Luis Guevara — OGILVIE

Luis GuevaraSS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 20 S/R 5'8" / 167 lbs A HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.9 · 2033

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .299 / .331

PA97

HR2

K%26

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

46↗51

PWR

28↗33

SPD

63↗68

EYE

57↗62

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.6	$24M	+$23M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.8	$27M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+2.7	$27M	+$22M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.5	$26M	+$17M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.3	$25M	+$13M
Totals		$29M		$158M	+$129M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	160	141	33	5	1	0	16	38	2	16	5	.234	.321	.284	.604	.050	.317	24	10	.267	63	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	144	122	25	5	0	0	16	31	3	20	1	.205	.312	.246	.558	.041	.266	22	11	.256	54	-7	+4	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2025	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	91	76	17	1	2	0	8	26	4	6	2	.224	.330	.289	.619	.066	.327	29	9	.281	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	BAL	97	87	20	4	1	2	9	25	1	2	1	.230	.309	.368	.677	.138	.290	26	9	.288	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	BAL	202	178	40	7	1	4	19	50	3	6	1	.225	.310	.343	.653	.118	.292	25	9	.304	91	-2	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.7
2028	22	MLB 28%	BAL	327	288	67	12	2	8	32	78	4	10	2	.233	.318	.372	.689	.139	.292	24	10	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.3
2029	23	MLB 48%	BAL	411	360	87	16	3	11	42	96	6	12	3	.242	.331	.394	.725	.153	.293	23	10	.319	103	+1	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.9
2030	24	MLB 62%	BAL	467	409	99	18	3	13	49	108	6	14	3	.242	.332	.396	.728	.154	.293	23	10	.324	106	+3	+2	+0	+5	+13	2.3
2031	25	MLB 80%	BAL	499	436	105	19	3	14	53	114	7	15	3	.241	.333	.394	.727	.154	.294	23	11	.327	108	+5	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.6
2032	26	MLB 94%	BAL	517	449	110	20	3	15	56	118	7	15	3	.245	.338	.403	.741	.158	.294	23	11	.328	110	+6	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.8
2033	27	MLB	BAL	524	455	110	20	3	15	57	120	7	15	3	.242	.335	.398	.733	.156	.294	23	11	.329	110	+6	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.9
2034	28	MLB	BAL	523	453	110	20	3	15	58	121	7	15	3	.243	.338	.400	.737	.157	.294	23	11	.327	109	+5	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.7
2035	29	MLB	BAL	516	447	107	19	3	14	57	121	7	14	2	.239	.335	.389	.724	.150	.293	23	11	.325	107	+4	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.5
2036	30	MLB	BAL	507	439	105	19	3	14	56	121	7	14	2	.239	.335	.392	.726	.153	.292	24	11	.322	105	+3	+2	-2	+5	+14	2.3
2037	31	MLB	BAL	495	431	101	18	3	13	55	120	6	12	1	.234	.329	.381	.710	.146	.291	24	11	.319	102	+1	+2	-3	+5	+14	2.0
2038	32	MLB	BAL	477	415	95	17	2	12	53	118	6	12	1	.229	.325	.366	.691	.137	.289	25	11	.314	98	-1	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.7
2039	33	MLB	BAL	448	390	87	15	2	11	49	114	6	11	0	.223	.319	.356	.676	.133	.288	25	11	.308	94	-3	+2	-4	+5	+13	1.3
2040	34	MLB	BAL	402	350	77	13	2	9	44	106	5	10	0	.220	.316	.346	.662	.126	.286	26	11	.302	89	-5	+2	-5	+4	+11	0.8
2041	35	MLB	BAL	348	303	65	11	2	7	38	95	4	9	0	.215	.310	.333	.643	.119	.284	27	11	.294	84	-6	+2	-6	+4	+10	0.3
2042	36	MLB	BAL	290	254	53	9	1	6	31	82	3	8	0	.209	.302	.323	.625	.114	.281	28	11	.286	77	-8	+2	-6	+3	+8	-0.1
2043	37	MLB	BAL	226	197	40	7	1	4	24	66	3	6	0	.203	.299	.310	.609	.107	.277	29	11	.276	70	-8	+1	-7	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7671	6680	1553	275	44	187	822	1868	104	242	36	.232	.326	.371	.697	.138	.293	24	11	.313	98	-19	+34	-38	+82	+217	28.1
/ 162G	—			650	566	132	23	4	16	70	158	9	21	3	.233	.328	.373	.700	.140	.293	24	11	.313	98	-2	+3	-3	+7	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	160	129	41	6	1	28	24	2	16	5	.318	.447	.380	.826	.062	.387	15	18	.382	150	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	144	110	30	5	0	28	21	3	20	1	.273	.433	.318	.751	.045	.326	15	19	.353	128	+5	+4	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	91	70	17	1	2	13	18	4	6	2	.243	.386	.314	.701	.071	.315	20	14	.321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Guevara (OGILVIE)	20	46→51	28→33	63→68	62	.220/.299/.331	.111	.290	2	2	26%	9%	79	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	50	41→45	59→65	52	.234/.322/.340	.106	.284	6	29	19%	9%	90	+1.0	.231/.312/.347	.116	.294	10	19	23%	8%	88	+0.9	.235/.317/.335	.100	.305	7	18	23%	9%	81	+0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	46	.212/.280/.309	.097	.289	6	21	28%	8%	63	-0.8	.250/.309/.355	.105	.324	7	26	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.260/.318/.360	.100	.329	7	29	22%	7%	88	+0.8
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	54→60	50	.215/.310/.286	.072	.325	3	19	31%	11%	72	-0.2	.247/.324/.323	.076	.343	3	23	26%	9%	85	+0.7	.263/.336/.338	.075	.360	3	29	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Alen Hanson 2013 · A	20	48→51	46→50	56→60	44	.234/.285/.374	.140	.288	11	20	23%	6%	82	+0.5	.234/.275/.365	.131	.295	10	21	23%	5%	76	+0.0	.248/.284/.386	.138	.297	12	30	20%	4%	81	+0.3
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	46→39	38→40	62→60	49	.213/.292/.305	.092	.282	3	21	24%	9%	68	-0.5	.204/.275/.284	.080	.297	2	16	29%	8%	55	-1.4	.219/.291/.296	.077	.328	2	26	31%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	43→53	46→50	56→60	43	.209/.282/.339	.129	.315	13	19	36%	8%	73	-0.1	.236/.308/.376	.140	.328	16	27	30%	9%	93	+1.3	.249/.323/.390	.141	.333	16	33	28%	10%	99	+1.2
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	47→40	40	56→55	43	.223/.279/.318	.095	.302	7	17	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.211/.272/.306	.095	.291	7	22	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.209/.274/.312	.103	.279	7	30	26%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	49	39→45	59→60	51	.227/.311/.328	.101	.310	4	15	26%	10%	82	+0.5	.205/.273/.294	.089	.326	6	25	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.220/.298/.337	.116	.314	13	41	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jose Acosta 2021 · A	21	48	39→45	58→55	47	.225/.291/.318	.093	.302	5	19	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.202/.257/.316	.114	.311	11	15	36%	6%	56	-1.3	.175/.230/.298	.122	.266	13	16	38%	5%	37	-1.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	.227/.287/.331	.103	.273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.229/.306/.353	.124	.285	12	10	22%	9%	86	+0.8	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	.220/.278/.309	.089	.282	7	23	24%	6%	63	-0.9	.248/.308/.365	.117	.293	10	28	18%	7%	89	+1.0	.252/.331/.406	.154	.301	15	28	21%	9%	106	+2.2
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→45	54→55	48	.224/.278/.312	.088	.269	4	13	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.274/.287	.065	.277	3	16	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→53	42→55	54→60	45	.242/.287/.364	.122	.283	8	14	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.247/.293/.363	.116	.305	9	25	21%	5%	83	+0.6	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	50→60	37→40	57→65	45	.233/.285/.318	.085	.277	2	17	16%	5%	67	-0.5	.287/.332/.364	.077	.326	2	30	12%	5%	98	+1.6	.303/.350/.369	.066	.341	2	36	11%	5%	103	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)