Jeremy Ciriaco — OGILVIE

Jeremy CiriacoSS Fresno Grizzlies

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 163 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION249 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .255 / .268

PA166

HR1

K%30

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.6M
2035	Arb-2	$1M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	190	172	31	5	1	1	12	43	1	11	3	180	238	238	476	58	231	23	6	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	190	161	39	7	1	1	23	31	1	11	3	242	341	317	657	75	290	16	12	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	224	202	53	7	1	1	13	42	2	21	6	262	313	322	635	59	323	19	6	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	224	189	64	9	1	1	26	29	2	21	6	339	424	413	837	74	391	13	12	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	158	148	27	6	0	0	8	47	1	4	4	182	229	223	452	41	267	30	5	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	158	143	38	9	0	0	13	32	1	4	4	266	331	329	660	63	342	20	8	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	COL	—	249	223	38	8	1	2	15	86	4	7	4	170	236	242	478	72	263	35	6	210	19	-23	-0	+0	+3	+7	-1.4
YTD	19	A	COL	—	249	217	46	10	2	2	21	64	4	7	4	212	293	304	598	92	288	26	8	268	63	-10	-0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
ROS	19	A	COL	0%	166	153	30	6	1	1	10	49	2	4	2	196	255	268	523	72	269	30	6	227	32	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
ROS	19	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	234	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	COL	—	249	224	38	8	1	2	15	86	4	7	4	170	236	241	477	71	261	35	6	210	19	-23	-0	+0	+3	+7	-1.4
TOT	19	A	COL	—	415	376	68	14	2	3	25	135	6	11	6	181	243	253	496	72	270	33	6	217	24	-36	-0	+0	+4	+12	-2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	373	343	69	13	2	4	23	106	4	7	3	201	259	286	545	85	274	28	6	248	48	-22	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.7
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	464	425	88	17	2	7	31	128	5	8	4	207	269	306	575	99	276	28	7	262	58	-22	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.4
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	521	474	100	19	2	9	36	140	6	9	4	211	275	316	592	105	278	27	7	270	65	-21	+0	+0	+6	+15	-0.0
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	557	506	110	20	3	11	39	148	7	9	4	217	283	334	617	117	279	27	7	275	69	-20	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.2
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	578	525	115	21	3	12	41	152	7	10	4	219	284	339	624	120	280	26	7	278	71	-19	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	589	535	117	22	3	12	42	154	7	10	4	219	284	338	623	120	280	26	7	279	72	-19	+0	+0	+6	+17	0.5
2033	26	MLB	COL	60%	593	539	119	22	3	13	42	155	7	10	4	221	286	345	631	124	280	26	7	280	72	-19	+0	+0	+6	+17	0.5
2034	27	MLB	COL	62%	590	535	117	22	3	12	43	155	7	10	4	219	285	338	624	120	280	26	7	280	72	-18	+0	+0	+6	+17	0.5
2035	28	MLB	COL	63%	584	529	115	21	3	12	43	154	7	9	4	217	285	336	621	119	279	26	7	279	72	-19	+0	-1	+6	+17	0.4
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	128	118	26	5	1	2	8	36	1	2	1	220	276	331	606	110	294	28	6	256	54	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	225	205	46	9	1	4	15	62	3	4	2	224	287	337	624	112	297	28	7	271	66	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	283	259	58	11	1	6	19	76	3	5	2	224	285	344	628	120	299	27	7	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	315	286	67	13	2	7	22	83	4	5	2	234	298	367	665	133	300	26	7	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	327	297	70	13	2	8	23	86	4	5	2	236	299	374	673	138	301	26	7	289	79	-8	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	333	302	72	14	2	8	24	87	4	5	2	238	303	377	681	139	301	26	7	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2033	26	MLB	COL	60%	358	326	77	15	2	9	25	94	4	6	3	236	299	377	676	141	301	26	7	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2034	27	MLB	COL	62%	366	333	78	15	2	9	26	96	4	6	3	234	298	372	670	138	301	26	7	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2035	28	MLB	COL	63%	369	335	79	15	2	9	27	97	4	6	3	236	301	373	674	137	300	26	7	290	80	-8	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2704	2462	573	110	15	62	189	717	31	44	20	233	296	365	661	132	301	27	7	286	77	-71	+1	-0	+29	+77	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	138	26	4	15	45	172	7	11	5	233	295	367	662	133	301	26	7	286	77	-17	+0	-0	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	5587	5086	1091	201	27	95	383	1473	63	122	50	215	278	321	599	106	281	26	7	268	63	-231	+4	-1	+60	+158	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	126	23	3	11	45	171	7	14	6	213	276	318	594	105	278	26	7	268	63	-27	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	190	161	39	7	1	1	23	31	1	11	3	242	341	317	657	75	290	16	12	298	86	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	224	189	64	9	1	1	26	29	2	21	6	339	424	413	837	74	391	13	12	370	141	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.9
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	158	143	38	9	0	0	13	32	1	4	4	266	331	329	660	63	342	20	8	301	89	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,929	54	50	215	276	326	+31	+18	0.4	0.9
	/162	664	12	11	215	276	326	+7.1	+4.1	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeremy Ciriaco (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	45	30	181/243/253	72	270	3	11	33%	6%	24	-2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Manuel Falcon 2009 · A	19	47	33→30	46→50	44	220/269/265	45	275	1	10	20%	5%	46	-2.0	229/291/284	55	293	2	9	21%	7%	62	-0.9	243/316/276	33	309	0	10	19%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Jordan Galvez 2011 · A	19	48	35→30	45→50	41	225/268/286	61	289	2	10	22%	5%	51	-1.7	217/265/275	58	270	1	11	19%	5%	47	-1.9	213/261/258	45	260	0	12	17%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Yan Olmo 2010 · A	19	39	35→30	46→55	38	186/243/245	60	251	2	9	26%	4%	32	-3.0	204/262/267	63	269	4	13	25%	5%	45	-2.1	204/264/252	48	262	5	18	23%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Jesus Alastre 2016 · A	19	49	34→30	44→50	41	228/288/285	57	285	1	10	20%	4%	61	-1.0	227/275/300	73	301	3	9	24%	4%	59	-1.1	249/282/342	92	348	4	9	28%	2%	67	-0.1
✕Luis De La Cruz 2008 · A	19	45	35→40	47→30	42	213/261/280	66	285	2	9	25%	5%	47	-1.9	193/229/269	76	250	4	5	24%	4%	30	-3.1	244/267/328	84	295	4	3	18%	3%	57	-0.3
✕Yeldrys Molina 2008 · A	19	44	36→40	46→50	44	205/260/274	69	260	3	9	22%	6%	46	-2.0	195/254/274	79	281	4	9	30%	7%	43	-2.2	173/239/256	84	257	3	10	32%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	35→30	44→50	41	183/258/245	61	277	3	10	32%	7%	39	-2.5	200/274/259	59	305	3	10	32%	8%	49	-1.8	190/266/236	46	290	2	11	32%	9%	37	-1.2
✕Jose Bellorin 2010 · A	19	43	38→40	48→50	39	207/257/287	81	288	5	10	29%	5%	48	-1.9	216/271/299	83	268	6	10	21%	6%	57	-1.2	219/276/293	74	257	6	10	17%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Marco Soto 2023 · A	19	46	34→30	49→50	45	215/273/269	54	274	1	10	21%	6%	50	-1.7	191/246/248	57	273	3	7	29%	5%	33	-2.9	143/196/176	32	215	2	4	32%	4%	-7	-1.2
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	41	204/254/272	68	278	4	10	27%	6%	42	-2.3	202/251/270	68	260	2	14	22%	5%	40	-2.4	242/303/316	74	289	6	16	17%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Reynoso 2014 · A	19	43	36→30	45→50	45	204/267/271	67	279	3	9	27%	7%	48	-1.9	191/245/247	56	316	4	6	38%	6%	32	-3.0	169/221/200	31	304	3	3	43%	6%	8	-1.2
✕Joshua Magee 2011 · A	19	40	36→30	47→55	40	192/236/254	62	259	3	9	27%	5%	30	-3.1	208/256/278	70	278	4	14	25%	5%	45	-2.1	215/265/273	58	282	4	20	24%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Jimmy Mojica 2019 · A	19	44	36→40	46→50	40	207/258/276	69	268	4	8	24%	4%	45	-2.1	206/259/283	77	272	5	7	25%	5%	47	-1.9	185/240/257	72	241	7	5	25%	4%	32	-0.8
✕Andres Martinez 2014 · A	19	43	37→30	47→45	42	200/267/273	74	300	4	8	33%	7%	49	-1.8	211/277/277	66	288	3	9	25%	7%	54	-1.4	206/276/260	54	277	1	10	24%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	25	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	61	-1.0	227/272/301	75	302	6	3	26%	4%	56	-0.5
✕Ramon Coronel 2011 · A	19	45	35→30	48→45	44	210/257/266	56	253	2	6	18%	5%	41	-2.3	233/272/296	63	287	2	9	19%	4%	56	-1.3	254/286/309	55	308	1	10	17%	3%	61	-0.3