Lazaro Morales — OGILVIE

Lazaro MoralesOF ACL Giants

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .253 / .269

PA3

HR0

K%34

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	156	134	40	11	2	1	10	30	10	9	8	299	390	433	822	134	371	19	6	367	135	+6	-1	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	19	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	133	119	20	4	0	2	9	38	3	14	0	168	244	252	496	84	225	29	7	229	41	-9	+3	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	27	20	3	1	0	0	6	10	1	1	0	150	370	200	570	50	300	37	22	297	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	156	138	29	7	1	1	6	43	10	9	8	210	292	297	589	87	273	28	4	251	56	-8	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	133	122	12	2	0	1	6	55	3	14	0	98	160	139	300	41	162	41	5	144	-16	-18	+3	—	—	+3	-1.3
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	27	22	2	1	0	0	4	14	1	1	0	91	259	136	396	45	241	52	15	183	10	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	156	138	29	7	1	1	6	43	10	9	8	210	292	297	589	87	292	28	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	156	134	40	11	2	1	10	30	10	9	8	299	390	433	822	134	371	19	6	367	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	133	122	12	2	0	1	6	55	3	14	0	98	160	139	300	41	164	41	5	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Black	—	133	119	20	4	0	2	9	38	3	14	0	168	244	252	496	84	225	29	7	229	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	27	22	2	1	0	0	4	14	1	1	0	91	259	136	396	45	250	52	15	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	—	27	20	3	1	0	0	6	10	1	1	0	150	370	200	570	50	300	37	22	297	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	156	139	29	7	1	1	6	43	10	9	8	209	292	295	587	86	273	28	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	133	123	12	2	0	1	6	55	3	14	0	98	160	138	299	41	162	41	5	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	27	22	2	1	0	0	4	14	1	1	0	91	259	136	396	45	241	52	15	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	133	123	12	2	0	1	6	55	3	14	0	98	160	138	299	41	162	41	5	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	27	22	2	1	0	0	4	14	1	1	0	91	259	136	396	45	241	52	15	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	SF	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						287	33	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SF	34%	106	97	19	3	1	1	7	35	1	2	0	196	257	278	535	82	288	33	7	253	57	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	SF	34%	36	34	6	1	0	0	2	12	0	1	0	176	222	206	428	29	283	33	6	239	57	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	36	34	6	1	0	0	2	12	0	1	0	176	222	206	428	29	273	33	6	239	31	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	614	108	18	0	0	36	217	0	18	0	176	222	205	427	29	272	33	6	239	31	-33	+4	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	425	382	62	13	2	3	23	148	15	26	8	162	238	230	468	68	251	35	5	214	31	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	95	20	3	5	35	226	23	40	12	163	238	233	471	70	251	35	5	214	31	-33	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lazaro Morales (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	189/253/269	80	287	0	1	34%	7%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→29	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	58	-1.7	210/268/333	123	318	12	13	36%	6%	69	-0.9	199/258/307	108	299	12	16	35%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→28	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	59	-1.6	164/256/247	83	313	6	19	45%	9%	47	-2.6	125/229/196	72	258	5	26	48%	10%	23	-2.1
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	39	192/253/287	95	306	8	10	38%	7%	53	-2.1	170/242/280	110	278	11	11	40%	8%	48	-2.5	141/220/250	109	227	12	11	41%	8%	31	-1.9
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	39→41	40→45	52→60	35	184/242/266	82	321	8	16	43%	7%	44	-2.8	197/254/290	93	307	8	29	36%	6%	54	-2.0	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→35	39→50	49→30	41	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	197/250/365	168	291	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	177/231/332	154	254	22	1	39%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	41	40→45	50	41	203/253/296	93	271	8	14	28%	6%	55	-2.0	206/262/323	117	278	12	13	29%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/321	131	245	17	9	29%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→32	40→45	50	44	198/272/292	93	297	7	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	201/266/314	113	295	12	11	34%	7%	64	-1.3	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	39	-3.1	171/234/292	121	290	14	4	43%	7%	48	-2.5	135/184/266	131	201	17	0	42%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	50	33	175/252/262	87	322	6	12	44%	6%	48	-2.5	190/262/285	95	361	7	9	46%	7%	57	-1.8	139/222/239	100	303	10	9	53%	6%	35	-0.7
✕Sthervin Matos 2016 · A	22	36→34	41→50	51→50	37	184/233/275	92	265	9	14	33%	5%	42	-2.9	191/239/282	91	286	8	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	142/175/217	75	206	8	2	35%	4%	3	-1.4
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	183/249/251	68	277	3	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	179/238/250	71	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Matt Pita 2019 · A	22	40	36→50	50→55	39	191/246/261	70	278	3	8	31%	6%	44	-2.8	182/235/267	85	267	4	12	32%	4%	42	-2.9	160/214/264	104	229	7	19	33%	3%	31	-1.2
✕Demi Orimoloye 2019 · A	22	37	42→45	52→55	36	185/238/284	100	275	9	17	35%	5%	47	-2.6	189/234/290	101	300	10	16	39%	5%	46	-2.6	177/214/272	95	287	9	19	40%	4%	31	-2.3
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2017 · A	22	38→42	39→50	50→55	32	187/219/274	87	291	6	12	37%	4%	36	-3.4	196/235/270	74	306	6	23	36%	4%	41	-3.0	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	42→45	47→45	41	193/251/298	105	275	9	8	32%	7%	55	-2.0	204/254/315	111	308	12	9	36%	6%	59	-1.6	189/234/301	112	286	14	10	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Welinton Ramirez 2009 · A	22	41→36	39→40	49→50	36	197/250/279	83	300	6	12	35%	5%	49	-2.4	198/238/293	95	325	8	11	40%	4%	48	-2.5	177/209/276	99	303	9	11	44%	3%	31	-2.6
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9