Elian SotoOF
FCL Nationals
Age 20
L/R
6'1" / 182 lbs
ROK
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.8 · 2032
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .268 / .291
PA150
HR3
K%36
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
30→30
SPD
40→40
EYE
59↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.7 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $12M | $16M | +$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 114 | 103 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .097 | .177 | .117 | .293 | .019 | .233 | 54 | 8 | .150 | -27 | -16 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 146 | 124 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .105 | .234 | .137 | .372 | .032 | .255 | 51 | 12 | .186 | 1 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.3 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 179 | 156 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 2 | .083 | .201 | .141 | .342 | .058 | .162 | 48 | 10 | .162 | -18 | -24 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -2.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | WSH | 150 | 133 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .195 | .282 | .316 | .598 | .120 | .282 | 36 | 9 | .259 | 56 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | WSH | 230 | 203 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 78 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .192 | .281 | .310 | .591 | .118 | .284 | 34 | 10 | .276 | 70 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | WSH | 348 | 306 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 112 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .206 | .296 | .346 | .642 | .141 | .286 | 32 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | WSH | 428 | 375 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 134 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .208 | .301 | .352 | .653 | .144 | .286 | 31 | 10 | .296 | 84 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | WSH | 481 | 421 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 148 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .209 | .303 | .356 | .660 | .147 | .287 | 31 | 11 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 87% | WSH | 511 | 444 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 55 | 157 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .212 | .308 | .360 | .669 | .149 | .288 | 31 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 528 | 458 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 58 | 162 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .214 | .312 | .367 | .678 | .153 | .288 | 31 | 11 | .305 | 92 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 534 | 463 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 59 | 164 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .212 | .310 | .363 | .673 | .151 | .288 | 31 | 11 | .305 | 92 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 533 | 461 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 165 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .213 | .312 | .364 | .677 | .152 | .288 | 31 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 526 | 455 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 59 | 164 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .211 | .311 | .358 | .669 | .147 | .287 | 31 | 11 | .302 | 89 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 517 | 447 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 58 | 163 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .208 | .309 | .356 | .664 | .148 | .285 | 32 | 11 | .299 | 87 | -8 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 504 | 436 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 57 | 161 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .204 | .305 | .346 | .651 | .142 | .283 | 32 | 11 | .295 | 84 | -9 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +14 | 0.0 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 486 | 423 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 158 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .201 | .300 | .338 | .638 | .137 | .282 | 33 | 11 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 457 | 398 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 152 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .198 | .297 | .334 | .632 | .136 | .280 | 33 | 11 | .285 | 76 | -12 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | -0.5 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 411 | 357 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 140 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .193 | .294 | .322 | .616 | .129 | .278 | 34 | 11 | .279 | 71 | -13 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +12 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7083 | 6163 | 1229 | 224 | 29 | 187 | 767 | 2333 | 95 | 84 | 18 | .199 | .298 | .336 | .634 | .137 | .283 | 33 | 11 | .288 | 78 | -174 | +10 | -20 | -42 | +201 | -2.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 566 | 113 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 70 | 214 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .200 | .298 | .337 | .635 | .138 | .284 | 33 | 11 | .288 | 78 | -16 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 114 | 99 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .182 | .283 | .232 | .516 | .051 | .321 | 39 | 11 | .246 | 46 | -7 | -1 | — | — | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 146 | 114 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 51 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .175 | .352 | .228 | .580 | .053 | .312 | 35 | 18 | .288 | 79 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 179 | 144 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 2 | .139 | .307 | .264 | .571 | .125 | .198 | 33 | 17 | .278 | 71 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +5 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Elian Soto (OGILVIE) | 20 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 60 | .183/.268/.291 | .108 | .282 | 3 | 2 | 36% | 9% | 56 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→40 | 44→30 | 45 | .196/.260/.275 | .079 | .253 | 7 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .202/.258/.311 | .109 | .257 | 10 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .196/.247/.344 | .148 | .225 | 15 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.2 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A |
20 | 42 | 44→50 | 47→50 | 42 | .203/.279/.327 | .124 | .304 | 10 | 9 | 34% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .188/.266/.293 | .105 | .307 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .155/.246/.249 | .095 | .261 | 8 | 8 | 40% | 9% | 34 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A |
20 | 40 | 38→40 | 48→50 | 41 | .194/.250/.274 | .080 | .270 | 5 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.241/.255 | .071 | .277 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 33 | -2.9 | .147/.214/.205 | .058 | .225 | 0 | 6 | 32% | 6% | 7 | -1.5 |
|
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A |
19 | 41→38 | 37→40 | 49→55 | 43 | .188/.266/.261 | .074 | .308 | 4 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.277/.276 | .085 | .308 | 5 | 14 | 36% | 10% | 55 | -1.4 | .187/.286/.266 | .080 | .296 | 4 | 18 | 34% | 11% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A |
20 | 40→36 | 40→30 | 49→50 | 49 | .191/.281/.282 | .091 | .264 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.294/.247 | .068 | .289 | 3 | 14 | 35% | 11% | 57 | -1.2 | .155/.287/.208 | .053 | .265 | 2 | 16 | 36% | 11% | 43 | -1.1 |
|
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 47→50 | 41 | .197/.264/.291 | .093 | .287 | 7 | 11 | 32% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .217/.285/.327 | .110 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.293/.335 | .117 | .266 | 14 | 9 | 23% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A |
19 | 40 | 39→45 | 45 | 44 | .188/.265/.277 | .089 | .300 | 5 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.275/.305 | .102 | .345 | 7 | 6 | 39% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .205/.278/.341 | .136 | .309 | 13 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A |
20 | 35→38 | 36→45 | 43→45 | 46 | .169/.251/.233 | .063 | .244 | 4 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 33 | -2.9 | .185/.255/.290 | .105 | .274 | 8 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .196/.262/.319 | .124 | .258 | 14 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A |
19 | 42→40 | 41→50 | 46→40 | 44 | .207/.262/.297 | .091 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.256/.301 | .096 | .278 | 8 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .210/.263/.325 | .115 | .276 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A |
20 | 42 | 36→40 | 45→50 | 46 | .195/.268/.263 | .067 | .280 | 3 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .189/.255/.254 | .065 | .302 | 3 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 38 | -2.6 | .156/.232/.188 | .031 | .269 | 0 | 14 | 38% | 9% | 10 | -1.5 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2016 · A |
20 | 44 | 40 | 46→40 | 48 | .209/.287/.305 | .096 | .294 | 7 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.273/.267 | .075 | .264 | 5 | 4 | 27% | 9% | 51 | -1.7 | .153/.246/.204 | .051 | .208 | 4 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 23 | -1.1 |
|
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A |
20 | 38→47 | 43→50 | 46→50 | 46 | .188/.269/.299 | .110 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 33% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .198/.288/.331 | .133 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 30% | 11% | 74 | -0.1 | .206/.294/.357 | .151 | .275 | 17 | 10 | 30% | 11% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Gabriel Moncada 2023 · A |
21 | 45→40 | 42→45 | 44→40 | 45 | .213/.292/.322 | .109 | .313 | 9 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .193/.265/.300 | .107 | .294 | 10 | 3 | 35% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .170/.241/.264 | .094 | .263 | 9 | 1 | 36% | 8% | 34 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A |
20 | 45 | 40 | 46→45 | 45 | .215/.275/.308 | .093 | .293 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .231/.290/.327 | .096 | .288 | 7 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .249/.309/.344 | .095 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 17% | 8% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Gilbert Marrero 2016 · A |
19 | 38 | 39→45 | 44→40 | 42 | .184/.251/.266 | .082 | .281 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .181/.236/.250 | .069 | .325 | 4 | 5 | 42% | 6% | 29 | -3.2 | .129/.166/.166 | .037 | .267 | 0 | 3 | 49% | 4% | -26 | -1.2 |
|
✕Yeicok Calderon 2013 · A |
21 | 40 | 46→45 | 45 | 38 | .199/.255/.327 | .129 | .302 | 13 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .193/.238/.311 | .118 | .311 | 13 | 5 | 40% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .181/.221/.299 | .117 | .282 | 13 | 4 | 40% | 4% | 34 | -1.0 |