Javier Herrera

SS Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 22 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKLAD	120	.343/.437/.422	0	6	67	—	.241/.311/.296
2026	21	ALAD	276	.266/.380/.384	3	14	78	—	.228/.314/.320
2026	21	ROKLAD	45	.289/.400/.474	1	0	62	—	.200/.289/.350
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBLAD	431	.211/.292/.304	5	9	71	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBLAD	122	.211/.293/.313	2	3	76	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBLAD	196	.215/.296/.324	3	4	80	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed93

BB%69

K%62

Chase%58

wOBA54

Whiff%54

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 91%

CompsBrainer Bonaci (age 21) · Juan Mora (age 22) · Michael De La Cruz (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 318 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .290 / .302

PA318

HR4

SB7

K%26

BB%9

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	122	29	4	3	4	22	38	2	7	2	238	363	418	781	180	309	26	15	350	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	146	42	7	5	4	50	30	2	20	4	288	475	486	961	199	333	15	25	426	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	120	102	35	6	1	0	15	21	2	6	4	343	437	422	859	78	427	18	12	388	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	276	229	61	10	4	3	40	61	2	14	2	266	380	384	764	118	345	22	14	343	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	45	38	11	2	1	1	5	11	2	0	1	289	400	474	874	184	385	24	11	390	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	129	17	2	2	1	15	47	2	7	2	132	233	202	434	70	190	32	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	163	29	5	3	2	33	37	2	20	4	178	323	282	605	104	211	18	16	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	120	108	26	4	1	0	9	30	2	6	4	241	311	296	607	56	321	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	276	241	55	8	4	2	28	83	2	14	2	228	314	320	633	91	322	30	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	45	40	8	1	1	1	3	16	2	0	1	200	289	350	639	150	297	36	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	129	17	2	2	1	15	47	2	7	2	132	233	202	434	70	195	32	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	122	29	4	3	4	22	38	2	7	2	238	363	418	781	180	309	26	15	350	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	163	29	5	3	2	33	37	2	20	4	178	323	282	605	104	214	18	16	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	146	42	7	5	4	50	30	2	20	4	288	475	486	961	199	333	15	25	426	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	120	108	26	4	1	0	9	30	2	6	4	241	311	296	607	56	329	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	120	102	35	6	1	0	15	21	2	6	4	343	437	422	859	78	427	18	12	388	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	321	281	63	10	4	3	31	99	4	14	3	224	310	320	630	96	330	31	10	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	321	267	72	12	5	4	45	72	4	14	3	270	383	397	780	127	351	22	14	350	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	129	17	2	2	1	15	47	2	7	2	132	233	202	434	70	190	32	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	163	29	5	3	2	33	37	2	20	4	178	323	282	605	104	211	18	16	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	120	108	26	4	1	0	9	30	2	6	4	241	311	296	607	56	321	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	321	283	63	10	4	3	31	99	4	14	3	223	310	318	628	95	318	31	10	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	163	29	5	3	2	33	37	2	20	4	178	323	282	605	104	211	18	16	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	120	108	26	4	1	0	9	30	2	6	4	241	311	296	607	56	321	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	321	283	63	10	4	3	31	99	4	14	3	223	310	318	628	95	318	31	10	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	431	384	80	15	3	5	40	112	4	9	2	211	292	304	597	94	281	26	9	273	71	-15	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	356	317	68	13	2	5	33	91	3	8	2	215	297	320	617	105	283	26	9	281	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAD	46%	424	377	83	16	3	7	40	108	4	10	2	219	300	331	631	112	284	25	9	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	461	411	90	17	3	8	43	116	4	10	3	221	302	338	640	117	285	25	9	290	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	483	430	95	18	3	9	45	121	5	11	3	222	303	342	645	120	285	25	9	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	492	438	97	18	3	9	46	123	5	11	3	223	303	343	646	121	285	25	9	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	492	438	96	18	3	9	46	124	5	10	3	221	301	339	640	118	284	25	9	290	82	-10	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	486	434	95	18	3	9	45	124	4	9	3	219	298	333	631	114	283	26	9	286	80	-12	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	478	427	92	17	3	8	44	124	4	8	3	216	295	325	620	110	281	26	9	282	77	-13	+0	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	465	416	88	17	2	7	42	122	4	6	3	212	290	316	606	104	278	26	9	276	73	-15	+0	-3	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	122	109	23	4	1	2	11	31	1	3	1	211	293	313	606	102	276	25	9	277	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAD	46%	196	174	37	7	1	3	18	50	2	4	1	215	296	324	621	110	277	26	9	282	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	238	212	45	8	1	4	22	60	2	5	1	217	298	332	630	115	278	25	9	286	82	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	262	233	50	9	1	5	24	66	3	6	1	218	299	336	635	118	278	25	9	288	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	267	237	51	9	1	5	25	67	3	6	2	218	299	337	636	119	278	25	9	288	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	267	238	51	9	1	5	25	67	2	5	1	217	297	333	630	116	277	25	9	286	82	-6	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	258	230	49	9	1	5	24	66	2	5	1	215	295	327	622	112	276	26	9	282	80	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	251	224	47	9	1	4	23	65	2	4	1	212	291	319	611	108	275	26	9	278	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	242	216	45	8	1	4	22	64	2	3	2	208	287	310	597	102	272	26	9	272	73	-8	-0	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2103	1873	398	72	9	37	194	536	19	41	11	212	293	320	613	107	276	25	9	283	77	-50	+4	-4	+23	+46	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	123	22	3	11	60	166	6	13	3	212	293	318	611	105	277	26	9	283	77	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5243	4651	998	184	37	81	502	1349	51	137	40	215	298	322	620	108	282	26	10	282	77	-110	+7	-7	+48	+97	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	124	23	5	10	62	167	6	17	5	215	297	324	621	109	283	26	10	282	77	-16	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,420	41	49	219	296	331	+26	+18	3.6	3.4
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+4.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Herrera (OGILVIE)	22	37→42	32→37	53→58	59	209/290/302	93	281	4	7	26%	9%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	45→46	40→45	55→50	53	211/302/310	100	290	7	16	27%	11%	77	-0.3	227/287/348	121	312	12	11	29%	8%	80	-0.2	232/274/365	133	311	17	8	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	22	44→43	37→40	53→50	50	206/287/290	84	283	3	13	26%	10%	66	-1.1	202/259/277	75	271	3	8	25%	7%	52	-2.2	213/295/355	142	265	15	2	25%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→49	39→40	53→60	50	187/295/270	83	292	6	16	34%	11%	67	-1.1	210/302/291	81	303	5	23	29%	10%	73	-0.6	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Wilmer Difo 2014 · A	22	43→53	38→45	53→55	49	207/273/289	82	261	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	251/289/359	108	301	9	24	19%	4%	82	-0.0	258/296/362	104	307	8	28	18%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Geraldo Quintero 2024 · A	22	45→47	38→40	54→60	46	214/277/299	85	280	5	21	24%	7%	64	-1.3	210/281/306	96	275	8	28	25%	8%	68	-1.0	199/277/299	100	256	9	37	25%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Noah Campbell 2022 · A	23	47→46	39→45	53→50	46	218/300/307	89	319	7	14	31%	9%	76	-0.4	220/301/323	103	333	7	11	33%	9%	79	-0.2	215/305/323	108	337	7	8	34%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→52	40→45	53→50	52	213/295/309	95	271	8	10	23%	10%	74	-0.6	224/297/348	124	275	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.1	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	41→40	37→40	60	50	192/272/272	80	251	2	20	23%	9%	57	-1.8	203/271/276	73	310	2	18	32%	8%	57	-1.8	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Peyton Wilson 2022 · A	22	43→52	41→45	53→55	41	204/279/310	106	302	7	14	32%	7%	68	-1.0	222/288/343	121	297	11	18	27%	7%	79	-0.2	217/286/336	120	283	12	19	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Harold Garcia 2009 · A	22	44→54	41→45	55	44	212/285/317	104	260	7	14	20%	6%	73	-0.6	247/297/349	102	331	7	22	26%	4%	83	+0.1	259/308/359	99	353	7	27	27%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→44	36→30	48→60	47	224/284/295	71	288	3	10	22%	7%	65	-1.2	228/321/282	54	318	2	26	25%	12%	78	-0.3	221/328/267	46	302	1	34	24%	13%	75	-0.3
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	44→47	36→40	50	44	210/266/274	64	282	3	15	26%	7%	54	-2.0	207/274/272	65	290	4	11	28%	8%	57	-1.8	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Noah Miller 2024 · A	21	40→47	38→40	51→50	47	191/267/270	79	268	5	11	29%	9%	55	-2.0	217/269/299	82	278	6	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→44	38→45	52→50	47	212/285/292	80	289	6	13	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/276/316	110	270	11	10	26%	8%	68	-1.0	198/271/309	111	256	12	10	26%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Zeke DeVoss 2013 · A	23	45	39→40	52→55	47	213/299/307	94	295	6	18	28%	8%	76	-0.4	193/296/273	80	270	5	20	28%	10%	68	-1.0	172/289/239	68	242	4	24	27%	11%	57	-1.3
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2021 · A	22	44→41	40	54→55	42	213/266/303	91	286	7	18	27%	6%	61	-1.5	206/252/283	77	276	4	18	25%	5%	51	-2.3	198/241/265	66	263	2	22	24%	5%	39	-1.2
✕Austin Elkins 2014 · A	23	43→41	40	49→50	53	207/294/304	97	258	7	13	22%	10%	73	-0.6	215/293/305	90	277	7	10	23%	9%	72	-0.7	208/294/273	65	268	4	6	22%	9%	62	-0.6

Javier Herrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps