Cruzmel Arias

C ACL Rockies

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 176 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ROKCOL	79	.167/.231/.236	0	1	-16	—	.108/.154/.149
2026	22	ACOL	27	.280/.333/.480	1	0	78	—	.240/.296/.440
2026	22	ROKCOL	60	.231/.322/.250	0	0	19	—	.182/.237/.200
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCOL	197	.206/.264/.288	2	2	56	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCOL	54	.222/.280/.329	1	1	62	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCOL	122	.226/.284/.342	2	1	66	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%85

Z-Con%77

K%74

Chase%54

BB%25

wRC+10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsGrayson Greiner (age 23) · Steven Baron (age 23) · Ben Gobbel (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .262 / .286

PA94

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	155	133	38	5	0	1	14	27	7	6	8	286	383	346	729	60	352	17	9	338	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	82	69	17	4	0	0	5	9	4	0	1	246	333	304	638	58	266	11	6	285	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	169	151	39	7	1	0	8	29	7	0	0	258	325	318	643	60	320	17	5	292	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	79	72	12	5	0	0	4	22	2	1	1	167	231	236	467	69	235	28	5	215	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	27	25	7	0	1	1	1	5	1	0	1	280	333	480	813	200	316	19	4	358	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	60	52	12	1	0	0	7	10	0	0	0	231	322	250	572	19	279	17	12	269	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	155	137	25	3	0	0	10	33	7	6	8	182	273	204	477	22	234	21	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	82	71	12	3	0	0	3	11	4	0	1	169	244	211	455	42	173	13	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	169	154	27	4	1	0	5	35	7	0	0	175	235	214	449	39	217	21	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	79	74	8	3	0	0	2	32	2	1	1	108	154	149	302	41	187	41	3	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	27	25	6	0	1	1	1	7	1	0	1	240	296	440	736	200	287	26	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	60	55	10	1	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	182	237	200	437	18	226	23	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	155	137	25	3	0	0	10	33	7	6	8	182	273	204	477	22	240	21	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	155	133	38	5	0	1	14	27	7	6	8	286	383	346	729	60	352	17	9	338	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	82	71	12	3	0	0	3	11	4	0	1	169	244	211	455	42	188	13	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	82	69	17	4	0	0	5	9	4	0	1	246	333	304	638	58	266	11	6	285	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	169	154	27	4	1	0	5	35	7	0	0	175	235	214	449	39	227	21	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	169	151	39	7	1	0	8	29	7	0	0	258	325	318	643	60	320	17	5	292	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	79	74	8	3	0	0	2	32	2	1	1	108	154	149	302	41	186	41	3	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	79	72	12	5	0	0	4	22	2	1	1	167	231	236	467	69	235	28	5	215	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	87	80	16	1	1	1	5	21	1	0	1	200	256	275	531	75	254	24	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	87	77	19	1	1	1	8	15	1	0	1	247	326	325	650	78	290	17	9	296	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	155	137	25	3	0	0	10	33	7	6	8	182	273	204	477	22	234	21	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	82	75	12	3	0	0	3	11	4	0	1	160	244	200	444	40	173	13	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	169	155	27	4	1	0	5	35	7	0	0	174	235	213	448	39	217	21	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	79	75	8	3	0	0	2	32	2	1	1	107	154	147	301	40	187	41	3	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	87	81	16	1	1	1	5	21	1	0	1	198	256	272	527	74	245	24	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	169	155	27	4	1	0	5	35	7	0	0	174	235	213	448	39	217	21	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	79	75	8	3	0	0	2	32	2	1	1	107	154	147	301	40	187	41	3	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	87	81	16	1	1	1	5	21	1	0	1	198	256	272	527	74	245	24	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	0%	197	180	37	6	1	2	12	55	3	2	1	206	264	288	552	82	283	28	6	251	56	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	180	165	34	6	1	2	11	50	2	2	1	211	269	304	573	93	285	28	6	260	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	276	253	54	9	2	4	17	76	4	3	1	214	273	316	590	102	285	28	6	266	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	343	314	68	12	2	6	22	93	4	3	1	217	277	326	603	109	286	27	6	271	70	-12	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	52%	378	346	75	13	2	7	24	102	5	3	2	217	278	328	605	110	285	27	6	273	71	-13	-0	+0	+7	+8	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	398	364	79	14	2	7	26	108	5	2	1	217	278	327	605	110	285	27	7	272	71	-14	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	403	369	79	14	2	7	26	110	5	1	1	214	275	321	596	106	283	27	6	269	68	-15	-0	-1	+7	+9	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	COL	52%	403	369	78	13	2	7	26	112	5	1	1	211	271	313	584	101	281	28	6	264	65	-17	-0	-2	+7	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	54	50	12	2	1	1	3	15	1	1	0	222	280	329	608	106	299	28	6	274	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	122	111	25	4	1	2	8	34	2	1	1	226	284	342	627	116	300	28	7	281	66	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	174	159	36	6	2	3	11	47	2	2	1	229	288	353	641	124	300	27	6	286	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	52%	198	181	42	7	2	4	13	54	2	2	1	229	289	354	643	125	300	27	7	288	71	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	212	193	45	8	2	4	14	57	3	1	1	229	289	353	642	125	299	27	7	287	71	-7	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	212	194	44	7	2	4	14	58	2	1	1	226	286	346	632	120	297	27	7	283	68	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	COL	52%	210	193	43	7	2	4	13	58	2	1	0	223	282	338	619	115	295	28	6	278	65	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1182	1081	247	41	12	22	76	323	14	9	5	228	288	350	637	121	303	27	6	283	59	-45	-0	-2	+21	+26	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	137	23	7	12	42	178	8	5	3	231	290	354	644	123	307	27	6	283	59	-25	-0	-1	+12	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3047	2783	573	98	16	42	183	809	52	23	19	206	268	298	566	92	272	27	6	255	59	-96	+0	-4	+44	+54	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	122	21	3	9	39	173	11	5	4	205	267	296	563	91	272	27	6	255	59	-25	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,276	21	8	215	272	320	+23	+16	0.7	0.8
/162	664	11	4	+11.9	+8.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cruzmel Arias (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	205/262/286	81	283	1	1	28%	6%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	180/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	214/267/316	102	297	9	3	29%	6%	65	-1.2	220/280/330	110	294	10	0	27%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	40	36→50	48→30	37	194/238/256	63	272	3	5	29%	4%	40	-3.1	204/264/294	90	263	7	3	24%	5%	59	-1.7	204/267/304	100	250	9	0	22%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	41	192/244/271	80	264	5	4	28%	6%	46	-2.6	207/254/311	104	280	8	6	28%	5%	58	-1.7	199/242/333	134	259	9	3	26%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	37	39→45	49→30	43	185/244/267	82	251	7	6	28%	7%	45	-2.7	193/259/289	96	275	8	3	31%	8%	56	-1.9	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Kody Huff 2024 · A	23	45→42	39→45	48→45	44	210/281/297	86	301	6	5	30%	8%	65	-1.2	212/281/318	106	292	10	7	29%	8%	71	-0.8	208/282/330	122	275	12	8	27%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	205/278/298	94	281	7	6	28%	6%	65	-1.2	202/274/329	127	271	14	4	30%	7%	72	-0.7	175/259/316	141	226	20	0	32%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	41	43→50	46→45	38	204/251/318	114	286	10	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	198/261/298	100	298	9	10	34%	8%	58	-1.7	169/237/256	87	252	9	10	35%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→34	41→40	47→45	40	187/241/281	94	233	9	7	24%	4%	47	-2.5	200/255/290	90	257	7	6	24%	4%	55	-2.0	195/250/279	83	251	6	3	23%	3%	47	-0.9
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	40	35→45	46→40	45	191/247/249	59	252	2	6	24%	7%	41	-3.0	212/269/305	93	273	6	6	23%	6%	63	-1.4	216/282/321	105	262	7	3	19%	7%	69	-0.5
✕John Garcia 2024 · A	23	40	38→40	43→50	41	188/285/268	80	289	5	7	33%	7%	63	-1.4	200/275/295	95	295	9	11	33%	7%	64	-1.3	194/265/283	89	283	9	14	33%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	40	36→40	48→45	47	190/258/257	67	255	2	6	25%	8%	48	-2.5	224/274/298	74	304	3	7	26%	6%	62	-1.4	241/285/309	68	323	1	7	24%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8

Cruzmel Arias

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps