Gian Zapata

OF ACL D-backs

Age 21 L/L 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #1028MiLBFA 2036

FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKARI	153	.214/.387/.325	1	7	32	—	.141/.267/.219
2025	19	ROKARI	87	.284/.376/.459	2	5	51	—	.179/.247/.308
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBARI	197	.186/.260/.285	3	3	55	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBARI	40	.198/.272/.314	1	1	62	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed96

ISO87

wRC+71

wOBA63

BB%43

Z-Con%31

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCole Roederer (age 21) · Jared Walker (age 21) · Iverson Leonardo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .258 / .283

PA55

HR1

K%33

BB%8

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	165	134	34	9	0	9	19	48	7	5	4	254	375	522	897	269	305	29	12	383	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	153	117	25	8	1	1	26	46	7	7	6	214	387	325	711	111	329	30	17	332	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	87	74	21	3	2	2	11	24	0	5	0	284	376	459	836	176	380	28	13	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	165	139	20	5	0	4	14	59	7	5	4	144	256	266	522	122	180	36	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	153	128	18	5	1	1	15	69	7	7	6	141	267	219	485	78	244	45	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	87	78	14	2	1	2	7	36	0	5	0	179	247	308	555	128	286	41	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	165	139	20	5	0	4	14	59	7	5	4	144	256	266	522	122	198	36	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	165	134	34	9	0	9	19	48	7	5	4	254	375	522	897	269	305	29	12	383	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	153	128	18	5	1	1	15	69	7	7	6	141	267	219	485	78	279	45	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	153	117	25	8	1	1	26	46	7	7	6	214	387	325	711	111	329	30	17	332	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	87	78	14	2	1	2	7	36	0	5	0	179	247	308	555	128	286	41	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	87	74	21	3	2	2	11	24	0	5	0	284	376	459	836	176	380	28	13	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	165	143	20	5	0	4	14	59	7	5	4	140	256	259	515	119	180	36	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	153	130	18	5	1	1	15	69	7	7	6	138	267	215	482	77	244	45	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	87	80	14	2	1	2	7	36	0	5	0	175	247	300	547	125	286	41	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	153	130	18	5	1	1	15	69	7	7	6	138	267	215	482	77	244	45	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	87	80	14	2	1	2	7	36	0	5	0	175	247	300	547	125	286	41	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	197	177	33	6	1	3	15	64	3	3	1	186	260	285	545	99	269	32	8	249	55	-11	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	115	104	20	4	1	2	9	37	1	2	0	192	267	303	570	111	271	32	8	259	62	-5	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	198	272	314	586	116	282	32	8	265	62	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	273	32	8	265	46	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	16	0	16	49	211	16	16	0	193	274	303	576	109	271	32	8	265	46	-30	+3	-2	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	575	499	81	18	3	10	49	219	16	20	10	162	259	271	529	108	253	38	9	236	46	-8	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	91	20	3	11	55	248	18	23	11	161	257	266	523	105	252	38	8	236	46	-31	+2	-2	-4	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gian Zapata (OGILVIE)	21	20→30	40→60	50→45	50	184/258/283	98	269	1	1	33%	8%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	39→33	43→45	51→50	42	193/261/303	109	286	10	12	34%	8%	60	-1.6	207/272/319	112	304	11	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→32	40→55	44→45	37	179/240/268	89	303	8	7	41%	7%	44	-2.8	189/260/346	157	308	19	5	42%	7%	70	-0.8	174/258/341	167	276	21	5	42%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Alex Abbott 2016 · A	21	36	43→50	42→50	42	184/253/297	112	249	10	9	29%	7%	56	-1.9	178/242/266	88	278	7	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	115/184/171	56	193	5	0	41%	6%	0	-2.1
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	37→32	44→50	50	37	190/237/306	116	273	11	14	34%	6%	51	-2.2	189/241/290	101	317	9	13	41%	6%	49	-2.4	173/225/264	91	319	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Rixon Wingrove 2021 · A	21	43→34	42→50	44→40	42	211/266/320	110	289	9	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	185/248/315	130	296	16	4	41%	6%	58	-1.7	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2014 · A	21	35	39→55	47→50	38	177/221/263	87	237	6	7	28%	4%	35	-3.4	209/242/315	106	277	10	8	27%	4%	54	-2.0	216/244/339	122	276	12	9	26%	4%	57	-0.6
✕Izaac Pacheco 2024 · A	21	37→40	43→50	46→45	39	186/244/295	109	281	11	6	36%	7%	51	-2.2	192/261/331	139	309	16	5	40%	8%	67	-1.1	185/263/344	159	294	20	3	41%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Luis Castillo 2024 · A	20	43→36	39→50	46→40	42	206/270/292	86	297	7	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	180/256/301	121	260	14	4	34%	9%	59	-1.7	164/248/298	134	222	17	2	33%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Nomar Fana 2024 · A	21	39	38→50	47→50	44	187/258/266	79	280	6	11	33%	8%	51	-2.3	182/260/291	109	294	12	12	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/241/265	110	245	14	14	40%	10%	43	-1.3
✕Aaron Bracho 2022 · A	21	34→40	43→45	43→40	41	173/243/277	104	270	11	5	38%	8%	48	-2.5	187/254/305	118	266	13	4	33%	7%	58	-1.7	198/262/325	128	249	16	4	27%	7%	64	-0.7
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	185/236/280	95	238	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	206/275/317	111	300	10	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	193/270/308	115	299	12	4	36%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	32→42	39→45	49→40	36	166/219/248	82	252	6	6	36%	6%	31	-3.7	210/258/309	99	293	9	4	30%	6%	59	-1.6	215/263/317	102	288	10	3	28%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Yerlin Confidan 2024 · A	21	38→44	42→45	42→50	38	186/242/296	111	285	9	5	36%	7%	51	-2.3	201/264/304	103	303	8	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	202/268/305	103	295	9	10	32%	8%	60	-1.2
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	43→25	40→55	47→45	44	206/283/296	90	283	7	7	28%	7%	67	-1.1	185/280/351	166	286	19	5	39%	9%	80	-0.2	159/268/326	167	242	20	5	41%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	41→37	37→50	46→40	39	191/254/271	79	303	4	4	36%	7%	49	-2.4	190/257/325	135	272	17	4	35%	7%	64	-1.3	170/247/299	129	231	15	2	33%	7%	54	-1.2
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	33	39→45	48→45	35	170/215/251	81	265	7	7	38%	5%	30	-3.8	202/249/292	90	329	5	5	38%	6%	52	-2.2	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→40	41→45	53→50	42	184/260/288	104	282	8	7	35%	8%	56	-1.9	184/272/282	98	313	8	10	39%	10%	60	-1.6	168/249/289	121	278	12	10	41%	9%	51	-1.6
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	36→29	41→45	46→40	42	178/256/281	103	266	8	5	34%	8%	54	-2.0	190/254/301	111	273	12	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	167/234/273	106	234	13	3	33%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Kellin Deglan 2013 · A	21	37→35	43→50	44→40	37	185/245/300	115	281	11	5	37%	6%	53	-2.1	191/250/326	135	277	16	3	36%	6%	61	-1.5	177/244/283	106	274	12	2	38%	6%	46	-0.7