Wuilliams Rodriguez

P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 199 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2032

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKBOS	12	4	31	3.82	2.64	24.0%	8.8%	—	K 16.3% · BB 11.0% · FIP 3.76
2025	19	MIX2 levels	26	1	54	4.53	4.07	15.8%	8.7%	—	K 10.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 5.37
2026	20	ABOS	36	0	66	4.07	4.17	23.0%	8.6%	—	K 17.0% · BB 10.1% · FIP 5.40
2027PROJ	21	MLBBOS	40	0	42	5.66	5.66	13.4%	12.2%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBBOS	30	0	31	5.39	5.31	15.9%	11.4%	-0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBBOS	45	0	47	5.17	5.08	17.5%	11.0%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff25Control45Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsWillians Vasquez (age 21) · Eli Saul (age 21) · Miguel Guerrero (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 124

ERA5.66

FIP5.66

K%13.4%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL4545

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	10	10	36	147	28	10	4	100%	3.6	13.0%	8.5%	4.4%	4.4%	2.75	5.53	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	10	10	36	147	28	10	4	100%	3.6	19.0%	6.8%	12.2%	2.7%	2.75	3.82	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	4	31	125	30	11	1	33%	2.6	16.3%	11.0%	5.3%	1.2%	3.82	3.76	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	4	31	125	30	11	1	33%	2.6	16.3%	11.0%	5.3%	1.2%	3.82	3.76	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	12	4	31	125	30	11	1	33%	2.6	24.0%	8.8%	15.2%	0.8%	3.82	2.64	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	1	54	241	38	21	5	4%	2.1	10.9%	10.7%	0.2%	3.3%	4.53	5.37	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	1	54	241	38	21	5	4%	2.1	10.9%	10.7%	0.2%	3.3%	4.53	5.37	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	1	54	241	38	21	5	4%	2.1	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	2.1%	4.53	4.07	—
2026	20	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	36	0	66	291	67	25	10	0%	1.8	17.0%	10.1%	6.9%	4.5%	4.07	5.40	—
2026	20	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	36	0	66	291	67	25	10	0%	1.8	17.0%	10.1%	6.9%	4.5%	4.07	5.40	—
2026	20	A RAW	Salem RidgeYaks	36	0	66	291	67	25	10	0%	1.8	23.0%	8.6%	14.4%	3.4%	4.07	4.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BOS	40	0	42	177	24	22	6	0%	1.1	13.4%	12.2%	1.1%	3.2%	5.66	5.66	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	60	0	63	265	42	30	8	0%	1.0	15.9%	11.4%	4.5%	3.1%	5.39	5.31	-0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	BOS	62	0	65	275	48	30	8	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.0%	6.5%	3.1%	5.17	5.08	-0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	67	282	52	30	9	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.7%	7.7%	3.0%	5.02	4.95	-0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	68	285	54	30	9	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	3.0%	4.93	4.88	-0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	68	285	54	30	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.4%	8.6%	3.0%	4.88	4.85	-0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	BOS	63	0	66	281	53	30	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.5%	8.5%	3.1%	4.89	4.89	-0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	BOS	61	0	64	272	52	29	9	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.7%	8.3%	3.2%	4.94	4.98	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	30	0	31	131	21	15	4	0%	1.0	15.9%	11.4%	4.5%	3.1%	5.39	5.31	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	BOS	45	0	47	198	35	22	6	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.0%	6.5%	3.1%	5.17	5.08	-0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	BOS	52	0	55	232	43	25	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.7%	7.7%	3.0%	5.02	4.95	-0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	57	0	60	253	48	27	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	3.0%	4.93	4.88	-0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	BOS	59	0	62	262	50	27	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.4%	8.6%	3.0%	4.88	4.85	-0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	BOS	59	0	62	262	50	28	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.5%	8.5%	3.1%	4.89	4.89	-0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	BOS	57	0	60	253	48	27	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.7%	8.3%	3.2%	4.94	4.98	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		359	0	377	1591	293	170	49	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.7%	7.8%	3.1%	5.00	4.58	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	90	26	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.7%	7.8%	3.1%	5.00	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		84	15	187	804	115	82	29	18%	2.2	14.3%	10.1%	4.2%	3.6%	3.91	5.16	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	16	200	861	124	87	31	18%	2.2	14.3%	10.1%	4.2%	3.6%	3.91	5.16	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wuilliams Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.66	13.4%	12.2%	3.2%	—	5.11	17.3%	6.3%	194	-0.55	—	—	—
Willians Vasquez R 2018 · 5.45 FIP	21	SU	5.45	12.2%	13.9%	3.0%	.292	3.20	13.9%	3.9%	30	-2.25	3.20	154	88
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	87
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	87
Sucre Valdez R 2015 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	13.6%	10.4%	4.7%	.280	3.48	18.3%	12.1%	77	-2.35	2.82	102	86
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	85
Joel Pineiro R 2000 · 5.71 FIP	21	SU	5.71	10.6%	13.8%	3.2%	.324	3.81	17.3%	9.9%	481	-1.90	2.76	1,831	85
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	85
Evan Beal R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	13.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.279	4.63	16.2%	7.0%	101	+0.10	3.94	163	85
Ezequiel Ventura R 2023 · 5.62 FIP	21	SW	5.62	13.5%	11.7%	4.0%	.302	4.71	14.1%	5.7%	32	-0.91	3.77	151	85
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	85
Everhett Hazelwood R 2022 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	13.8%	12.2%	3.2%	.306	6.51	18.7%	2.9%	63	+1.28	5.23	117	85
Walker Weickel R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	21	SU	4.92	13.1%	11.7%	2.6%	.357	4.09	15.6%	8.1%	188	-0.83	4.02	273	85
Jack Carey R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	16.8%	10.9%	3.1%	.333	4.31	19.5%	8.2%	156	-0.46	3.79	250	84
Ian Villers R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.311	4.23	15.6%	5.2%	59	-0.32	4.23	107	84
Rogelio Martinez R 2015 · 5.25 FIP	23	SU	5.25	10.0%	9.7%	3.2%	.304	5.20	11.6%	4.4%	73	-0.05	5.20	152	84
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	84
Zac Reininger R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	22	SU	4.92	11.8%	9.8%	2.9%	.286	3.34	21.1%	13.6%	125	-1.58	2.58	259	84
Scarlyn Lebron R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SU	4.87	13.9%	12.2%	2.5%	.306	5.07	16.9%	-5.6%	30	+0.20	3.59	136	84
Alejandro Lugo R 2024 · 5.36 FIP	21	SU	5.36	12.5%	13.3%	3.0%	.269	5.76	17.2%	-0.9%	18	+0.40	3.77	159	84
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	63	17.8%	10.9%	1.20	5.08
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*
Jerry Don Gleaton ('79-'92, 2 WAR*)	2.2	64	19.4%*	10.2%*	1.05*	4.44*