Jacob Wilson — OGILVIE

Jacob WilsonSS Athletics

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs MLB HR -6%K -4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 3.3 · 2027

wRC+†vL 129108vR 98

AVG/OBP/SLG.296 / .346 / .424

PA518

HR11

SB5

K%9

BB%6

xwOBA.268

Barrel%2.2%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

35→35

SPD

50→50

EYE

38↗40

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$1M	+3.0	$24M	+$23M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+3.3	$27M	+$24M
2028	Arb-3	$5M	+3.3	$28M	+$23M
2029	Arb-4	$9M	+3.3	$29M	+$19M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.1	$28M	+$15M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+2.9	$27M	+$9M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+2.6	$25M	+$5M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$26M	+2.2	$22M	-$4M
Totals		$94M		$209M	+$115M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	99	90	27	8	0	1	4	13	3	4	1	.300	.351	.422	.773	.122	.338	13	4	.323	105	+1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.5
2024	22	AAA	4 teams	329	304	102	23	2	6	18	30	4	2	1	.336	.380	.484	.864	.148	.356	9	5	.374	144	+16	+0	-2	+4	+9	2.8
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	538	500	149	24	0	14	28	39	7	5	2	.298	.344	.430	.774	.132	.301	7	5	.340	118	+11	+0	+1	+6	+15	3.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	MLB	Athletics	105	104	29	5	0	2	1	13	0	1	0	.279	.286	.385	.670	.106	.303	12	1	.294	83	-2	+0	+3	+1	+3	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	413	386	114	20	1	9	20	39	4	4	1	.295	.337	.422	.759	.127	.308	9	5	.335	115	+7	+0	+0	+4	+12	2.4
TOT	24	MLB	OAK	518	490	143	25	1	11	21	52	4	5	1	.292	.326	.414	.740	.122	.308	10	4	.327	108	+5	+1	+3	+6	+15	3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB	OAK	525	488	146	25	2	12	27	37	5	6	1	.299	.342	.432	.775	.133	.300	7	5	.338	117	+10	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.2
2028	26	MLB	OAK	526	488	146	25	2	12	28	37	5	5	1	.299	.344	.432	.776	.133	.300	7	5	.340	118	+11	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.3
2029	27	MLB	OAK	521	483	144	25	1	12	28	37	5	5	1	.298	.343	.429	.772	.130	.300	7	5	.340	118	+11	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.3
2030	28	MLB	OAK	513	475	140	24	1	11	28	37	5	4	1	.295	.341	.419	.759	.124	.300	7	5	.339	118	+10	+0	-1	+5	+15	3.1
2031	29	MLB	OAK	501	463	136	23	1	11	28	38	5	3	0	.294	.341	.419	.760	.125	.299	8	6	.337	116	+9	+1	-1	+5	+14	2.8
2032	30	MLB	OAK	489	454	132	23	1	10	27	39	5	2	0	.291	.337	.412	.749	.121	.298	8	6	.334	114	+7	+0	-2	+5	+14	2.5
2033	31	MLB	OAK	474	441	128	22	1	10	26	39	4	0	0	.290	.335	.413	.748	.122	.297	8	5	.330	111	+6	+0	-3	+5	+13	2.2
2034	32	MLB	OAK	455	423	120	20	1	9	25	40	4	0	0	.284	.330	.400	.729	.116	.295	9	5	.324	106	+3	+0	-3	+5	+13	1.8
2035	33	MLB	OAK	425	395	110	18	1	7	23	41	4	0	0	.278	.325	.382	.707	.104	.293	10	5	.317	101	+0	+0	-4	+5	+12	1.3
2036	34	MLB	OAK	379	353	96	15	1	6	20	39	3	0	0	.272	.316	.371	.688	.099	.291	10	5	.309	95	-2	+0	-5	+4	+11	0.8
2037	35	MLB	OAK	325	302	82	13	1	5	17	37	3	0	0	.272	.317	.371	.688	.099	.289	11	5	.301	88	-4	+0	-6	+3	+9	0.3
2038	36	MLB	OAK	267	249	64	10	0	3	14	33	2	0	0	.257	.302	.333	.635	.076	.286	12	5	.291	81	-6	+0	-6	+3	+8	-0.2
2039	37	MLB	OAK	204	190	48	7	0	2	10	27	2	0	0	.253	.297	.321	.618	.068	.282	13	5	.280	73	-6	+0	-7	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6983	6484	1884	325	16	140	371	602	70	40	9	.291	.336	.410	.746	.120	.302	9	5	.330	111	+84	+4	-38	+75	+198	32.9
/ 162G	—			650	604	175	30	1	13	35	56	7	4	1	.290	.336	.407	.744	.118	.301	9	5	.330	111	+8	+0	-4	+7	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	99	88	28	9	0	1	6	10	3	4	1	.318	.381	.455	.836	.136	.346	10	6	.367	139	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	22	MLB	Oakland Athletics	103	92	23	2	2	0	8	10	1	0	0	.250	.317	.315	.632	.065	.277	10	8	.285	76	-3	+0	-2	+4	+3	0.2
2024	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	116	106	42	11	0	4	9	5	1	0	0	.396	.448	.613	1.061	.217	.392	4	8	.465	214	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.9
2024	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	93	88	40	13	0	3	2	10	2	2	1	.455	.478	.705	1.183	.250	.487	11	2	.511	249	+16	+0	—	—	+3	1.9
2024	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	17	14	8	4	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	.571	.647	.857	1.504	.286	.571	0	18	.638	346	+5	+0	—	—	+0	0.5
2025	23	MLB	Athletics	523	486	151	26	0	13	27	39	7	5	2	.311	.356	.444	.800	.134	.317	7	5	.355	130	+18	+0	+1	+6	+15	4.0
2025	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	15	14	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	.214	.267	.500	.767	.286	.154	0	7	.331	112	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			626	578	174	28	2	13	35	49	8	5	2	.301	.349	.424	.773	.123	.311	8	6	.344	121	+15	+0	-1	+9	+18	4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Wilson (OGILVIE)	24	60	35	50	40	.292/.334/.416	.124	.298	11	5	7%	5%	115	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andrelton Simmons 2014 · MLB	24	53→61	44→45	47→50	49	.256/.300/.378	.122	.269	11	11	10%	6%	89	+1.0	.251/.299/.352	.101	.267	9	7	10%	6%	82	+0.5	.282/.331/.398	.116	.298	10	14	9%	6%	104	+2.0
●Aaron Hill 2006 · MLB	24	54→61	43→55	49→50	51	.260/.320/.382	.121	.282	9	6	12%	7%	99	+1.7	.278/.332/.403	.125	.309	10	6	13%	7%	109	+2.4	.281/.329/.458	.176	.302	20	5	14%	6%	121	+2.9
●Placido Polanco 2001 · MLB	25	58→68	43→50	45→50	50	.281/.321/.394	.113	.293	11	9	9%	6%	102	+1.9	.289/.330/.393	.104	.304	8	10	8%	5%	105	+2.1	.300/.356/.436	.136	.302	14	9	6%	6%	126	+3.3
✕Chin-Lung Hu 2008 · MLB	24	55→61	44→45	49→50	45	.267/.301/.388	.121	.294	10	12	13%	4%	92	+1.2	.252/.285/.351	.099	.285	7	12	14%	4%	76	+0.0	.251/.280/.325	.075	.284	5	13	13%	3%	62	-0.6
✕Kevin Plawecki 2015 · AAA	24	53→57	45	46→30	46	.260/.315/.385	.125	.290	12	2	15%	5%	98	+1.6	.242/.298/.352	.110	.284	11	2	18%	6%	82	+0.5	.238/.315/.377	.139	.280	14	1	20%	8%	94	+0.6
★Dustin Pedroia 2008 · MLB	24	58→65	43→55	45→55	55	.278/.341/.400	.121	.290	9	6	8%	7%	112	+2.6	.299/.362/.450	.151	.309	13	14	8%	8%	134	+4.1	.299/.369/.464	.164	.306	15	16	8%	9%	136	+4.2
✕Kevin Frandsen 2006 · AAA	24	59→64	41→45	46→50	47	.281/.331/.386	.106	.305	6	14	11%	4%	105	+2.1	.267/.324/.375	.108	.293	7	11	11%	5%	99	+1.7	.272/.316/.368	.096	.296	5	5	10%	3%	91	+0.7
●Cesar Tapia 2008 · AAA	25	55→60	46→55	44→50	48	.268/.313/.401	.132	.284	13	7	11%	5%	102	+1.8	.276/.320/.395	.119	.296	12	5	11%	5%	102	+1.9	.262/.306/.423	.161	.278	21	11	15%	5%	104	+1.1
●Starlin Castro 2014 · MLB	24	56→63	43→50	49→50	45	.269/.308/.388	.118	.307	10	15	16%	5%	95	+1.4	.268/.308/.395	.127	.310	13	7	17%	5%	98	+1.6	.280/.322/.425	.145	.322	17	3	18%	5%	107	+2.2
✕Sean Burroughs 2005 · MLB	24	60→64	39→40	47→45	51	.285/.341/.376	.091	.316	5	7	12%	7%	106	+2.2	.253/.314/.332	.079	.293	6	7	15%	7%	84	+0.6	.252/.304/.322	.070	.294	5	5	15%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Devon Travis 2016 · MLB	25	56→62	47→50	52→50	48	.275/.328/.418	.143	.315	14	13	17%	7%	112	+2.6	.263/.303/.407	.144	.308	15	8	19%	5%	98	+1.6	.256/.291/.397	.141	.293	15	6	18%	4%	89	+0.6
●Alex Verdugo 2020 · MLB	24	56→58	45→50	48→45	50	.274/.325/.402	.128	.304	12	9	15%	7%	106	+2.2	.280/.336/.424	.144	.319	14	7	16%	7%	117	+2.9	.270/.329/.406	.137	.303	12	4	15%	7%	105	+2.1
●Yunel Escobar 2008 · MLB	25	58→67	41→45	45	49	.276/.330/.384	.108	.326	7	9	17%	7%	103	+1.9	.282/.352/.393	.111	.312	9	6	12%	9%	115	+2.8	.275/.356/.378	.103	.299	9	5	11%	10%	108	+2.3
✕Angel Salome 2010 · AAA	24	56→66	46→50	46→45	43	.275/.312/.411	.136	.325	13	4	20%	5%	104	+2.0	.252/.296/.389	.137	.316	13	4	24%	6%	91	+1.1	.251/.301/.392	.140	.314	13	0	23%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Josh Thole 2011 · MLB	24	58→68	40→45	47→45	53	.274/.335/.374	.101	.306	5	5	12%	8%	103	+1.9	.252/.319/.342	.090	.288	6	3	14%	8%	89	+0.9	.246/.313/.331	.085	.281	7	0	15%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Gabriel Moreno 2023 · MLB	23	58	46→45	48→45	46	.285/.337/.413	.127	.337	13	10	19%	6%	115	+2.7	.272/.336/.394	.122	.323	12	9	18%	8%	109	+2.4	.271/.345/.399	.128	.316	13	6	18%	10%	109	+1.4
●Luis Arraez 2021 · MLB	24	62→68	38→45	43→45	53	.294/.345/.377	.083	.322	5	5	10%	7%	108	+2.3	.300/.357/.395	.095	.324	6	4	9%	8%	117	+2.9	.321/.366/.416	.094	.333	7	5	6%	6%	120	+3.3
✕Eduardo Arredondo 2010 · AAA	25	64→69	40→45	48→60	48	.304/.340/.407	.103	.320	5	12	7%	4%	113	+2.6	.297/.334/.386	.089	.318	5	24	8%	5%	105	+2.1	.301/.341/.373	.072	.320	2	27	6%	5%	101	+1.4
✕Ramón Urías 2018 · AAA	24	55→61	47→50	46→50	44	.268/.337/.403	.135	.316	14	14	19%	5%	113	+2.6	.241/.307/.391	.150	.296	16	8	23%	6%	97	+1.5	.254/.322/.393	.139	.324	14	3	25%	7%	101	+1.2
●Alejandro Kirk 2022 · MLB	23	50→59	49→50	48→40	55	.248/.324/.403	.156	.270	16	4	15%	9%	107	+2.2	.268/.348/.397	.129	.289	14	2	12%	10%	115	+2.8	.267/.350/.381	.114	.289	12	0	11%	10%	108	+1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)