Jacob Burke — OGILVIE

Jacob BurkeOF Birmingham Barons

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 208 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION335 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO69

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	92	78	21	6	1	1	6	20	8	4	2	269	380	410	791	141	351	22	7	361	131	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	22	18	6	1	0	1	3	4	1	0	0	333	455	556	1.010	222	385	18	14	446	188	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	236	203	57	13	2	2	21	52	11	10	4	281	379	394	773	113	367	22	9	352	124	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	149	127	40	11	1	4	15	33	7	9	3	315	416	512	928	197	400	22	10	412	165	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.6
2023	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	105	91	23	5	0	3	9	32	4	5	0	253	346	407	753	154	351	30	9	338	115	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	256	223	43	6	1	0	26	67	5	24	2	193	291	229	520	36	274	26	10	249	55	-14	+4	—	—	+6	-0.4
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	118	167	118	284		167	28	6	139	-20	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	227	198	42	6	0	2	17	58	5	9	5	212	290	273	562	61	284	26	7	256	60	-11	-0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2025	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	56	45	10	2	0	1	6	3	4	5	1	222	364	333	697	111	214	5	11	323	105	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	92	80	18	5	1	1	4	29	8	4	2	225	326	350	676	125	311	32	4	274	72	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	22	19	5	1	0	1	2	6	1	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	288	27	9	302	91	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	236	209	47	10	2	1	15	73	11	10	4	225	311	306	617	81	323	31	6	270	69	-9	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	149	132	33	8	1	4	10	47	7	9	3	250	336	417	752	167	339	32	7	314	99	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	256	232	39	5	1	0	17	83	5	24	2	168	240	198	438	30	258	32	7	203	24	-23	+4	—	—	+6	-1.4
2024	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	118	167	118	284		158	39	6	105	-43	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	227	204	41	5	0	2	12	69	5	9	5	201	262	255	517	54	273	30	5	229	41	-16	-0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2025	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	56	47	10	2	0	1	4	4	4	5	1	213	327	319	646	106	203	7	7	284	78	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	114	99	21	5	1	1	6	35	9	4	2	212	316	313	629	101	317	31	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	114	96	27	7	1	2	9	24	9	4	2	281	395	438	832	156	357	21	8	378	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	490	435	100	22	3	7	31	153	22	24	7	230	314	343	656	113	336	31	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	490	421	120	29	3	9	45	117	22	24	7	285	383	432	816	147	374	24	9	367	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	250	41	5	1	0	17	90	5	24	3	164	232	192	424	28	255	33	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	274	240	45	6	1	0	27	72	5	24	3	188	283	221	504	33	266	26	10	242	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	283	251	51	7	0	3	16	74	9	14	6	203	275	267	542	64	270	26	6	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	283	243	52	8	0	3	23	61	9	14	6	214	304	284	588	70	268	22	8	270	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	114	98	21	5	1	1	6	35	9	4	2	214	316	316	632	102	307	31	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	490	434	100	22	3	7	31	153	22	24	7	230	314	343	657	113	329	31	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	250	41	5	1	0	17	90	5	24	3	164	232	192	424	28	251	33	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	283	256	51	7	0	3	16	74	9	14	6	199	275	262	537	62	259	26	6	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	490	434	100	22	3	7	31	153	22	24	7	230	314	343	657	113	329	31	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	250	41	5	1	0	17	90	5	24	3	164	232	192	424	28	251	33	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	283	256	51	7	0	3	16	74	9	14	6	199	275	262	537	62	259	26	6	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	CWS	—	335	309	61	11	2	4	16	92	8	15	4	197	255	285	540	87	265	27	5	237	46	-21	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ RAW	CWS	—	22	19	4	2	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	211	318	316	634	105	364	36	9	296	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA RAW	CWS	—	313	283	68	12	2	5	21	67	7	15	4	240	309	350	659	110	296	21	7	298	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	CWS	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		269	30	10	245	52	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	CWS	—	345	318	62	11	2	4	17	95	8	15	4	195	254	280	534	85	262	28	5	237	47	-22	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CWS	31%	327	299	61	11	1	4	18	88	7	11	3	204	265	288	553	84	271	27	6	255	59	-16	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	42%	360	328	67	12	1	5	22	96	7	11	3	204	269	293	562	88	272	27	6	260	62	-16	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	380	346	73	13	2	6	24	101	7	11	3	211	276	312	588	101	273	27	6	262	64	-16	+1	-1	-2	+8	-1.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	CWS	31%	101	92	18	3	0	1	6	27	2	3	1	196	260	261	521	65	271	27	6	241	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	42%	151	138	29	5	1	2	9	40	3	5	1	210	273	304	578	94	273	26	6	247	62	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	182	166	35	6	1	3	11	48	3	5	1	211	272	313	585	102	273	26	6	249	64	-8	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	434	396	82	14	2	6	26	115	8	13	3	207	270	298	568	91	273	26	6	246	59	-20	+1	-0	-3	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	123	21	3	9	39	172	12	19	4	207	270	298	568	91	274	26	6	246	59	-29	+2	-1	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2238	2017	415	75	9	26	135	640	66	99	27	206	278	291	568	85	285	29	6	256	59	-49	+3	-1	-6	+23	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	122	22	3	8	39	186	19	29	8	208	280	297	576	89	288	29	6	256	59	-30	+2	-0	-4	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	440	7	13	207	268	302	-3	+0	-0.9	-0.5
/162	664	10	20	-4.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Burke (OGILVIE)	25	35	30	55	35	197/257/273	76	269	3	11	28%	5%	52	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/251/280	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	188/266/297	109	283	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/288	115	272	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Michael O'Neill 2017 · AA	25	42→43	39→45	49→55	36	203/250/291	88	293	7	16	32%	5%	52	-2.2	215/264/320	105	311	10	20	32%	5%	64	-1.3	214/265/315	101	311	10	23	33%	5%	60	-1.2
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	43→40	37→40	53→55	41	199/268/276	76	310	4	13	34%	7%	56	-1.9	197/276/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	190/273/288	98	292	9	24	35%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2013 · AA	25	44→49	39→40	54→55	39	213/249/300	86	275	7	18	25%	4%	53	-2.1	224/268/305	81	289	4	16	22%	5%	61	-1.5	236/273/307	70	292	2	12	19%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	45	38→40	56→60	41	210/276/286	76	316	5	19	33%	7%	61	-1.5	210/289/309	99	299	11	33	31%	8%	72	-0.7	198/280/285	87	280	10	41	31%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/249	55	288	2	14	32%	6%	42	-2.9	220/280/292	72	318	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	229/294/291	62	333	2	11	29%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	195/244/261	67	264	5	32	28%	6%	43	-2.8	190/255/265	75	270	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/211/155	36	182	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Chad Christensen 2016 · A	25	44→45	38→40	53→55	38	209/260/287	78	310	5	16	33%	6%	55	-2.0	206/259/290	84	317	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.9	157/208/222	65	244	8	18	38%	5%	18	-1.0
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/283	88	286	4	18	32%	5%	51	-2.2	202/259/288	86	306	6	23	34%	6%	55	-1.9	194/253/273	79	299	5	30	34%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	186/229/264	78	254	7	15	29%	5%	38	-3.2	203/241/302	99	289	8	11	31%	4%	51	-2.3	193/216/293	100	272	7	9	31%	2%	36	-1.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	211/266/291	80	290	6	26	28%	7%	58	-1.7	235/300/318	83	320	5	36	26%	8%	77	-0.3	243/312/317	74	327	4	49	25%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Ryan Lormand 2011 · AAA	25	43	36→40	53→55	39	206/248/278	72	281	3	16	27%	5%	48	-2.5	202/251/279	77	281	4	15	28%	6%	50	-2.3	152/203/187	35	217	0	19	28%	6%	7	-1.2
✕Ryan Dent 2014 · AAA	25	43→42	37→40	47→50	42	210/260/277	67	281	6	14	27%	6%	52	-2.2	209/262/299	90	290	6	10	28%	6%	59	-1.7	206/259/301	95	287	6	9	29%	5%	56	-1.2
✕Andrew Means 2012 · A	25	46	37→30	55	35	218/254/286	68	295	5	25	27%	3%	52	-2.2	222/272/304	82	294	7	16	25%	5%	63	-1.3	222/280/294	72	286	6	12	23%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Chris Madera 2018 · A	25	45	36→30	49→50	44	215/265/275	61	276	4	15	23%	6%	54	-2.0	198/251/261	63	246	4	13	20%	6%	46	-2.6	175/229/219	45	211	3	13	18%	6%	28	-3.0
✕Granden Goetzman 2018 · AAA	25	44	40→45	57→55	39	215/254/312	97	286	7	24	27%	5%	58	-1.7	205/248/331	126	277	12	11	29%	5%	61	-1.5	185/229/321	136	245	14	3	30%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→46	40→45	54→55	43	211/279/301	90	305	8	21	32%	8%	66	-1.1	209/301/293	84	310	6	16	31%	9%	74	-0.6	200/314/273	73	296	5	18	30%	11%	72	-0.4
✕Kevin Vicuña 2022 · AAA	24	43→41	36→40	50	38	206/258/273	67	281	4	15	27%	4%	51	-2.2	223/274/311	88	291	5	12	24%	5%	66	-1.1	229/278/316	87	296	4	10	23%	4%	65	-0.5
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	207/268/282	75	281	5	13	27%	7%	57	-1.8	213/276/289	76	305	5	8	29%	8%	61	-1.5	198/269/240	42	290	1	4	30%	8%	45	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps