Elian Soto — OGILVIE

Elian SotoOF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 182 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .263 / .235

PA19

HR0

K%32

BB%11

BABIP284

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	114	99	18	5	0	0	13	44	1	0	3	182	283	232	516	51	321	39	11	246	52	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	146	114	20	4	1	0	27	51	4	0	0	175	352	228	580	53	312	35	18	288	81	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	179	144	20	6	0	4	30	59	5	2	2	139	307	264	571	125	198	33	17	278	74	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	114	104	11	3	0	0	8	62	1	0	3	106	177	135	312	29	243	54	7	147	-14	-16	-1	—	—	+2	-1.5
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	146	124	13	2	1	0	17	74	4	0	0	105	234	137	372	32	249	51	12	186	12	-15	+0	—	—	+3	-1.2
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	179	156	13	3	0	2	18	85	5	2	2	83	201	141	342	58	156	47	10	168	0	-21	-0	—	—	+4	-1.8
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	114	104	11	3	0	0	8	62	1	0	3	106	177	135	312	29	256	54	7	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	114	99	18	5	0	0	13	44	1	0	3	182	283	232	516	51	321	39	11	246	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	146	124	13	2	1	0	17	74	4	0	0	105	234	137	372	32	255	51	12	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	146	114	20	4	1	0	27	51	4	0	0	175	352	228	580	53	312	35	18	288	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	179	156	13	3	0	2	18	85	5	2	2	83	201	141	342	58	159	47	10	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	179	144	20	6	0	4	30	59	5	2	2	139	307	264	571	125	198	33	17	278	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	114	104	11	3	0	0	8	62	1	0	3	106	177	135	312	29	243	54	7	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	146	124	13	2	1	0	17	74	4	0	0	105	234	137	372	32	249	51	12	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	179	154	13	3	0	2	18	85	5	2	2	84	201	143	344	58	156	47	10	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	114	104	11	3	0	0	8	62	1	0	3	106	177	135	312	29	243	54	7	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	146	124	13	2	1	0	17	74	4	0	0	105	234	137	372	32	249	51	12	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	179	154	13	3	0	2	18	85	5	2	2	84	201	143	344	58	156	47	10	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	WSH	—	222	197	38	9	1	4	23	95	2	4	1	193	284	310	593	117	347	43	10	264	65	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	WSH	—	39	30	8	4	0	2	8	10	1	0	0	267	436	600	1.036	333	333	26	21	447	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	WSH	—	183	153	40	8	2	3	29	57	1	4	1	261	383	399	781	137	398	31	16	356	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	WSH	0%	19	17	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	285	32	11	262	63	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	20	A MLE	WSH	—	241	214	41	10	1	4	25	101	2	4	1	192	282	304	586	112	339	42	10	264	65	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	287	254	51	11	1	5	28	90	3	4	1	201	288	311	599	110	286	31	10	274	72	-10	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	391	346	71	15	2	7	38	118	4	5	1	205	291	321	612	116	288	30	10	282	77	-11	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	457	404	85	18	2	9	45	135	5	6	2	210	297	332	629	121	289	30	10	288	81	-10	+0	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	501	441	95	19	3	11	49	147	6	7	2	215	302	347	649	132	290	29	10	291	83	-10	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	WSH	56%	524	461	98	20	3	11	52	153	6	7	2	213	301	341	641	128	290	29	10	292	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	536	472	102	21	3	12	53	156	6	7	2	216	303	350	653	133	289	29	10	292	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	WSH	62%	539	474	102	21	3	12	54	158	6	7	2	215	303	348	651	133	289	29	10	292	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	WSH	63%	537	472	101	21	3	12	54	158	6	7	2	214	303	347	650	133	289	29	10	291	83	-11	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	WSH	64%	528	463	97	20	2	11	54	156	6	7	2	210	300	333	633	123	288	30	10	289	82	-11	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	518	454	94	19	2	11	53	155	6	6	2	207	298	330	629	123	286	30	10	287	80	-12	+0	-2	-3	+11	-0.6
2027	21	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	99	88	18	4	0	2	10	31	1	1	0	205	293	318	611	114	285	31	10	264	72	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	189	166	35	7	1	4	19	57	2	3	1	211	299	337	637	127	286	30	10	273	77	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	248	219	46	10	1	5	24	73	3	3	1	210	297	333	630	123	287	29	10	278	81	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	278	246	52	11	1	6	27	81	3	4	1	211	297	337	634	126	288	29	10	281	83	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	WSH	56%	293	259	54	11	1	6	29	86	3	4	1	208	296	328	624	120	288	29	10	282	84	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	322	283	60	12	1	7	32	94	4	4	1	212	301	336	637	124	288	29	10	282	84	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	WSH	62%	334	293	62	13	1	7	34	98	4	4	1	212	302	334	637	123	288	29	10	282	84	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	WSH	63%	339	298	62	13	1	7	34	100	4	4	1	208	298	329	626	121	287	29	10	281	83	-7	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	WSH	64%	336	295	62	13	1	7	34	99	4	4	1	210	300	332	633	122	286	29	10	280	82	-7	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	337	296	62	13	1	7	34	101	4	4	1	209	299	331	630	122	285	30	10	277	80	-8	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2775	2443	513	107	9	58	277	820	32	35	9	210	299	332	631	122	288	30	10	279	75	-60	+3	-3	-17	+60	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	120	25	2	14	65	192	7	8	2	210	298	334	632	124	287	30	10	279	75	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5276	4642	936	194	25	103	525	1653	64	65	23	202	292	321	612	119	286	31	10	279	75	-107	+5	-4	-29	+105	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	116	24	3	13	65	204	8	8	3	203	293	323	616	121	288	31	10	279	75	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,962	60	39	211	296	335	-18	+0	-0.3	0.1
/162	664	13	9	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Soto (OGILVIE)	20	20	30	40	60	191/279/283	93	285	2	3	33%	10%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A	20	38	39→40	44→30	44	188/251/268	79	246	7	3	26%	7%	48	-2.5	205/261/316	111	263	10	6	25%	7%	62	-1.4	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→45	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	45	-2.7	189/259/292	103	281	8	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	44	-2.8	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	43	-2.8	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	18	-1.5
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	188/279/278	90	259	6	12	28%	10%	62	-1.4	179/292/246	67	290	3	14	35%	11%	61	-1.5	155/286/207	52	265	2	16	36%	11%	49	-1.2
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	42	-2.9	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	70	-0.9	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Adonis Pacheco 2011 · A	20	40	35→50	42→55	45	188/250/244	57	257	2	9	26%	7%	42	-2.9	204/261/291	87	267	3	14	23%	7%	56	-1.9	202/257/304	102	256	4	17	21%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	45	-2.7	205/298/270	65	269	4	12	23%	11%	67	-1.1	199/294/260	61	266	4	15	24%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Hector Hernandez 2016 · A	20	41	35→30	46→45	45	192/262/254	62	262	2	7	26%	7%	49	-2.4	190/260/256	66	301	3	8	35%	8%	49	-2.4	114/195/149	34	227	0	10	45%	8%	1	-1.3
✕Wilmer Oberto 2012 · A	19	39	38→50	41→45	45	188/259/266	79	261	6	8	29%	8%	51	-2.3	207/273/319	112	269	11	5	26%	6%	68	-1.0	202/266/322	120	260	12	3	26%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Delbis Arcila 2013 · A	20	41	38→45	44→45	47	195/270/282	87	273	5	6	29%	9%	59	-1.7	216/275/332	116	308	11	5	31%	7%	72	-0.7	219/273/360	140	304	16	3	32%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A	20	45	40	46→45	45	215/275/308	93	292	6	5	27%	8%	65	-1.2	231/290/327	96	288	7	6	21%	7%	76	-0.4	249/309/344	95	292	8	6	17%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Leopoldo Correa 2011 · A	19	41	37→45	42→30	47	194/260/268	74	247	3	4	22%	7%	51	-2.2	214/272/303	89	268	7	3	22%	7%	63	-1.3	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	43→45	52	208/281/264	56	258	2	5	19%	9%	58	-1.7	228/279/297	69	279	2	4	18%	6%	64	-1.3	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps