Tanner Thach1B
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 22
L/L
6'4" / 225 lbs
A
H +10%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.3 · 2031
wRC+†151
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .283 / .359
PA89
HR2
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
55→55
SPD
30→30
FLD
45→45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| Totals | $7M | $42M | +$35M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 80 | 71 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .239 | .316 | .352 | .669 | .113 | .341 | 32 | 6 | .284 | 76 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 85 | 76 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .316 | .381 | .526 | .907 | .211 | .356 | 18 | 8 | .386 | 154 | +5 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +2 | 0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .250 | .250 | .500 | .000 | .299 | 25 | 0 | .306 | 92 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | COL | 89 | 80 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .312 | .375 | .512 | .887 | .200 | .355 | 18 | 8 | .382 | 151 | +5 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +3 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | COL | 180 | 161 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .248 | .320 | .422 | .743 | .174 | .296 | 23 | 8 | .326 | 108 | +2 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | COL | 292 | 261 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 68 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .253 | .328 | .433 | .761 | .180 | .297 | 23 | 9 | .332 | 112 | +4 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | COL | 361 | 321 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 83 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .252 | .330 | .436 | .766 | .184 | .298 | 23 | 9 | .335 | 115 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | COL | 406 | 361 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 93 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .252 | .330 | .429 | .759 | .177 | .298 | 23 | 9 | .337 | 116 | +7 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | COL | 426 | 378 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 98 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .251 | .331 | .431 | .762 | .180 | .298 | 23 | 9 | .337 | 116 | +8 | +1 | -1 | -8 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | COL | 436 | 387 | 96 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .248 | .328 | .424 | .752 | .176 | .298 | 23 | 9 | .336 | 115 | +8 | +1 | -1 | -8 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | COL | 435 | 386 | 96 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 102 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .249 | .329 | .425 | .754 | .176 | .297 | 23 | 9 | .334 | 114 | +7 | +1 | -2 | -8 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | COL | 430 | 381 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .247 | .328 | .423 | .750 | .176 | .296 | 24 | 10 | .331 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -3 | -8 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | COL | 420 | 373 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 102 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .244 | .324 | .416 | .739 | .172 | .294 | 24 | 10 | .327 | 109 | +4 | +0 | -3 | -8 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | COL | 404 | 359 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 100 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .240 | .319 | .407 | .726 | .167 | .293 | 25 | 9 | .322 | 105 | +2 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | COL | 375 | 333 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 95 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .237 | .317 | .402 | .720 | .165 | .291 | 25 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -5 | -7 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | COL | 331 | 294 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 87 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .231 | .311 | .384 | .695 | .153 | .289 | 26 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4580 | 4070 | 1001 | 195 | 22 | 154 | 423 | 1100 | 52 | 28 | 3 | .246 | .325 | .418 | .743 | .172 | .298 | 24 | 9 | .328 | 110 | +49 | +4 | -26 | -82 | +130 | 7.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 142 | 28 | 3 | 22 | 60 | 156 | 7 | 4 | 0 | .246 | .324 | .419 | .743 | .173 | .298 | 24 | 9 | .328 | 110 | +7 | +1 | -4 | -12 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 80 | 68 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .279 | .380 | .397 | .777 | .118 | .354 | 24 | 10 | .351 | 127 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Tanner Thach (OGILVIE) | 22 | 40 | 55 | 30 | — | .217/.283/.359 | .142 | .287 | 2 | 1 | 29% | 7% | 80 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Daniel Vogelbach 2015 · A |
22 | 45→50 | 49→60 | 41→40 | 49 | .231/.296/.375 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .242/.319/.387 | .145 | .301 | 16 | 3 | 24% | 10% | 101 | +1.8 | .247/.332/.413 | .166 | .291 | 21 | 1 | 22% | 11% | 111 | +2.2 |
|
●John Bowker 2006 · A |
23 | 45→54 | 45→55 | 38→45 | 40 | .225/.269/.343 | .119 | .296 | 13 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .242/.285/.376 | .134 | .310 | 13 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .264/.322/.436 | .172 | .312 | 19 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 114 | +2.3 |
|
✕Matt Davidson 2013 · AA |
22 | 42→44 | 50→60 | 38→30 | 42 | .217/.283/.369 | .152 | .287 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .196/.262/.332 | .136 | .279 | 16 | 2 | 34% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .214/.287/.413 | .199 | .285 | 28 | 0 | 34% | 8% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
●Tommy Joseph 2013 · AA |
22 | 42→49 | 47→60 | 37→30 | 38 | .216/.259/.350 | .134 | .274 | 16 | 2 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.258/.336 | .123 | .269 | 14 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .240/.292/.434 | .194 | .274 | 27 | 1 | 23% | 6% | 100 | +1.3 |
|
●Wilyer Abreu 2022 · A |
23 | 42→48 | 45→60 | 42→50 | 39 | .204/.269/.324 | .120 | .312 | 14 | 11 | 37% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .219/.308/.380 | .161 | .305 | 20 | 17 | 32% | 11% | 95 | +1.4 | .240/.318/.444 | .204 | .286 | 27 | 11 | 26% | 10% | 110 | +1.8 |
|
●Allan Dykstra 2011 · A |
24 | 39→49 | 48→50 | 38→30 | 53 | .199/.305/.342 | .143 | .270 | 15 | 2 | 30% | 12% | 85 | +0.7 | .220/.321/.373 | .153 | .321 | 17 | 3 | 33% | 12% | 99 | +1.7 | .228/.344/.393 | .165 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 31% | 14% | 112 | +1.7 |
|
●Robbie Tenerowicz 2017 · A |
22 | 44→51 | 43→50 | 38→45 | 38 | .216/.265/.328 | .111 | .296 | 10 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .227/.280/.338 | .111 | .289 | 10 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .232/.320/.392 | .161 | .288 | 20 | 2 | 25% | 7% | 102 | +1.2 |
|
●Travis Ishikawa 2006 · A |
22 | 45→49 | 53→55 | 41→45 | 45 | .227/.302/.406 | .179 | .316 | 20 | 4 | 33% | 9% | 99 | +1.7 | .218/.281/.379 | .161 | .305 | 18 | 3 | 33% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .255/.318/.419 | .165 | .306 | 19 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 104 | +1.3 |
|
●Brian Dopirak 2006 · A |
22 | 40→50 | 45→55 | 38→30 | 39 | .205/.249/.325 | .120 | .263 | 13 | 3 | 28% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .220/.265/.351 | .131 | .293 | 15 | 3 | 29% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .249/.292/.427 | .178 | .318 | 22 | 1 | 29% | 5% | 97 | +1.4 |
|
●Mike Carp 2008 · AA |
22 | 45→55 | 48→55 | 43→40 | 42 | .226/.296/.362 | .136 | .288 | 16 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .238/.310/.379 | .141 | .292 | 16 | 2 | 23% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .258/.322/.439 | .180 | .318 | 22 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 112 | +1.7 |
|
●Matt Joyce 2008 · AA |
23 | 43→53 | 47→60 | 41→50 | 45 | .217/.273/.355 | .139 | .270 | 14 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .230/.303/.413 | .183 | .287 | 20 | 7 | 26% | 9% | 101 | +1.8 | .258/.351/.454 | .197 | .305 | 21 | 9 | 21% | 12% | 122 | +2.5 |
|
●Ian Stewart 2007 · AA |
22 | 46→52 | 48→60 | 40→45 | 43 | .227/.288/.382 | .155 | .297 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .239/.305/.410 | .171 | .310 | 18 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 102 | +1.8 | .239/.315/.432 | .193 | .304 | 23 | 9 | 28% | 9% | 108 | +2.0 |
|
●Lucas Duda 2009 · A |
23 | 45→54 | 42→65 | 37→30 | 44 | .215/.288/.322 | .107 | .315 | 9 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .240/.310/.387 | .147 | .307 | 15 | 3 | 25% | 8% | 97 | +1.5 | .244/.351/.455 | .211 | .294 | 27 | 1 | 25% | 12% | 125 | +3.2 |
|
✕Josh Ockimey 2018 · AA |
22 | 42→46 | 48→50 | 40→30 | 43 | .209/.280/.347 | .138 | .306 | 15 | 3 | 35% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .202/.285/.358 | .156 | .305 | 19 | 2 | 37% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .181/.279/.340 | .159 | .268 | 21 | 0 | 38% | 11% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
●James Loney 2006 · AA |
22 | 49→59 | 44→50 | 39→45 | 46 | .243/.291/.363 | .121 | .289 | 11 | 4 | 20% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .280/.325/.423 | .143 | .317 | 13 | 6 | 15% | 6% | 111 | +2.5 | .293/.341/.444 | .151 | .326 | 13 | 6 | 14% | 6% | 119 | +3.1 |
|
●Mark Trumbo 2008 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 44→65 | 41→45 | 40 | .208/.251/.322 | .114 | .262 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .233/.269/.396 | .163 | .279 | 20 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .252/.302/.481 | .230 | .287 | 33 | 6 | 25% | 6% | 114 | +2.8 |
|
●Derek Dietrich 2012 · A |
23 | 43→53 | 48→60 | 41→40 | 38 | .217/.272/.361 | .144 | .292 | 15 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .220/.280/.370 | .150 | .286 | 16 | 4 | 28% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .269/.351/.436 | .167 | .335 | 16 | 1 | 23% | 7% | 121 | +2.6 |
|
✕Andrew Pullin 2016 · A |
22 | 46 | 42→50 | 38→40 | 40 | .227/.265/.328 | .101 | .277 | 11 | 4 | 22% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .236/.273/.371 | .135 | .289 | 14 | 4 | 23% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 | .233/.271/.385 | .152 | .285 | 15 | 3 | 24% | 4% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
●Rowdy Tellez 2017 · AA |
22 | 48→50 | 47→60 | 44→45 | 45 | .241/.295/.378 | .137 | .295 | 15 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .227/.281/.366 | .139 | .281 | 15 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .249/.317/.464 | .215 | .286 | 29 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 114 | +1.6 |
|
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 50→55 | 39→45 | 38 | .223/.277/.382 | .159 | .321 | 16 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .235/.287/.379 | .144 | .336 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.314/.391 | .161 | .298 | 19 | 6 | 28% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 |