Riskiel Tineo

P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	MIX2 levels	23	0	35	3.86	3.90	18.7%	10.0%	—	K 13.2% · BB 15.2% · FIP 6.30
2025	22	MIX3 levels	30	1	46	6.11	5.22	20.3%	10.6%	—	K 15.1% · BB 12.7% · FIP 6.55
2026	23	AMIA	3	0	5	7.20	2.30	33.3%	16.7%	—	K 33.3% · BB 16.7% · FIP 2.40
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIA	18	0	19	5.06	5.06	19.4%	11.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIA	17	0	18	4.90	4.84	20.4%	10.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsFrancisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Michael Bowden (age 24) · Casey Fien (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.06

FIP5.06

K%19.4%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%7.6%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	13	1	32	125	29	2	1	8%	2.5	15.8%	2.0%	13.8%	0.9%	2.81	2.51	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	13	1	32	125	29	2	1	8%	2.5	23.2%	1.6%	21.6%	0.8%	2.81	1.88	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	38	168	28	14	4	0%	1.7	12.1%	10.0%	2.0%	4.0%	3.76	5.54	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	38	168	28	14	4	0%	1.7	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	2.4%	3.76	4.09	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	35	150	28	15	3	0%	1.5	13.2%	15.2%	-2.0%	4.3%	3.86	6.30	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	35	150	28	15	3	0%	1.5	13.2%	15.2%	-2.0%	4.3%	3.86	6.30	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	35	150	28	15	3	0%	1.5	18.7%	10.0%	8.7%	2.0%	3.86	3.90	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	1	46	227	46	24	9	3%	1.5	15.1%	12.7%	2.4%	5.7%	6.11	6.55	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	1	46	227	46	24	9	3%	1.5	15.1%	12.7%	2.4%	5.7%	6.11	6.55	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	1	46	227	46	24	9	3%	1.5	20.3%	10.6%	9.7%	4.0%	6.11	5.22	—
2026	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	3	0	5	24	8	4	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	7.20	2.40	—
2026	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	3	0	5	24	8	4	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	7.20	2.40	—
2026	23	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	3	0	5	24	8	4	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	7.20	2.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIA	18	0	19	80	16	10	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.9%	7.6%	3.1%	5.06	5.06	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	40	0	42	176	36	19	5	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	3.1%	4.90	4.84	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	17	0	18	76	16	8	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	3.1%	4.90	4.84	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	15	8	2	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	3.1%	4.90	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	90	22	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	3.1%	4.90	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		91	2	156	694	102	75	27	2%	1.7	14.7%	10.8%	3.9%	3.9%	4.38	5.38	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	3	200	890	131	96	35	2%	1.7	14.7%	10.8%	3.9%	3.9%	4.38	5.38	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Riskiel Tineo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	19.4%	11.9%	3.1%	—	4.84	20.4%	9.5%	42	-0.22	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	91
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	89
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	88
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	88
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	88
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	87
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	86
Armando Ruiz R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	24	SU	4.26	18.4%	11.4%	2.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	113	86
Justin Evans R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	19.2%	11.2%	4.5%	.333	3.89	22.0%	5.5%	65	-1.49	3.63	105	86
Miles Mikolas R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	16.0%	10.4%	2.7%	.275	4.29	14.9%	8.6%	57	-0.27	3.13	1,386	85
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	85
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	85
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.14	18.0%	8.1%	37	+0.79	4.32	152	85
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.1%	11.2%	1.21	4.95
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*