Rabel Colon — OGILVIE

Rabel ColonOF FCL Astros

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .261 / .287

PA98

HR1

K%34

BB%8

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	196	180	33	3	5	1	11	80	4	20	4	183	246	272	518	89	320	41	6	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	196	168	47	6	8	1	23	53	4	20	4	280	379	429	808	149	400	27	12	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	144	130	13	3	0	1	10	61	4	9	2	100	188	146	334	46	176	42	7	163	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	144	123	20	4	0	3	17	47	4	9	2	163	285	268	553	106	233	33	12	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	149	131	18	2	1	3	15	76	2	11	4	137	236	237	473	99	283	51	10	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	149	120	26	4	1	5	26	54	2	11	4	217	365	392	757	175	339	36	17	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	HOU	—	98	90	17	3	1	1	7	33	1	2	0	189	255	278	533	89	286	34	7	252	51	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	152	137	28	5	1	3	12	50	2	3	1	204	278	321	599	117	288	33	8	264	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	52	47	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	213	288	319	608	106	291	33	8	258	56	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	52	47	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	213	288	319	608	106	310	33	8	258	56	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	125	25	0	12	50	212	12	12	0	213	288	316	604	104	310	33	8	258	56	-32	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	739	668	109	16	8	9	55	300	13	45	11	163	240	251	492	88	276	41	7	222	28	-60	+5	+0	-4	+21	-3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	96	14	7	8	48	264	11	40	10	163	240	252	491	88	276	41	7	222	28	-53	+4	+0	-4	+18	-3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	196	168	47	6	8	1	23	53	4	20	4	280	379	429	808	149	400	27	12	360	134	+8	+2	—	—	+6	1.6
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	144	123	20	4	0	3	17	47	4	9	2	163	285	268	553	106	233	33	12	264	60	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	41	37	5	1	0	2	3	18	0	0	1	135	200	324	524	189	167	44	7	228	33	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	108	83	21	3	1	3	23	36	2	11	3	253	426	422	848	169	409	33	21	388	155	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rabel Colon (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	192/261/287	96	286	1	2	34%	8%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Gage Canning 2019 · A	22	42→36	44→40	50	37	206/259/329	123	314	11	8	37%	6%	60	-1.0	195/245/283	88	323	7	9	39%	5%	42	-2.3	191/241/271	80	315	6	8	39%	5%	33	-1.9
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	40	-2.4	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Jacob Wetzel 2022 · A	22	42→35	42→45	48→50	41	201/278/302	101	315	11	8	37%	8%	62	-0.9	191/267/301	110	282	11	12	34%	8%	57	-1.2	178/257/294	116	258	11	14	33%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A	22	38	42→40	44→40	39	189/254/293	104	286	10	7	36%	7%	50	-1.8	194/259/289	95	310	7	6	37%	7%	50	-1.8	160/232/251	91	264	6	3	39%	8%	26	-1.1
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Brandon Dulin 2015 · A	22	36→30	42→45	51→40	35	184/234/285	101	260	9	7	32%	4%	38	-2.6	197/245/314	117	277	13	4	33%	5%	50	-1.7	189/240/316	127	261	17	1	34%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→37	44→45	51→50	38	201/248/315	115	282	11	10	32%	6%	52	-1.6	195/242/297	102	293	8	9	34%	5%	44	-2.1	159/200/249	89	247	6	8	37%	4%	11	-1.9
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35	44→55	47→40	36	180/242/297	117	280	12	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	192/259/343	151	301	19	4	41%	7%	66	-0.6	184/257/346	162	273	22	3	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Chris Newell 2023 · A	22	43→39	41→55	45→55	36	207/255/306	99	311	8	10	35%	5%	53	-1.5	196/272/359	163	321	21	17	42%	9%	75	-0.0	179/259/341	162	287	22	20	43%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Garrett Spain 2023 · A	22	38→25	40→45	49→50	38	185/246/272	86	289	8	10	37%	7%	40	-2.4	167/226/268	101	255	10	10	37%	6%	31	-3.0	149/212/266	116	217	14	12	37%	6%	23	-2.4
✕Shawn Griffin 2009 · A	22	41	40→45	50	38	191/252/282	90	316	7	11	39%	7%	44	-2.1	215/265/307	92	339	6	7	36%	6%	56	-1.3	233/273/330	96	357	6	2	35%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Caleb Roberts 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→45	50	42	199/277/290	90	314	7	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	204/283/328	124	302	11	12	34%	9%	71	-0.3	200/281/332	132	290	12	12	33%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Kevin Clark 2008 · A	22	41→40	41→50	47→50	38	193/253/290	97	308	8	7	38%	7%	47	-1.9	208/269/332	124	332	13	13	38%	7%	66	-0.6	197/262/334	136	308	17	16	39%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	35→27	41→45	46→40	41	174/249/277	103	262	8	5	35%	8%	43	-2.2	190/252/309	119	267	13	5	32%	7%	53	-1.5	168/232/286	119	228	14	3	32%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	35	182/239/283	101	310	10	13	43%	7%	40	-2.4	189/256/299	110	324	12	18	42%	8%	51	-1.7	177/246/305	129	273	16	23	39%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Alexis Rivera 2016 · A	22	41	43→45	49→50	40	204/260/316	111	281	11	10	31%	6%	57	-1.2	225/266/327	102	309	9	8	29%	5%	62	-0.9	239/266/322	83	324	6	6	27%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Je'Von Ward 2023 · A	23	44→35	39→45	47→50	37	209/258/295	87	322	6	11	36%	6%	50	-1.7	194/260/303	109	321	11	10	40%	8%	54	-1.4	189/272/316	127	289	15	8	37%	10%	63	-0.4