Deward Tovar

1B Hickory Crawdads

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ATEX	29	.310/.310/.345	0	0	10	—	.207/.207/.241
2025	19	ROKTEX	136	.312/.434/.536	5	2	64	—	.198/.287/.322
2026	20	ATEX	430	.235/.329/.442	18	4	57	—	.177/.254/.322
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTEX	540	.182/.256/.317	15	6	61	-0.8
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTEX	159	.190/.265/.340	5	2	67	-0.6
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTEX	243	.196/.270/.351	8	4	72	-0.7

Next 3 projected WAR -2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO83

wRC+57

wOBA53

Speed44

BB%38

Chase%35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%

CompsIverson Leonardo (age 21) · Thomas Hickman (age 21) · Izaac Pacheco (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .254 / .314

PA320

HR9

K%37

BB%8

ISO135

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	163	43	6	2	2	24	48	1	5	3	264	362	362	724	98	360	25	13	330	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	145	35	7	3	5	25	54	3	4	1	241	364	434	799	193	349	31	14	358	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	29	29	9	1	0	0	0	13	0	0	1	310	310	345	655	34	562	45	0	294	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	136	112	35	6	2	5	23	40	1	2	1	312	434	536	970	223	448	29	17	427	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	430	371	87	17	3	18	46	131	7	4	2	235	329	442	771	208	304	30	11	339	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	170	27	4	1	1	17	60	1	5	3	159	239	212	451	53	233	32	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	152	21	4	2	2	18	68	3	4	1	138	243	230	473	92	218	39	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	29	29	6	1	0	0	0	18	0	0	1	207	207	241	448	34	528	62	0	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	136	121	24	4	1	3	14	59	1	2	1	198	287	322	609	124	345	43	10	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	430	385	68	13	2	13	33	178	7	4	2	177	254	322	576	145	267	41	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	170	27	4	1	1	17	60	1	5	3	159	239	212	451	53	236	32	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	163	43	6	2	2	24	48	1	5	3	264	362	362	724	98	360	25	13	330	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	152	21	4	2	2	18	68	3	4	1	138	243	230	473	92	232	39	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	145	35	7	3	5	25	54	3	4	1	241	364	434	799	193	349	31	14	358	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	165	150	29	4	1	3	14	77	1	2	2	193	267	293	560	100	371	47	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	165	141	44	7	2	5	23	53	1	2	2	312	412	496	909	184	470	32	14	403	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	430	385	68	13	2	13	33	178	7	4	2	177	254	322	576	145	276	41	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	430	371	87	17	3	18	46	131	7	4	2	235	329	442	771	208	304	30	11	339	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	169	27	4	1	1	17	60	1	5	3	160	239	213	452	53	233	32	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	150	21	4	2	2	18	68	3	4	1	140	243	233	476	93	218	39	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	165	149	29	4	1	3	14	77	1	2	2	195	267	295	562	101	377	47	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	430	387	68	13	2	13	33	178	7	4	2	176	254	320	575	145	267	41	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	150	21	4	2	2	18	68	3	4	1	140	243	233	476	93	218	39	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	165	149	29	4	1	3	14	77	1	2	2	195	267	295	562	101	377	47	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	430	387	68	13	2	13	33	178	7	4	2	176	254	320	575	145	267	41	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	540	487	89	16	3	15	42	197	6	6	3	182	256	317	573	135	265	36	8	259	61	-25	+0	+0	-10	+12	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	464	419	79	14	2	14	37	165	5	6	3	189	263	332	595	144	268	36	8	268	67	-18	+0	+0	-8	+10	-1.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	502	450	89	16	3	16	41	174	6	8	3	194	269	343	612	149	270	35	8	274	72	-17	+0	+0	-9	+11	-1.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	542	487	96	17	3	17	44	183	6	9	4	198	273	351	624	153	272	34	8	279	75	-16	+0	+0	-10	+12	-1.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	585	525	106	19	3	19	48	194	7	10	4	201	276	356	631	155	274	33	8	283	77	-16	+0	+0	-10	+13	-1.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	159	143	28	5	1	5	13	56	2	2	1	190	265	340	605	150	268	35	8	271	67	-6	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	243	218	42	7	1	8	20	84	3	4	2	196	270	351	622	156	270	35	8	278	72	-8	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	286	258	52	9	2	10	23	97	3	5	2	200	275	359	634	159	272	34	8	283	75	-8	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	320	287	59	10	2	11	26	106	4	5	2	203	278	364	642	161	273	33	8	286	77	-9	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1008	906	181	31	6	34	82	343	12	16	7	200	275	360	635	160	275	34	8	281	64	-31	+0	+0	-18	+22	-2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	117	20	4	22	53	221	8	10	5	200	276	361	637	161	276	34	8	281	64	-20	+0	+0	-12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3370	3026	569	101	19	94	277	1216	40	52	24	188	265	327	592	139	274	36	8	263	64	-81	+1	+0	-43	+52	-7.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	109	19	4	18	53	235	8	10	5	187	264	325	589	139	272	36	8	263	64	-22	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
#4Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,329	40	20	194	265	342	-12	+0	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	20	10	-5.9	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#5Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deward Tovar (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	47→52	45→50	55	181/254/314	133	265	9	4	37%	8%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Thomas Hickman 2009 · A	21	38	47→50	46→40	43	197/270/335	138	279	15	4	34%	8%	72	-0.7	198/273/345	147	295	17	4	36%	8%	74	-0.5	177/260/328	151	260	18	1	37%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Izaac Pacheco 2024 · A	21	37→40	43→50	46→45	39	186/244/295	109	281	11	6	36%	7%	51	-2.2	192/261/331	139	309	16	5	40%	8%	67	-1.1	185/263/344	159	294	20	3	41%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Creed Willems 2024 · A	21	33→43	47→50	45→30	38	180/243/305	126	255	16	3	35%	6%	55	-2.0	206/269/346	140	260	17	3	27%	6%	74	-0.6	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Yeicok Calderon 2013 · A	21	37	45→40	45	38	188/244/308	121	287	13	5	38%	7%	55	-2.0	195/241/308	113	318	12	5	40%	6%	53	-2.1	182/224/294	112	290	12	4	40%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	39→33	43→45	51→50	42	193/261/303	109	286	10	12	34%	8%	60	-1.6	207/272/319	112	304	11	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Drew Lugbauer 2018 · A	21	40→34	52→60	48→30	37	210/267/375	165	306	20	4	38%	6%	79	-0.2	174/227/294	120	305	14	3	45%	6%	45	-2.7	181/256/378	197	290	28	1	46%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35→34	44→50	47→40	37	182/244/298	117	281	13	4	38%	6%	53	-2.1	191/255/335	144	295	18	4	40%	6%	65	-1.2	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Michael Burgess 2010 · A	21	39→43	50	44→45	37	203/263/354	151	296	18	7	37%	6%	73	-0.6	210/274/354	144	283	16	4	30%	7%	77	-0.3	208/276/352	144	269	16	2	28%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→42	47→60	43→40	43	188/265/318	130	263	16	7	34%	8%	65	-1.2	216/279/399	183	284	24	4	32%	7%	89	+0.5	215/282/406	191	269	25	2	30%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Sherten Apostel 2020 · A	21	38→35	47→45	45→40	45	195/272/324	128	273	15	4	33%	9%	70	-0.9	207/271/335	128	319	14	4	37%	7%	71	-0.8	208/271/342	134	323	16	0	38%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Alex Glenn 2013 · A	22	39→42	48→55	53→50	39	198/264/339	141	300	15	10	38%	7%	70	-0.9	213/268/361	148	284	15	11	29%	6%	76	-0.4	210/261/367	156	270	16	12	28%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	37→32	44→50	50	37	190/237/306	116	273	11	14	34%	6%	51	-2.2	189/241/290	101	317	9	13	41%	6%	49	-2.4	173/225/264	91	319	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→42	47→55	46→50	47	190/279/325	135	275	14	9	34%	10%	73	-0.6	191/275/329	138	281	14	8	34%	9%	72	-0.7	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
●Will Benson 2019 · A	21	29→39	47→55	46→55	44	160/255/287	127	254	16	9	41%	10%	56	-1.9	180/264/334	154	281	19	14	40%	10%	70	-0.9	224/328/404	179	321	17	26	32%	12%	107	+1.3
✕Johnny Woodard 2006 · A	21	41→36	45	49→30	40	203/261/321	117	296	13	4	35%	7%	63	-1.3	194/267/316	122	304	13	3	38%	8%	65	-1.2	184/272/313	128	281	14	1	37%	9%	65	-0.7
✕Nelson Perez 2009 · A	21	40→42	49→50	48→40	33	208/241/362	154	290	15	5	34%	4%	65	-1.2	206/239/323	117	325	12	3	39%	4%	55	-1.9	215/275/363	148	312	17	4	35%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Brian Pointer 2013 · A	21	39→41	44→45	53→50	37	190/254/308	118	300	11	11	39%	6%	59	-1.7	199/276/317	118	303	11	12	35%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/320	122	296	12	13	34%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Josh Ockimey 2017 · A	21	39→46	48→50	47→30	47	197/280/339	142	281	16	4	34%	10%	76	-0.4	208/288/354	146	317	17	2	36%	10%	82	+0.0	199/287/353	154	300	19	1	37%	10%	81	-0.1

Deward Tovar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps