Player 806245 — OGILVIE

Player 8062451B Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age — —/— A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .333 / .462

PA15

HR0

K%33

BB%13

BABIP273

ISO231

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	MIN	—	105	85	13	2	0	6	17	40	3	1	1	153	314	388	703	235	179	38	16	310	96	-1	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	MIN	—	105	79	16	2	0	8	23	28	3	1	1	203	400	532	932	329	186	27	22	409	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	MIN	0%	15	13	3	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	273	33	13	309	95	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	MIN	—	120	98	16	2	0	7	19	45	3	1	1	163	317	398	715	235	196	38	16	310	96	-1	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	289	250	52	9	1	11	32	92	5	5	2	208	310	384	694	176	273	32	11	311	97	-1	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	391	339	72	12	2	15	43	122	6	7	3	212	312	392	704	180	275	31	11	312	97	-1	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	459	399	84	14	2	17	50	141	7	9	3	211	309	383	693	173	275	31	11	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-8	+10	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	506	438	93	16	2	19	55	154	8	10	4	212	311	388	700	176	276	30	11	313	98	-1	+0	+0	-9	+11	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	538	465	99	17	2	20	59	164	9	11	4	213	313	387	700	174	275	30	11	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	561	486	103	18	2	21	61	171	9	11	4	212	311	387	698	175	275	30	11	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	578	501	106	18	2	22	63	176	9	11	4	212	311	387	698	176	275	30	11	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-10	+13	0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	590	510	108	18	3	22	65	180	10	12	4	212	313	388	701	176	274	31	11	314	98	-1	+1	+0	-11	+13	0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	274	—	—	299	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	301	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	301	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	302	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	302	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	302	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	302	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	274	—	—	302	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3927	3401	720	122	16	148	430	1205	63	76	28	212	312	388	699	176	277	31	11	313	98	-9	+4	+0	-70	+85	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	119	20	3	24	71	199	10	13	5	211	310	385	696	174	277	31	11	313	98	-2	+1	+0	-12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,198	156	81	213	309	388	-47	+0	7.0	6.6
/162	664	25	13	-7.4	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 806245 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	201/306/376	175	273	11	5	33%	11%	95	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mac Williamson 2015 · A	25	49→50	54→55	51→45	42	250/313/428	179	316	22	10	28%	6%	108	+1.9	233/292/378	145	304	17	6	28%	6%	88	+0.5	212/278/376	164	272	23	5	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕David Cook 2007 · A	26	39→49	51→55	49→50	47	207/285/367	161	269	19	10	30%	9%	84	+0.2	228/306/399	171	285	20	10	26%	10%	99	+1.2	231/311/411	181	277	21	10	24%	10%	102	+1.3
✕Casper Wells 2010 · AA	25	42→44	53→60	49→50	43	220/293/398	178	285	20	13	30%	7%	95	+0.9	224/292/410	186	287	21	9	29%	7%	97	+1.1	222/294/415	193	276	22	7	27%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Jabari Blash 2014 · AA	25	41	50→60	46→50	44	205/288/359	154	303	18	11	36%	9%	84	+0.1	206/292/389	183	283	23	9	34%	9%	92	+0.7	198/312/392	194	297	25	6	38%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Ryan Roberts 2006 · AA	25	48→52	51→50	51→55	48	242/312/406	164	303	19	9	26%	9%	103	+1.5	232/295/362	130	297	13	8	25%	8%	86	+0.3	237/319/382	145	276	15	19	19%	10%	97	+0.9
✕Andrew Brown 2010 · AA	25	46→47	50→60	47→40	44	236/299/393	157	300	19	3	27%	7%	95	+0.9	237/297/404	167	312	21	4	30%	7%	97	+1.1	231/296/414	183	303	22	4	30%	8%	99	+0.9
✕Michael Carlin 2006 · A	25	48→46	52→60	52→45	41	245/305/418	173	309	20	7	27%	6%	103	+1.5	230/290/371	141	289	14	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	230/286/374	144	283	14	8	23%	6%	86	+0.3
●David Villar 2022 · AA	25	43	51→60	48→40	40	221/287/380	159	306	19	6	33%	6%	88	+0.4	219/303/407	188	290	24	5	32%	9%	101	+1.4	208/297/390	182	274	24	3	32%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Alex Frazier 2006 · A	25	42→39	52→55	44→45	44	220/295/384	164	279	20	6	28%	8%	92	+0.7	209/262/332	123	281	14	5	30%	5%	67	-1.1	188/226/290	102	254	12	1	30%	3%	42	-1.7
✕Andrés Chaparro 2023 · AA	24	44→49	54→55	47→40	46	231/301/411	180	284	22	6	27%	8%	100	+1.3	225/287/388	163	274	20	5	25%	7%	89	+0.5	235/306/419	184	277	23	3	24%	8%	101	+1.0
✕Jared Clark 2011 · A	25	45→41	52→55	44→45	45	230/296/392	161	302	21	7	30%	8%	93	+0.8	208/286/379	171	283	22	4	33%	9%	87	+0.4	184/275/367	183	239	25	1	34%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Mike Wilson 2009 · AA	26	42→52	54→55	51→50	41	218/292/398	180	299	22	8	34%	7%	94	+0.9	217/293/381	164	291	21	10	31%	8%	91	+0.6	227/301/395	168	289	21	9	28%	9%	93	+0.5
✕Brian Joynt 2009 · A	24	46	49→60	49→45	46	232/297/390	157	301	16	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	215/262/345	130	301	14	8	32%	5%	70	-0.9	193/229/311	118	273	15	6	35%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Jake Scheiner 2021 · A	25	44→52	50→55	44→40	41	228/277/380	152	286	17	6	27%	5%	83	+0.1	217/286/380	163	289	19	4	30%	8%	87	+0.4	208/286/375	167	269	21	3	30%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	45→46	49→55	50→40	40	227/294/375	148	298	16	7	29%	5%	89	+0.5	226/303/389	163	279	20	5	26%	6%	97	+1.1	219/300/401	182	282	23	3	30%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Cade Marlowe 2022 · A	25	41→51	55	54→60	41	213/277/403	190	304	22	15	36%	8%	89	+0.5	221/290/371	150	324	17	31	35%	8%	86	+0.3	216/288/335	118	322	10	41	34%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Shane Selman 2022 · A	25	44	48→50	45	46	217/294/358	140	308	16	8	33%	9%	85	+0.2	202/269/344	142	300	17	7	36%	7%	73	-0.6	165/232/316	151	236	20	3	38%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	48→52	50→45	47→50	47	243/307/397	154	289	18	11	23%	7%	99	+1.3	237/314/361	124	288	13	10	21%	8%	93	+0.8	231/315/345	114	280	12	10	21%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Jason Fransz 2006 · A	25	48	54→60	48→40	41	248/297/431	183	293	22	5	24%	5%	103	+1.6	224/279/392	168	279	22	4	28%	5%	88	+0.4	202/261/371	168	245	24	1	29%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Ben Harrison 2007 · AA	25	46→50	49→50	50	43	234/295/381	148	299	18	11	28%	6%	91	+0.6	218/281/351	133	314	16	11	34%	7%	78	-0.3	204/276/333	128	303	15	10	36%	8%	71	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps