Boston Baro — OGILVIE

Boston BaroSS Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .263 / .301

PA320

HR3

SB9

K%24

BB%6

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$9M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$8M	+$5M
2033	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$44M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	263	8	12	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	24	19	6	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	316	458	421	879	105	333	4	21	403	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	419	381	95	18	3	5	32	109	2	9	1	249	311	352	663	102	332	26	8	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	419	367	102	19	5	4	46	76	2	9	1	278	361	390	751	112	337	18	11	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	405	72	13	4	3	19	116	3	28	2	178	220	252	472	74	236	27	4	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	393	88	16	5	4	31	88	3	28	2	224	286	321	606	97	274	20	7	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	NYM	—	320	296	64	12	3	3	19	76	2	9	1	216	268	307	576	91	276	24	6	256	54	-17	+1	+1	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYM	35%	499	462	102	19	4	7	31	115	3	14	1	221	274	325	599	104	278	23	6	272	67	-19	+2	+1	+5	+14	0.4
2028	23	MLB	NYM	49%	547	502	115	22	4	10	36	123	4	15	2	229	286	349	635	120	280	22	7	283	74	-16	+2	+1	+6	+15	0.9
2029	24	MLB	NYM	53%	577	529	123	23	4	12	39	128	4	16	2	233	290	359	649	127	282	22	7	289	79	-14	+2	+1	+6	+16	1.3
2030	25	MLB	NYM	55%	594	544	127	24	4	13	41	131	4	17	2	233	292	364	656	131	282	22	7	292	82	-12	+3	+1	+6	+17	1.5
2031	26	MLB	NYM	56%	603	552	128	24	4	13	42	133	4	17	2	232	291	361	651	129	282	22	7	293	82	-12	+3	+1	+6	+17	1.6
2032	27	MLB	NYM	55%	603	551	128	24	4	13	43	133	4	17	2	232	293	361	654	129	282	22	7	293	82	-12	+3	+1	+6	+17	1.6
2033	28	MLB	NYM	55%	599	547	127	24	4	13	43	133	4	16	2	232	293	362	655	130	282	22	7	292	82	-12	+2	+1	+6	+17	1.4
2034	29	MLB	NYM	53%	589	537	124	23	4	12	43	132	4	15	1	231	293	356	648	125	281	22	7	290	80	-13	+3	-0	+6	+17	1.3
2035	30	MLB	NYM	57%	578	527	121	22	4	12	42	131	4	13	1	230	291	355	646	125	280	23	7	288	79	-14	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.0
2036	31	MLB	NYM	60%	564	514	116	21	4	11	41	130	4	11	1	226	288	346	634	121	278	23	7	284	76	-16	+2	-1	+6	+16	0.7
2037	32	MLB	NYM	61%	546	499	111	20	4	10	39	128	3	9	1	222	283	339	621	116	275	23	7	279	71	-18	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.3
2038	33	MLB	NYM	62%	516	471	102	18	3	9	37	123	3	6	1	217	278	325	603	108	272	24	7	272	66	-20	+1	-3	+6	+15	-0.2
2027	22	MLB	NYM	35%	172	158	36	7	1	3	11	39	1	5	0	228	282	342	624	114	278	23	6	268	63	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYM	49%	266	245	56	10	2	5	17	60	2	7	1	229	284	347	631	118	280	23	6	278	71	-9	+1	+1	+3	+8	0.3
2029	24	MLB	NYM	53%	304	278	64	12	2	6	21	68	2	9	1	230	289	353	642	122	282	22	7	284	75	-9	+1	+1	+3	+9	0.6
2030	25	MLB	NYM	55%	325	297	69	13	2	7	23	72	2	9	1	232	292	360	652	128	282	22	7	287	77	-8	+1	+1	+3	+9	0.7
2031	26	MLB	NYM	56%	336	308	71	13	2	7	23	74	2	9	1	231	288	354	642	123	282	22	7	288	78	-8	+1	+1	+4	+10	0.7
2032	27	MLB	NYM	55%	332	303	70	13	2	7	24	73	2	9	1	231	292	356	648	125	282	22	7	288	78	-8	+1	+1	+4	+9	0.7
2033	28	MLB	NYM	55%	327	298	69	13	2	7	24	73	2	9	1	232	293	359	652	128	281	22	7	287	78	-8	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2034	29	MLB	NYM	53%	314	286	66	12	2	7	23	71	2	8	1	231	293	360	653	129	281	23	7	285	76	-8	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.5
2035	30	MLB	NYM	57%	329	300	69	13	2	7	24	75	2	7	1	230	291	357	648	127	280	23	7	283	75	-9	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.4
2036	31	MLB	NYM	60%	336	307	70	13	2	7	24	77	2	7	1	228	288	352	640	124	278	23	7	279	72	-11	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.3
2037	32	MLB	NYM	61%	334	305	67	12	2	6	24	78	2	5	1	220	281	331	612	111	275	23	7	274	68	-12	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.0
2038	33	MLB	NYM	62%	322	294	64	11	2	6	23	77	2	4	0	218	279	330	609	112	271	24	7	268	63	-13	+1	-2	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3697	3379	771	142	23	75	261	837	23	88	10	228	288	350	638	122	280	23	7	281	73	-112	+14	-0	+40	+105	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	135	25	4	13	46	147	4	15	2	227	287	348	636	121	279	23	7	281	73	-20	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	8011	7338	1660	309	57	146	550	1843	52	212	22	226	285	344	628	117	281	23	7	281	73	-242	+34	+2	+86	+227	10.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	135	25	5	12	45	150	4	17	2	227	286	346	632	119	281	23	7	281	73	-20	+3	+0	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	24	19	6	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	316	458	421	879	105	333	4	21	403	167	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	19	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	49	44	9	3	1	0	5	10	0	1	0	205	286	318	604	114	265	20	10	275	69	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	370	323	93	16	4	4	41	66	2	8	1	288	372	399	771	111	346	18	11	346	123	+9	+1	—	—	+10	2.2
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	393	88	16	5	4	31	88	3	28	2	224	286	321	606	97	274	20	7	272	66	-16	+5	—	—	+12	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,700	73	88	229	286	353	+40	+13	5.7	5.3
	/162	664	13	16	229	286	353	+7.1	+2.3	1.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Boston Baro (OGILVIE)	21	30→46	25→38	50→55	40	213/263/301	87	276	3	9	24%	6%	54	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	43→44	36→45	50→55	39	204/250/268	65	283	3	14	28%	5%	40	-2.4	197/250/267	70	287	3	12	31%	6%	40	-2.4	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Jake Shaffer 2009 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→45	42	208/259/289	81	284	5	15	28%	6%	49	-1.8	247/279/356	109	314	8	7	23%	4%	75	-0.0	261/290/378	116	326	9	6	22%	3%	81	+0.3
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2011 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/262/282	77	274	6	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	235/289/327	92	315	6	16	26%	6%	72	-0.2	253/291/359	107	338	9	26	27%	4%	78	+0.2
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	40→50	38→45	48→50	41	195/258/273	78	261	6	13	27%	6%	46	-2.0	232/296/336	104	307	9	14	26%	7%	78	+0.2	235/302/342	107	308	9	14	25%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	42	38→45	53→55	42	201/253/285	83	276	5	15	28%	6%	45	-2.1	194/240/266	72	292	5	9	33%	5%	35	-2.8	146/176/183	36	218	4	12	34%	3%	-17	-1.3
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	34	-2.8	241/267/333	92	304	5	7	22%	3%	63	-0.9	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	69	-0.4	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Juan Centeno 2011 · A	21	43	37→45	50→40	44	204/257/271	67	265	4	9	24%	6%	44	-2.1	244/285/305	61	305	2	6	20%	5%	63	-0.8	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
●Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	56	-1.3	245/295/352	107	322	5	15	24%	6%	81	+0.4	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Marco Hernández 2015 · A	22	44→54	37→45	52→50	37	214/245/287	73	287	5	15	27%	4%	41	-2.3	258/284/362	104	340	8	9	25%	4%	78	+0.2	271/296/380	110	350	8	6	24%	3%	85	+0.4
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	44→52	38→50	52→60	42	214/270/290	76	279	6	17	25%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/375	140	299	17	28	26%	5%	84	+0.6	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	39→40	47→60	37	183/237/265	83	279	7	13	36%	6%	34	-2.8	212/279/307	95	299	8	18	30%	7%	63	-0.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	37	-2.6	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	59	-1.1	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→46	37→45	52→50	46	194/262/260	66	258	5	10	26%	8%	43	-2.2	216/290/317	101	275	7	10	22%	9%	70	-0.3	216/298/324	108	271	6	10	21%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Chris Garia 2014 · A	21	40→50	35→40	52→60	40	192/243/253	60	262	3	17	27%	5%	33	-2.9	227/267/329	102	307	7	28	27%	4%	63	-0.9	231/270/343	112	308	8	32	27%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	43→52	38→45	54→60	43	209/260/285	76	279	5	15	26%	6%	48	-1.9	228/273/311	83	320	4	23	28%	6%	59	-1.1	236/281/319	83	327	4	28	28%	5%	62	-0.7
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2021 · A	21	43→53	35→45	47→50	41	203/259/259	55	288	3	14	29%	6%	41	-2.3	234/284/345	111	293	10	9	23%	5%	75	-0.0	242/294/349	107	300	10	9	22%	5%	77	+0.1