Luke Stevenson

C Everett AquaSox

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #206MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP49ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AModesto Nuts	100	.280/.460/.400	1	1	107	—	.232/.370/.329
2026	22	A+SEA	474	.243/.409/.488	22	8	87	—	.180/.313/.355
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSEA	2	.195/.316/.356	0	0	95	0.0
2028PROJ42% MLB	24	MLBSEA	212	.199/.318/.363	7	3	97	0.9
2029PROJ62% MLB	25	MLBSEA	318	.202/.319/.367	11	4	98	1.4

Next 3 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$8M2033Arb-3$10M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%95

Chase%91

ISO88

wOBA83

wRC+81

Whiff%26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 19, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 67%

CompsZack Collins (age 23) · Nathan Hickey (age 23) · Sergio Pedroza (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .316 / .356

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%14

BABIP284

ISO167

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED34

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$9M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$8M	+1.5	$8M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$10M	+1.3	$7M	+$1M
Totals		$25M		$47M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	100	75	21	4	1	1	23	19	2	1	0	280	460	400	860	120	364	19	23	399	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	474	367	89	24	0	22	98	139	5	8	4	243	409	488	896	245	319	29	21	396	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	100	82	19	3	1	1	16	25	2	1	0	232	370	329	699	98	330	25	16	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	474	394	71	18	0	17	71	188	5	8	4	180	313	355	668	175	270	40	15	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	100	82	19	3	1	1	16	25	2	1	0	232	370	329	699	98	321	25	16	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	100	75	21	4	1	1	23	19	2	1	0	280	460	400	860	120	364	19	23	399	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	474	394	71	18	0	17	71	188	5	8	4	180	313	355	668	175	280	40	15	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	—	474	367	89	24	0	22	98	139	5	8	4	243	409	488	896	245	319	29	21	396	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	100	82	19	3	1	1	16	25	2	1	0	232	370	329	699	98	330	25	16	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	474	395	71	18	0	17	71	188	5	8	4	180	313	354	667	175	270	40	15	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	100	82	19	3	1	1	16	25	2	1	0	232	370	329	699	98	330	25	16	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	474	395	71	18	0	17	71	188	5	8	4	180	313	354	667	175	270	40	15	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	512	431	85	17	2	17	71	182	5	7	2	197	318	362	680	165	287	36	14	309	95	-3	+1	+1	+9	+11	1.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	195	316	356	672	161	284	50	0	306	95	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	42%	499	422	86	17	2	17	69	173	5	6	2	201	320	369	689	168	288	35	14	312	97	-2	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	62%	512	433	89	17	2	18	69	174	5	6	2	204	321	373	694	169	288	34	13	314	98	-1	+0	+2	+9	+11	2.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	71%	517	438	91	18	2	18	69	173	5	6	2	206	321	375	695	169	288	33	13	314	99	-1	+0	+2	+9	+11	2.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	74%	516	438	91	18	2	17	68	170	5	5	2	207	320	374	693	167	287	33	13	313	98	-1	+0	+2	+9	+11	2.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	75%	515	439	92	18	2	17	66	168	5	4	2	207	318	371	688	164	286	33	13	311	97	-2	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	74%	507	432	88	17	1	16	65	167	5	4	2	204	315	364	679	160	285	33	13	307	94	-4	+0	+1	+9	+11	1.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	79%	497	427	85	17	1	15	63	165	4	3	3	201	311	356	667	154	282	33	13	302	91	-5	-1	-0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	SEA	76%	469	403	79	15	1	14	59	158	4	3	3	197	306	345	652	148	278	34	13	297	87	-7	-1	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2036	32	MLB MLE	SEA	74%	438	376	72	14	1	12	55	149	4	2	9	191	300	332	632	141	273	34	13	289	82	-10	-3	-2	+8	+9	0.3
2037	33	MLB MLE	SEA	73%	398	343	64	12	1	11	49	138	3	2	11	185	293	317	609	132	267	35	12	280	75	-12	-4	-3	+7	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	42%	212	179	36	7	1	7	29	73	2	3	1	199	318	363	681	164	285	34	14	309	97	-1	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.9
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	62%	318	269	55	11	1	11	43	108	3	4	1	202	319	367	686	165	285	34	14	311	98	-1	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	71%	368	312	63	12	1	12	49	123	4	4	1	204	319	369	687	165	285	33	13	311	99	-1	+0	+2	+7	+8	1.6
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	74%	379	322	65	13	1	12	50	125	4	4	1	205	318	368	685	163	285	33	13	310	98	-1	+0	+2	+7	+8	1.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	75%	385	328	67	13	1	12	50	126	4	3	1	205	316	365	680	160	284	33	13	308	97	-2	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	74%	373	319	65	13	1	12	48	123	3	3	2	202	313	358	671	156	282	33	13	304	94	-3	-0	+1	+7	+8	1.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	79%	394	337	67	13	1	12	50	131	4	2	2	199	309	350	659	151	279	33	13	300	91	-4	-0	-0	+7	+9	1.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	SEA	76%	357	306	60	12	1	10	45	120	3	3	2	195	304	340	644	145	276	34	13	294	87	-6	-0	-1	+6	+8	0.8
2036	32	MLB CTX	SEA	74%	326	279	53	10	1	9	41	111	3	1	7	189	298	327	625	138	271	34	13	286	82	-7	-3	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2037	33	MLB CTX	SEA	73%	292	252	47	9	1	8	36	101	2	2	8	183	291	312	603	129	265	35	12	277	75	-9	-3	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3404	2903	578	113	10	105	441	1141	32	29	26	199	311	353	665	154	282	34	13	301	92	-33	-5	+3	+61	+74	10.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	554	111	22	2	20	84	218	6	6	5	200	312	356	667	155	285	34	13	301	92	-6	-1	+1	+12	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5762	4896	980	194	17	184	764	1962	55	54	43	200	315	359	674	159	286	34	13	305	92	-46	-7	+5	+93	+112	16.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	111	22	2	21	86	221	6	6	5	201	315	362	677	161	288	34	13	305	92	-6	-1	+1	+12	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Charles Johnson'94-'05 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,385 PA	6.6	4,385	167	6	235*	316*	421*	+78	+0	21.1	19.6
/162	664	25	1	+11.8	+0.0	3.2	pk7: 18
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Wes Westrum'47-'57 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,849 PA	4.3	2,849	96	10	209*	342*	380*	+51	+0	14.2	14.3
/162	664	22	2	+11.8	+0.1	3.3	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,405	108	28	202	310	360	+61	+17	11.4	10.8
/162	664	21	5	+11.9	+3.4	2.2	pk7: 10
#6Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Stevenson (OGILVIE)	23	30→41	40→53	30→34	60	195/315/358	163	287	11	4	35%	14%	95	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	48→50	41→40	47	185/278/325	140	290	16	2	39%	11%	72	-0.7	204/302/356	152	310	17	3	36%	12%	88	+0.4	199/306/353	154	293	17	2	34%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Nathan Hickey 2023 · A	23	43→40	54→50	43→40	51	219/317/402	183	298	22	3	32%	12%	104	+1.6	202/283/351	149	288	17	4	34%	10%	80	-0.2	186/266/323	137	264	16	3	34%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→46	56→60	38→45	48	221/315/416	195	294	24	3	32%	10%	107	+1.8	229/303/389	160	305	18	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	227/297/375	148	293	16	7	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	40	45	42→45	52	200/295/324	124	280	13	6	32%	12%	78	-0.3	181/261/276	95	256	9	6	31%	9%	54	-2.0	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Dalton Rushing 2024 · A	23	45→42	52→55	48→30	54	226/343/400	175	303	19	4	30%	12%	114	+2.3	233/320/402	169	303	21	3	28%	9%	105	+1.7	235/318/410	176	300	23	1	28%	9%	106	+1.0
✕Trevor Hauver 2023 · AA	24	39→49	49→50	46→40	52	197/302/348	151	285	17	3	34%	12%	86	+0.3	215/302/354	139	314	14	3	33%	10%	87	+0.4	220/306/357	138	316	13	2	32%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A	23	44	50→55	43→40	44	227/287/376	149	291	18	3	28%	7%	86	+0.3	223/277/378	155	288	18	5	28%	7%	83	+0.1	216/269/375	159	274	18	3	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	42→38	50→65	42→45	39	211/276/367	156	300	17	5	34%	6%	81	-0.1	212/267/380	168	296	20	5	34%	6%	80	-0.1	247/319/462	214	314	30	2	30%	9%	119	+1.2
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	41→39	50	42→30	47	214/284/368	154	273	17	4	28%	9%	84	+0.1	202/278/337	135	292	15	4	33%	9%	74	-0.5	170/260/301	131	253	15	0	37%	11%	58	-1.2
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	38→48	51→50	38→40	46	201/294/355	155	278	19	2	33%	10%	86	+0.3	220/281/359	139	288	16	3	28%	7%	80	-0.1	222/277/356	134	285	15	2	27%	6%	76	-0.3
●Derek Norris 2012 · AA	23	39→49	53→55	47→50	53	204/313/377	173	277	21	10	32%	12%	97	+1.1	230/312/390	160	287	19	10	25%	10%	99	+1.3	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Jared Greenwood 2007 · A	24	39	50→55	43→45	42	206/271/353	147	290	19	7	35%	8%	75	-0.5	204/266/329	125	321	14	6	38%	7%	68	-1.0	169/232/282	113	281	12	0	42%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39→40	51→50	41→30	50	208/291/361	154	264	19	3	29%	10%	85	+0.2	201/283/316	115	282	12	3	31%	9%	72	-0.7	183/271/276	93	265	9	1	32%	9%	58	-0.9
✕Michael McKenry 2009 · A	24	42→47	52→55	38→40	47	222/296/395	173	273	20	4	27%	8%	95	+0.9	222/285/357	135	279	14	3	25%	8%	81	-0.1	248/321/426	177	294	23	2	23%	9%	111	+0.8
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	44→43	52→50	44→45	49	222/309/386	165	300	20	6	31%	10%	97	+1.1	215/293/359	144	302	17	6	32%	10%	85	+0.2	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0
●Ryan Lavarnway 2011 · AA	23	46	51→55	44→30	44	232/301/393	161	302	19	2	29%	8%	96	+1.0	237/301/389	152	290	18	2	24%	7%	95	+0.9	237/299/380	143	282	17	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA	24	44→40	51→45	40	47	226/302/384	157	284	19	4	27%	8%	94	+0.9	217/290/338	121	306	12	4	31%	9%	79	-0.2	202/280/307	105	288	10	3	31%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Nick Weglarz 2010 · AA	22	45→48	49→50	43→45	53	225/318/378	152	281	17	5	25%	11%	99	+1.2	223/313/373	150	295	15	5	28%	10%	96	+1.0	210/302/356	146	295	15	3	32%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Robert Kral 2013 · AAA	24	49→41	45→55	43→40	56	235/331/363	129	304	12	5	25%	12%	100	+1.3	206/298/347	141	257	15	4	25%	11%	84	+0.2	189/290/335	146	224	17	2	24%	12%	77	-0.2

Luke Stevenson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps