Ismael Javier — OGILVIE

Ismael JavierIF ACL Padres

Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 160 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .266 / .279

PA71

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	216	182	51	8	3	9	29	37	3	8	4	280	388	505	893	225	307	17	13	390	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Padres	—	126	110	24	8	1	0	10	34	3	3	4	218	301	309	610	91	316	27	8	275	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	144	117	23	3	0	0	20	29	3	4	2	197	329	222	551	26	253	20	14	265	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	216	190	33	5	2	4	21	44	3	8	4	174	266	284	551	111	203	20	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	126	114	17	5	1	0	6	50	3	3	4	149	211	211	422	61	250	40	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	144	124	18	2	0	0	13	41	3	4	2	145	243	161	404	16	199	28	9	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	216	190	33	5	2	4	21	44	3	8	4	174	266	284	551	111	203	20	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	216	182	51	8	3	9	29	37	3	8	4	280	388	505	893	225	307	17	13	390	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	126	114	17	5	1	0	6	50	3	3	4	149	211	211	422	61	266	40	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	126	110	24	8	1	0	10	34	3	3	4	218	301	309	610	91	316	27	8	275	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	144	124	18	2	0	0	13	41	3	4	2	145	243	161	404	16	209	28	9	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	144	117	23	3	0	0	20	29	3	4	2	197	329	222	551	26	253	20	14	265	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	216	190	33	5	2	4	21	44	3	8	4	174	266	284	551	111	203	20	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	126	116	17	5	1	0	6	50	3	3	4	147	211	207	418	60	250	40	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	144	127	18	2	0	0	13	41	3	4	2	142	243	157	400	16	199	28	9	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	126	116	17	5	1	0	6	50	3	3	4	147	211	207	418	60	250	40	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	144	127	18	2	0	0	13	41	3	4	2	142	243	157	400	16	199	28	9	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	254	231	47	9	2	2	18	74	3	3	1	202	269	282	551	80	284	29	7	252	57	-13	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	34%	118	107	22	4	1	1	9	34	1	2	0	208	274	299	573	91	285	29	8	261	63	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	204	271	293	565	89	280	29	7	258	63	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	280	29	7	258	39	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	127	16	0	16	48	190	0	16	0	211	269	317	587	106	280	29	7	258	39	-29	+3	+0	+0	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	675	600	103	18	4	6	54	190	11	18	10	172	253	245	498	73	237	28	8	227	39	-9	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	99	17	4	6	52	183	11	17	10	171	253	246	499	74	236	28	8	227	39	-31	+2	+0	+0	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ismael Javier (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	201/266/279	79	284	1	1	29%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nomar Fana 2024 · A	21	39	38→50	47→50	44	187/258/266	79	280	6	11	33%	8%	51	-2.3	182/260/291	109	294	12	12	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/241/265	110	245	14	14	40%	10%	43	-1.3
✕Alan Schoenberger 2010 · A	21	40	37→45	49→45	41	186/247/261	75	290	3	8	35%	7%	45	-2.7	198/247/288	90	295	6	6	33%	6%	51	-2.3	186/235/273	87	273	6	5	33%	5%	40	-1.5
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	39→34	40→45	51→50	46	187/269/284	97	284	6	7	34%	9%	59	-1.7	196/267/306	110	300	10	12	35%	8%	63	-1.4	181/253/289	107	271	10	12	35%	8%	51	-1.3
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	41→45	52→40	41	198/252/295	98	278	9	9	31%	6%	54	-2.0	210/271/325	115	299	9	5	31%	7%	68	-1.0	202/267/333	131	282	11	2	30%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Eriandys Ramon 2024 · A	21	40	37→45	50→45	47	188/267/267	78	252	4	8	25%	8%	54	-2.0	184/229/275	91	274	5	6	33%	5%	40	-3.0	165/203/260	95	248	6	5	35%	4%	24	-1.7
✕Julio Garcia 2018 · A	21	42→37	36→40	48→40	38	199/243/272	73	289	2	7	31%	5%	45	-2.7	180/213/244	64	299	4	3	39%	3%	26	-4.0	158/184/209	52	268	4	2	41%	2%	5	-3.0
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	43→25	40→55	47→45	44	206/283/296	90	283	7	7	28%	7%	67	-1.1	185/280/351	166	286	19	5	39%	9%	80	-0.2	159/268/326	167	242	20	5	41%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Eduardo Lopez 2023 · A	21	41	39→40	46→50	42	193/266/276	83	298	7	9	35%	8%	56	-1.9	191/257/299	108	283	10	11	34%	8%	57	-1.8	169/236/283	114	242	12	11	34%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Jean Walters 2023 · A	21	40	34→40	48→45	38	192/235/244	52	279	2	8	31%	5%	35	-3.4	210/250/284	74	285	4	6	26%	5%	50	-2.3	214/261/301	87	283	6	5	26%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Hansel Moreno 2018 · A	21	43→33	38→40	51→50	41	206/255/288	82	285	5	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	194/239/288	94	293	9	16	35%	5%	47	-2.5	177/222/269	92	266	10	19	36%	5%	34	-2.2
✕Yasel Antuna 2021 · A	21	43→35	41→45	46→50	41	210/264/310	101	290	9	9	30%	6%	62	-1.4	188/261/301	113	261	11	11	31%	9%	59	-1.6	169/251/272	103	233	11	12	31%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	43→44	37→40	48→50	45	203/266/276	74	281	5	7	28%	8%	55	-1.9	190/267/267	77	281	5	14	31%	9%	54	-2.0	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Robel García 2013 · A	20	37	40→50	48→40	41	182/248/281	99	277	7	6	35%	8%	50	-2.3	193/261/285	92	291	6	6	33%	8%	55	-1.9	188/259/372	183	269	25	2	39%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	185/236/280	95	238	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	206/275/317	111	300	10	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	193/270/308	115	299	12	4	36%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Marcus Littlewood 2013 · A	21	41	40→45	48→45	41	200/252/291	91	274	8	7	29%	6%	53	-2.1	200/269/308	108	272	9	5	28%	9%	64	-1.3	207/274/317	110	265	10	4	25%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Luis Suisbel 2023 · A	20	33→43	38→50	46→45	40	163/257/237	74	251	5	6	34%	7%	45	-2.7	200/279/328	128	306	15	5	37%	7%	73	-0.6	191/267/326	136	288	18	4	38%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Noah Miller 2024 · A	21	40→47	38→40	51→50	47	191/267/270	79	268	5	11	29%	9%	55	-2.0	217/269/299	82	278	6	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	39	38→45	49→50	45	189/262/271	82	256	4	11	26%	7%	53	-2.1	189/262/284	95	312	7	8	38%	8%	56	-1.9	153/243/273	121	268	13	9	44%	10%	46	-1.1