Zach Jacobs — OGILVIE

Zach Jacobs P Akron RubberDucks

+0.0 WAR

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2027

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.3%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%8.2%

IP73

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2027

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	2	0	2	11	2	1	1	—	—	—	3.86	—	—
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	29	3	91	397	94	29	4	17.5%	8.6%	1.3%	4.43	3.42	+1.9
2024	22	A+	Lake County Captains	34	5	80	304	80	26	5	20.3%	9.8%	1.7%	2.36	3.55	+1.4
2025	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	37	3	69	292	61	44	8	16.9%	16.4%	3.6%	4.46	5.72	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	CLE	13	13	73	309	59	44	9	19.1%	14.3%	3.0%	5.31	5.31	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	CLE	13	13	74	313	62	41	9	19.9%	13.1%	3.0%	5.14	5.09	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	CLE	13	13	74	313	64	40	9	20.4%	12.8%	3.0%	5.04	5.01	+0.1
2029	27	MLB	CLE	13	13	74	311	64	39	9	20.5%	12.6%	3.0%	4.99	4.98	+0.1
2030	28	MLB	CLE	13	13	72	306	63	38	9	20.6%	12.6%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	+0.1
2031	29	MLB	CLE	13	13	71	299	61	38	9	20.4%	12.7%	3.1%	5.02	5.04	+0.0
2032	30	MLB	CLE	13	13	69	290	59	37	9	20.2%	12.8%	3.1%	5.07	5.10	-0.1
2033	31	MLB	CLE	12	12	66	280	56	36	9	20.0%	12.9%	3.2%	5.13	5.18	-0.1
2034	32	MLB	CLE	12	12	64	269	53	35	9	19.7%	13.0%	3.3%	5.21	5.26	-0.2
2035	33	MLB	CLE	11	11	61	257	50	34	9	19.4%	13.2%	3.4%	5.30	5.36	-0.3
2036	34	MLB	CLE	58	—	58	244	47	33	8	19.1%	13.4%	3.5%	5.40	5.47	-0.3
2037	35	MLB	CLE	54	—	54	230	43	31	8	18.7%	13.6%	3.6%	5.52	5.59	-0.4
2038	36	MLB	CLE	51	—	51	215	39	30	8	18.2%	13.9%	3.7%	5.64	5.73	-0.5
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			102	11	242	1004	183	113	22	18.2%	11.3%	2.2%	3.75	4.18	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—			84	9	200	829	151	93	18	18.2%	11.3%	2.2%	3.75	4.18	+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Jacobs (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	19.1%	14.3%	3.0%	—	5.03	20.3%	7.5%	222	-0.28	—	—	—
David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	93
Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.56 FIP	24	SW	5.56	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.02	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.54	3.62	109	91
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	3.96	20.3%	11.1%	143	-0.28	3.84	206	91
Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	90
Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	19.8%	15.3%	2.2%	.283	4.53	18.5%	9.4%	111	-0.03	3.33	223	90
Max Alba R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	20.6%	12.6%	2.8%	.290	4.91	17.8%	11.6%	162	+0.41	4.50	217	90
David Griffin R 2027 · 4.42 FIP	25	SW	4.42	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.32	15.6%	5.5%	168	+0.90	4.42	239	90
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.72	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.14	4.04	404	89
Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	5.00	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.44	4.56	120	88
Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	24	SW	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.39	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.05	4.15	172	88
Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP	24	SW	4.91	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.68	22.3%	12.1%	127	-0.23	3.38	188	88
Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.47 FIP	24	SW	5.47	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.60	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.87	4.27	132	88
Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.7%	15.4%	2.7%	.298	4.70	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.09	4.23	222	88
Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.75 FIP	24	SW	4.75	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.75	124	87
John Matthews R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	16.5%	13.0%	2.0%	.264	4.99	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.53	4.46	213	87
Carlos Contreras R 2026 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.48	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.31	107	87
Jairo Díaz R 2026 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	18.8%	13.6%	2.4%	.281	3.31	20.2%	10.3%	18	-1.23	2.97	190	87
Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.92 FIP	24	SW	4.92	19.2%	12.5%	3.4%	.258	4.01	20.2%	8.2%	121	-0.91	2.86	245	86
Antonio Knowles R 2026 · 4.57 FIP	24	SW	4.57	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.24	23.1%	15.7%	44	-1.33	3.24	201	86
Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.69 FIP	25	SW	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.58	151	86

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.