Jeremy Ciriaco

SS Fresno Grizzlies
Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 163 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2267ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKCOL224.339/.424/.41312154—.227/.295/.268
202518ROKCOL158.266/.331/.3290428—.189/.236/.230
202619ACOL272.208/.294/.2922731—.177/.245/.251
2027PROJMLE20MLBCOL382.201/.257/.2732750-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCOL75.218/.275/.3161158-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCOL157.224/.282/.3362365-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Z-Con%57
Speed55
Whiff%44
K%43
Chase%33
BB%25
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 1.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%
CompsBraulio Vasquez (age 20) · Christian Cairo (age 20) · Pablo Olivares (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 162 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .255 / .271
PA162
HR1
K%26
BB%6
ISO72
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.10.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-1$0.8M———
2036Arb-2$0.4M———
2037Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-0.2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202316 ROKDSL Rockies — 190161 39711 23311 113 242341317657 75290 1612 298 19 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Rockies — 224189 64911 26292 216 339424413837 74391 1312 370 54 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Rockies — 158143 38900 13321 44 266331329660 63342 208 301 28 — — — — — —
202619 AFresno Grizzlies — 272236 491022 25694 74 208294292587 85281 259 266 31 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202316 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 190169 28511 15371 113 166238225463 59190 198 197 19 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 224198 45610 17352 216 227295268563 40258 168 248 54 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 158148 28600 8461 44 189236230465 41273 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 272243 43822 18944 74 177245251496 74259 357 214 31 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 190169 28511 15371 113 166238225463 59203 198 197 19 — — — — — —
202316 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 190161 39711 23311 113 242341317657 75290 1612 298 19 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 224198 45610 17352 216 227295268563 40273 168 248 54 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 224189 64911 26292 216 339424413837 74391 1312 370 54 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 158148 28600 8461 44 189236230465 41275 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 158143 38900 13321 44 266331329660 63342 208 301 28 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 272243 43822 18944 74 177245251496 74275 357 214 31 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWFresno Grizzlies — 272236 491022 25694 74 208294292587 85281 259 266 31 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 190172 28511 15371 113 163238221459 58190 198 197 19 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 224203 45610 17352 216 222295261556 39258 168 248 54 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 158148 28600 8461 44 189236230465 41273 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 272248 43822 18944 74 173245246491 73259 357 214 31 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 224203 45610 17352 216 222295261556 39258 168 248 54 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 158148 28600 8461 44 189236230465 41273 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 272248 43822 18944 74 173245246491 73259 357 214 31 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECOL 0% 382353 711522 221014 72 201257273530 72273 266 242 50 -23 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECOL 34% 218201 41812 13562 41 208265295560 87275 266 254 58 -11 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.3
202922 MLB MLECOL 48% 325298 651325 20834 62 213272313585 100276 266 264 65 -14 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
203023 MLB MLECOL 54% 401367 801627 261015 72 217277326603 108278 256 272 70 -14 +1 +0 +4 +9 -0.1
203124 MLB MLECOL 55% 450412 901828 301125 82 220281335616 114280 257 277 74 -14 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.1
203225 MLB MLECOL 56% 475435 971939 321175 83 222284340624 118280 257 280 76 -14 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.2
203326 MLB MLECOL 56% 489448 1002039 331215 83 222284341625 119280 257 280 76 -14 +0 +0 +5 +11 0.2
203427 MLB MLECOL 60% 492451 1002039 331225 83 221283338621 117280 257 279 75 -15 +0 +0 +5 +11 0.2
203528 MLB MLECOL 62% 488447 971929 331225 73 219281334615 114279 257 277 73 -15 +0 -1 +5 +11 -0.0
203629 MLB MLECOL 63% 477437 941928 321215 63 217278328606 111278 257 273 71 -16 +0 -1 +5 +10 -0.2
203730 MLB MLECOL 63% 466427 921828 311195 53 214275321596 106276 267 269 68 -18 -0 -2 +5 +10 -0.5
202821 MLB CTXCOL 34% 7569 16311 5191 10 218275316591 98287 257 266 58 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202922 MLB CTXCOL 48% 157144 31612 10402 31 224282336618 112290 256 277 65 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXCOL 54% 217199 46924 14542 41 229288350638 122291 256 285 70 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
203124 MLB CTXCOL 55% 249228 531025 16623 41 232292360652 129293 256 291 74 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
203225 MLB CTXCOL 56% 266243 571126 18663 41 234295367661 133294 257 295 76 -8 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203326 MLB CTXCOL 56% 275251 581126 19683 41 234295367662 133294 257 295 76 -8 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203427 MLB CTXCOL 60% 293268 621226 20733 52 233294364658 132293 257 294 75 -9 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203528 MLB CTXCOL 62% 301275 631226 20753 42 231291359651 128292 257 291 73 -10 +0 -0 +3 +7 -0.0
203629 MLB CTXCOL 63% 299274 621226 20763 32 228289353641 124291 257 287 71 -10 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.2
203730 MLB CTXCOL 63% 296271 621226 20763 32 225285345629 119289 267 282 68 -11 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 24282222 510981848 16260926 3513 230290355644 125293 257 289 65 -81 +2 -3 +26 +53 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650595 13726513 431637 93 230290356646 126294 257 289 65 -22 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 52874831 10302012778 350132956 11343 213274314589 101276 257 264 65 -155 +4 -4 +48 +96 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650594 12725310 431637 145 214275316591 103276 257 264 65 -23 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 272 PAwOBA .261 → .214 (−47)K% 25.4% → 34.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.37%÷1.000×1.360——34.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.19%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0306.53%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.780—×1.0301.18%
Singles /BIP20.96%÷1.000×0.920×0.994×1.03019.75%
Doubles /BIP5.99%÷1.000×0.830×0.994×1.0305.09%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.000×0.910×0.994×1.0301.12%
Home runs /BIP1.20%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.99%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .261 → .214; ISO .085 → .068; BABIP .281 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rockies · 158 PAwOBA .294 → .209 (−84)K% 20.3% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.25%÷0.993×1.440——29.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.23%÷0.987×0.620—×1.0085.21%
HBP% /PA0.63%—×0.720—×1.0080.46%
Singles /BIP26.13%÷1.021×0.820×1.008×1.00821.31%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷0.991×0.720×1.008×1.0085.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×1.008×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .294 → .209; ISO .063 → .043; BABIP .342 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rockies · 224 PAwOBA .364 → .248 (−116)K% 12.9% → 15.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.95%÷1.001×1.220——15.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.61%÷1.099×0.700—×1.0087.45%
HBP% /PA0.89%—×0.700—×1.0080.63%
Singles /BIP33.12%÷1.006×0.680×0.984×1.00822.20%
Doubles /BIP5.62%÷0.977×0.600×0.984×1.0083.42%
Triples /BIP0.62%÷0.900×0.600×0.984×1.0080.41%
Home runs /BIP0.62%÷1.188×0.470—×1.0080.25%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .364 → .248; ISO .074 → .045; BABIP .391 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Rockies · 190 PAwOBA .294 → .197 (−97)K% 16.3% → 19.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.32%÷1.017×1.220——19.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.11%÷1.119×0.700—×1.0227.74%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.700—×1.0220.38%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.006×0.680×0.972×1.02215.50%
Doubles /BIP5.38%÷0.975×0.600×0.972×1.0223.29%
Triples /BIP0.77%÷1.000×0.600×0.972×1.0220.46%
Home runs /BIP0.77%÷0.968×0.470—×1.0220.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 103, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .294 → .197; ISO .075 → .046; BABIP .290 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).