Mason Bolivar

OF ACL Guardians
Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 162 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202316ROKDSL Guardians…161.281/.394/.3260248—.191/.288/.220
202417ROKCLE17.176/.176/.35300-37—.118/.118/.235
202518ROKCLE41.147/.256/.17600-16—.111/.179/.139
2027PROJMLE20MLBCLE151.181/.239/.2561139-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCLE25.185/.245/.2650045-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Z-Con%39
BB%24
Speed10
ISO9
K%8
Whiff%7
CompsFrancisco Del Valle (age 20) · Danyer Sanabria (age 20) · Jhon Diaz (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj PA
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .237 / .254
PA26
HR0
K%37
BB%6
ISO74
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +0.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202316 ROKDSL Guardians Blue — 161135 38600 22163 22 281394326720 44317 1014 337 48 — — — — — —
202417 ROKACL Guardians — 1717 3110 070 01 176176353529 176300 410 224 -37 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Guardians — 4134 5100 4141 01 147256176433 29238 3410 206 -16 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202316 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 161141 27400 16193 22 191287220507 28222 1210 239 48 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 1717 2010 0100 01 118118235353 118234 590 114 -37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 4136 4100 2191 01 111179139318 28194 465 145 -16 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 161141 27400 16193 22 191287220507 28220 1210 239 48 — — — — — —
202316 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Blue — 161135 38600 22163 22 281394326720 44317 1014 337 48 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 1717 2010 0100 01 118118235353 118286 590 114 -37 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 1717 3110 070 01 176176353529 176300 410 224 -37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 4136 4100 2191 01 111179139318 28222 465 145 -16 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 4134 5100 4141 01 147256176433 29238 3410 206 -16 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 161141 27400 16193 22 191287220507 28222 1210 239 48 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 1717 2010 0100 01 118118235353 118234 590 114 -37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 4138 4100 2191 01 105179132311 26194 465 145 -16 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 1717 2010 0100 01 118118235353 118234 590 114 -37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 4138 4100 2191 01 105179132311 26194 465 145 -16 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECLE 0% 151139 25511 9552 10 181239256495 74288 366 226 39 -11 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECLE 34% 7267 13211 4261 10 186245268513 82289 366 234 45 -5 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXCLE 34% 2523 4100 290 00 185245265509 79288 368 233 45 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2523 4100 290 00 174240217457 43286 368 233 34 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 1042600 522340 00 174240217457 43286 368 233 34 -43 +0 +0 -4 +14 -3.3
Career— MLE — 317285 50821 24845 34 175252228480 53243 268 218 34 -7 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 1021642 4917210 68 175250226476 51242 268 218 34 -44 +1 +0 -4 +14 -3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 41 PAwOBA .206 → .145 (−61)K% 34.1% → 47.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.15%÷1.041×1.440——47.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.76%÷1.018×0.620—×1.0085.98%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.720—×1.0081.77%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.985×0.820—×1.00816.77%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷0.982×0.720—×1.0083.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.075×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.388×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .206 → .145; ISO .029 → .020; BABIP .238 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Guardians · 17 PAwOBA .217 → .114 (−103)K% 41.2% → 60.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.18%÷0.988×1.440——60.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.998×0.620—×1.0220.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷0.982×0.820—×1.0228.53%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.054×0.720—×1.0226.98%
Triples /BIP10.00%÷0.935×0.720—×1.0227.87%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.984×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 87, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .217 → .114; ISO .176 → .091; BABIP .300 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Blue · 161 PAwOBA .331 → .239 (−92)K% 9.9% → 12.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.94%÷1.001×1.220——12.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.66%÷1.006×0.700—×1.0229.72%
HBP% /PA1.86%—×0.700—×1.0221.33%
Singles /BIP26.89%÷0.991×0.680×1.006×1.02218.99%
Doubles /BIP5.04%÷0.917×0.600×1.006×1.0223.40%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.997×0.600×1.006×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.035×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 83, 3B 99, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .331 → .239; ISO .044 → .031; BABIP .317 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).