Javier Abreu — OGILVIE

Javier Abreu P DSL CLE Goryl

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%20.1%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	4	3	13	55	10	10	1	75%	3.2	12.4%	22.7%	-10.4%	1.1%	2.77	5.52	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Red	4	3	13	55	10	10	1	75%	3.2	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	1.8%	2.77	4.87	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	7	1	14	64	12	12	0	14%	2.0	12.8%	23.4%	-10.7%	0.0%	4.40	4.99	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	7	1	14	64	12	12	0	14%	2.0	12.8%	23.4%	-10.7%	0.0%	4.40	4.99	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	7	1	14	64	12	12	0	14%	2.0	18.8%	18.8%	0.0%	0.0%	4.40	3.94	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	17	0	27	126	15	12	0	0%	1.6	8.1%	11.9%	-3.8%	0.0%	5.27	3.92	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	17	0	27	126	15	12	0	0%	1.6	8.1%	11.9%	-3.8%	0.0%	5.27	3.92	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	17	0	27	126	15	12	0	0%	1.6	11.9%	9.5%	2.4%	0.0%	5.27	3.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	—	13	0	14	59	12	7	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	25	0	26	109	23	12	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.70	4.60	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.70	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	11	6	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.70	4.22	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	95	32	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.70	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		28	4	55	245	25	42	1	14%	2.0	10.3%	17.3%	-7.1%	0.2%	4.45	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	15	200	896	92	155	2	14%	2.0	10.3%	17.3%	-7.1%	0.2%	4.45	4.56	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Javier Abreu (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	20.1%	11.9%	2.9%	—	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	26	-0.30	—	—	—
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	87
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	86
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	85
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	85
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	85
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	85
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	85
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	84
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	84
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	84
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	84
Brandon Beckel R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	19.4%	10.3%	1.8%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.5%	147	+0.48	3.75	194	84
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	84
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	83
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	83
Reiss Knehr R 2018 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	21.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.267	4.86	18.8%	7.2%	171	+0.57	3.36	398	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	83