Jhocsuanth Vargas

C Hickory Crawdads
Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1751ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202316ROKDSL Rangers B…126.273/.365/.3912436—.177/.262/.248
202417ROKTEX37.290/.371/.4842091—.250/.314/.438
202619A/ROKTEX55.160/.192/.18000-22—.121/.154/.141
2027PROJMLE20MLBTEX165.215/.267/.30522610.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBTEX39.220/.273/.3191065-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBTEX98.223/.278/.32821690.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsEdgar Corcino (age 20) · Brian Sanchez (age 20) · Dustin Peterson (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .265 / .302
PA45
HR1
K%28
BB%6
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.30.30.20.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-2$1M———
2037Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $3M $3M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202316 ROKDSL Rangers Blue — 126110 30702 11195 41 273365391756 118315 159 345 36 — — — — — —
202417 ROKACL Rangers — 3731 9002 430 01 290371484855 194250 811 359 91 — — — — — —
202619 AHickory Crawdads — 3936 4100 1140 01 111135139274 28167 363 120 -47 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Rangers — 1614 4000 120 00 286333286619 308 126 270 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202316 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 126113 20501 8245 41 177262248510 71210 196 222 36 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 3732 8002 340 01 250314438752 188204 118 302 91 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 3936 3100 1190 01 83108111219 28152 493 98 -47 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 1614 3000 130 00 214267214481 252 196 228 40 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 126113 20501 8245 41 177262248510 71216 196 222 36 — — — — — —
202316 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Blue — 126110 30702 11195 41 273365391756 118315 159 345 36 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 3732 8002 340 01 250314438752 188214 118 302 91 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 3731 9002 430 01 290371484855 194250 811 359 91 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 5551 7100 1220 01 137154157311 20219 402 136 -22 — — — — — —
202619 A RAW2 teams — 5550 8100 2160 01 160192180372 20216 294 164 -22 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 126112 20501 8245 41 179262250512 71210 196 222 36 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 3734 8002 340 01 235314412726 176204 118 302 91 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 5554 7100 1220 01 130154148302 19181 402 136 -22 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 3734 8002 340 01 235314412726 176204 118 302 91 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 5554 7100 1220 01 130154148302 19181 402 136 -22 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLETEX 0% 165153 32412 10461 21 215267305572 89288 286 258 61 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLETEX 34% 113104 23312 7311 10 219272315588 96289 276 265 65 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.0
202922 MLB MLETEX 48% 202186 42614 13551 21 222277324601 102290 276 270 69 -7 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
203023 MLB MLETEX 54% 296273 62926 19792 31 224280332612 107291 276 275 72 -10 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.2
203124 MLB MLETEX 55% 371341 771128 24983 42 226283338621 112292 266 279 75 -11 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.4
203225 MLB MLETEX 56% 412378 861329 281083 42 228286343629 115292 267 282 77 -11 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.5
203326 MLB MLETEX 56% 436401 901329 291143 42 228286343629 116292 267 282 77 -12 +0 +0 +8 +9 0.5
203427 MLB MLETEX 55% 445409 911329 301173 42 227285341625 114291 267 281 76 -13 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.5
203528 MLB MLETEX 55% 445409 911329 301183 32 225282336619 111290 277 278 74 -14 -0 -1 +8 +10 0.3
203629 MLB MLETEX 53% 438403 901329 291183 11 222280330609 108289 277 274 72 -15 -0 -1 +8 +9 0.1
203730 MLB MLETEX 53% 427393 861228 281163 11 219276322598 103287 277 269 68 -16 -0 -2 +8 +9 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXTEX 34% 3937 8101 2110 00 220273319593 99289 285 267 65 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXTEX 48% 9891 21312 6271 10 223278328606 106290 286 272 69 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.0
203023 MLB CTXTEX 54% 161149 33413 10431 21 225281336618 111291 276 277 72 -5 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.1
203124 MLB CTXTEX 55% 206188 43615 14542 21 228285343628 115292 267 281 75 -6 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.2
203225 MLB CTXTEX 56% 231212 48715 15612 21 229287348635 119292 266 284 77 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203326 MLB CTXTEX 56% 245225 51716 16642 21 229287349636 120292 267 285 77 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203427 MLB CTXTEX 55% 246225 51716 17652 21 228286346632 118291 267 283 76 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203528 MLB CTXTEX 55% 244224 50715 16652 11 226284341625 115290 277 280 74 -8 -0 -0 +4 +5 0.2
203629 MLB CTXTEX 53% 234214 48715 16632 11 223281335615 111289 277 276 72 -8 -0 -1 +4 +5 0.0
203730 MLB CTXTEX 53% 225207 46615 15611 11 220277326603 106287 277 272 68 -8 -0 -1 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19291772 39955943 12751415 148 225283339622 114291 277 279 71 -61 -0 -2 +34 +42 1.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 13419314 431735 53 224282337619 112291 277 279 71 -20 -0 -1 +12 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 38483535 7821131877 252101730 3117 221279329607 107286 267 273 71 -115 -0 -4 +65 +79 2.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650597 13219313 431725 53 221280328608 107286 267 273 71 -21 -0 -1 +12 +14 0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 39 PAwOBA .124 → .098 (−26)K% 35.9% → 48.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.90%÷1.000×1.360——48.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.56%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0301.82%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP13.64%÷1.000×0.920—×1.03012.92%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0303.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .124 → .098; ISO .028 → .021; BABIP .167 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Rangers · 16 PAwOBA .281 → .228 (−53)K% 12.5% → 18.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷1.000×1.440——18.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.25%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9953.86%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99527.20%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .281 → .228; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .308 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Rangers · 37 PAwOBA .369 → .302 (−68)K% 8.1% → 11.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.11%÷0.993×1.440——11.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.81%÷0.971×0.620—×1.0227.06%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.014×0.820—×1.02220.66%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.011×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.040×0.780—×1.0225.48%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .369 → .302; ISO .194 → .159; BABIP .250 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 126 PAwOBA .337 → .222 (−114)K% 15.1% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.08%÷0.970×1.220——18.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.73%÷1.024×0.700—×1.0226.10%
HBP% /PA3.97%—×0.700—×1.0222.84%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.069×0.680×1.030×1.02215.46%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.901×0.600×1.030×1.0225.39%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.600×1.030×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP2.20%÷1.180×0.470—×1.0220.90%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 114, 2B 80, 3B 107, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .337 → .222; ISO .118 → .067; BABIP .315 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).