Francisco Caldera

C DSL Astros Blue

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 193 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Astros Or…	151	.228/.342/.307	2	9	22	—	.143/.235/.180
2025	19	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	35	.222/.382/.556	2	0	52	—	.138/.265/.345
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBHOU	145	.210/.278/.292	1	2	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBHOU	39	.216/.284/.308	0	1	67	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBHOU	120	.219/.288/.319	2	2	71	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

CompsLuis Valenzuela (age 21) · Imbewer Alvarez (age 21) · Jalen Miller (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .275 / .289

PA41

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	81	16	3	1	2	15	22	1	1	0	198	330	333	663	136	241	22	15	305	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	127	29	4	0	2	16	26	6	9	1	228	342	307	649	79	267	17	11	303	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	27	6	1	1	2	7	11	0	0	1	222	382	556	938	333	267	31	20	393	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	85	11	2	1	1	11	27	1	1	0	129	237	212	449	82	149	28	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	133	19	2	0	1	10	33	6	9	1	143	235	180	415	38	179	22	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	29	4	1	1	1	5	14	0	0	1	138	265	345	610	207	162	40	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	85	11	2	1	1	11	27	1	1	0	129	237	212	449	82	172	28	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	81	16	3	1	2	15	22	1	1	0	198	330	333	663	136	241	22	15	305	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	133	19	2	0	1	10	33	6	9	1	143	235	180	415	38	178	22	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	127	29	4	0	2	16	26	6	9	1	228	342	307	649	79	267	17	11	303	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	29	4	1	1	1	5	14	0	0	1	138	265	345	610	207	200	40	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	27	6	1	1	2	7	11	0	0	1	222	382	556	938	333	267	31	20	393	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	86	11	2	1	1	11	27	1	1	0	128	237	209	446	81	149	28	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	134	19	2	0	1	10	33	6	9	1	142	235	179	414	37	179	22	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	30	4	1	1	1	5	14	0	0	1	133	265	333	598	200	162	40	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	134	19	2	0	1	10	33	6	9	1	142	235	179	414	37	179	22	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	30	4	1	1	1	5	14	0	0	1	133	265	333	598	200	162	40	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	145	132	27	4	1	1	10	40	2	2	1	210	278	292	570	82	286	28	7	260	62	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	113	102	21	3	1	1	8	31	2	2	0	213	282	305	587	91	287	27	7	267	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	247	224	49	8	2	4	18	66	3	4	1	217	286	316	601	99	288	27	7	273	71	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	347	313	69	11	2	6	26	92	5	6	1	220	289	325	614	105	289	27	7	278	74	-11	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	407	368	81	13	3	7	30	107	6	7	1	222	291	333	624	111	290	26	7	282	77	-11	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	444	402	90	14	3	9	33	116	6	7	2	224	293	339	631	115	290	26	7	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	463	419	93	15	3	9	35	122	6	7	2	222	292	336	628	113	289	26	8	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	470	426	94	15	3	9	35	124	6	6	1	221	290	331	621	111	288	26	7	281	76	-13	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	468	424	92	15	3	8	35	125	6	4	1	218	287	325	612	107	286	27	7	277	74	-15	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	462	419	90	14	3	8	34	125	6	2	1	215	283	317	600	102	284	27	7	272	70	-16	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	39	35	7	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	216	284	308	592	92	291	28	8	270	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	120	108	24	4	1	2	9	32	2	2	0	219	288	319	607	100	292	27	8	275	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	183	164	36	6	1	3	14	49	3	3	1	222	291	328	619	106	293	27	8	280	74	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	223	201	46	8	2	4	17	59	3	4	1	224	293	336	629	111	294	26	8	284	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	247	223	52	9	2	5	19	65	3	4	1	226	295	342	637	116	294	26	8	287	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	255	231	53	9	2	5	19	67	3	4	1	225	294	339	633	114	293	26	7	286	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	257	233	53	9	2	5	19	68	3	3	1	223	292	334	626	111	292	26	7	283	76	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	250	226	50	8	2	4	19	67	3	2	1	220	289	328	617	107	290	27	8	279	74	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	243	220	49	8	2	4	18	66	3	1	0	217	285	320	605	103	288	27	7	274	70	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1817	1641	370	62	14	32	137	484	24	24	6	225	295	339	633	113	298	27	8	281	71	-54	+2	-2	+32	+39	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	132	22	5	11	49	173	9	9	2	225	295	336	631	111	298	27	8	281	71	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3746	3381	720	114	25	64	283	993	54	56	12	213	284	318	603	105	280	27	8	273	71	-104	+5	-4	+62	+75	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	125	20	4	11	49	172	9	10	2	213	283	317	600	104	280	26	8	273	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,856	32	24	221	286	329	+33	+24	3.1	3.0
/162	664	12	9	+11.9	+8.6	1.1	pk7: 3
#5Al Spohrer'28-'35 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,383 PA	3.6	2,383	6	13	230*	282*	337*	+43	+0	2.6	2.9
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Caldera (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	208/275/289	82	286	0	1	28%	7%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Jalen Miller 2018 · A	21	39→44	39→45	47→50	38	192/234/281	89	260	6	7	28%	5%	44	-2.8	207/251/318	111	274	11	12	28%	5%	59	-1.7	184/243/300	116	238	12	18	28%	7%	49	-1.5
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕David Kandilas 2011 · A	20	41→44	38→45	51→55	39	199/238/277	78	271	5	10	28%	5%	44	-2.8	216/269/318	102	283	7	15	25%	6%	65	-1.2	214/274/312	98	280	7	19	25%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Phillip Evans 2014 · A	21	39→49	37→45	45→40	44	189/239/257	67	237	4	5	22%	6%	40	-3.1	217/264/293	76	271	5	3	21%	6%	57	-1.8	215/290/341	125	253	14	3	20%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Jesus Lopez 2018 · A	21	41	38→50	49→40	38	198/237/277	79	273	5	7	29%	5%	43	-2.8	207/249/326	119	255	13	6	24%	5%	60	-1.6	185/225/313	128	214	16	2	22%	4%	45	-1.4
✕Javier Castillo 2006 · A	22	39→49	38→45	47→45	37	189/237/265	76	271	5	6	31%	5%	41	-3.0	225/269/332	107	296	8	7	26%	5%	68	-1.0	241/285/359	118	310	9	6	24%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	175/242/244	69	268	3	6	34%	5%	40	-3.1	213/255/306	93	315	7	4	33%	4%	57	-1.8	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	176/239/245	69	249	3	10	29%	7%	38	-3.2	210/270/299	89	304	8	12	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/284/309	88	314	7	14	30%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Nate Nankil 2024 · A	21	42→51	37→40	50→45	43	198/250/270	72	264	4	7	26%	6%	47	-2.5	225/294/314	89	290	7	5	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/293/305	83	282	7	5	22%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→50	48→45	42	174/249/268	95	270	5	6	35%	8%	47	-2.5	202/266/320	118	277	11	6	30%	7%	66	-1.1	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	39	38→45	49→50	45	189/262/271	82	256	4	11	26%	7%	53	-2.1	189/262/284	95	312	7	8	38%	8%	56	-1.9	153/243/273	121	268	13	9	44%	10%	46	-1.1
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	191/224/270	79	281	4	10	33%	4%	36	-3.3	181/266/248	67	242	2	17	24%	9%	50	-2.3	158/266/216	57	204	1	25	20%	11%	42	-1.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jhonny Santos 2018 · A	21	42→41	36→45	51→50	44	200/247/260	60	250	3	12	21%	6%	43	-2.8	206/261/306	100	282	9	15	29%	6%	60	-1.6	195/250/313	117	257	13	12	29%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Jesse Hodges 2015 · A	21	39→44	38→40	50→40	36	189/240/264	75	283	5	5	34%	5%	42	-2.9	196/250/282	86	292	7	3	33%	6%	50	-2.3	190/241/292	102	273	9	2	33%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Luis Verdugo 2022 · A	21	37→47	40	48→45	34	183/222/273	90	278	7	6	36%	4%	38	-3.2	208/261/298	90	274	6	5	25%	6%	58	-1.7	211/265/294	82	268	6	4	22%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	38→43	42→50	53→50	32	191/223/294	104	286	9	12	36%	4%	42	-2.9	201/247/311	110	301	10	10	35%	5%	56	-1.9	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3

Francisco Caldera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps