Elian Soto — OGILVIE

Elian SotoOF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 182 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION139 act + 92 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .281 / .278

PA92

HR1

K%31

BB%10

BABIP285

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	114	103	10	2	0	0	9	61	1	0	3	97	177	117	293	19	233	54	8	150	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	114	99	18	5	0	0	13	44	1	0	3	182	283	232	516	51	321	39	11	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	146	123	13	2	1	0	18	74	4	0	0	106	241	138	380	33	260	51	12	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	146	114	20	4	1	0	27	51	4	0	0	175	352	228	580	53	312	35	18	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	179	156	13	3	0	2	18	86	5	2	2	83	201	141	342	58	162	48	10	162	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	179	144	20	6	0	4	30	59	5	2	2	139	307	264	571	125	198	33	17	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	WSH	—	139	121	25	7	0	2	16	53	2	3	1	207	309	314	623	107	348	38	12	283	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
YTD	20	A	WSH	—	139	112	31	10	0	3	25	37	2	3	1	277	417	446	864	170	389	27	18	391	157	+9	+0	+0	-1	+4	1.3
ROS	20	A	WSH	0%	92	82	16	4	0	1	9	29	1	1	0	194	281	278	559	85	279	31	10	258	56	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	249	49	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	WSH	—	139	122	25	7	0	2	16	53	2	3	1	205	309	311	621	107	343	38	12	283	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
TOT	20	A	WSH	—	231	203	41	11	0	3	25	82	3	4	1	201	298	300	597	98	320	35	11	273	67	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	WSH	34%	282	248	49	11	1	4	28	84	4	4	1	198	289	298	588	101	280	30	10	271	66	-11	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	WSH	48%	388	342	71	15	2	7	38	113	5	5	2	208	296	325	621	117	282	29	10	280	72	-12	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.3
2029	23	MLB	WSH	54%	455	402	85	18	2	9	44	130	6	6	2	211	299	333	632	122	283	29	10	285	76	-12	+0	+0	-3	+13	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	WSH	55%	499	441	93	20	2	10	49	141	6	7	2	211	298	333	632	122	284	28	10	288	79	-12	+1	+0	-3	+14	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	WSH	56%	523	460	98	21	2	11	51	148	7	7	2	213	301	339	640	126	284	28	10	289	80	-12	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.0
2032	26	MLB	WSH	60%	535	470	100	21	2	11	53	151	7	7	2	213	302	336	638	123	284	28	10	290	80	-12	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.0
2027	21	MLB	WSH	34%	97	87	17	4	0	1	9	29	1	1	0	195	278	276	554	80	280	30	9	262	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	WSH	48%	188	166	34	7	1	3	18	55	2	3	1	205	290	313	604	108	282	29	10	270	65	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	23	MLB	WSH	54%	247	218	46	10	1	5	24	71	3	3	1	211	298	335	633	124	283	29	10	276	69	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
2030	24	MLB	WSH	55%	277	244	52	11	1	6	27	78	4	4	1	213	302	340	642	127	284	28	10	279	72	-9	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	25	MLB	WSH	56%	293	258	55	12	1	6	29	83	4	4	1	213	302	337	640	124	284	28	10	280	72	-9	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2032	26	MLB	WSH	60%	321	282	60	13	1	7	32	91	4	4	1	213	302	340	642	128	284	28	10	280	73	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1423	1256	264	57	5	28	139	407	18	19	5	210	298	330	629	120	285	29	10	277	70	-49	+2	+0	-9	+40	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	120	26	2	13	63	186	8	9	2	209	296	329	625	120	283	29	10	277	70	-22	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	3213	2827	548	117	12	55	317	1017	46	39	16	194	286	302	588	108	278	32	10	268	63	-133	+1	+0	-19	+91	-6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	111	24	2	11	64	206	9	8	3	194	285	301	586	107	279	32	10	268	63	-27	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	114	99	18	5	0	0	13	44	1	0	3	182	283	232	516	51	321	39	11	246	46	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	146	114	20	4	1	0	27	51	4	0	0	175	352	228	580	53	312	35	18	288	79	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	179	144	20	6	0	4	30	59	5	2	2	139	307	264	571	125	198	33	17	278	71	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,606	29	22	208	293	324	-10	+0	-1.1	-0.5
	/162	664	12	9	208	293	324	-4.0	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Soto (OGILVIE)	20	20	30	40	60	201/298/300	98	320	3	4	35%	11%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A	20	38	39→40	44→30	44	188/251/267	79	246	7	3	26%	7%	40	-2.4	205/261/315	110	263	10	6	25%	7%	57	-1.2	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	63	-0.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	35	-2.8	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	66	-0.6	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	39→35	35→30	44→50	48	182/265/240	58	277	2	9	32%	10%	40	-2.4	219/302/285	66	307	2	16	26%	10%	67	-0.5	235/324/293	58	319	1	21	24%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Adonis Pacheco 2011 · A	20	40	35→50	42→55	45	188/250/244	57	257	2	9	26%	7%	34	-2.8	204/261/291	87	267	3	14	23%	7%	50	-1.7	202/257/304	102	256	4	17	21%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	37	-2.6	205/297/270	65	270	4	12	23%	11%	62	-0.9	199/293/259	61	267	4	15	24%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	29	-3.2	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	64	-0.8	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	74	-0.0
✕Hector Hernandez 2016 · A	20	41	35→30	46→45	45	192/262/254	62	262	2	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	190/260/256	66	301	3	8	35%	8%	42	-2.3	114/195/149	34	227	0	10	45%	8%	-12	-1.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Wilmer Oberto 2012 · A	19	39	38→50	41→45	45	188/259/266	79	261	6	8	29%	8%	44	-2.1	207/274/320	113	268	11	5	26%	6%	65	-0.7	203/268/325	122	260	12	3	26%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Delbis Arcila 2013 · A	20	41	38→45	44→45	47	195/270/282	87	273	5	6	29%	9%	53	-1.5	216/275/332	116	308	11	5	31%	7%	68	-0.5	219/273/360	140	304	16	3	32%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Grabiel Jimenez 2015 · A	20	41	34→40	43→50	43	191/248/239	48	256	2	11	25%	6%	32	-3.0	195/254/253	58	275	1	6	27%	6%	37	-2.6	183/242/236	53	261	0	3	28%	6%	26	-1.1
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	43→45	52	208/281/264	56	258	2	5	19%	9%	53	-1.5	228/279/297	69	279	2	4	18%	6%	59	-1.1	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Mario Gonzalez 2011 · A	19	42	34→40	43→40	45	196/255/243	46	257	1	5	23%	7%	36	-2.7	210/297/290	80	260	5	5	19%	10%	67	-0.5	198/315/284	87	228	7	3	15%	12%	76	+0.0