Spence Coffman

SS Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	ASD	31	.222/.300/.259	0	0	28	—	.179/.233/.214
2024	20	ROKSD	200	.295/.367/.341	0	19	50	—	.235/.286/.268
2025	21	ASD	17	.188/.235/.188	0	1	-11	—	.125/.176/.125
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSD	196	.211/.270/.286	2	4	58	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSD	43	.211/.272/.296	1	1	63	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBSD	110	.214/.275/.307	2	2	67	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

CompsSteven Baron (age 23) · Grae Kessinger (age 23) · Dylan Neuse (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .268 / .284

PA74

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	71	59	14	1	1	0	10	15	0	4	0	237	348	288	636	51	311	21	14	292	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	31	27	6	1	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	222	300	259	559	37	300	26	6	256	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	200	176	52	8	0	0	19	29	1	19	2	295	367	341	708	45	349	14	10	320	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	17	16	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	188	235	188	423		273	29	6	201	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	71	63	12	1	1	0	6	22	0	4	0	190	261	238	499	48	265	31	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	31	28	5	1	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	179	233	214	448	36	266	35	3	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	200	183	43	6	0	0	12	42	1	19	2	235	286	268	553	33	287	21	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		258	41	6	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	71	63	12	1	1	0	6	22	0	4	0	190	261	238	499	48	286	31	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	71	59	14	1	1	0	10	15	0	4	0	237	348	288	636	51	311	21	14	292	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	211	47	6	0	0	13	53	2	19	2	223	274	251	526	28	292	23	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	231	203	58	9	0	0	21	37	2	19	2	286	358	330	688	44	343	16	9	312	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		222	41	6	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	17	16	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	188	235	188	423		273	29	6	201	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	71	65	12	1	1	0	6	22	0	4	0	185	261	231	492	46	265	31	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	214	47	6	0	0	13	53	2	19	2	220	274	248	522	28	284	23	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		258	41	6	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	214	47	6	0	0	13	53	2	19	2	220	274	248	522	28	284	23	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		258	41	6	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	0%	196	179	38	6	1	2	13	54	2	4	1	211	270	286	556	76	287	28	7	254	58	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SD	30%	143	131	29	5	1	2	10	39	1	3	1	215	275	300	575	86	289	27	7	261	63	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	SD	44%	250	229	50	8	1	4	17	68	2	5	1	218	278	311	590	94	289	27	7	267	67	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	SD	51%	325	296	66	11	2	5	23	87	3	6	1	220	281	320	601	101	289	27	7	272	70	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	SD	52%	366	334	73	12	2	6	26	98	3	7	1	220	282	322	604	102	289	27	7	273	71	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	SD	53%	390	356	79	13	2	7	28	104	3	6	1	220	282	322	604	102	288	27	7	273	71	-14	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	398	364	79	13	2	6	28	107	3	5	1	217	279	316	596	99	287	27	7	270	69	-15	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	SD	56%	400	366	79	13	2	6	28	109	3	3	1	215	276	309	585	94	286	27	7	265	66	-16	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	SD	30%	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	211	272	296	567	84	284	28	7	258	63	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	SD	44%	110	100	22	3	1	2	8	30	1	2	0	214	275	307	582	92	284	27	7	264	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	SD	51%	165	152	33	5	1	3	11	44	1	3	1	217	278	316	594	99	284	27	7	269	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	SD	52%	192	174	38	6	1	3	14	51	2	4	1	217	279	318	597	101	284	27	7	270	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	SD	53%	208	189	41	6	1	4	15	55	2	3	1	216	279	318	597	101	283	26	7	270	71	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	209	190	40	6	1	3	15	56	2	2	1	214	277	312	588	98	282	27	7	266	69	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	SD	56%	226	206	43	7	1	3	16	62	2	2	0	212	273	305	578	93	281	27	7	262	66	-9	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1153	1051	225	34	6	19	82	310	10	17	4	214	277	312	589	98	283	27	7	267	65	-43	+2	-2	+12	+25	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	127	19	3	11	46	175	6	10	2	215	278	312	590	98	284	27	7	267	65	-24	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2665	2434	530	84	13	37	185	714	21	61	9	218	279	309	587	91	290	27	7	264	65	-89	+5	-4	+25	+51	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	129	20	3	9	45	174	5	15	2	217	278	306	584	89	289	27	7	264	65	-25	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,227	19	19	218	277	316	+13	+12	0.2	0.3
/162	664	10	10	+7.1	+6.5	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spence Coffman (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	209/268/284	75	287	1	2	28%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	39→42	38→45	54→55	37	188/242/272	84	288	5	10	35%	6%	45	-2.7	210/263/316	106	300	8	14	31%	5%	63	-1.4	210/264/322	112	293	9	15	30%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/263/284	81	270	6	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	233/294/296	63	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/290/283	56	297	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	40	36→50	48→30	37	194/238/256	63	272	3	5	29%	4%	40	-3.1	204/264/294	90	263	7	3	24%	5%	59	-1.7	204/267/304	100	250	9	0	22%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	181/264/286	105	253	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.7	163/255/263	100	223	10	3	30%	9%	47	-1.3
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	180/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	214/267/316	102	297	9	3	29%	6%	65	-1.2	220/280/330	110	294	10	0	27%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	39→37	38→40	46→45	45	188/271/264	76	269	5	9	30%	8%	55	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	48	-2.5	163/242/223	60	236	4	6	30%	7%	33	-2.4
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	40	36→40	52→50	47	191/257/261	70	242	3	7	22%	7%	49	-2.4	205/279/287	82	275	6	8	26%	8%	63	-1.4	201/280/279	79	269	6	8	26%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Jesus Valdez 2021 · A	23	40	39→45	49→50	45	194/264/284	90	257	6	11	26%	7%	57	-1.8	203/242/321	118	297	13	9	35%	4%	57	-1.8	193/252/279	86	271	10	3	31%	6%	48	-0.8
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→42	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	56	-1.9	209/271/322	113	267	12	11	25%	6%	68	-1.0	205/267/322	117	257	13	11	25%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	40	36→40	48→45	47	190/258/257	67	255	2	6	25%	8%	48	-2.5	224/274/298	74	304	3	7	26%	6%	62	-1.4	241/285/309	68	323	1	7	24%	5%	66	-0.5

Spence Coffman

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps