Jacob Burke — OGILVIE

Jacob BurkeOF Winston-Salem Dash

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 208 lbs A+ BB +6%HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .267 / .281

PA268

HR3

SB9

K%30

BB%6

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

30→30

SPD

55→55

EYE

42↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.3peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-3M		$-29M	-$25M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$25M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	114	99	20	5	0	1	6	35	9	4	2	.202	.307	.283	.590	.081	.302	31	5	.272	66	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2023	22	A+	3 teams	490	436	97	21	3	7	30	151	22	24	7	.222	.305	.333	.638	.110	.321	31	6	.281	73	-15	+2	+0	-3	+14	-0.2
2024	23	AA	2 teams	274	250	39	5	1	0	17	96	5	24	3	.156	.224	.184	.408	.028	.252	35	6	.189	3	-30	+4	+0	-2	+8	-2.1
2025	24	AA	2 teams	283	252	49	7	0	3	15	78	9	14	6	.194	.264	.258	.522	.063	.263	28	5	.236	39	-20	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	A+	2 teams	37	34	8	2	0	0	2	13	1	1	0	.235	.297	.294	.591	.059	.381	35	5	.273	67	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB	CWS	231	209	44	8	1	3	14	71	6	8	2	.211	.279	.301	.581	.091	.290	31	6	.255	54	-12	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.6
TOT	25	MLB	CWS	268	243	52	10	1	3	16	84	7	9	2	.214	.282	.300	.582	.086	.312	31	6	.258	56	-13	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 10%	CWS	313	282	60	11	1	5	21	85	7	10	2	.213	.284	.312	.596	.099	.286	27	7	.272	66	-12	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2028	27	MLB 25%	CWS	350	315	69	13	1	6	24	95	8	10	2	.219	.291	.324	.615	.105	.286	27	7	.276	69	-12	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.3
2029	28	MLB 37%	CWS	374	336	73	14	1	6	27	101	8	10	2	.217	.291	.318	.610	.101	.286	27	7	.277	70	-13	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.4
2030	29	MLB 47%	CWS	381	342	73	14	1	6	28	104	8	9	2	.213	.288	.313	.601	.099	.286	27	7	.276	70	-13	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.5
2031	30	MLB 55%	CWS	384	345	73	14	1	6	28	106	8	8	2	.212	.286	.310	.596	.099	.284	28	7	.273	67	-14	+1	-2	-2	+11	-0.7
2032	31	MLB 66%	CWS	374	336	71	13	1	6	27	104	8	7	1	.211	.286	.310	.595	.098	.283	28	7	.269	64	-15	+1	-3	-2	+11	-0.9
2033	32	MLB 75%	CWS	359	323	66	12	1	5	26	102	7	6	1	.204	.278	.294	.572	.090	.281	28	7	.265	61	-16	+1	-4	-2	+10	-1.1
2034	33	MLB 83%	CWS	331	297	60	11	1	4	24	96	7	5	0	.202	.277	.286	.564	.084	.280	29	7	.260	57	-16	+1	-4	-2	+9	-1.2
2035	34	MLB 89%	CWS	288	260	51	9	1	3	20	86	6	4	0	.196	.269	.273	.542	.077	.278	30	7	.253	52	-16	+1	-5	-2	+8	-1.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4546	4082	845	157	14	61	307	1310	118	143	32	.207	.282	.297	.579	.090	.287	29	7	.263	60	-208	+16	-20	-27	+129	-11.2
/ 162G	—			650	584	121	22	2	9	44	187	17	20	5	.207	.283	.298	.581	.091	.286	29	7	.263	60	-30	+2	-3	-4	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	92	78	21	6	1	1	6	20	8	4	2	.269	.380	.410	.791	.141	.351	22	7	.361	135	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	22	18	6	1	0	1	3	4	1	0	0	.333	.455	.556	1.010	.222	.385	18	14	.446	199	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	236	203	57	13	2	2	21	52	11	10	4	.281	.379	.394	.773	.113	.367	22	9	.352	127	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	149	127	40	11	1	4	15	33	7	9	3	.315	.416	.512	.928	.197	.400	22	10	.412	173	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	105	91	23	5	0	3	9	32	4	5	0	.253	.346	.407	.753	.154	.351	30	9	.338	117	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	256	223	43	6	1	0	26	67	5	24	2	.193	.291	.229	.520	.036	.274	26	10	.249	49	-15	+4	—	—	+7	-0.4
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	.118	.167	.118	.284	.000	.167	28	6	.139	-35	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	227	198	42	6	0	2	17	58	5	9	5	.212	.290	.273	.562	.061	.284	26	7	.256	54	-12	-0	—	—	+6	-0.6
2025	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	56	45	10	2	0	1	6	3	4	5	1	.222	.364	.333	.697	.111	.214	5	11	.323	106	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Burke (OGILVIE)	25	35	30	55	35	.198/.267/.281	.083	.282	3	9	30%	6%	52	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	44	38→40	57→55	38	.208/.263/.282	.074	.311	6	26	34%	6%	49	-1.8	.232/.275/.320	.088	.308	5	20	25%	5%	63	-0.8	.249/.289/.333	.084	.321	4	20	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	41	40→45	53→55	40	.196/.256/.291	.095	.278	6	15	30%	6%	50	-1.8	.190/.266/.302	.112	.286	11	16	35%	8%	57	-1.2	.176/.260/.302	.126	.275	14	16	39%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Michael O'Neill 2017 · AA	25	41→40	40→45	50→55	36	.201/.247/.291	.090	.288	8	17	32%	5%	45	-2.1	.208/.257/.314	.106	.307	10	20	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.205/.256/.307	.102	.305	11	23	35%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	45→47	40→45	54→55	42	.213/.279/.305	.092	.310	8	20	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.209/.302/.294	.085	.316	6	16	32%	9%	71	-0.3	.201/.316/.276	.075	.308	5	18	32%	11%	71	-0.1
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	42→47	41→40	49→50	42	.200/.278/.297	.097	.295	8	11	33%	7%	61	-1.0	.215/.294/.319	.104	.320	9	11	33%	7%	73	-0.1	.216/.299/.316	.100	.327	10	12	34%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Chad Christensen 2016 · A	25	45→47	38→40	53→55	39	.211/.262/.293	.082	.304	5	16	31%	6%	52	-1.6	.206/.258/.288	.082	.316	6	15	35%	6%	49	-1.8	.157/.208/.222	.065	.244	8	18	38%	5%	7	-1.0
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	46	38→40	56→60	42	.213/.280/.290	.076	.310	5	19	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.208/.289/.312	.104	.300	12	33	32%	9%	69	-0.4	.193/.277/.285	.093	.278	12	41	32%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→46	38→45	54→60	39	.197/.273/.275	.078	.297	5	21	33%	6%	53	-1.5	.187/.267/.270	.083	.297	6	23	36%	7%	50	-1.8	.195/.280/.308	.112	.279	12	28	32%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2016 · AAA	25	43	38→45	51→50	40	.208/.252/.292	.085	.285	5	9	28%	5%	46	-2.0	.227/.285/.303	.076	.312	6	6	27%	7%	64	-0.8	.220/.281/.276	.057	.306	5	2	28%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2013 · AA	25	43→50	39→40	53→55	39	.211/.247/.297	.086	.272	7	17	25%	4%	46	-2.0	.224/.268/.307	.083	.292	4	17	23%	5%	57	-1.2	.235/.272/.308	.072	.294	3	12	20%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA	25	47→50	40	52→55	40	.221/.298/.308	.088	.318	8	21	31%	6%	72	-0.2	.208/.295/.315	.107	.311	11	12	33%	9%	73	-0.1	.177/.285/.273	.097	.265	11	10	34%	11%	56	-0.5
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	41	38→40	48→50	43	.200/.261/.271	.071	.264	6	13	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.216/.288/.312	.096	.280	10	15	25%	8%	69	-0.4	.201/.280/.289	.088	.259	11	18	25%	9%	56	-0.6
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→44	44→45	54→50	41	.203/.266/.324	.121	.291	10	16	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.201/.270/.341	.140	.336	15	10	42%	8%	69	-0.4	.175/.256/.327	.151	.313	18	7	46%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Josh Prince 2013 · AA	25	45→46	38→40	54→60	45	.216/.272/.299	.082	.280	5	30	24%	7%	57	-1.2	.207/.277/.299	.092	.274	8	28	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.291/.302	.086	.289	8	28	26%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Joel Booker 2019 · AA	25	48→49	38→40	50→55	38	.227/.280/.306	.078	.316	6	20	29%	5%	63	-0.9	.210/.259/.293	.083	.305	7	20	32%	4%	50	-1.7	.185/.226/.257	.073	.276	7	26	35%	3%	24	-1.8
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	45	36→30	51→55	44	.210/.279/.272	.062	.287	4	14	27%	7%	54	-1.4	.230/.281/.300	.070	.287	4	18	20%	6%	61	-1.0	.245/.291/.304	.059	.296	2	27	17%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→45	42→45	51→60	43	.204/.265/.308	.104	.270	9	19	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.226/.285/.324	.098	.310	8	27	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.227/.288/.355	.128	.309	13	42	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	.212/.267/.292	.080	.295	6	26	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.227/.293/.311	.084	.316	6	36	27%	8%	69	-0.4	.235/.305/.310	.075	.321	5	49	26%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	41	.199/.256/.254	.055	.291	2	14	31%	6%	38	-2.6	.218/.278/.286	.068	.315	3	12	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.227/.292/.289	.061	.331	2	11	29%	7%	59	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)