Jesus Mendez

P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 180 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ACWS	41	58	5.93	2.94	21.1%	9.6%	—	K 15.6% · BB 11.3% · FIP 3.88
2025	21	MIX2 levels	31	37	5.30	4.01	22.0%	13.7%	—	K 15.9% · BB 16.0% · FIP 5.58
2026	22	MIX3 levels	32	38	5.92	2.81	27.5%	9.0%	—	K 20.5% · BB 12.0% · FIP 3.94
2027PROJ	23	MLBCWS	19	20	4.92	4.92	20.1%	12.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCWS	14	15	4.75	4.68	21.1%	11.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsKasey Ford (age 23) · Easton Sikorski (age 23) · Sean Isaac (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%20.1%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%7.7%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	8	6	9	39	9	4	0	75%	1.1	23.1%	10.3%	12.8%	0.0%	5.00	2.45	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	8	6	9	39	9	4	0	75%	1.1	23.1%	10.3%	12.8%	0.0%	5.00	2.43	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	16	0	15	73	17	11	1	0%	1.0	15.8%	18.8%	-3.0%	0.9%	4.11	4.63	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	16	0	15	73	17	11	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	15.1%	8.2%	1.4%	4.11	3.88	—
2024	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	41	0	58	261	55	25	2	0%	1.4	15.6%	11.3%	4.3%	1.2%	5.93	3.88	—
2024	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	41	0	58	261	55	25	2	0%	1.4	15.6%	11.3%	4.3%	1.2%	5.93	3.88	—
2024	20	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	41	0	58	261	55	25	2	0%	1.4	21.1%	9.6%	11.5%	0.8%	5.93	2.94	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	37	168	37	23	3	0%	1.2	15.9%	16.0%	-0.2%	3.3%	5.30	5.58	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	37	168	37	23	3	0%	1.2	15.9%	16.0%	-0.2%	3.3%	5.30	5.58	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	37	168	37	23	3	0%	1.2	22.0%	13.7%	8.3%	1.8%	5.30	4.01	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	38	178	49	16	3	0%	1.2	20.5%	12.0%	8.5%	1.9%	5.92	3.94	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	38	178	49	16	3	0%	1.2	20.5%	12.0%	8.5%	1.9%	5.92	3.94	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	0	38	178	49	16	3	0%	1.2	27.5%	9.0%	18.5%	1.7%	5.92	2.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CWS	19	0	20	84	17	10	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	2.9%	4.92	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	33	0	35	148	31	17	4	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.8%	4.75	4.68	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.8%	4.75	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.8%	4.75	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	93	27	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.8%	4.75	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		128	6	157	719	124	96	13	5%	1.2	17.3%	13.3%	4.0%	1.8%	5.55	4.29	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		163	8	200	914	158	121	16	5%	1.2	17.3%	13.3%	4.0%	1.8%	5.55	4.29	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Mendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	20.1%	12.4%	2.9%	—	4.68	21.1%	9.9%	35	-0.24	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	91
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	89
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	4.99	19.0%	6.9%	176	+0.67	4.32	220	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	88
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	88
Vince Arobio R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	20.5%	12.0%	2.9%	.365	3.67	24.1%	16.2%	55	-0.80	3.67	118	88
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	88
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	88
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	87
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	87
Chris Perez R 2008 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	23.7%	12.4%	2.8%	.269	3.71	22.5%	12.6%	180	-0.51	3.18	379	86
Michael Hobbs R 2022 · 4.54 FIP	23	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.9%	2.3%	.232	4.48	20.1%	3.9%	158	-0.06	4.14	184	86
Luke Stofel R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	22	SU	4.26	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.42	14.0%	1.8%	147	+0.16	4.26	188	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	20.8%	11.6%	1.10	4.81
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44