Stone Russell — OGILVIE

Stone RussellC Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION316 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .273 / .294

PA210

HR2

K%28

BB%7

BABIP285

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$8M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	30	27	5	2	1	0	3	7	0	2	1	185	267	333	600	148	250	23	10	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	30	26	7	3	1	0	4	5	0	2	1	269	367	462	828	192	333	17	13	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	181	162	31	5	1	2	13	46	2	6	1	191	260	272	531	80	250	25	7	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	181	154	40	7	1	2	21	34	2	6	1	260	356	357	713	97	317	19	12	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	458	406	70	14	5	3	38	124	7	4	6	172	255	254	509	81	235	27	8	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	458	383	85	14	6	4	60	84	7	4	6	222	337	321	658	99	269	18	13	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	KC	—	316	286	61	11	2	3	20	97	5	10	3	213	277	297	574	84	307	31	6	249	49	-18	+1	+0	+6	+9	-0.3
YTD	22	A	KC	—	316	273	70	14	2	3	32	68	5	10	3	256	344	355	699	99	327	22	10	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.5
ROS	22	A	KC	0%	210	190	39	7	2	2	15	60	3	4	2	205	273	294	567	89	282	28	7	254	53	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
ROS	22	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	241	43	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	KC	—	316	287	61	11	2	3	20	97	5	10	3	213	277	296	573	84	305	31	6	249	49	-18	+1	+0	+6	+9	-0.3
TOT	22	A	KC	—	526	476	100	18	4	5	35	157	8	14	5	210	275	296	571	86	298	30	7	251	50	-30	+1	+0	+9	+15	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	KC	34%	488	443	93	18	3	6	36	134	6	7	3	210	278	305	583	95	283	27	7	267	62	-21	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.2
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	520	469	101	19	4	8	39	140	7	7	3	215	285	324	610	109	285	27	8	276	70	-18	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2029	25	MLB	KC	52%	520	468	102	19	3	9	40	138	7	7	3	218	289	329	618	111	286	27	8	282	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2030	26	MLB	KC	54%	520	468	102	19	3	10	40	137	7	7	3	218	289	335	625	118	286	26	8	284	75	-14	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2031	27	MLB	KC	54%	520	467	102	19	3	10	41	138	7	7	3	218	291	336	627	118	286	27	8	284	76	-14	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2032	28	MLB	KC	54%	520	467	102	19	3	10	41	138	7	7	3	218	291	336	627	118	285	27	8	283	75	-15	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2027	23	MLB	KC	34%	168	152	31	6	1	2	12	46	2	2	1	204	271	296	567	92	280	27	7	254	53	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	240	217	47	9	2	4	18	65	3	3	1	217	286	332	618	115	282	27	8	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2029	25	MLB	KC	52%	269	243	53	10	2	5	21	71	3	4	2	218	288	337	626	119	282	26	8	269	64	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2030	26	MLB	KC	54%	282	254	55	10	2	5	22	74	4	4	2	217	289	331	620	114	282	26	8	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	27	MLB	KC	54%	282	254	55	10	2	5	22	75	4	4	2	217	289	331	620	114	282	27	8	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2032	28	MLB	KC	54%	282	254	55	10	2	5	22	75	4	4	2	217	289	331	620	114	282	27	8	270	65	-11	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1523	1375	296	55	11	26	117	406	20	21	10	215	287	328	615	113	285	27	8	268	63	-64	+0	-0	+27	+43	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	126	23	5	11	50	173	9	9	4	215	287	327	614	112	283	27	8	268	63	-27	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	3967	3567	747	141	28	60	306	1062	53	58	28	209	282	315	597	106	278	27	8	270	65	-158	+0	-1	+71	+112	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	123	23	5	10	50	174	9	10	5	211	283	318	601	108	280	27	8	270	65	-26	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	30	26	7	3	1	0	4	5	0	2	1	269	367	462	828	192	333	17	13	366	138	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	181	154	40	7	1	2	21	34	2	6	1	260	356	357	713	97	317	19	12	321	104	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.7
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	458	383	85	14	6	4	60	84	7	4	6	222	337	321	658	99	269	18	13	302	89	-6	-2	—	—	+13	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,842	29	25	215	282	324	+33	+16	2.0	2.2
	/162	664	11	9	215	282	324	+11.9	+5.8	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stone Russell (OGILVIE)	22	35	30	40	50	210/275/296	86	298	5	14	30%	7%	50	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Victor Moscote 2016 · A	22	43	34→30	43→45	43	201/255/254	54	266	2	4	24%	6%	38	-2.6	204/261/269	65	280	3	4	26%	6%	45	-2.1	216/283/267	51	281	3	2	22%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Brian Serven 2017 · A	22	39	37→45	39→30	40	187/227/257	70	241	4	4	24%	4%	27	-3.3	192/247/283	91	253	6	4	26%	5%	43	-2.2	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Wilkin Grullon 2022 · A	22	40	37→30	46→45	41	189/263/263	74	280	5	4	32%	7%	46	-2.0	197/259/295	98	320	8	5	38%	7%	51	-1.7	156/214/260	104	255	11	0	42%	6%	20	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2021 · A	22	43	36→30	43→50	39	204/258/271	67	287	4	6	29%	5%	44	-2.1	219/274/296	77	271	6	14	20%	6%	57	-1.2	212/269/275	64	258	5	17	19%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Abel Nieves 2008 · A	22	45	36→40	45	47	209/272/276	67	282	2	6	25%	8%	51	-1.7	233/301/320	87	318	5	4	26%	9%	75	-0.0	234/304/321	87	311	6	2	25%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Dereck Salom 2023 · A	22	43	35→30	43→40	45	200/258/257	57	261	2	6	23%	6%	40	-2.4	196/279/253	57	262	3	5	24%	10%	50	-1.8	183/278/229	45	245	3	4	24%	11%	43	-1.3
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	36	40	42→45	46	181/257/264	83	246	8	7	29%	8%	43	-2.2	200/260/286	86	282	7	8	29%	7%	50	-1.8	185/240/258	73	257	4	7	28%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕David Rodríguez 2018 · A	22	40→44	37→40	40	41	193/251/264	71	262	5	3	27%	6%	40	-2.4	213/266/317	104	289	9	5	28%	6%	59	-1.1	214/268/330	116	285	13	4	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Devin Lohman 2011 · A	22	40→46	36→40	40→50	42	192/249/257	66	258	3	4	26%	6%	37	-2.7	214/274/301	87	276	8	13	24%	6%	59	-1.1	211/272/299	88	264	8	16	22%	6%	56	-1.1