Stone Russell

C Columbia Fireflies
Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2093ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ROKKC181.260/.356/.3572641—.191/.260/.272
202521AKC458.222/.337/.3214451—.184/.273/.269
202622A+/AKC390.250/.339/.35141254—.203/.274/.281
2027PROJMLE23MLBKC500.196/.270/.2754756-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBKC99.200/.275/.2911163-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBKC167.204/.279/.30422680.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Chase%53
ISO44
BB%33
Speed32
wOBA27
wRC+26
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsShawn Roof (age 23) · John Garcia (age 23) · Kyle Overstreet (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .268 / .273
PA210
HR2
K%27
BB%8
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202319 ROKACL Royals — 3026 7310 450 21 269367462828 192333 1713 366 57 — — — — — —
202420 ROKACL Royals — 181154 40712 21342 61 260356357713 97317 1912 321 41 — — — — — —
202521 AColumbia Fireflies — 458383 851464 60847 46 222337321658 99269 1813 302 51 — — — — — —
202622 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 6151 11401 6192 21 216322353675 137312 3110 300 49 — — — — — —
202622 AColumbia Fireflies — 329285 731423 33735 103 256343351693 95330 2210 313 55 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202319 ROK MLEACL Royals — 3027 5210 370 21 185267333600 148255 2310 253 57 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Royals — 181162 31512 13472 61 191260272531 80242 267 229 41 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 458402 741363 421167 46 184273269541 85240 259 244 51 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 6153 9301 4242 21 170254283537 113275 397 240 49 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 329296 621122 23995 103 209278280558 71294 307 249 55 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Royals — 3027 5210 370 21 185267333600 148250 2310 253 57 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWACL Royals — 3026 7310 450 21 269367462828 192333 1713 366 57 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Royals — 181162 31512 13472 61 191260272531 80252 267 229 41 — — — — — —
202420 ROK RAWACL Royals — 181154 40712 21342 61 260356357713 97317 1912 321 41 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 458402 741363 421167 46 184273269541 85246 259 244 51 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 458383 851464 60847 46 222337321658 99269 1813 302 51 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 390349 721423 271247 124 206277284560 77305 327 248 54 — — — — — —
202622 A RAW2 teams — 390336 841824 39927 124 250339351691 101328 2410 311 54 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Royals — 3027 5210 370 21 185267333600 148255 2310 253 57 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Royals — 181164 31512 13472 61 189260268528 79242 267 229 41 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 458406 741363 421167 46 182273266539 84240 259 244 51 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 390353 721423 271247 124 204277280557 76291 327 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 ROK MLEACL Royals — 181164 31512 13472 61 189260268528 79242 267 229 41 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 458406 741363 421167 46 182273266539 84240 259 244 51 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 390353 721423 271247 124 204277280557 76291 327 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEKC 0% 500451 891744 391346 73 196270275545 79267 278 251 56 -26 +0 +0 +9 +11 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEKC 30% 329296 591124 26874 42 202276295571 93269 268 261 63 -14 +0 +0 +6 +7 -0.2
202925 MLB MLEKC 44% 379340 701335 31995 52 206281308589 102271 268 268 68 -15 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.1
203026 MLB MLEKC 51% 407366 761436 331055 52 209283317600 108272 268 273 71 -14 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.2
203127 MLB MLEKC 52% 419377 791537 341085 52 210284319603 109272 268 274 71 -14 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.3
203228 MLB MLEKC 53% 422380 801537 341095 42 210284319603 109272 268 273 71 -14 +0 -1 +8 +9 0.2
203329 MLB MLEKC 53% 414372 781537 341085 22 207281312593 105271 268 270 69 -15 -0 -1 +7 +9 -0.1
203430 MLB MLEKC 52% 404364 741426 331074 12 204277304582 100269 268 265 66 -17 -1 -2 +7 +9 -0.3
202824 MLB CTXKC 30% 9990 18311 8261 11 200275291566 91268 268 259 63 -4 -0 +0 +2 +2 -0.1
202925 MLB CTXKC 44% 167150 30612 13442 21 204279304583 99269 268 266 68 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
203026 MLB CTXKC 51% 206184 37713 17533 31 207282312593 105270 268 270 71 -7 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
203127 MLB CTXKC 52% 220197 41823 18573 31 207282313596 106271 268 271 71 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203228 MLB CTXKC 53% 225202 42823 18583 21 207282313595 106271 268 271 71 -8 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.1
203329 MLB CTXKC 53% 217195 40813 18572 11 205279307586 102269 268 267 69 -8 -0 -1 +4 +5 -0.0
203430 MLB CTXKC 52% 210189 38713 17562 01 202276299575 97267 278 262 66 -9 -0 -1 +4 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13441207 24647918 10935116 127 204279302581 99270 268 267 63 -50 -0 -2 +24 +29 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 1192349 531708 63 204280303583 99270 268 267 63 -24 -0 -1 +12 +14 0.0
Career— MLE — 40433624 7361383152 326107352 5327 203278301580 98271 278 262 63 -115 -0 -4 +53 +65 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 1182258 521738 94 202276298575 96271 278 262 63 -25 -0 -1 +12 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AColumbia Fireflies · 329 PAwOBA .308 → .249 (−59)K% 22.2% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.19%÷1.000×1.360——30.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.03%÷1.000×0.690——6.92%
HBP% /PA1.52%—×0.780——1.19%
Singles /BIP25.47%÷1.000×0.920×0.993—23.26%
Doubles /BIP6.60%÷1.000×0.830×0.993—5.44%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷1.000×0.910×0.993—0.85%
Home runs /BIP1.42%÷1.000×0.800——1.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .308 → .249; ISO .095 → .075; BABIP .330 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 61 PAwOBA .297 → .240 (−57)K% 31.1% → 39.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.15%÷1.000×1.270——39.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.84%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0127.07%
HBP% /PA3.28%—×0.790—×1.0122.62%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.000×0.920—×1.01217.46%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.810—×1.01210.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP3.12%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0122.53%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .297 → .240; ISO .137 → .108; BABIP .312 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AColumbia Fireflies · 458 PAwOBA .299 → .244 (−55)K% 18.3% → 25.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.34%÷0.982×1.360——25.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.10%÷1.006×0.690—×1.0159.12%
HBP% /PA1.53%—×0.780—×1.0151.21%
Singles /BIP20.40%÷1.099×0.920×1.025×1.01517.76%
Doubles /BIP4.68%÷0.913×0.830×1.025×1.0154.43%
Triples /BIP2.01%÷0.937×0.910×1.025×1.0152.03%
Home runs /BIP1.34%÷1.086×0.800—×1.0151.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 120, 2B 83, 3B 87, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .299 → .244; ISO .099 → .088; BABIP .269 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Royals · 181 PAwOBA .316 → .229 (−87)K% 18.8% → 26.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.78%÷1.036×1.440——26.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.60%÷1.010×0.620—×0.9957.08%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.720—×0.9950.79%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.029×0.820×0.985×0.99519.52%
Doubles /BIP5.83%÷0.986×0.720×0.985×0.9954.18%
Triples /BIP0.83%÷0.979×0.720×0.985×0.9950.60%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷0.949×0.780—×0.9951.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 96, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .316 → .229; ISO .097 → .073; BABIP .317 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Royals · 30 PAwOBA .357 → .253 (−104)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.000×1.440——24.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷0.982×0.620—×1.0088.48%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.029×0.820—×1.00811.47%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.720—×1.00810.36%
Triples /BIP4.76%÷0.932×0.720—×1.0083.70%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .357 → .253; ISO .192 → .138; BABIP .333 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).