Joey Volini

P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 24 LHP 6'4" / 247 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.6 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	6	1	10	0.87	0.49	38.5%	2.6%	—	K 38.5% · BB 2.6% · FIP 0.18
2026	23	MIX2 levels	17	15	67	4.70	3.58	24.8%	8.3%	—	K 19.5% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.48
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIA	16	16	90	4.78	4.78	18.9%	9.3%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIA	8	8	47	4.56	4.51	20.4%	8.9%	0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBMIA	13	13	80	4.46	4.41	21.2%	8.8%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$1M2034Ext$1M+1

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Command50FB velo40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 84%

CompsBrian Holmes (age 24) · Jimmy Robbins (age 24) · Hayden Wynja (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%18.9%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5055

CMD3550

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	1	10	39	15	1	0	17%	1.7	38.5%	2.6%	35.9%	0.0%	0.87	0.18	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	1	10	39	15	1	0	17%	1.7	38.5%	2.6%	35.9%	0.0%	0.87	0.18	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	1	10	39	15	1	0	17%	1.7	38.5%	2.6%	35.9%	0.0%	0.87	0.49	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	15	67	290	72	24	8	88%	3.9	19.5%	9.3%	10.1%	3.4%	4.70	4.48	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	15	67	290	72	24	8	88%	3.9	19.5%	9.3%	10.1%	3.4%	4.70	4.48	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	15	67	290	72	24	8	88%	3.9	24.8%	8.3%	16.6%	2.8%	4.70	3.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIA	16	16	90	380	72	35	12	100%	5.6	18.9%	9.3%	9.6%	3.1%	4.78	4.78	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	19	19	109	461	94	41	14	100%	5.7	20.4%	8.9%	11.5%	3.1%	4.64	4.59	+0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	121	511	108	45	16	100%	6.1	21.2%	8.8%	12.4%	3.1%	4.54	4.49	+0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	119	504	107	44	16	100%	6.0	21.2%	8.8%	12.4%	3.1%	4.53	4.52	+0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	19	19	116	489	103	44	16	100%	6.1	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	3.2%	4.57	4.60	+0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIA	18	18	110	467	97	43	16	100%	6.1	20.9%	9.1%	11.8%	3.4%	4.67	4.73	+0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	104	439	90	41	16	100%	6.1	20.5%	9.4%	11.1%	3.6%	4.81	4.91	-0.0
2034	31	MLB MLE	MIA	16	16	97	409	82	40	16	100%	6.1	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.8%	4.99	5.11	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	8	8	47	198	40	18	6	100%	5.9	20.4%	8.9%	11.5%	2.9%	4.56	4.51	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	13	13	80	338	72	30	10	100%	6.2	21.2%	8.8%	12.4%	2.9%	4.46	4.41	+0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	15	15	92	388	83	34	12	100%	6.1	21.2%	8.8%	12.4%	3.0%	4.44	4.43	+0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	16	16	97	410	87	36	13	100%	6.1	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	3.1%	4.48	4.51	+0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIA	16	16	97	410	86	37	13	100%	6.1	20.9%	9.1%	11.8%	3.2%	4.58	4.64	+0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIA	16	16	93	393	81	37	13	100%	5.8	20.5%	9.4%	11.1%	3.4%	4.71	4.81	-0.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	MIA	15	15	89	376	76	37	14	100%	5.9	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.6%	4.89	5.01	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		99	99	596	2515	524	229	80	100%	6.0	20.8%	9.1%	11.7%	3.2%	4.59	4.25	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	176	77	27	100%	6.0	20.8%	9.1%	11.7%	3.2%	4.59	4.25	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		23	16	77	329	71	28	10	70%	3.4	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.0%	4.19	3.97	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	41	200	851	185	73	25	70%	3.4	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.0%	4.19	3.97	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joey Volini (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	18.9%	9.3%	3.1%	—	4.53	21.0%	12.1%	350	-0.25	—	—	—
Brian Holmes L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	21.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.333	4.78	17.3%	8.0%	104	+0.46	3.60	205	85
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.82	18.0%	2.8%	99	+0.97	3.85	176	85
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	83
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	83
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	83
T.J. Sikkema L 2022 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	21.9%	9.0%	3.9%	.298	4.54	16.9%	7.5%	231	-0.01	3.57	300	82
A.J. Block L 2021 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	22.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.262	5.74	20.1%	8.4%	51	+2.02	3.65	203	82
Jake McSteen L 2021 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP-	5.05	16.8%	7.3%	4.5%	.322	5.18	19.2%	12.5%	172	+0.13	2.22	286	82
Billy Traber L 2003 · 4.17 FIP	23	SP-	4.17	17.5%	7.2%	3.0%	.321	4.17	12.4%	6.5%	43	+0.00	3.75	211	81
Odalis Perez L 2001 · 3.77 FIP	24	SP-	3.77	17.0%	9.3%	1.7%	.336	3.91	17.5%	12.8%	604	+0.14	3.40	1,324	79
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	79
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	79
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	79
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	78
Dalton Sawyer L 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP-	4.11	20.6%	9.4%	2.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	160	78
John Michael Bertrand L 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	14.8%	8.1%	1.5%	.294	4.33	14.2%	5.3%	345	+0.62	3.71	463	77
Chuck James L 2006 · 4.88 FIP	24	SP-	4.88	18.1%	8.9%	4.0%	.233	5.50	16.5%	8.1%	191	+0.62	4.88	310	77
Will Dion L 2024 · 4.97 FIP	24	SP	4.97	19.3%	9.4%	4.2%	.309	3.39	23.5%	16.3%	186	-1.58	3.14	535	77
Marc Rzepczynski L 2010 · 4.23 FIP	24	SP	4.23	19.9%	10.1%	2.8%	.332	3.54	21.2%	13.0%	139	-0.69	2.43	491	77
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	108	20.6%	9.1%	1.28	4.68
John Maine ('13)	3.0	99	19.5%	10.5%	1.23	4.45
John Patterson ('07)	2.3	76	21.2%	9.1%	1.19	4.32
Red Embree ('41-'49, 5 WAR*)	3.5	118	18.9%*	9.1%*	1.32*	4.29*
Max Surkont ('49-'57, 5 WAR*)	6.0	149	20.0%*	8.4%*	1.27*	4.76*
Joe Coleman ('42-'55, 6 WAR*)	5.7	142	18.0%*	9.1%*	1.25*	4.62*
Tyler Anderson ('25)	6.3	126	19.5%	7.8%	1.32	4.30