Zach Jacobs
P
Akron RubberDucks
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148139vR 130
ERA5.75
FIP5.75
K%16.9%
BB%15.9%
K-BB%0.9%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 3.86 | 7.71 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 3.86 | 8.24 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 29 | 3 | 91 | 397 | 94 | 29 | 4 | 10% | 3.1 | 17.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 4.43 | 3.41 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 29 | 3 | 91 | 397 | 94 | 29 | 4 | 10% | 3.1 | 23.7% | 7.3% | 16.4% | 1.0% | 4.43 | 2.56 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 34 | 5 | 80 | 304 | 80 | 26 | 5 | 15% | 2.4 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 2.36 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 34 | 5 | 80 | 304 | 80 | 26 | 5 | 15% | 2.4 | 26.3% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 1.6% | 2.36 | 2.89 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 69 | 292 | 61 | 44 | 8 | 8% | 1.9 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 0.6% | 4.0% | 4.46 | 5.94 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 69 | 292 | 61 | 44 | 8 | 8% | 1.9 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 9 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CLE | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 48 | 45 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 15.9% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.75 | 5.75 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CLE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 15.9% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.75 | 5.75 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 77 | 331 | 57 | 53 | 10 | — | — | 17.2% | 16.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.70 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 16.9% | 15.9% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.75 | 5.38 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 52 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 14.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.51 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 53 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.37 | 5.34 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 14.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.51 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 35 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.37 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 73 | 0 | 77 | 324 | 59 | 46 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.43 | 5.01 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 120 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.43 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 111 | 11 | 252 | 1051 | 192 | 121 | 23 | 10% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 3.82 | 4.23 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 9 | 200 | 833 | 152 | 96 | 18 | 10% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 3.82 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Jacobs (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.75 | 16.9% | 15.9% | 3.1% | — | 5.39 | 18.3% | 4.2% | 136 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 92 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 88 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 86 |
| Kris Hall R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 86 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 85 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 85 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 17.4% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .263 | 4.25 | 18.6% | 4.4% | 59 | -1.37 | 3.67 | 108 | 85 |
| Noah Murdock R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.8% | 17.1% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.29 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 130 | -1.43 | 2.48 | 292 | 84 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 84 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 84 |
| Tanner Duncan R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 17.5% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 123 | 83 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.67 | 19.0% | 15.4% | 4.0% | .343 | 10.98 | 17.5% | 0.6% | 14 | +5.31 | 5.32 | 117 | 83 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 156 | 83 |
| Rob Huber R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 83 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 83 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 83 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 83 |
| Jake Johansen R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 15.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% | .351 | 4.21 | 13.6% | 3.0% | 114 | -1.38 | 3.69 | 162 | 83 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 83 |
| Ryan Vanderhei R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 14.6% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.56 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 39 | -1.70 | 3.56 | 130 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 17.8% | 14.7% | 1.18 | 5.54 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |