Andy Acevedo — OGILVIE

Andy AcevedoOF FCL Nationals

Age 21 L/L 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .263 / .253

PA63

HR0

K%33

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	184	153	26	2	2	2	25	59	4	23	11	170	302	248	551	78	255	32	14	263	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	97	82	14	1	0	0	12	23	2	11	0	171	292	183	475	12	237	24	12	236	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	115	85	16	2	0	0	19	37	7	9	6	188	378	212	590	24	333	32	17	293	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	184	160	16	1	1	1	18	70	4	23	11	100	209	138	346	38	162	38	10	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	97	86	11	1	0	0	8	33	2	11	0	128	219	140	358	12	187	34	8	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	92	13	1	0	0	12	54	7	9	6	141	288	152	440	11	285	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	184	160	16	1	1	1	18	70	4	23	11	100	209	138	346	38	165	38	10	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	184	153	26	2	2	2	25	59	4	23	11	170	302	248	551	78	255	32	14	263	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	97	86	11	1	0	0	8	33	2	11	0	128	219	140	358	12	208	34	8	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	97	82	14	1	0	0	12	23	2	11	0	171	292	183	475	12	237	24	12	236	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	92	13	1	0	0	12	54	7	9	6	141	288	152	440	11	342	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	115	85	16	2	0	0	19	37	7	9	6	188	378	212	590	24	333	32	17	293	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	184	160	16	1	1	1	18	70	4	23	11	100	209	138	346	38	162	38	10	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	97	87	11	1	0	0	8	33	2	11	0	126	219	138	357	11	187	34	8	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	95	13	1	0	0	12	54	7	9	6	137	288	147	436	11	285	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	97	87	11	1	0	0	8	33	2	11	0	126	219	138	357	11	187	34	8	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	95	13	1	0	0	12	54	7	9	6	137	288	147	436	11	285	47	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	225	202	38	6	1	2	17	75	4	5	1	189	266	255	521	66	286	33	8	242	50	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	116	104	20	3	1	1	9	38	2	2	0	194	271	272	543	78	288	33	8	251	56	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	40	36	6	1	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	194	271	270	540	76	287	32	8	250	56	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	36	6	1	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	167	250	194	444	28	261	32	8	250	21	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	97	16	0	0	49	211	16	16	0	166	249	193	442	27	259	32	8	250	21	-34	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	575	499	70	8	2	2	52	216	16	46	17	140	243	176	420	36	239	38	9	200	21	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	79	9	2	2	59	244	18	52	19	140	243	174	417	34	240	38	9	200	21	-36	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Acevedo (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	187/263/253	66	286	0	1	33%	8%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	38	39→40	51→40	42	186/255/269	83	272	6	8	32%	8%	50	-2.3	190/255/289	99	292	8	6	35%	7%	55	-2.0	163/234/264	101	246	9	3	35%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	35	37→40	55	44	168/249/240	72	256	4	15	33%	8%	42	-2.9	189/249/265	76	287	4	8	33%	6%	46	-2.6	179/233/246	67	261	5	2	32%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Jhon Diaz 2024 · A	21	37→26	40→45	49→50	39	181/241/278	97	288	6	11	38%	7%	46	-2.6	174/225/289	115	248	13	16	34%	6%	43	-2.8	154/204/269	115	207	15	17	34%	5%	28	-2.5
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	33	39→45	48→45	35	170/215/251	81	265	7	7	38%	5%	30	-3.8	202/249/292	90	329	5	5	38%	6%	52	-2.2	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Alexis Rivera 2015 · A	21	42	37→45	49→50	40	202/256/274	73	289	5	11	31%	6%	51	-2.3	219/266/330	111	298	11	9	29%	5%	67	-1.1	229/272/355	125	296	13	7	27%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	38	36→40	48→55	37	178/244/244	65	288	3	14	37%	6%	40	-3.1	173/249/273	100	324	9	19	45%	8%	49	-2.4	138/226/243	104	269	10	25	48%	9%	32	-1.5
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	39→33	43→45	51→50	42	193/261/303	109	286	10	12	34%	8%	60	-1.6	207/272/319	112	304	11	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/283	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	57	-1.8	207/266/297	90	302	8	6	32%	6%	60	-1.6	195/255/278	83	281	9	4	32%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	39→35	42→45	52→55	37	189/247/289	101	313	10	13	41%	7%	51	-2.2	193/261/305	112	326	12	18	41%	8%	60	-1.6	182/254/312	130	278	16	23	38%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	32→42	39→45	49→40	36	166/219/248	82	252	6	6	36%	6%	31	-3.7	210/258/309	99	293	9	4	30%	6%	59	-1.6	215/263/317	102	288	10	3	28%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→40	41→45	53→50	42	184/260/288	104	282	8	7	35%	8%	56	-1.9	184/272/282	98	313	8	10	39%	10%	60	-1.6	168/249/289	121	278	12	10	41%	9%	51	-1.6
✕George Feliz 2024 · A	21	35	38→45	50→45	33	163/226/240	77	308	6	14	46%	6%	32	-3.6	177/236/280	103	304	11	9	43%	6%	45	-2.7	159/218/261	102	267	12	7	43%	6%	33	-1.6
✕Dan Arcila 2011 · A	21	33	37→40	53→50	42	166/231/239	73	242	5	12	32%	7%	34	-3.5	196/250/324	128	265	13	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	174/233/338	164	215	19	3	29%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Dionis Paulino 2015 · A	21	40	36→40	51→50	48	189/267/252	64	257	3	15	26%	9%	51	-2.3	202/263/272	70	293	3	12	30%	7%	53	-2.1	206/248/291	84	301	9	11	33%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	41→37	37→50	46→40	39	191/254/271	79	303	4	4	36%	7%	49	-2.4	190/257/325	135	272	17	4	35%	7%	64	-1.3	170/247/299	129	231	15	2	33%	7%	54	-1.2