Boston Baro — OGILVIE

Boston BaroSS St. Lucie Mets

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .200

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP266

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$10M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	24	19	6	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	316	458	421	879	105	333	4	21	403	159	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	19	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	49	44	9	3	1	0	5	10	0	1	0	205	286	318	604	114	265	20	10	275	72	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	370	323	93	16	4	4	41	66	2	8	1	288	372	399	771	111	346	18	11	346	120	+9	+1	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	393	88	16	5	4	31	88	3	28	2	224	286	321	606	97	274	20	7	272	70	-15	+5	—	—	+9	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	258	8	12	297	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	19	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	49	46	7	2	1	0	3	14	0	1	0	152	204	239	443	87	233	29	6	212	30	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	370	334	84	15	3	4	30	95	2	8	1	251	317	350	667	99	328	26	8	294	85	-7	+1	—	—	+8	0.3
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	405	72	12	4	3	19	116	3	28	2	178	220	249	470	72	234	27	4	210	28	-37	+5	—	—	+9	-2.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	263	8	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	24	19	6	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	316	458	421	879	105	333	4	21	403	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	419	380	91	17	4	4	33	108	2	9	1	239	304	337	640	97	320	26	8	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	419	367	102	19	5	4	46	76	2	9	1	278	361	390	751	112	337	18	11	337	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	405	72	12	4	3	19	116	3	28	2	178	220	249	470	72	236	27	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	393	88	16	5	4	31	88	3	28	2	224	286	321	606	97	274	20	7	272	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	258	8	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	419	381	91	17	4	4	33	108	2	9	1	239	304	336	640	97	317	26	8	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	408	72	12	4	3	19	116	3	28	2	176	220	248	468	71	234	27	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	258	8	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	419	381	91	17	4	4	33	108	2	9	1	239	304	336	640	97	317	26	8	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	408	72	12	4	3	19	116	3	28	2	176	220	248	468	71	234	27	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	NYM	—	33	30	6	2	0	0	3	6	0	3	0	200	273	267	539	67	250	18	9	253	57	-2	+1	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	NYM	—	33	29	7	2	0	0	4	4	0	3	0	241	333	310	644	69	280	12	12	300	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	NYM	0%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		274	27	9	255	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	NYM	—	44	40	8	2	0	0	4	9	0	3	0	200	273	250	523	50	258	20	9	253	58	-2	+1	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	468	431	95	18	4	6	31	105	3	14	1	220	277	323	600	102	277	22	7	272	70	-17	+2	+1	+5	+10	0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	505	462	106	20	4	9	35	111	3	15	1	229	288	348	636	119	279	22	7	282	77	-14	+3	+1	+5	+11	0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	545	498	116	22	4	11	38	119	4	16	1	233	293	359	652	127	280	22	7	289	82	-12	+3	+1	+6	+12	1.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	589	538	125	24	4	12	42	127	4	18	2	232	293	359	652	126	280	22	7	292	84	-11	+3	+1	+6	+13	1.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	603	550	128	24	4	13	44	130	4	18	2	233	294	362	656	129	280	22	7	293	85	-11	+3	+1	+6	+13	1.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	603	550	128	24	4	13	44	131	4	18	2	233	294	362	656	129	280	22	7	293	85	-11	+3	+1	+6	+13	1.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	599	545	126	24	4	12	45	131	4	17	1	231	295	356	651	125	280	22	8	293	84	-11	+3	+1	+6	+13	1.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	589	536	123	23	4	12	44	130	4	15	1	229	293	354	647	125	279	22	7	291	83	-12	+3	-0	+6	+13	1.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	578	526	120	23	4	11	43	129	4	14	1	228	291	350	641	122	278	22	7	288	81	-13	+2	-1	+6	+13	0.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYM	60%	564	513	117	22	4	11	42	127	4	12	1	228	292	351	642	123	276	23	7	284	79	-14	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	546	497	110	20	4	10	41	126	3	9	1	221	285	338	623	117	274	23	8	279	75	-16	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	161	148	32	6	1	2	11	36	1	5	0	216	275	311	586	95	269	22	7	263	70	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	245	224	49	9	2	4	17	54	2	7	1	219	280	330	610	112	271	22	7	273	77	-7	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	287	263	59	11	2	6	20	63	2	9	1	224	284	350	634	125	273	22	7	279	82	-6	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	322	294	67	13	2	7	23	70	2	10	1	228	288	357	646	129	273	22	7	282	84	-6	+2	+1	+3	+7	0.7
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	336	307	69	13	2	7	24	73	2	10	1	225	285	349	634	124	273	22	7	283	85	-6	+2	+1	+4	+7	0.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	332	303	69	13	2	7	24	72	2	10	1	228	289	353	642	125	273	22	7	283	85	-6	+2	+1	+4	+7	0.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	327	298	68	13	2	7	24	71	2	9	1	228	290	356	646	128	273	22	7	283	84	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	314	285	64	12	2	6	24	69	2	8	1	225	289	344	633	119	272	22	8	281	83	-6	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.5
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	329	299	66	12	2	6	25	73	2	8	1	221	285	334	620	114	271	22	8	278	81	-7	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYM	60%	336	306	66	12	2	6	25	76	2	7	1	216	279	327	606	111	269	23	7	275	79	-9	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	334	304	66	12	2	6	25	77	2	6	1	217	281	329	610	112	266	23	7	270	75	-10	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3323	3031	675	126	21	64	242	734	21	89	10	223	285	341	626	119	271	22	7	278	77	-75	+14	+2	+36	+72	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	133	25	4	13	47	144	4	17	2	224	286	346	631	121	273	22	7	278	77	-15	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7076	6462	1464	275	52	127	505	1595	46	203	17	227	287	344	631	118	280	23	7	283	77	-143	+28	+4	+66	+134	9.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	135	25	5	12	46	147	4	19	2	227	287	347	634	120	280	23	7	283	77	-15	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.5	3,644	68	97	229	286	349	+39	+15	6.3	5.8
/162	664	12	18	+7.1	+2.8	1.2	pk7: 5
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Boston Baro (OGILVIE)	21	30→46	25→38	50→55	40	211/264/295	84	274	3	11	23%	6%	59	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	44→45	36→45	50→55	40	207/255/274	67	284	3	14	28%	5%	49	-2.4	200/255/273	73	290	3	12	30%	6%	50	-2.3	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	43→44	39→55	49→50	43	209/262/300	92	280	6	8	27%	6%	59	-1.7	212/262/331	119	273	12	10	26%	6%	66	-1.1	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	61	-1.5	245/294/353	108	322	5	15	24%	6%	82	+0.0	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2007 · A	21	46	35→40	47→55	40	216/274/276	60	291	2	12	25%	4%	58	-1.7	228/293/312	84	278	5	17	19%	6%	74	-0.6	243/311/332	89	284	5	22	15%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Juan Centeno 2011 · A	21	43	37→45	50→40	44	204/258/272	67	266	4	9	24%	6%	51	-2.3	249/290/311	62	308	2	6	19%	5%	71	-0.8	268/305/322	54	324	1	3	17%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	43→53	38→45	54→60	43	209/260/285	76	280	5	15	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/275/314	84	317	5	23	27%	6%	66	-1.1	238/283/324	86	324	4	28	27%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	42	38→45	53→55	42	201/253/285	83	276	5	15	28%	6%	51	-2.2	195/240/267	72	293	5	9	33%	5%	42	-2.9	148/177/184	36	220	4	12	34%	3%	-3	-1.3
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	51→50	44	199/273/280	81	308	5	13	35%	9%	59	-1.7	234/307/336	102	347	7	13	31%	9%	84	+0.2	245/313/363	118	342	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	207/265/294	88	309	7	13	34%	7%	59	-1.7	216/259/313	97	318	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/254/305	93	308	6	14	32%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	65	-1.2	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	56	-1.9	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	22	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps