Luis Guevara
SS Delmarva Shorebirds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROKDSL Orioles O… | 160 | .318/.447/.380 | 0 | 16 | 63 | — | .210/.314/.254 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROKDSL Orioles O… | 144 | .273/.433/.318 | 0 | 20 | 55 | — | .185/.312/.218 |
| 2025 | 19 | ABAL | 91 | .243/.386/.314 | 0 | 6 | 88 | — | .240/.352/.307 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBBAL | 201 | .211/.289/.295 | 2 | 6 | 67 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBBAL | 33 | .219/.296/.316 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBBAL | 84 | .223/.300/.329 | 1 | 3 | 77 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 160 | 129 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 318 | 447 | 380 | 826 | 62 | 387 | 15 | 18 | 382 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 144 | 110 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 273 | 433 | 318 | 751 | 45 | 326 | 15 | 19 | 353 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 91 | 70 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 243 | 386 | 314 | 701 | 71 | 315 | 20 | 14 | 321 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 160 | 138 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 210 | 314 | 254 | 568 | 43 | 266 | 19 | 12 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 144 | 119 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 185 | 312 | 218 | 531 | 34 | 219 | 18 | 13 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 91 | 75 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 240 | 352 | 307 | 659 | 67 | 322 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 160 | 138 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 210 | 314 | 254 | 568 | 43 | 269 | 19 | 12 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 160 | 129 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 318 | 447 | 380 | 826 | 62 | 387 | 15 | 18 | 382 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 144 | 119 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 185 | 312 | 218 | 531 | 34 | 229 | 18 | 13 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 144 | 110 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 273 | 433 | 318 | 751 | 45 | 326 | 15 | 19 | 353 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 91 | 75 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 240 | 352 | 307 | 659 | 67 | 346 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 91 | 70 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 243 | 386 | 314 | 701 | 71 | 315 | 20 | 14 | 321 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 160 | 138 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 210 | 314 | 254 | 568 | 43 | 266 | 19 | 12 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 144 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 182 | 312 | 215 | 527 | 33 | 219 | 18 | 13 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 91 | 78 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 352 | 295 | 647 | 64 | 322 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 144 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 182 | 312 | 215 | 527 | 33 | 219 | 18 | 13 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 91 | 78 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 352 | 295 | 647 | 64 | 322 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | BAL | 0% | 201 | 179 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 54 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 211 | 289 | 295 | 583 | 83 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 268 | 67 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | BAL | 34% | 97 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 293 | 310 | 603 | 94 | 288 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | BAL | 48% | 174 | 155 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 220 | 297 | 322 | 619 | 103 | 289 | 26 | 9 | 281 | 77 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 260 | 232 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 67 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 223 | 300 | 333 | 632 | 110 | 291 | 26 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 325 | 290 | 65 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 83 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 225 | 302 | 341 | 642 | 116 | 291 | 26 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | BAL | 56% | 366 | 327 | 74 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 93 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 226 | 303 | 347 | 650 | 120 | 291 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 85 | -7 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 385 | 344 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 98 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 225 | 302 | 344 | 646 | 119 | 290 | 25 | 9 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 392 | 351 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 101 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 224 | 300 | 340 | 640 | 116 | 290 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +2 | -1 | +4 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 387 | 346 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 101 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 221 | 298 | 334 | 631 | 112 | 288 | 26 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -9 | +2 | -1 | +4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 380 | 340 | 75 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 100 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 219 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 108 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -11 | +2 | -2 | +4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | BAL | 52% | 365 | 328 | 71 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 98 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 215 | 289 | 317 | 607 | 103 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | BAL | 34% | 33 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 296 | 316 | 612 | 97 | 292 | 27 | 9 | 279 | 72 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | BAL | 48% | 84 | 76 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 223 | 300 | 329 | 628 | 106 | 293 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 77 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 137 | 122 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 303 | 340 | 642 | 113 | 295 | 26 | 9 | 291 | 80 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 178 | 159 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 46 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 228 | 305 | 348 | 653 | 120 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 295 | 83 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | BAL | 56% | 204 | 182 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 52 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 230 | 306 | 355 | 661 | 124 | 295 | 25 | 8 | 298 | 85 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 212 | 189 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 229 | 305 | 352 | 657 | 123 | 294 | 25 | 8 | 296 | 84 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 214 | 191 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 55 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 227 | 303 | 347 | 651 | 120 | 294 | 26 | 8 | 294 | 82 | -5 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 206 | 184 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 54 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 225 | 301 | 341 | 642 | 116 | 292 | 26 | 8 | 290 | 80 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 200 | 179 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 53 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 222 | 297 | 334 | 631 | 112 | 291 | 26 | 8 | 286 | 77 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | BAL | 52% | 190 | 170 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 218 | 292 | 324 | 616 | 106 | 288 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 73 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1658 | 1482 | 333 | 54 | 13 | 29 | 140 | 431 | 21 | 54 | 8 | 225 | 301 | 337 | 638 | 113 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 78 | -39 | +8 | -4 | +18 | +36 | 1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 130 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 169 | 8 | 21 | 3 | 224 | 300 | 334 | 634 | 110 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 78 | -15 | +3 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3573 | 3175 | 700 | 108 | 28 | 56 | 316 | 907 | 50 | 145 | 25 | 220 | 301 | 325 | 626 | 105 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -77 | +14 | -7 | +34 | +69 | 3.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 127 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 165 | 9 | 26 | 5 | 220 | 300 | 324 | 623 | 104 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -16 | +3 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 91 PAwOBA .321 → .298 (−22)K% 19.8% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.78% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 10.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.40% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 3.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 27.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 1.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.904 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 4.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.899 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .321 → .298; ISO .071 → .080; BABIP .315 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 144 PAwOBA .353 → .250 (−103)K% 14.6% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.58% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.44% | ÷1.041 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 13.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.09% | ÷1.082 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 18.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷0.924 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 116, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .353 → .250; ISO .045 → .034; BABIP .326 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 160 PAwOBA .376 → .262 (−113)K% 15.0% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷0.941 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.50% | ÷1.049 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 11.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.38% | ÷1.051 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.991 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.018 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.847 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 104, K 88, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .376 → .262; ISO .062 → .041; BABIP .387 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).