Jack Seppings — OGILVIE

Jack Seppings P Biloxi Shuckers

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.44

FIP5.44

K%17.0%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%1.9%

ROS IP43

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	3	0	4	21	2	3	0	0%	1.3	9.5%	14.3%	-4.8%	0.0%	9.00	4.11	—
2024	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	3	0	4	21	2	3	0	0%	1.3	9.5%	14.3%	-4.8%	0.0%	9.00	4.11	—
2024	22	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	3	0	4	21	2	3	0	0%	1.3	9.5%	14.3%	-4.8%	0.0%	9.00	4.35	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	61	273	56	38	3	0%	1.7	15.5%	16.2%	-0.7%	1.1%	3.67	4.46	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	61	273	56	38	3	0%	1.7	15.5%	16.2%	-0.7%	1.1%	3.67	4.46	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	61	273	56	38	3	0%	1.7	20.5%	13.9%	6.6%	1.1%	3.67	3.77	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	28	1	77	318	53	21	8	4%	2.8	13.1%	6.9%	6.2%	3.4%	4.09	4.72	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	28	1	77	318	53	21	8	4%	2.8	13.1%	6.9%	6.2%	3.4%	4.09	4.72	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	MIL	12	0	27	116	21	6	3	0%	2.2	18.1%	5.2%	12.9%	2.6%	4.72	3.65	—
2026	24	AA RAW	MIL	14	1	43	174	27	12	5	7%	3.1	15.5%	6.9%	8.6%	2.9%	4.40	4.24	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	MIL	2	0	7	28	5	3	0	0%	3.6	17.9%	10.7%	7.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.95	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIL	73	0	76	322	60	43	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	2.7%	5.18	5.08	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIL	73	0	76	322	63	42	9	0%	1.0	19.6%	13.0%	6.6%	2.7%	5.03	4.97	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIL	72	0	75	318	63	41	9	0%	1.0	19.7%	12.9%	6.9%	2.8%	4.98	4.98	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIL	69	0	73	308	61	40	9	0%	1.1	19.7%	12.9%	6.8%	2.9%	5.01	5.04	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIL	66	0	70	294	57	39	9	0%	1.1	19.5%	13.2%	6.3%	3.0%	5.11	5.18	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIL	62	0	65	276	53	37	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	13.5%	5.7%	3.2%	5.26	5.35	-0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIL	31	0	33	139	26	19	4	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	2.7%	5.18	5.08	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIL	49	0	51	215	42	28	6	0%	1.0	19.6%	13.0%	6.6%	2.7%	5.03	4.97	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55	0	58	245	48	31	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	12.9%	6.9%	2.8%	4.98	4.98	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIL	58	0	61	258	51	33	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	12.9%	6.8%	2.9%	5.01	5.04	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIL	58	0	61	258	50	34	8	0%	1.1	19.5%	13.2%	6.3%	3.0%	5.11	5.18	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIL	56	0	59	249	48	34	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	13.5%	5.7%	3.2%	5.26	5.35	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		309	0	324	1369	266	179	40	0%	1.0	19.4%	13.1%	6.3%	2.9%	5.09	4.73	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	110	25	0%	1.1	19.4%	13.1%	6.3%	2.9%	5.09	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		68	1	142	612	86	69	14	1%	2.1	14.0%	11.3%	2.7%	2.2%	4.05	4.58	-2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	1	200	860	121	97	19	1%	2.1	14.0%	11.3%	2.7%	2.2%	4.05	4.58	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Seppings (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.44	17.0%	15.1%	2.7%	—	5.01	19.3%	6.3%	228	-0.43	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	93
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	88
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	87
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	87
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	85
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
John Matthews R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	16.5%	13.0%	2.1%	.264	5.00	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.49	4.51	213	84
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	84
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	84
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	84
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	84
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	84
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	83
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	68	19.2%	13.3%	1.11	5.12
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58