7	205/250/302	97	304	9	15	34%	5%	55	-2.0	205/253/290	85	311	7	17	34%	5%	50	-1.0
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→50	55→60	37	197/257/316	119	307	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	204/272/327	123	301	11	26	34%	7%	70	-0.9	195/271/326	131	284	11	34	33%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Brandon Sizemore 2010 · A	23	42	46→50	54→50	38	208/268/342	134	288	13	12	31%	5%	72	-0.7	201/248/314	113	272	11	7	29%	5%	57	-1.8	169/206/275	106	214	13	3	28%	4%	31	-1.3
✕Melky Mesa 2010 · A	23	35→45	47→55	51→55	34	182/238/317	135	283	15	10	40%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/355	147	305	16	18	36%	6%	74	-0.6	211/269/364	153	299	17	21	34%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A	23	44→43	40→50	53→55	40	211/273/310	98	303	7	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	218/286/346	128	290	12	10	27%	7%	79	-0.2	222/308/380	158	297	16	16	29%	8%	94	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps