Kyle Henley — OGILVIE

Kyle HenleyCF Daytona Tortugas

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION441 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP335

ISO45

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED70

scouting grade only

DEFENSE70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	241	207	58	10	5	2	22	79	9	35	3	280	374	406	780	126	441	33	9	349	122	+6	+6	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	423	378	101	15	2	1	29	135	7	57	9	267	330	325	656	58	407	32	7	296	86	-7	+8	—	—	+9	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	241	216	39	5	3	1	13	115	9	35	3	181	256	245	502	65	362	48	5	225	38	-18	+6	—	—	+5	-0.7
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	423	385	83	12	1	1	23	190	7	57	9	216	272	260	532	44	395	45	5	236	46	-27	+8	—	—	+9	-1.0
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	241	216	39	5	3	1	13	115	9	35	3	181	256	245	502	65	376	48	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	241	207	58	10	5	2	22	79	9	35	3	280	374	406	780	126	441	33	9	349	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	423	385	83	12	1	1	23	190	7	57	9	216	272	260	532	44	414	45	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	423	378	101	15	2	1	29	135	7	57	9	267	330	325	656	58	407	32	7	296	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	241	217	39	5	3	1	13	115	9	35	3	180	256	244	501	65	362	48	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	423	390	83	12	1	1	23	190	7	57	9	213	272	256	529	44	395	45	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	241	217	39	5	3	1	13	115	9	35	3	180	256	244	501	65	362	48	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	423	390	83	12	1	1	23	190	7	57	9	213	272	256	529	44	395	45	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	CIN	—	441	401	83	17	4	2	28	206	10	32	4	207	276	284	560	77	418	47	6	249	55	-24	+5	+0	+2	+10	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	CIN	—	383	337	88	18	4	2	33	124	10	31	4	261	344	356	700	95	406	32	9	319	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	CIN	—	58	54	19	3	2	1	4	22	0	1	0	352	397	537	934	185	581	38	7	409	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		332	40	10	225	39	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	CIN	—	451	410	84	17	4	2	29	210	10	33	4	205	274	280	554	76	412	47	6	249	54	-24	+5	+0	+2	+10	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	476	434	80	15	3	4	30	200	9	23	3	184	252	260	512	76	327	42	6	237	47	-30	+3	+2	+2	+10	-1.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	514	465	90	16	3	7	34	207	10	24	3	194	263	286	549	92	324	40	7	252	56	-27	+4	+2	+2	+11	-0.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	556	503	99	18	3	9	38	217	10	26	4	197	267	298	565	101	323	39	7	261	62	-25	+4	+2	+2	+12	-0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	590	533	108	19	4	11	41	227	11	28	4	203	274	315	589	113	322	38	7	265	66	-24	+4	+2	+2	+13	-0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	597	539	110	20	4	11	42	230	11	28	4	204	275	317	593	113	322	39	7	267	67	-24	+4	+2	+2	+13	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	597	538	108	19	4	11	43	230	11	28	4	201	274	312	586	112	322	39	7	267	67	-24	+4	+2	+2	+13	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	164	150	28	5	1	2	10	69	3	8	1	187	252	273	525	87	330	42	6	226	47	-10	+1	+1	+1	+4	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	249	226	45	8	2	4	16	100	5	12	2	199	267	305	573	106	328	40	6	241	56	-13	+2	+1	+1	+5	-0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	293	266	54	10	2	5	20	114	5	14	2	203	271	312	584	109	327	39	7	251	62	-13	+2	+1	+1	+6	-0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	323	292	60	11	2	6	22	124	6	15	2	205	275	318	593	113	326	38	7	256	66	-13	+2	+1	+1	+7	-0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	332	300	62	11	2	7	23	128	6	16	2	207	277	327	603	120	326	39	7	258	67	-13	+2	+1	+1	+7	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	328	296	61	11	2	7	23	126	6	16	2	206	277	328	605	122	326	38	7	258	67	-13	+2	+1	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1689	1530	310	56	11	31	114	661	31	81	11	203	272	314	586	112	329	39	7	251	58	-76	+12	+6	+6	+37	-1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	120	22	4	12	44	254	12	31	4	204	273	316	589	112	331	39	7	251	58	-29	+5	+2	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4004	3622	718	124	25	55	265	1620	78	250	34	198	268	292	559	94	337	40	7	254	58	-154	+23	+12	+12	+72	-3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	116	20	4	9	43	263	13	41	6	197	267	291	558	94	334	40	7	254	58	-30	+4	+2	+2	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.0	2,009	29	98	191	258	286	-9	+32	-5.0	-2.5
/162	664	10	33	-3.0	+10.6	-1.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Henley (OGILVIE)	21	20	30→40	70	40	176/243/238	61	332	1	21	44%	6%	39	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	39→44	37→50	60	37	182/239/252	71	301	4	28	39%	6%	39	-3.1	192/245/308	116	310	11	26	39%	6%	55	-2.0	202/258/341	139	281	14	30	32%	7%	65	-1.0
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	37→47	35→40	56→60	40	173/246/227	54	279	2	26	36%	7%	37	-3.3	197/268/268	71	292	4	28	31%	7%	55	-2.0	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Wilber Sanchez 2023 · A	21	29→22	37→30	56→55	38	151/214/212	61	241	5	24	38%	7%	22	-4.4	173/240/244	71	271	6	23	36%	7%	38	-3.2	167/236/232	65	261	6	25	36%	7%	32	-1.5
✕Jordy Barley 2023 · A	23	36→34	38→40	60	34	174/225/250	77	295	6	33	41%	6%	34	-3.5	184/242/268	84	326	7	32	42%	7%	45	-2.7	164/229/240	75	299	8	45	45%	7%	31	-1.2
✕Jon Matthews 2013 · A	22	37	36→40	56→60	38	178/236/244	66	265	3	23	32%	6%	36	-3.3	221/286/292	71	305	4	21	27%	7%	66	-1.1	231/302/293	61	313	3	21	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Felix Sanchez 2012 · A	22	41→40	34→30	58→60	36	192/246/243	51	304	2	28	36%	6%	40	-3.1	194/248/249	55	327	3	32	39%	5%	42	-2.9	180/231/215	36	321	2	44	42%	4%	26	-1.5
✕Sergio Garcia 2011 · AAA	20	36	39→45	55→60	38	180/231/260	80	261	7	25	33%	6%	38	-3.2	203/251/304	101	287	10	25	31%	5%	55	-1.9	222/247/328	107	293	10	17	28%	3%	57	-0.8
✕Eric Jenkins 2017 · A	20	39→41	38→40	60→55	35	187/233/270	82	296	5	27	37%	5%	40	-3.0	179/223/252	73	297	4	22	39%	5%	32	-3.6	160/206/222	62	274	4	25	41%	5%	17	-2.6
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→44	35→45	55→65	41	188/231/241	52	251	2	18	26%	5%	33	-3.6	199/255/288	89	264	8	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Matt McPhearson 2016 · A	21	42→51	32→30	56→55	38	192/252/226	34	314	1	28	37%	7%	38	-3.2	214/268/263	49	321	1	24	31%	6%	52	-2.2	229/276/281	52	328	0	27	29%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Reggie Pruitt 2019 · A	22	38→45	37→30	56→60	36	178/242/246	68	296	4	26	39%	6%	40	-3.1	188/249/259	71	330	3	27	40%	7%	45	-2.7	173/236/236	63	313	2	32	42%	7%	32	-2.1
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	35→37	41→45	54→55	35	178/226/275	97	266	9	21	36%	5%	40	-3.1	185/236/284	99	287	10	17	37%	5%	46	-2.6	180/226/278	98	281	10	17	38%	4%	37	-2.3
✕GJ Hill 2022 · A	21	37→28	39→50	57→55	29	158/222/244	86	347	7	21	53%	6%	32	-3.7	174/243/284	110	332	12	15	48%	7%	49	-2.4	173/234/327	154	248	20	28	38%	6%	53	-1.1
✕Nelson Pierre 2009 · A	21	39	35→30	57→60	40	188/232/247	58	258	2	24	27%	5%	34	-3.5	201/258/263	62	276	2	25	26%	7%	48	-2.5	195/259/229	35	264	0	42	24%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	37	36→30	57→55	35	181/222/241	60	279	4	20	36%	5%	29	-3.8	200/252/266	66	327	4	24	37%	6%	47	-2.5	198/257/257	59	329	4	28	38%	7%	44	-1.4
✕Alex Gonzalez 2010 · A	19	40	33→30	54→60	41	187/254/231	43	281	1	22	32%	7%	40	-3.0	211/277/265	54	295	1	15	26%	7%	57	-1.8	216/290/265	49	291	1	14	24%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Yhoelnys Gonzalez 2017 · A	20	33	34→30	55	37	159/218/214	55	275	2	21	40%	7%	23	-4.3	192/252/240	48	303	2	20	34%	7%	41	-3.0	186/245/217	31	300	1	24	35%	6%	32	-1.0
✕Luis Benitez 2015 · A	21	41	33→30	55→60	43	192/247/239	46	262	1	24	26%	6%	38	-3.2	191/241/246	55	273	2	24	29%	5%	38	-3.2	178/228/231	53	261	0	45	30%	3%	27	-0.8
✕Jose Vinicio 2014 · A	21	39→30	36→40	51→55	32	189/218/252	63	273	3	19	32%	3%	30	-3.8	218/247/284	66	295	3	13	26%	3%	48	-2.5	246/270/306	60	314	1	12	21%	3%	59	-0.6
✕Ysidro Pierre 2015 · A	21	37	33→30	52→60	39	172/243/216	44	275	1	25	35%	6%	33	-3.6	197/253/272	75	280	4	18	30%	5%	49	-2.4	184/228/270	86	246	5	23	27%	2%	36	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps