Jelson Coca — OGILVIE

Jelson CocaSS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 158 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .261 / .277

PA57

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	85	79	13	2	1	0	6	26	0	2	0	165	224	215	439	51	245	31	7	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	85	74	17	3	1	0	11	17	0	2	0	230	329	297	627	68	298	20	13	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	93	84	7	2	1	0	9	37	0	3	1	83	172	131	303	48	149	40	10	148	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	93	79	10	3	2	0	14	26	0	3	1	127	258	215	473	89	189	28	15	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	NYY	—	57	53	10	2	1	0	4	18	0	1	0	189	246	264	510	75	287	32	7	248	48	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	NYY	34%	118	107	22	4	1	1	9	35	1	2	0	206	274	290	563	84	289	30	8	260	57	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	NYY	48%	262	238	50	9	2	4	20	76	2	3	1	210	277	315	592	105	290	29	8	269	64	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	NYY	54%	366	331	71	13	3	6	29	105	3	5	1	215	284	326	610	112	292	29	8	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2030	24	MLB	NYY	55%	437	396	86	15	4	8	34	125	4	6	2	217	286	336	622	119	293	29	8	278	71	-14	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.3
2031	25	MLB	NYY	56%	479	434	95	17	4	9	38	137	4	6	2	219	288	339	627	120	293	29	8	280	73	-15	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.4
2027	21	MLB	NYY	34%	41	38	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	158	220	184	404	26	290	29	7	256	54	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	NYY	48%	127	115	24	4	1	2	10	37	1	2	0	209	278	313	591	104	292	29	8	265	61	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	NYY	54%	198	179	39	7	2	3	15	57	2	3	1	218	286	330	615	112	293	29	8	271	65	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2030	24	MLB	NYY	55%	242	219	48	9	2	4	19	69	2	3	1	219	287	333	621	114	294	29	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	25	MLB	NYY	56%	268	243	53	10	2	5	21	76	2	4	1	218	286	337	623	119	294	28	8	276	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	876	794	170	31	7	14	68	251	7	13	3	214	282	324	606	110	293	29	8	272	66	-33	+1	+0	+9	+25	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	126	23	5	10	50	186	5	10	2	214	281	321	602	107	293	29	8	272	66	-25	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	1897	1722	354	64	17	28	149	559	14	28	7	206	274	311	586	106	285	29	8	264	60	-85	+3	+0	+20	+54	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	122	22	6	10	51	192	5	10	2	207	276	315	591	108	286	30	8	264	60	-29	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	85	74	17	3	1	0	11	17	0	2	0	230	329	297	627	68	298	20	13	293	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	93	79	10	3	2	0	14	26	0	3	1	127	258	215	473	89	189	28	15	230	34	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	933	15	12	215	280	327	+10	+9	0.4	0.5
	/162	664	11	9	215	280	327	+7.1	+6.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jelson Coca (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	196/261/277	80	287	0	1	31%	7%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	37→44	40→50	50→45	37	182/242/275	93	284	6	6	36%	6%	39	-2.5	204/253/323	119	282	11	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→38	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	37	-2.6	188/245/287	99	290	10	14	37%	5%	43	-2.2	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→55	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	196/264/293	97	301	10	5	36%	6%	54	-1.4	196/264/343	147	286	18	5	37%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	53	-1.5	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.2	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	39→40	53→55	44	205/260/298	92	275	5	6	27%	7%	52	-1.6	224/299/302	78	328	5	17	30%	8%	70	-0.3	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	44→47	38→50	50→55	41	211/261/290	79	291	5	9	28%	6%	50	-1.7	222/263/335	113	308	11	22	30%	5%	63	-0.9	208/262/323	115	286	12	14	31%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3