Jacob Burke — OGILVIE

Jacob BurkeOF Birmingham Barons

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 208 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION262 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .261 / .288

PA174

HR2

SB7

K%30

BB%5

BABIP284

ISO88

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	114	99	20	5	1	1	6	36	9	4	2	202	307	303	610	101	306	32	5	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	114	96	27	7	1	2	9	24	9	4	2	281	395	438	832	156	357	21	8	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	490	433	98	21	3	8	33	158	22	24	7	226	314	344	658	118	335	32	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	490	421	120	29	3	9	45	117	22	24	7	285	383	432	816	147	374	24	9	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	274	251	41	5	1	0	16	98	5	24	3	163	228	191	419	28	266	36	6	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	274	240	45	6	1	0	27	72	5	24	3	188	283	221	504	33	266	26	10	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	283	251	54	7	0	4	16	76	9	14	6	215	286	291	577	76	286	27	6	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	283	243	52	8	0	3	23	61	9	14	6	214	304	284	588	70	268	22	8	270	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	CWS	—	262	242	50	11	2	3	12	83	6	14	1	207	262	306	567	99	297	32	5	249	49	-15	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
YTD	25	AA	CWS	—	262	236	60	14	2	4	18	64	6	14	1	254	323	381	704	127	329	24	7	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-2	+7	0.8
ROS	25	AA	CWS	2%	174	159	32	6	1	2	9	53	4	7	1	200	261	288	549	88	283	30	5	249	49	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
ROS	25	MLB	CWS	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						284	33	0	234	37	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	CWS	—	265	245	50	11	2	3	12	84	6	14	1	204	259	302	561	98	294	32	5	249	49	-15	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
TOT	25	AA	CWS	—	436	401	82	17	3	5	21	136	10	21	2	204	261	299	560	95	292	31	5	249	49	-25	+3	+0	-3	+12	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CWS	31%	339	310	63	12	1	5	19	100	7	12	2	203	265	297	562	94	282	29	6	258	56	-17	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.8
2028	27	MLB	CWS	42%	368	336	70	13	2	6	22	107	7	12	2	208	271	312	584	104	282	29	6	263	60	-17	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.7
2029	28	MLB	CWS	48%	385	351	73	14	2	6	24	111	7	11	2	208	272	311	583	103	282	29	6	265	61	-17	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.8
2027	26	MLB	CWS	31%	105	96	20	4	0	2	6	31	2	4	1	208	269	312	582	104	282	30	6	245	45	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	CWS	42%	155	142	31	6	1	3	9	45	3	5	1	218	279	338	617	120	283	29	6	250	50	-9	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2029	28	MLB	CWS	48%	184	166	36	7	1	3	12	53	4	5	1	217	286	325	611	108	283	29	7	252	51	-10	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	447	407	87	17	2	8	27	130	9	14	3	214	278	324	602	111	290	29	6	250	49	-26	+2	-0	-3	+13	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	127	25	3	12	39	189	13	20	4	215	278	328	605	113	291	29	6	250	49	-37	+2	-0	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	2427	2190	451	83	11	32	145	739	70	108	25	206	277	298	574	92	292	30	6	257	55	-123	+12	-1	-15	+69	-5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	121	22	3	9	39	198	19	29	7	206	278	300	578	94	292	30	6	257	55	-33	+3	-0	-4	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	92	78	21	6	1	1	6	20	8	4	2	269	380	410	791	141	351	22	7	361	135	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	22	18	6	1	0	1	3	4	1	0	0	333	455	556	1.010	222	385	18	14	446	199	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	236	203	57	13	2	2	21	52	11	10	4	281	379	394	773	113	367	22	9	352	127	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	149	127	40	11	1	4	15	33	7	9	3	315	416	512	928	197	400	22	10	412	173	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	105	91	23	5	0	3	9	32	4	5	0	253	346	407	753	154	351	30	9	338	117	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	256	223	43	6	1	0	26	67	5	24	2	193	291	229	520	36	274	26	10	249	49	-15	+4	—	—	+7	-0.4
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	118	167	118	284		167	28	6	139	-35	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	227	198	42	6	0	2	17	58	5	9	5	212	290	273	562	61	284	26	7	256	54	-12	-0	—	—	+6	-0.6
2025	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	56	45	10	2	0	1	6	3	4	5	1	222	364	333	697	111	214	5	11	323	106	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	450	7	14	208	269	309	-3	+0	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	11	21	208	269	309	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Burke (OGILVIE)	25	35	30	55	35	204/261/299	95	292	5	21	31%	5%	49	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→47	39→40	54→55	42	209/276/294	85	309	7	21	33%	7%	58	-1.2	205/298/291	86	306	6	16	32%	9%	68	-0.5	192/306/270	77	284	5	18	30%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2013 · AA	25	42→48	39→40	53→55	38	208/243/292	84	269	7	18	25%	4%	43	-2.2	222/266/304	82	291	4	16	24%	5%	55	-1.4	232/268/302	70	292	2	12	20%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/250	55	290	2	14	32%	6%	35	-2.8	219/281/290	71	320	3	12	30%	7%	59	-1.1	227/294/286	60	334	2	11	30%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	196/245/263	67	267	5	32	28%	6%	37	-2.7	190/257/265	75	276	5	26	31%	7%	43	-2.2	115/212/152	37	189	0	39	35%	8%	-3	-1.2
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	43	38→40	58→55	39	206/263/277	72	302	6	26	32%	6%	48	-1.9	234/276/322	88	309	5	20	25%	5%	64	-0.8	248/287/332	84	320	4	20	23%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Michael O'Neill 2017 · AA	25	42	40→45	49→55	36	204/249/296	93	294	8	16	32%	5%	47	-1.9	209/258/316	107	314	10	20	35%	5%	56	-1.3	206/256/307	101	313	11	23	36%	5%	50	-1.3
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40	55→65	42	206/260/293	87	287	7	26	30%	7%	50	-1.7	231/298/315	84	322	6	36	27%	8%	72	-0.2	239/310/313	74	330	4	49	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	46	37→40	56→60	40	210/275/284	75	323	5	19	34%	7%	56	-1.3	211/292/319	108	304	12	33	32%	9%	72	-0.2	199/283/299	99	284	13	41	32%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	42→43	40→45	49→55	42	203/268/292	89	272	8	15	27%	6%	55	-1.4	195/266/301	106	281	11	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	186/271/302	116	271	12	26	34%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	42→40	37→45	53→55	40	194/263/268	74	309	3	13	36%	7%	46	-2.0	197/275/304	107	312	10	20	37%	8%	61	-1.0	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/284	89	291	4	18	33%	5%	45	-2.1	201/258/286	85	307	6	23	34%	6%	49	-1.8	192/251/270	78	296	5	30	35%	5%	38	-1.3
✕Chad Christensen 2016 · A	25	43	37→40	53→55	37	203/252/279	76	304	4	16	33%	5%	43	-2.2	204/257/290	86	316	7	15	35%	6%	49	-1.8	160/213/232	72	250	9	18	38%	5%	12	-0.9
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Sergio Garcia 2016 · AAA	25	41	42→45	48→60	34	206/232/301	96	281	10	19	31%	3%	40	-2.4	235/264/360	125	307	13	17	27%	3%	70	-0.3	250/277/382	132	322	13	19	26%	3%	78	+0.1
✕Eliezer Mesa 2014 · AA	25	44→52	38→40	57→55	36	210/243/290	80	288	5	18	28%	4%	42	-2.3	238/271/324	86	298	7	12	22%	4%	63	-0.9	294/320/367	73	362	4	10	20%	3%	89	+0.3
✕Michael Suiter 2016 · A	24	40→38	38→40	49→50	37	196/245/270	75	262	6	12	27%	4%	39	-2.5	211/265/302	91	297	8	10	30%	5%	56	-1.3	210/270/301	91	300	10	8	32%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	37	184/227/263	79	255	7	15	30%	5%	29	-3.2	202/240/304	102	292	9	11	33%	4%	45	-2.1	190/214/293	103	271	9	9	33%	2%	27	-1.1
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	43	207/272/268	61	283	4	14	27%	7%	50	-1.7	224/273/295	71	281	4	18	21%	5%	56	-1.3	231/275/288	57	282	1	27	18%	4%	52	-0.8