Jhocsuanth VargasC Hickory Crawdads
Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .235 / .250
PA17
HR0
K%29
BB%6
BABIP273
ISO62
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: -0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.81.70.30.60.91.11.21.21.21.1+$52M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.2$6M+$5M
2034Arb-1$2M+1.2$5M+$4M
2035Arb-2$3M+1.1$4M+$3M
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $8M $27M +$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL Rangers Blue 126114 22601 7295 41 193270272542 79250 236 238 40
202316 ROKDSL Rangers Blue 126110 30702 11195 41 273365391756 118315 159 345 122
202417 ROKACL Rangers 3732 8002 340 01 250314438752 188214 118 291 81
202417 ROKACL Rangers 3731 9002 430 01 290371484855 194250 811 359 133
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ATEX 3936 3100 1200 01 83108111219 28167 513 92 -71 -8 -0 +0 +1 +1 -0.6
YTD19 ATEX 3936 4100 1140 01 111135139274 28167 363 120 -50 -7 -0 +0 +1 +1 -0.5
ROS19 ATEX 0% 1716 3100 150 00 188235250485 62280 296 252 51 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
ROS19 MLBTEX 0% 01 0000 000 00 281 245 46 +0 +0
FULL19 ATEX 3937 3100 1200 01 81108108216 27158 513 92 -71 -8 -0 +0 +1 +1 -0.6
TOT19 ATEX 5652 6200 2250 01 115148154302 38207 454 141 -34 -8 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBTEX 34% 160147 32613 10442 21 218277333610 116283 286 264 61 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
202821 MLBTEX 48% 300274 591125 19824 31 215276325601 109285 276 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
202922 MLBTEX 54% 405370 811528 271095 52 219281335616 116286 277 279 72 -13 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.6
203023 MLBTEX 57% 475434 9718310 321266 62 224286348634 124287 277 283 75 -13 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.9
203124 MLBTEX 57% 520473 10720311 351387 62 226289351640 125288 277 286 77 -14 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.1
203225 MLBTEX 57% 520473 10820312 351387 62 228291359651 131288 277 287 78 -13 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.2
203326 MLBTEX 56% 520473 10720312 351387 62 226289357647 131288 277 288 79 -13 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.2
203427 MLBTEX 55% 520472 10619312 361387 62 225289354643 129288 277 288 79 -13 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.2
203528 MLBTEX 55% 520472 10619312 361397 62 225289354643 129288 277 287 78 -13 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.1
202720 MLBTEX 34% 5551 11201 3151 10 216273314586 98285 275 257 55 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202821 MLBTEX 48% 145133 29513 9392 21 218278338616 120287 276 265 61 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
202922 MLBTEX 54% 220200 44814 15593 31 220284330614 110288 277 271 66 -8 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203023 MLBTEX 57% 269246 551016 18713 31 224285346630 122289 267 275 69 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203124 MLBTEX 57% 294268 611127 20784 31 228291362653 134290 277 278 71 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203225 MLBTEX 57% 294268 611127 20784 31 228291362653 134290 277 279 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203326 MLBTEX 56% 294268 611127 20784 31 228291362653 134290 277 280 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203427 MLBTEX 55% 288262 591117 20764 31 225290355645 130290 267 280 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203528 MLBTEX 55% 285259 591117 20764 31 228293359652 131289 277 279 72 -9 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 21441956 440801149 14557029 248 225288352641 127291 277 276 70 -74 +2 -0 +38 +61 2.7
/ 162G 650593 13324315 441739 72 224288351639 126290 277 276 70 -22 +1 -0 +12 +18 0.8
Career 41203750 8361552388 276109057 5018 223286347633 124288 267 282 74 -120 +3 -1 +74 +117 7.4
/ 162G 650592 13224414 441729 83 223287348635 125288 267 282 74 -19 +0 -0 +12 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL Rangers Blue 126110 30702 11195 41 273365391756 118315 159 345 122 +3 +0 +4 0.7
202417 ROKACL Rangers 3731 9002 430 01 290371484855 194250 811 359 133 +1 -0 +1 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,2004825224284348+39+244.24.1
/162664148+11.9+7.21.3pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jhocsuanth Vargas (OGILVIE) 19 115/148/154 38207 00 45% 4% -34 -0.6
Miguel Palma
2021 · A
19 42 41→45 48→40 42 201/285/303 102283 911 30% 7% 66 -0.6 214/290/334 120285 135 28% 8% 76 +0.0 213/279/33011727714227%7%69-0.2
Jose Ovalles
2013 · A
19 40 42→45 45→40 47 199/278/308 110248 95 23% 7% 64 -0.8 215/277/321 106257 95 19% 6% 66 -0.6 219/276/3291102429314%6%66-0.2
Jeferson Quero
2023 · A
20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
René Pinto
2016 · A
19 44 42→60 49→40 43 217/263/331 114262 97 21% 5% 62 -0.9 222/264/330 108283 94 24% 5% 62 -0.9 211/247/38417228824335%4%67-0.3
Miguel Amaya
2019 · A
20 43→42 45→50 48→40 45 215/281/332 117268 134 25% 7% 71 -0.3 214/290/343 129271 144 25% 8% 78 +0.2 228/299/36814027116122%7%86+0.3
Jett Williams
2023 · A
19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
Thayron Liranzo
2022 · A
19 45→43 39→50 49→30 44 211/285/298 86311 68 32% 8% 63 -0.8 210/293/378 168310 193 36% 10% 89 +0.9 201/295/38318329122136%11%86+0.4
Yohan Matos
2015 · A
18 44 43→45 51→45 42 216/276/330 114300 108 30% 7% 68 -0.5 192/252/275 83305 68 36% 7% 43 -2.2 166/241/2316428901139%8%24-0.7
Chris Suero
2023 · A
19 41→37 38→45 47→55 49 191/290/273 82290 58 32% 11% 61 -1.0 192/289/292 100287 914 33% 10% 65 -0.7 175/282/297122265132636%10%62-0.6
Arturo De Freitas
2021 · A
20 45 40→45 49→40 45 213/288/309 96295 67 28% 8% 68 -0.5 179/233/250 71283 54 36% 5% 28 -3.2 136/184/191552335042%5%-10-2.1
Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A
19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
Rodney Daal
2013 · A
19 44 40→45 49→45 44 210/276/313 103289 67 28% 7% 63 -0.8 212/259/330 118281 137 28% 5% 60 -1.0 203/242/32111825615727%4%47-1.0
Jonathan Galvez
2010 · A
19 44→46 42→50 50→55 49 212/297/322 110288 912 28% 10% 75 -0.0 215/276/339 124320 1216 34% 7% 70 -0.3 230/282/341111315101529%6%69-0.3
Sam McMillan
2019 · A
20 47 41→40 47→45 49 227/314/329 102280 86 21% 8% 85 +0.7 215/317/292 77291 47 25% 10% 77 +0.1 211/334/282712734721%12%79+0.1
Juan Aponte
2008 · A
20 45 42→45 46→40 43 220/289/325 105273 94 22% 5% 73 -0.1 204/263/283 79279 54 27% 6% 50 -1.8 199/234/217182920030%3%20-0.8
Oswaldo Linares
2023 · A
20 42 41→40 48→40 52 203/299/297 93263 96 25% 10% 70 -0.3 188/285/268 80281 74 32% 11% 57 -1.2 161/265/226652476233%11%36-1.0
Ramón Rodríguez
2018 · A
19 48 40 49→45 45 232/284/331 99286 75 21% 6% 71 -0.3 212/263/280 68261 44 19% 6% 48 -1.9 215/285/31910423612515%8%66-0.2
Yu Chang
2015 · A
19 48→46 45→50 53→45 44 237/291/367 130295 128 24% 6% 83 +0.6 199/251/326 127280 137 32% 5% 56 -1.3 215/275/36414928217429%7%75-0.0
Francisco Murillo
2006 · A
19 43 45→50 47→50 41 205/275/328 123317 126 37% 8% 68 -0.5 202/265/331 129294 147 34% 7% 64 -0.8 184/249/31813425916634%7%54-0.6
Alexis Wilson
2016 · A
19 41 43→40 52→30 44 204/267/323 119251 104 22% 6% 62 -0.9 192/260/272 80256 53 25% 7% 46 -2.0 194/254/263702436122%6%39-0.7