Adrian Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Adrian Gonzalez3B DSL NYY Bombers

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .280 / .281

PA41

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	119	98	16	4	1	0	13	35	6	2	2	163	299	224	524	61	246	29	11	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	119	92	18	5	1	0	19	24	6	2	2	196	368	272	639	76	257	20	16	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	36	32	2	0	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	62	143	62	205		83	25	6	125	-46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	36	30	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	100	229	100	329		120	17	11	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	NYY	—	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	189	268	216	485	27	288	29	7	261	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYY	34%	113	101	21	4	1	1	9	31	2	1	0	208	286	297	583	89	289	27	8	271	65	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYY	48%	247	221	48	9	2	3	20	67	4	3	1	217	294	317	611	100	291	27	8	278	71	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	NYY	53%	347	310	67	12	2	5	28	93	6	4	1	216	294	316	610	100	292	27	8	283	74	-10	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.1
2030	25	MLB	NYY	55%	407	365	81	15	3	7	33	109	6	4	1	222	297	337	634	115	292	27	8	285	77	-11	+0	+0	+1	+12	0.3
2027	22	MLB	NYY	34%	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	11	1	0	0	171	256	200	456	29	291	28	8	260	57	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYY	48%	120	107	23	4	1	2	10	33	2	1	0	215	294	327	621	112	292	28	8	268	63	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	NYY	53%	183	163	36	7	1	3	15	49	3	2	1	221	298	331	630	110	293	27	8	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	NYY	55%	223	199	45	8	2	4	18	60	4	2	1	226	303	347	650	121	293	27	8	276	69	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	565	504	110	20	4	9	46	153	10	5	2	218	296	327	624	109	293	27	8	272	66	-21	+0	+0	+2	+16	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	127	23	5	10	53	176	12	6	2	219	298	328	625	109	295	27	8	272	66	-25	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	1310	1164	242	45	9	16	108	356	26	14	5	208	290	303	593	95	282	27	8	272	66	-50	+1	+0	+5	+37	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	119	22	4	8	54	177	13	7	2	206	288	299	588	93	280	27	8	272	66	-25	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	119	92	18	5	1	0	19	24	6	2	2	196	368	272	639	76	257	20	16	307	93	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	36	30	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	100	229	100	329		120	17	11	173	-9	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	605	9	7	218	292	324	+2	+2	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	10	7	218	292	324	+2.4	+1.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	203/280/281	78	288	0	0	28%	8%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	34	-2.8	215/257/310	95	317	7	4	33%	4%	54	-1.4	252/282/371	119	340	11	3	28%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→50	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	52	-1.6	194/271/281	87	277	5	10	30%	7%	54	-1.4	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	190/271/255	65	295	3	5	34%	10%	46	-2.0	197/283/279	82	287	5	4	30%	10%	58	-1.2	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Kenny Hart 2011 · A	21	45	39→45	47→50	42	211/286/293	83	298	6	9	29%	7%	63	-0.8	212/300/319	107	275	8	11	24%	8%	76	+0.1	187/295/308	121	227	11	15	21%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2022 · A	21	42→51	37→45	43→45	44	199/271/275	76	282	3	5	29%	8%	51	-1.7	196/268/279	83	288	5	5	31%	8%	52	-1.6	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Kevin Ahrens 2010 · A	21	41→46	38→45	47→40	41	198/251/277	80	281	5	3	30%	6%	43	-2.2	198/257/302	104	262	10	3	27%	7%	53	-1.5	214/270/332	118	266	11	3	23%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Gavin LaValley 2016 · A	21	43	38→50	48→40	40	204/261/280	75	297	5	4	32%	6%	48	-1.9	212/261/333	121	291	13	2	30%	6%	62	-0.9	204/253/340	137	270	17	1	31%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Phillip Evans 2014 · A	21	39→49	37→45	46→40	44	189/239/261	72	235	5	5	22%	6%	33	-2.9	213/258/292	79	266	5	3	21%	5%	50	-1.8	215/291/338	123	254	14	3	21%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	44→37	36→40	46→50	47	203/290/267	64	289	4	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	194/265/290	96	265	9	12	29%	7%	53	-1.5	180/250/271	92	246	10	14	30%	7%	39	-1.4