Estarling Mercado

Estarling MercadoOF Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .260 / .312

PA76

HR2

K%27

BB%8

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	50	44	8	1	0	1	5	17	1	0	0	182	280	273	553	91	269	34	10	260	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	225	186	33	8	2	8	31	74	8	3	1	177	320	371	691	194	240	33	14	317	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	145	126	32	5	1	3	17	30	1	4	1	254	347	381	728	127	309	21	12	329	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	50	46	7	1	0	1	3	23	1	0	0	152	220	239	459	87	228	46	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	225	196	26	6	1	7	21	102	8	3	1	133	244	281	525	148	221	45	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	145	133	28	4	1	2	10	39	1	4	1	211	271	301	572	90	274	27	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	275	242	32	7	1	7	24	124	9	3	1	132	236	256	493	124	225	45	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	275	230	41	9	2	9	36	91	9	3	1	178	313	352	665	174	246	33	13	306	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	145	133	28	4	1	2	10	39	1	4	1	211	271	301	572	90	280	27	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	145	126	32	5	1	3	17	30	1	4	1	254	347	381	728	127	309	21	12	329	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	275	240	32	7	1	7	24	124	9	3	1	133	236	258	495	125	222	45	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	145	133	28	4	1	2	10	39	1	4	1	211	271	301	572	90	274	27	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	275	240	32	7	1	7	24	124	9	3	1	133	236	258	495	125	222	45	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	145	133	28	4	1	2	10	39	1	4	1	211	271	301	572	90	274	27	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	200	181	35	6	1	5	15	54	2	3	1	191	262	315	577	124	242	27	8	261	63	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	30%	131	118	23	4	1	3	10	35	2	2	1	195	266	324	590	129	245	27	8	266	66	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	30%	40	37	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	190	261	316	577	126	237	28	8	261	66	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	37	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	162	225	270	495	108	200	28	8	261	52	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	97	16	0	16	49	179	0	16	0	161	225	268	493	106	200	28	8	261	52	-26	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	627	562	96	17	3	14	50	219	13	10	3	171	254	286	541	116	248	35	8	246	52	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	100	18	3	15	52	227	13	10	3	172	255	290	545	118	248	35	8	246	52	-27	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Estarling Mercado (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	190/260/312	123	242	2	1	27%	8%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Alex Iadisernia 2024 · A	23	38→37	46→50	52→55	43	196/263/328	132	261	14	16	30%	7%	67	-1.1	197/263/295	98	277	8	16	30%	7%	59	-1.7	178/248/250	72	257	3	19	30%	7%	42	-2.0
✕Cam Gibson 2018 · A	24	38→41	44→45	54→55	42	195/251/319	125	261	11	15	30%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/306	105	279	9	19	29%	7%	62	-1.4	193/264/286	93	270	7	22	29%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Cody Morissette 2024 · AA	24	35→31	46→45	44→55	40	187/242/313	126	243	15	5	30%	6%	55	-1.9	190/243/309	119	252	13	15	29%	6%	55	-2.0	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	261	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	201/265/317	116	278	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	151/221/203	52	215	4	5	30%	8%	20	-1.0
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Logan Farrar 2019 · A	24	40→35	45	48→45	42	203/260/322	119	263	13	3	28%	6%	63	-1.3	197/261/283	86	283	8	6	31%	7%	55	-2.0	167/242/206	39	254	3	6	33%	8%	30	-1.8
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	40	42→45	44→45	43	199/252/299	99	250	9	7	24%	6%	55	-1.9	202/255/299	97	247	9	7	21%	6%	56	-1.9	199/255/294	95	242	9	7	21%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Braden Shewmake 2022 · AA	24	42→41	47→50	49→55	39	218/255/357	138	268	15	9	25%	4%	70	-0.9	213/256/337	124	263	13	17	24%	5%	65	-1.2	202/248/319	116	246	11	23	23%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Zavier Warren 2023 · AA	24	38→39	45	52→45	45	194/262/316	122	249	13	7	27%	8%	63	-1.3	192/258/307	115	257	12	7	29%	7%	59	-1.6	180/248/287	107	243	12	7	30%	8%	50	-1.6
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	32	50	49→40	42	178/266/325	146	259	19	7	38%	8%	69	-0.9	196/276/333	137	263	16	6	30%	9%	73	-0.6	162/237/266	105	230	13	1	34%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Chris Edmondson 2012 · A	24	41→43	47→50	48→45	43	209/267/353	144	257	14	6	25%	6%	74	-0.6	213/262/327	114	271	11	9	25%	5%	65	-1.2	212/259/311	99	264	11	8	23%	4%	57	-1.5
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→36	48→50	48→45	42	208/271/349	142	295	16	9	34%	8%	74	-0.5	198/271/337	139	291	14	9	35%	9%	72	-0.7	187/267/334	148	273	15	7	35%	9%	69	-0.7
✕Carter Williams 2022 · A	24	42	45	49→45	36	213/246/342	129	281	12	9	29%	4%	62	-1.4	228/274/351	123	299	13	9	27%	5%	75	-0.5	227/276/345	117	293	14	9	27%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	207/273/338	131	273	14	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/284/324	110	273	10	7	24%	8%	74	-0.6	194/281/260	67	243	5	0	21%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	44→50	50	42	195/261/317	122	265	12	12	30%	7%	63	-1.3	193/254/274	81	266	6	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	169/229/213	44	232	3	12	27%	6%	25	-2.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	40→39	47→50	43→45	42	204/266/337	133	281	15	5	32%	7%	70	-0.9	209/261/319	110	293	12	5	31%	6%	63	-1.3	162/194/237	75	208	11	0	28%	4%	16	-1.0