Adrian IbarraSS
DSL Marlins
Age 20
R/R
6'2" / 175 lbs
ROK
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.3 · 2032
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .272 / .305
PA59
HR1
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.3peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.3 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.3 | $23M | +$22M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.2 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.0 | $21M | +$17M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.7 | $18M | +$12M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +1.5 | $17M | +$9M |
| Totals | $21M | $123M | +$102M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 175 | 165 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 54 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .218 | .259 | .285 | .543 | .067 | .315 | 31 | 3 | .236 | 39 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 100 | 91 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .132 | .210 | .176 | .386 | .044 | .208 | 37 | 6 | .169 | -12 | -13 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | MIA | 59 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .204 | .271 | .296 | .567 | .093 | .288 | 29 | 7 | .264 | 60 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | MIA | 118 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .215 | .282 | .327 | .609 | .112 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | MIA | 263 | 236 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 70 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .233 | .307 | .381 | .688 | .148 | .292 | 27 | 8 | .301 | 88 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | MIA | 367 | 328 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 95 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .232 | .308 | .378 | .686 | .146 | .293 | 26 | 9 | .309 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | MIA | 438 | 390 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 112 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .236 | .315 | .392 | .707 | .156 | .293 | 26 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | MIA | 480 | 426 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 121 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .237 | .319 | .392 | .711 | .155 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | MIA | 505 | 446 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 128 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .238 | .320 | .395 | .715 | .157 | .294 | 25 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 2.3 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 516 | 456 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 131 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .237 | .319 | .397 | .716 | .160 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 2.3 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 519 | 458 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 133 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .236 | .319 | .395 | .714 | .159 | .294 | 26 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 514 | 453 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 133 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .234 | .318 | .389 | .707 | .155 | .293 | 26 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 506 | 446 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 133 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .233 | .317 | .388 | .705 | .155 | .292 | 26 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 494 | 437 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 131 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .227 | .312 | .375 | .687 | .149 | .290 | 27 | 10 | .309 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 477 | 423 | 96 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 129 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .227 | .310 | .374 | .684 | .147 | .289 | 27 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 448 | 397 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 125 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .303 | .358 | .661 | .139 | .287 | 28 | 10 | .298 | 87 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 403 | 357 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 116 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .216 | .300 | .347 | .647 | .132 | .285 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 348 | 308 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 103 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .296 | .338 | .633 | .127 | .283 | 30 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 290 | 258 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 89 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .285 | .314 | .599 | .112 | .280 | 31 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +3 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7020 | 6236 | 1414 | 247 | 40 | 189 | 646 | 1890 | 83 | 102 | 21 | .227 | .308 | .370 | .678 | .143 | .292 | 27 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -78 | +12 | -31 | +75 | +199 | 18.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 132 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 60 | 175 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .229 | .310 | .376 | .686 | .147 | .295 | 27 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 1.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 175 | 161 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .286 | .339 | .379 | .718 | .093 | .363 | 21 | 6 | .323 | 105 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 100 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .170 | .270 | .227 | .497 | .057 | .230 | 26 | 9 | .240 | 42 | -7 | -1 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Adrian Ibarra (OGILVIE) | 20 | — | — | — | — | .207/.272/.305 | .098 | .288 | 1 | 1 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Alex Liddi 2009 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 40→60 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.249/.300 | .098 | .290 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .240/.291/.399 | .159 | .335 | 16 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
✕David Bote 2014 · A |
21 | 40→48 | 39→55 | 47→45 | 47 | .191/.269/.278 | .087 | .263 | 6 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .204/.273/.294 | .090 | .273 | 6 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.308/.397 | .164 | .298 | 19 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
●Christopher Morel 2019 · A |
20 | 38→46 | 41→60 | 46→50 | 45 | .191/.255/.285 | .094 | .243 | 9 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .204/.250/.320 | .116 | .282 | 11 | 11 | 31% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .224/.302/.431 | .208 | .280 | 28 | 10 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A |
20 | 41→50 | 42→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .202/.253/.302 | .099 | .256 | 10 | 14 | 25% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .228/.267/.382 | .154 | .289 | 16 | 19 | 26% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 | .244/.283/.399 | .155 | .300 | 17 | 24 | 24% | 4% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2016 · A |
20 | 43→51 | 37→55 | 51→55 | 42 | .200/.259/.277 | .077 | .294 | 3 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .194/.260/.302 | .108 | .313 | 10 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
●Austin Dean 2014 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 40→55 | 45 | 45 | .197/.269/.289 | .093 | .270 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .229/.274/.325 | .096 | .288 | 7 | 6 | 22% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .257/.302/.413 | .156 | .304 | 17 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕Yairo Muñoz 2015 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 38→50 | 48→55 | 42 | .195/.251/.276 | .081 | .262 | 4 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .218/.254/.321 | .103 | .267 | 10 | 9 | 22% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .270/.315/.386 | .116 | .325 | 11 | 18 | 20% | 5% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 39 | .205/.255/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .224/.267/.352 | .128 | .288 | 14 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .253/.308/.383 | .131 | .298 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 93 | +0.8 |
|
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2017 · A |
21 | 40→50 | 37→55 | 49→45 | 43 | .190/.250/.266 | .075 | .266 | 3 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .234/.273/.341 | .107 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 23% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | .246/.303/.412 | .166 | .293 | 19 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→55 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.248/.282 | .080 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 31% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .219/.267/.307 | .088 | .310 | 5 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .248/.301/.421 | .173 | .319 | 22 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 100 | +1.3 |
|
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A |
20 | 37→42 | 41→50 | 46→50 | 45 | .182/.264/.278 | .096 | .277 | 8 | 8 | 35% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .199/.261/.332 | .133 | .287 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .207/.263/.362 | .155 | .281 | 19 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Joe Benson 2008 · A |
20 | 45→50 | 40→60 | 46→50 | 41 | .213/.277/.310 | .097 | .303 | 6 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .219/.290/.341 | .122 | .316 | 10 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .231/.309/.414 | .183 | .319 | 19 | 15 | 32% | 8% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A |
21 | 40→47 | 41→55 | 46→55 | 42 | .197/.253/.288 | .091 | .267 | 9 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .203/.263/.335 | .132 | .270 | 14 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .225/.292/.400 | .175 | .278 | 20 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 |
|
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A |
20 | 38→48 | 38→55 | 47→50 | 37 | .187/.241/.269 | .081 | .271 | 6 | 7 | 32% | 5% | 37 | -2.7 | .181/.227/.256 | .075 | .277 | 5 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 27 | -3.3 | .244/.289/.369 | .125 | .331 | 12 | 16 | 29% | 5% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Chris Nelson 2007 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 42→50 | 49→50 | 37 | .204/.244/.308 | .104 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 48 | -1.9 | .223/.274/.359 | .136 | .280 | 13 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .257/.301/.387 | .130 | .311 | 13 | 7 | 21% | 5% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
●Moisés Sierra 2009 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 41→50 | 46→50 | 36 | .202/.247/.296 | .095 | .277 | 9 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 46 | -2.0 | .235/.283/.338 | .103 | .304 | 9 | 9 | 25% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .250/.316/.378 | .129 | .306 | 14 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A |
20 | 38→42 | 43→55 | 47→50 | 37 | .193/.234/.307 | .114 | .265 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .196/.235/.344 | .148 | .269 | 17 | 6 | 33% | 4% | 54 | -1.4 | .207/.276/.361 | .154 | .269 | 19 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A |
19 | 40→44 | 41→55 | 48→50 | 50 | .198/.276/.300 | .102 | .259 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .193/.268/.290 | .097 | .299 | 8 | 7 | 35% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .213/.322/.409 | .196 | .275 | 24 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A |
19 | 39 | 38→55 | 47→45 | 39 | .185/.251/.256 | .071 | .289 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .226/.287/.352 | .126 | .291 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.309/.417 | .169 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 103 | +0.7 |
|
✕Ronny Rodríguez 2012 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 45→55 | 48→50 | 35 | .206/.235/.337 | .131 | .268 | 11 | 9 | 28% | 3% | 51 | -1.7 | .213/.239/.340 | .127 | .268 | 13 | 8 | 25% | 3% | 54 | -1.4 | .248/.275/.413 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 13 | 23% | 3% | 86 | +0.6 |